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Valencia vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 08 Jun 2021
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 85-67
24-18 20-11 20-19 21-19
Position#4
Record26-14
FormWWLWL
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game80.8
vs
Position#1
Record37-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game76.0
SpainACBACB - Semi-finals
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Valencia v Real Madrid
01 Apr 2027
VAL v MAD
upcoming
04 Jan 2027
VAL v MAD
upcoming
22 May 2026
VAL90
MAD105
25 Apr 2026
VAL82
MAD96
11 Nov 2025
VAL89
MAD76
25 Jun 2025
VAL70
MAD81
22 Dec 2024
VAL85
MAD84
10 May 2024
VAL99
MAD93
14 Nov 2023
VAL73
MAD76
12 May 2023
VAL68
MAD79
22 Nov 2022
VAL73
MAD80
10 Oct 2021
VAL79
MAD93
08 Jun 2021
VAL85
MAD67
19 Feb 2021
VAL89
MAD78
01 Nov 2020
VAL78
MAD86
05 Oct 2018
VAL70
MAD88
20 Mar 2018
VAL96
MAD88
15 Oct 2017
VAL82
MAD86
16 Jun 2017
VAL87
MAD76
14 Jun 2017
VAL81
MAD64
06 Oct 2016
VAL75
MAD94
09 Jun 2016
VAL80
MAD82
07 Jun 2016
VAL87
MAD86
28 Feb 2016
VAL94
MAD95
11 Jun 2015
VAL84
MAD90
09 Jun 2015
VAL100
MAD103
15 Feb 2015
VAL87
MAD99
22 Dec 2013
VAL75
MAD82
07 Apr 2013
VAL88
MAD79
11 Mar 2012
VAL83
MAD66
31 Mar 2011
VAL81
MAD72
29 Mar 2011
VAL66
MAD75
19 Feb 2011
VAL59
MAD52
13 Mar 2010
VAL67
MAD78
19 Nov 2008
VAL82
MAD66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#17
W
99-90
99
90
+9
92avg 79
H25/04
ACB
Murcia
#12
W
80-66
80
66
+14
73avg 79
A30/04
ACB
Estudiantes
#18
W
100-89
100
89
+11
98avg 79
H02/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
79-69
79
69
+10
80avg 79
A09/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
86-92
86
92
-6
77avg 79
A19/05
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#14
W
96-76
96
76
+20
97avg 79
H22/05
ACB
Baskonia
#5
W
87-86
87
86
+1
84avg 79
H31/05
ACB
Baskonia
#5
L
65-76
65
76
-11
60avg 79
A02/06
ACB
Baskonia
#5
W
78-73
78
73
+5
78avg 79
H04/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
70-81
70
81
-11
56avg 79
A06/06
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-33
25-18
30-21
27-18
15-16
29-12
20-25
16-13
34-29
18-23
24-21
24-16
27-12
16-15
17-16
19-26
24-18
23-26
20-15
19-33
24-23
27-17
12-24
33-12
22-18
13-26
25-19
27-23
16-26
12-15
18-21
19-14
23-19
20-15
16-19
19-20
14-25
24-19
8-14
24-23
163.8Avg total
84.0Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)85.280.8166.0+4.365%
Season at home (20)89.282.5171.7+6.670%
Season away (20)81.279.1160.3+2.160%
Last 10 (10)84.079.8163.8+4.270%
Last 5 (5)79.278.4157.6+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)74.082.2156.2-8.225%
vs Similar (11)80.276.9157.1+3.364%
vs Weaker (14)88.082.3170.3+5.771%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
80-76
80
76
+4
77avg 78
H27/04
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
82-76
82
76
+6
82avg 78
H29/04
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
98-89
98
89
+9
91avg 78
A02/05
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
83-88
83
88
-5
77avg 78
A04/05
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
L
69-79
69
79
-10
53avg 78
H09/05
ACB
Bilbao
#17
W
70-59
70
59
+11
64avg 78
H20/05
ACB
Unicaja
#9
W
96-90
96
90
+6
87avg 78
A23/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
W
103-79
103
79
+24
no box
H31/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
W
81-75
81
75
+6
73avg 78
A02/06
ACB
Valencia
#4
W
81-70
81
70
+11
79avg 78
H06/06
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-15
13-23
20-20
32-18
19-13
17-34
21-19
25-10
19-31
35-20
19-24
25-14
21-18
20-18
16-24
26-28
12-27
15-16
16-17
26-19
21-13
24-11
8-18
17-17
25-17
20-22
26-23
25-28
34-11
22-19
22-34
25-15
16-15
21-20
21-16
23-24
25-14
19-24
14-8
23-24
162.4Avg total
84.3Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)87.176.0163.1+11.195%
Season at home (20)89.278.3167.6+10.990%
Season away (19)84.973.6158.5+11.3100%
Last 10 (10)84.378.1162.4+6.280%
Last 5 (5)86.274.6160.8+11.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)77.886.9164.6-9.138%
vs Similar (5)82.674.6157.2+8.080%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)85.675.6161.2+10.088%
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +5.0+5.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +5.0+5.0
ValenciaReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#17
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H25/04
ACB
Murcia
#12
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A30/04
ACB
Estudiantes
#18
D
52-52
52
52
+0
H02/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A09/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A19/05
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#14
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H22/05
ACB
Baskonia
#5
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H31/05
ACB
Baskonia
#5
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A02/06
ACB
Baskonia
#5
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H04/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A06/06
ACB
82.8Avg total
42.3Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.340.782.0+0.653%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.141.684.7+1.553%-
Last 30 away (15)39.539.779.2-0.353%-
Last 10 (10)42.340.582.8+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)39.040.679.6-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)37.539.577.0-2.025%-
vs Similar (11)39.737.877.5+1.964%-
vs Weaker (14)44.142.686.8+1.557%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
28-38
28
38
-10
H27/04
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H29/04
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
54-51
54
51
+3
A02/05
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A04/05
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H09/05
ACB
Bilbao
#17
W
45-24
45
24
+21
H20/05
ACB
Unicaja
#9
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A23/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
W
56-30
56
30
+26
H31/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A02/06
ACB
Valencia
#4
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H06/06
ACB
79.4Avg total
41.3Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.437.677.9+2.863%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.438.378.6+2.150%-
Last 30 away (16)40.436.977.3+3.475%-
Last 10 (10)41.338.179.4+3.270%-
Last 5 (5)45.433.278.6+12.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.440.577.9-3.138%-
vs Similar (5)40.436.877.2+3.660%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)41.836.478.2+5.476%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.021.3
59.2%
53.2%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.59.4
36.9%
36.5%28.2
🏀 Free throws15.812.4
78.5%
76.6%12.4
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.017.5
50.0%
53.2%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.711.7
36.9%
36.5%35.1
🏀 Free throws16.513.4
81.2%
76.6%13.4
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Jun 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
LWLWWLWWWW
Real Madrid
WWWWWLLWWW
#4
League position
#1
+5.7
Net rating
+8.7
113.8
Offensive rating
113.2
108.1
Defensive rating
104.5
57.6%
Effective FG%
52.5%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
16.4%
Turnover %
17.8%
24.5%
Off. rebound %
35.3%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.25
36.9%
3-point %
36.9%
61.9%
Assist %
58.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence113.8 · 113.2Defence108.1 · 104.5Shooting57.6% · 52.5%3-point %36.9% · 36.9%Ball care16.4% · 17.8%Off. rebounds24.5% · 35.3%Free throws0.26 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Valencia   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Valencia wins
6
Real Madrid wins
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/06/21AReal Madrid70-81
04/06/21HBaskonia78-73
02/06/21ABaskonia65-76
31/05/21HBaskonia87-86
22/05/21HFuenlabrada96-76
19/05/21AGran Canaria86-92
09/05/21AReal Madrid79-69
02/05/21HEstudiantes100-89
30/04/21AMurcia80-66
25/04/21HBilbao99-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/06/21HValencia81-70
02/06/21AGran Canaria81-75
31/05/21HGran Canaria103-79
23/05/21AUnicaja96-90
20/05/21HBilbao70-59
09/05/21HValencia69-79
04/05/21AAnadolu Efes83-88
02/05/21ABasket Zaragoza98-89
29/04/21HAnadolu Efes82-76
27/04/21HAnadolu Efes80-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
ACB 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL65%
HomeWWWWW70%
AwayWWLLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games402020
Win %65%70%60%
Points / game85.289.281.2
Allowed / game80.882.579.1
Point differential+4.3+6.6+2.1
Avg total166.0171.7160.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%45%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)67% (3)67% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Real Madrid
ACB 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW95%
HomeWLWWW90%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games392019
Win %95%90%100%
Points / game87.189.284.9
Allowed / game76.078.373.6
Point differential+11.1+10.8+11.3
Avg total163.1167.6158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%55%53%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)50% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid3937295%87.176.0+11.1
2 Barcelona4035588%87.972.7+15.2
3 Tenerife39291074%87.080.0+7.1
4 Valencia40261465%85.280.8+4.3
5 Baskonia39241562%81.778.1+3.7
6 San Pablo Burgos38221658%86.283.5+2.7
7 Joventut Badalona39211854%84.884.9-0.1
8 Gran Canaria38182047%81.283.9-2.7
9 Unicaja36171947%83.783.2+0.5
10 MoraBanc Andorra36171947%79.279.6-0.4
11 Manresa36171947%83.887.1-3.2
12 Murcia36162044%81.282.0-0.8
13 Basket Zaragoza36142239%86.988.6-1.7
14 Fuenlabrada36122433%81.183.9-2.8
15 Obradoiro CAB36122433%80.283.8-3.5
16 Real Betis36112531%77.484.2-6.8
17 Bilbao36102628%80.086.6-6.6
18 Estudiantes3692725%82.588.5-6.0
19 Gipuzkoa3672919%73.687.4-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia2420202185
Real Madrid1811191967
← all games of the day
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