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Valencia vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 22 May 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 90-105
28-26 28-36 17-24 17-19
Position#3
Record28-15
FormWWLWW
Points / game90.4
Allowed / game85.9
vs
Position#2
Record27-15
FormLWLLL
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game82.6
EuropeEuroleagueEuroleague - Semi-finals· Telekom Center Athens
European cup2025Neutral venue
Meetings · Valencia v Real Madrid
01 Apr 2027
VAL v MAD
upcoming
04 Jan 2027
VAL v MAD
upcoming
22 May 2026
VAL90
MAD105
25 Apr 2026
VAL82
MAD96
11 Nov 2025
VAL89
MAD76
25 Jun 2025
VAL70
MAD81
22 Dec 2024
VAL85
MAD84
10 May 2024
VAL99
MAD93
14 Nov 2023
VAL73
MAD76
12 May 2023
VAL68
MAD79
22 Nov 2022
VAL73
MAD80
10 Oct 2021
VAL79
MAD93
08 Jun 2021
VAL85
MAD67
19 Feb 2021
VAL89
MAD78
01 Nov 2020
VAL78
MAD86
05 Oct 2018
VAL70
MAD88
20 Mar 2018
VAL96
MAD88
15 Oct 2017
VAL82
MAD86
16 Jun 2017
VAL87
MAD76
14 Jun 2017
VAL81
MAD64
06 Oct 2016
VAL75
MAD94
09 Jun 2016
VAL80
MAD82
07 Jun 2016
VAL87
MAD86
28 Feb 2016
VAL94
MAD95
11 Jun 2015
VAL84
MAD90
09 Jun 2015
VAL100
MAD103
15 Feb 2015
VAL87
MAD99
22 Dec 2013
VAL75
MAD82
07 Apr 2013
VAL88
MAD79
11 Mar 2012
VAL83
MAD66
31 Mar 2011
VAL81
MAD72
29 Mar 2011
VAL66
MAD75
19 Feb 2011
VAL59
MAD52
13 Mar 2010
VAL67
MAD78
19 Nov 2008
VAL82
MAD66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Basquet Girona
#12
W
84-81
84
81
+3
75avg 87
A19/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
82-96
82
96
-14
69avg 87
H25/04
ACB
Panathinaikos
#7
L
67-68
67
68
-1
61avg 87
H28/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
L
105-107 OT
105
107
-2
106avg 87
H30/04
Euroleague
Manresa
#10
L
102-104
102
104
-2
97avg 87
A03/05
ACB
Panathinaikos
#7
W
91-87
91
87
+4
90avg 87
A06/05
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
W
89-86
89
86
+3
88avg 87
A08/05
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
L
86-88
86
88
-2
76avg 87
H10/05
ACB
Panathinaikos
#7
W
81-64
81
64
+17
78avg 87
H13/05
Euroleague
Bilbao
#7
W
88-83
88
83
+5
80avg 87
H17/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
25-21
21-19
18-22
19-22
22-23
22-30
19-21
15-23
17-16
17-15
18-14
23-24
25-25
23-25
24-21
22-18
34-30
26-30
20-26
24-18
28-21
23-27
16-21
26-15
18-22
16-19
29-30
26-23
15-18
17-22
28-25
14-10
21-13
21-27
25-14
21-9
26-20
15-31
26-23
173.9Avg total
87.5Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (43)90.485.9176.3+4.565%
Season at home (22)89.081.4170.4+7.577%
Season away (21)91.990.5182.4+1.452%
Last 10 (10)87.586.4173.9+1.150%
Last 5 (5)87.081.6168.6+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)87.684.4172.0+3.267%
vs Weaker (18)94.186.9181.1+7.267%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#8
L
90-95
90
95
-5
82avg 86
H19/04
ACB
Valencia
#1
W
96-82
96
82
+14
94avg 86
A25/04
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
86-82
86
82
+4
81avg 86
H29/04
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
102-75
102
75
+27
99avg 86
H01/05
Euroleague
Murcia
#4
W
131-123 OT
131
123
+8
125avg 86
H03/05
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
69-76
69
76
-7
60avg 86
A05/05
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
87-81
87
81
+6
91avg 86
A07/05
Euroleague
Breogan
#11
L
97-101
97
101
-4
90avg 86
H10/05
ACB
Bilbao
#7
L
82-88
82
88
-6
73avg 86
A14/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
81-89
81
89
-8
70avg 86
H17/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-26
20-19
19-23
30-27
22-19
23-22
30-22
21-19
27-18
21-15
22-22
16-27
24-21
16-21
33-20
29-13
25-29
25-34
31-29
33-22
21-18
15-16
10-21
23-21
23-21
23-15
17-17
24-28
18-15
28-28
21-28
30-30
22-24
22-16
22-20
16-28
20-15
20-23
22-21
19-30
181.3Avg total
92.1Scored
89.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)87.882.6170.4+5.164%
Season at home (21)92.679.9172.4+12.795%
Season away (21)83.085.4168.3-2.433%
Last 10 (10)92.189.2181.3+2.950%
Last 5 (5)83.287.0170.2-3.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)96.082.0178.0+14.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (11)91.484.8176.2+6.573%
vs Weaker (18)90.685.2175.8+5.467%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -0.4-0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -0.4-0.4
ValenciaReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basquet Girona
#12
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A19/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H25/04
ACB
Panathinaikos
#7
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H28/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H30/04
Euroleague
Manresa
#10
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A03/05
ACB
Panathinaikos
#7
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A06/05
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A08/05
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H10/05
ACB
Panathinaikos
#7
W
35-23
35
23
+12
H13/05
Euroleague
Bilbao
#7
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H17/05
ACB
83.1Avg total
44.1Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.741.887.5+3.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.440.285.6+5.253%-
Last 30 away (15)46.043.489.4+2.647%-
Last 10 (10)44.139.083.1+5.160%-
Last 5 (5)43.833.877.6+10.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)43.042.185.1+0.942%-
vs Weaker (18)47.541.689.1+5.956%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#8
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H19/04
ACB
Valencia
#1
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A25/04
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H29/04
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H01/05
Euroleague
Murcia
#4
L
50-63
50
63
-13
H03/05
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A05/05
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A07/05
Euroleague
Breogan
#11
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H10/05
ACB
Bilbao
#7
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A14/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H17/05
ACB
85.1Avg total
43.6Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.240.385.5+4.980%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.140.186.2+6.173%-
Last 30 away (15)44.340.584.7+3.887%-
Last 10 (10)43.641.585.1+2.170%-
Last 5 (5)42.438.280.6+4.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.041.086.0+4.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)45.841.487.2+4.573%-
vs Weaker (18)44.839.684.4+5.383%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 70.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws5.7 pts a game · 8% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers20.616.4
79.6%
60.4%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.010.6
32.1%
35.9%31.8
🏀 Free throws8.55.7
67.1%
78.2%5.7
They take 53.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 62% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.518.4
66.9%
60.4%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.29.9
33.9%
35.9%29.7
🏀 Free throws16.212.5
77.2%
78.2%12.5
They take 56.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WWLWWLLLLW
Real Madrid
LLLWLWWWWL
#3
League position
#2
-1.5
Net rating
-0.1
64.2
Offensive rating
77.0
65.6
Defensive rating
77.2
60.3%
Effective FG%
58.6%
59.0%
Opp. effective FG%
58.0%
16.8%
Turnover %
14.8%
0.16
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.1%
3-point %
33.9%
72.6%
Assist %
67.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence64.2 · 77.0Defence65.6 · 77.2Shooting60.3% · 58.6%3-point %32.1% · 33.9%Ball care16.8% · 14.8%Free throws0.16 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Valencia   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Valencia wins
7
Real Madrid wins
DateGameScore
25/04/26Valencia v Real Madrid82-96
12/03/26Real Madrid v Valencia96-79
18/01/26Real Madrid v Valencia94-79
11/11/25Valencia v Real Madrid89-76
28/09/25Real Madrid v Valencia94-98
25/06/25Valencia v Real Madrid70-81
22/06/25Real Madrid v Valencia102-96 OT
20/06/25Real Madrid v Valencia89-75
04/05/25Real Madrid v Valencia96-89
22/12/24Valencia v Real Madrid85-84
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/05/26HBilbao88-83
13/05/26HPanathinaikos81-64
10/05/26HBaskonia86-88
08/05/26APanathinaikos89-86
06/05/26APanathinaikos91-87
03/05/26AManresa102-104
30/04/26HPanathinaikos105-107 OT
28/04/26HPanathinaikos67-68
25/04/26HReal Madrid82-96
19/04/26ABasquet Girona84-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/05/26HJoventut Badalona81-89
14/05/26ABilbao82-88
10/05/26HBreogan97-101
07/05/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv87-81
05/05/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv69-76
03/05/26HMurcia131-123 OT
01/05/26HHapoel Tel-Aviv102-75
29/04/26HHapoel Tel-Aviv86-82
25/04/26AValencia96-82
19/04/26HTenerife90-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW65%
HomeWWLLW77%
AwayLWWWW52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games432221
Win %65%77%52%
Points / game90.489.091.9
Allowed / game85.981.490.5
Point differential+4.5+7.5+1.4
Avg total176.3170.4182.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%50%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (16)57% (7)56% (9)
Overtime %7%5%10%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW64%
HomeWWWWW95%
AwayLLWLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422121
Win %64%95%33%
Points / game87.892.683.0
Allowed / game82.679.985.4
Point differential+5.1+12.7-2.4
Avg total170.4172.4168.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%62%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)100% (3)38% (8)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos42301271%90.582.4+8.1
2 Valencia43281565%90.485.9+4.5
3 Real Madrid42271564%87.882.6+5.1
4 Fenerbahce43271663%81.980.5+1.4
5 Zalgiris Kaunas42241857%87.083.2+3.8
6 Hapoel Tel-Aviv42241857%87.385.4+1.9
7 Panathinaikos44251957%86.785.0+1.7
8 Barcelona40221855%84.383.5+0.8
9 Crvena zvezda39211854%87.286.1+1.1
10 Monaco43232053%88.787.2+1.5
11 Dubai38191950%88.188.0+0.1
12 Maccabi Tel Aviv38182047%90.192.7-2.5
13 Olimpia Milano38172145%86.187.2-1.2
14 Bayern38172145%80.883.7-2.9
15 Partizan38162242%81.686.6-4.9
16 Paris38152339%90.190.9-0.9
17 Virtus Bologna38142437%81.886.4-4.6
18 Baskonia38132534%88.393.1-4.7
19 Anadolu Efes38122632%80.184.3-4.2
20 Lyon-Villeurbanne3883021%79.386.6-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia2828171790
Real Madrid26362419105
← all games of the day
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