Valencia vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 11 Jun 2015

Tip-off: 19:00

Final 84-90

22-24 27-23 17-25 18-18

Position#5

Record23-17

FormLWLWL

Points / game83.0

Allowed / game79.3

Valencia

Real Madrid 🏆

Position#1

Record31-8

FormWWWLW

Points / game86.4

Allowed / game78.6

ACBACB - Semi-finals

Domestic2014-15

Meetings · Valencia v Real Madrid

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Real Madrid winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Valencia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gran Canaria

76-90

-14

A03/05

ACB

Tenerife

#11

81-74

A10/05

ACB

Bilbao

73-78

-5

H16/05

ACB

Fuenlabrada

#18

87-64

+23

A24/05

ACB

Bilbao

91-75

+16

A28/05

ACB

Bilbao

76-80

-4

H30/05

ACB

Bilbao

71-70

A01/06

ACB

Real Madrid

71-81

-10

A04/06

ACB

Real Madrid

93-89

A07/06

ACB

Real Madrid

100-103 OT

100

103

-3

H09/06

ACB

17-24

26-22

18-20

15-24

19-21

25-15

18-14

19-24

19-15

17-27

15-16

22-20

19-13

23-16

20-12

25-23

21-22

25-16

19-22

26-15

21-15

27-22

16-27

12-16

21-16

24-17

12-20

14-17

20-25

16-21

21-13

14-22

31-22

22-19

20-30

20-18

18-26

22-13

30-25

18-24

162.3Avg total

81.9Scored

80.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (40)	83.0	79.3	162.3	+3.6	57%
Season at home (19)	88.7	80.3	169.0	+8.4	68%
Season away (21)	77.8	78.4	156.2	-0.6	48%
Last 10 (10)	81.9	80.4	162.3	+1.5	50%
Last 5 (5)	82.2	84.6	166.8	-2.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	88.8	89.2	178.0	-0.3	33%
vs Similar (12)	80.8	76.8	157.6	+4.1	50%
vs Weaker (11)	87.1	81.4	168.5	+5.7	73%

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Real Madrid Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

MoraBanc Andorra

#14

84-83

H10/05

ACB

Fenerbahce

96-87

H15/05

Euroleague

Olympiacos

78-59

+19

H17/05

Euroleague

Baskonia

81-94

-13

A20/05

ACB

Manresa

#16

80-90

-10

H24/05

ACB

Gran Canaria

101-74

101

+27

H29/05

ACB

Gran Canaria

93-86

A31/05

ACB

Valencia

81-71

+10

H04/06

ACB

Valencia

89-93

-4

H07/06

ACB

Valencia

103-100 OT

103

100

A09/06

ACB

24-17

14-28

23-22

23-16

20-21

35-14

21-24

20-28

15-19

20-9

18-18

25-13

19-26

16-23

26-22

20-23

22-10

17-22

22-31

19-27

27-23

23-15

25-15

26-21

18-19

24-20

26-20

25-27

25-20

21-16

13-21

22-14

22-31

19-22

30-20

18-20

26-18

13-22

25-30

24-18

172.3Avg total

88.6Scored

83.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (39)	86.4	78.6	165.0	+7.8	79%
Season at home (20)	86.8	74.4	161.2	+12.4	90%
Season away (19)	86.0	82.9	168.9	+3.1	68%
Last 10 (10)	88.6	83.7	172.3	+4.9	70%
Last 5 (5)	93.4	84.8	178.2	+8.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	84.0	85.7	169.7	-1.7	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	86.9	77.4	164.3	+9.4	81%

This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ValenciaReal Madrid

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.7	20.9	43.7	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	23.2	19.2	42.5	+4.0	67%	-
Last 30 away (18)	22.4	22.1	44.4	+0.3	39%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	19.9	40.5	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	20.8	43.0	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	24.3	23.5	47.8	+0.8	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	21.2	19.8	41.0	+1.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (11)	23.7	20.4	44.1	+3.4	55%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	18.4	40.1	+3.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	22.8	18.4	41.2	+4.4	72%	-
Last 30 away (12)	19.9	18.5	38.4	+1.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	20.4	42.2	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	22.2	45.8	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	23.3	21.0	44.3	+2.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	21.5	18.1	39.6	+3.3	63%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	19.4	40.9	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.8	20.8	41.6	+0.1	58%	-
Last 30 away (18)	21.9	18.6	40.4	+3.3	61%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	18.8	41.5	+3.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	18.4	40.6	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	21.0	19.7	40.7	+1.3	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	22.0	20.0	42.0	+2.0	58%	-
vs Weaker (11)	21.5	18.7	40.3	+2.8	73%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	20.1	39.8	-0.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	20.4	20.0	40.4	+0.4	44%	-
Last 30 away (12)	18.6	20.2	38.8	-1.7	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	19.1	39.3	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	16.7	21.7	38.3	-5.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	20.0	19.9	40.0	+0.1	41%	-

ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gran Canaria

43-46

-3

A03/05

ACB

Tenerife

#11

44-36

A10/05

ACB

Bilbao

36-42

-6

H16/05

ACB

Fuenlabrada

#18

42-29

+13

A24/05

ACB

Bilbao

46-38

A28/05

ACB

Bilbao

48-37

+11

H30/05

ACB

Bilbao

45-33

+12

A01/06

ACB

Real Madrid

36-46

-10

A04/06

ACB

Real Madrid

53-41

+12

A07/06

ACB

Real Madrid

40-39

H09/06

ACB

82.0Avg total

43.3Scored

38.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.2	40.4	84.6	+3.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	44.1	40.0	84.1	+4.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (18)	44.3	40.6	84.9	+3.7	61%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.3	38.7	82.0	+4.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.4	39.2	83.6	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	45.3	43.2	88.5	+2.2	67%	-
vs Similar (12)	43.2	39.8	83.0	+3.3	58%	-
vs Weaker (11)	45.3	39.1	84.4	+6.2	73%	-

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

MoraBanc Andorra

#14

38-45

-7

H10/05

ACB

Fenerbahce

55-35

+20

H15/05

Euroleague

Olympiacos

35-28

H17/05

Euroleague

Baskonia

35-49

-14

A20/05

ACB

Manresa

#16

39-32

H24/05

ACB

Gran Canaria

50-38

+12

H29/05

ACB

Gran Canaria

42-39

A31/05

ACB

Valencia

46-36

+10

H04/06

ACB

Valencia

41-53

-12

H07/06

ACB

Valencia

39-40

-1

A09/06

ACB

81.5Avg total

42.0Scored

39.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.4	38.5	79.9	+2.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	43.3	38.4	81.7	+4.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (12)	38.5	38.8	77.2	-0.2	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.0	39.5	81.5	+2.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	41.2	84.8	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	40.0	42.7	82.7	-2.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	41.5	38.1	79.6	+3.4	59%	-

This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	20.5	39.9	-1.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	21.1	22.4	43.5	-1.3	42%	-
Last 30 away (18)	18.3	19.2	37.4	-0.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	19.9	38.8	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	23.0	42.8	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	21.2	23.3	44.5	-2.2	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	17.2	19.6	36.8	-2.4	25%	-
vs Weaker (11)	20.9	20.1	41.0	+0.8	36%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	19.7	42.6	+3.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	23.1	18.6	41.7	+4.4	67%	-
Last 30 away (12)	22.5	21.4	43.9	+1.1	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	22.3	45.2	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	21.2	45.0	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	21.3	23.3	44.7	-2.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	23.0	19.3	42.3	+3.7	59%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.9	40.6	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	22.8	21.7	44.4	+1.1	58%	-
Last 30 away (18)	19.3	18.7	38.0	+0.7	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	20.3	38.8	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	19.4	35.0	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	20.3	20.2	40.5	+0.2	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.5	17.3	37.8	+3.2	58%	-
vs Weaker (11)	20.9	22.2	43.1	-1.3	45%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	19.6	41.4	+2.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	22.1	19.2	41.3	+2.8	67%	-
Last 30 away (12)	21.6	20.1	41.7	+1.5	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	20.7	42.9	+1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	20.0	43.0	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	22.7	19.7	42.3	+3.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	21.8	19.6	41.3	+2.2	59%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.1	40.3	80.4	-0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	43.8	44.1	87.9	-0.2	42%	-
Last 30 away (18)	37.6	37.8	75.4	-0.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.4	40.2	77.6	-2.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.4	42.4	77.8	-7.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	41.5	43.5	85.0	-2.0	17%	-
vs Similar (12)	37.7	36.9	74.6	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (11)	41.8	42.3	84.1	-0.5	45%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.7	39.3	84.0	+5.4	67%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	45.1	37.8	82.9	+7.3	72%	-
Last 30 away (12)	44.1	41.5	85.6	+2.6	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.1	43.0	88.1	+2.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.8	41.2	88.0	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	44.0	43.0	87.0	+1.0	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	44.8	38.9	83.7	+5.9	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Valencia wins

Real Madrid wins

Date	Game	Score
09/06/15	Valencia v Real Madrid	100-103 OT
07/06/15	Real Madrid v Valencia	89-93
04/06/15	Real Madrid v Valencia	81-71
15/02/15	Valencia v Real Madrid	87-99
02/11/14	Real Madrid v Valencia	90-71
26/09/14	Real Madrid v Valencia	89-76
27/04/14	Real Madrid v Valencia	105-110
22/12/13	Valencia v Real Madrid	75-82
07/04/13	Valencia v Real Madrid	88-79
20/12/12	Real Madrid v Valencia	87-84

Valencialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/06/15	H	Real Madrid	100-103 OT
07/06/15	A	Real Madrid	93-89
04/06/15	A	Real Madrid	71-81
01/06/15	A	Bilbao	71-70
30/05/15	H	Bilbao	76-80
28/05/15	A	Bilbao	91-75
24/05/15	A	Fuenlabrada	87-64
16/05/15	H	Bilbao	73-78
10/05/15	A	Tenerife	81-74
03/05/15	A	Gran Canaria	76-90

Real Madridlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/06/15	A	Valencia	103-100 OT
07/06/15	H	Valencia	89-93
04/06/15	H	Valencia	81-71
31/05/15	A	Gran Canaria	93-86
29/05/15	H	Gran Canaria	101-74
24/05/15	H	Manresa	80-90
20/05/15	A	Baskonia	81-94
17/05/15	H	Olympiacos	78-59
15/05/15	H	Fenerbahce	96-87
10/05/15	H	MoraBanc Andorra	84-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia

ACB 2014-15

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	57%
Home	WWLLL	68%
Away	WWWLW	48%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	40	19	21
Win %	57%	68%	48%
Points / game	83.0	88.7	77.8
Allowed / game	79.3	80.3	78.4
Point differential	+3.6	+8.4	-0.6
Avg total	162.3	169.0	156.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	32%	53%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	47% (15)	33% (6)	56% (9)
Overtime %	2%	5%	0%

Real Madrid

ACB 2014-15

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	79%
Home	WLWWL	90%
Away	WWLWW	68%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	39	20	19
Win %	79%	90%	68%
Points / game	86.4	86.8	86.0
Allowed / game	78.6	74.4	82.9
Point differential	+7.8	+12.4	+3.1
Avg total	165.0	161.2	168.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	44%	65%	21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (8)	75% (4)	75% (4)
Overtime %	5%	0%	11%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Real Madrid	39	31	8	79%	86.4	78.6	+7.8
2	Barcelona	39	29	10	74%	82.8	71.9	+10.9
3	Unicaja	40	28	12	70%	79.9	76.8	+3.1
4	Valencia	40	23	17	57%	83.0	79.3	+3.6
5	Bilbao	37	21	16	57%	77.8	76.9	+0.8
6	Baskonia	37	20	17	54%	82.6	78.6	+4.0
7	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	34	18	16	53%	76.0	77.7	-1.7
8	Joventut Badalona	36	19	17	53%	77.2	77.2	+0.0
9	Gran Canaria	36	18	18	50%	77.7	78.6	-0.9
10	Murcia	34	17	17	50%	77.1	78.2	-1.1
11	Tenerife	34	16	18	47%	78.0	77.0	+0.9
12	Obradoiro CAB	34	15	19	44%	72.6	74.6	-2.0
13	Estudiantes	34	14	20	41%	73.8	76.9	-3.1
14	MoraBanc Andorra	34	12	22	35%	75.0	76.9	-1.9
15	Real Betis	34	12	22	35%	74.7	80.7	-6.0
16	Manresa	34	11	23	32%	72.2	78.6	-6.4
17	Gipuzkoa	34	10	24	29%	70.9	77.9	-7.0
18	Fuenlabrada	34	8	26	24%	74.5	79.9	-5.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Valencia	22	27	17	18	84
Real Madrid	24	23	25	18	90

← all games of the day

Valencia vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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