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San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Apr 2019
Tip-off: 21:30
Final 103-117
34-22 20-32 25-37 24-26
Position#11
Record50-35
FormWWWLW
Points / game111.5
Allowed / game109.8
vs
Position#4
Record55-30
FormLWLWL
Points / game110.5
Allowed / game106.8
USANBA· AT&T Center
NBA2018-19
Meetings · San Antonio Spurs v Denver Nuggets
28 Feb 2027
SAS v DEN
upcoming
12 Apr 2026
SAS118
DEN128
12 Mar 2026
SAS131
DEN136
04 Jan 2025
SAS111
DEN122
12 Apr 2024
SAS121
DEN120
15 Mar 2024
SAS106
DEN117
10 Mar 2023
SAS128
DEN120
07 Nov 2022
SAS109
DEN115
11 Dec 2021
SAS112
DEN127
09 Dec 2021
SAS123
DEN111
29 Jan 2021
SAS119
DEN109
05 Aug 2020
SAS126
DEN132
25 Apr 2019
SAS120
DEN103
20 Apr 2019
SAS103
DEN117
18 Apr 2019
SAS118
DEN108
04 Mar 2019
SAS104
DEN103
26 Dec 2018
SAS111
DEN103
30 Jan 2018
SAS106
DEN104
13 Jan 2018
SAS112
DEN80
04 Feb 2017
SAS121
DEN97
19 Jan 2017
SAS118
DEN104
26 Dec 2015
SAS101
DEN86
18 Nov 2015
SAS109
DEN98
03 Apr 2015
SAS123
DEN93
06 Mar 2015
SAS120
DEN111
26 Mar 2014
SAS108
DEN103
27 Mar 2013
SAS100
DEN99
17 Nov 2012
SAS126
DEN100
04 Mar 2012
SAS94
DEN99
07 Jan 2012
SAS121
DEN117
16 Jan 2011
SAS110
DEN97
22 Dec 2010
SAS109
DEN103
31 Jan 2010
SAS89
DEN103
05 Dec 2009
SAS99
DEN106
19 Nov 2008
SAS81
DEN91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Antonio Spurs winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSpurs
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
116-110
116
110
+6
108avg 104
H29/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
L
106-113
106
113
-7
no box
H31/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
117-111
117
111
+6
115avg 104
H03/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
L
85-113
85
113
-28
67avg 104
A04/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
W
129-112
129
112
+17
no box
A05/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
112-90
112
90
+22
113avg 104
A07/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
105-94
105
94
+11
no box
H11/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
W
101-96
101
96
+5
no box
A14/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
L
105-114
105
114
-9
98avg 104
A17/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
W
118-108
118
108
+10
109avg 104
H19/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-28
17-25
40-28
32-29
30-28
27-30
30-31
19-24
33-31
25-25
28-34
31-21
24-28
19-33
21-25
21-27
37-32
40-26
28-30
24-24
24-24
38-22
17-17
33-27
30-16
27-21
23-28
25-29
25-20
34-31
13-17
29-28
26-21
33-28
23-26
23-39
31-22
30-36
27-26
30-24
215.5Avg total
109.4Scored
106.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (85)111.5109.8221.4+1.759%
Season at home (42)112.9106.0218.9+6.979%
Season away (43)110.2113.6223.7-3.440%
Last 10 (10)109.4106.1215.5+3.370%
Last 5 (5)108.2100.4208.6+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)112.8120.0232.8-7.250%
vs Similar ◀ (18)106.3107.7214.1-1.450%
vs Weaker (8)115.0105.9220.9+9.188%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#25
L
90-95
90
95
-5
no box
H01/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
102-116
102
116
-14
83avg 105
A03/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
W
113-85
113
85
+28
121avg 105
H04/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
119-110
119
110
+9
no box
H06/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
108-115
108
115
-7
92avg 105
A08/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
108-118
108
118
-10
92avg 105
A10/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
99-95
99
95
+4
no box
H11/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
L
96-101
96
101
-5
no box
H14/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
W
114-105
114
105
+9
106avg 105
H17/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
L
108-118
108
118
-10
105avg 105
A19/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-23
28-30
10-22
18-20
24-30
19-29
21-27
38-30
28-24
33-19
25-21
27-21
22-29
34-21
28-37
35-23
25-29
24-31
32-26
27-29
21-27
38-33
27-31
22-27
22-21
29-29
22-29
26-16
20-25
31-34
17-13
28-29
21-26
28-33
26-23
39-23
22-31
36-30
26-27
24-30
211.5Avg total
105.7Scored
105.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (85)110.5106.8217.3+3.765%
Season at home (43)113.7103.6217.3+10.181%
Season away (42)107.2110.0217.3-2.848%
Last 10 (10)105.7105.8211.5-0.140%
Last 5 (5)105.0107.4212.4-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (19)106.9107.7214.6-0.847%
vs Weaker (11)109.3102.7212.0+6.582%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +3.6+3.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +3.6+3.6
San Antonio SpursDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H29/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
L
57-58
57
58
-1
H31/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
58-56
58
56
+2
H03/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
L
43-61
43
61
-18
A04/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
W
77-58
77
58
+19
A05/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
62-46
62
46
+16
A07/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
57-37
57
37
+20
H11/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
W
59-51
59
51
+8
A14/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
W
59-49
59
49
+10
A17/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
W
61-58
61
58
+3
H19/04
NBA
110.4Avg total
57.7Scored
52.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.254.8110.0+0.453%-
Last 30 at home (13)55.552.4107.8+3.162%-
Last 30 away (17)54.956.6111.6-1.747%-
Last 10 (10)57.752.7110.4+5.070%-
Last 5 (5)59.648.2107.8+11.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)55.057.0112.0-2.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)54.254.8108.9-0.656%-
vs Weaker (8)57.553.8111.2+3.850%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#25
W
62-53
62
53
+9
H01/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
43-59
43
59
-16
A03/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
W
61-43
61
43
+18
H04/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
56-50
56
50
+6
H06/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
49-60
49
60
-11
A08/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
59-60
59
60
-1
A10/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H11/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
L
51-59
51
59
-8
H14/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
L
49-59
49
59
-10
H17/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
L
58-61
58
61
-3
A19/04
NBA
109.3Avg total
53.9Scored
55.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.155.0110.1+0.153%-
Last 30 at home (16)56.953.9110.8+3.062%-
Last 30 away (14)53.156.3109.4-3.243%-
Last 10 (10)53.955.4109.3-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)53.657.8111.4-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (19)52.756.4109.1-3.737%-
vs Weaker (11)59.352.5111.8+6.782%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 109.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers66.2 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.033.1
53.4%
51.7%66.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.98.7
36.4%
35.4%26.1
🏀 Free throws21.516.7
77.7%
76.6%16.7
They take 85.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 105.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.030.6
51.9%
51.7%61.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.89.9
33.2%
35.4%29.7
🏀 Free throws21.614.8
68.5%
76.6%14.8
They take 88.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Apr 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
San Antonio Spurs
WLWWWWLWLW
Denver Nuggets
LWLWLLWWLL
#11
League position
#4
+3.4
Net rating
+0.7
112.4
Offensive rating
107.6
109.0
Defensive rating
106.8
53.7%
Effective FG%
51.2%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
11.7%
Turnover %
10.8%
24.0%
Off. rebound %
21.8%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.24
36.4%
3-point %
33.2%
56.5%
Assist %
65.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence112.4 · 107.6Defence109.0 · 106.8Shooting53.7% · 51.2%3-point %36.4% · 33.2%Ball care11.7% · 10.8%Off. rebounds24.0% · 21.8%Free throws0.25 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ San Antonio Spurs   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/19HDenver Nuggets118-108
17/04/19ADenver Nuggets105-114
14/04/19ADenver Nuggets101-96
11/04/19HDallas Mavericks105-94
07/04/19ACleveland Cavaliers112-90
05/04/19AWashington Wizards129-112
04/04/19ADenver Nuggets85-113
03/04/19HAtlanta Hawks117-111
31/03/19HSacramento Kings106-113
29/03/19HCleveland Cavaliers116-110
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/19ASan Antonio Spurs108-118
17/04/19HSan Antonio Spurs114-105
14/04/19HSan Antonio Spurs96-101
11/04/19HMinnesota Timberwolves99-95
10/04/19AUtah Jazz108-118
08/04/19APortland Trail Blazers108-115
06/04/19HPortland Trail Blazers119-110
04/04/19HSan Antonio Spurs113-85
03/04/19AGolden State Warriors102-116
01/04/19HWashington Wizards90-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW59%
HomeWLWWW79%
AwayLWWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games854243
Win %59%79%40%
Points / game111.5112.9110.2
Allowed / game109.8106.0113.6
Point differential+1.7+6.9-3.4
Avg total221.4218.9223.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%40%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (22)73% (11)55% (11)
Overtime %5%5%5%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL65%
HomeWWWLW81%
AwayWLLLL48%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games854342
Win %65%81%48%
Points / game110.5113.7107.2
Allowed / game106.8103.6110.0
Point differential+3.7+10.1-2.8
Avg total217.3217.3217.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%42%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won76% (25)75% (12)77% (13)
Overtime %2%0%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks84622274%118.2108.9+9.3
2 Toronto Raptors85602571%114.0107.8+6.2
3 Golden State Warriors85592669%118.0111.3+6.7
4 Houston Rockets84552965%114.1108.8+5.3
5 Portland Trail Blazers85553065%114.4110.2+4.2
6 Denver Nuggets85553065%110.5106.8+3.7
7 Philadelphia 76ers86543263%115.5112.6+3.0
8 Boston Celtics85523361%111.8107.2+4.6
9 Utah Jazz84503460%111.3106.8+4.5
10 Oklahoma City Thunder85503559%114.1111.0+3.1
11 San Antonio Spurs85503559%111.5109.8+1.7
12 Los Angeles Clippers85493658%115.1114.8+0.4
13 Indiana Pacers85483756%107.3104.4+2.9
14 Orlando Magic85434251%106.8106.5+0.3
15 Brooklyn Nets86434350%112.3112.8-0.5
16 Detroit Pistons84414349%106.7107.6-0.9
17 Miami Heat82394348%105.7105.9-0.2
18 Charlotte Hornets82394348%110.7111.8-1.1
19 Sacramento Kings82394348%114.2115.3-1.1
20 Los Angeles Lakers82374545%111.8113.5-1.7
21 Minnesota Timberwolves82364644%112.5114.0-1.5
22 Dallas Mavericks82334940%108.9110.1-1.3
23 New Orleans Pelicans82334940%115.4116.8-1.3
24 Memphis Grizzlies82334940%103.5106.1-2.6
25 Washington Wizards82325039%114.0116.9-2.9
26 Atlanta Hawks82295335%113.3119.4-6.0
27 Chicago Bulls82226027%104.9113.4-8.4
28 Phoenix Suns82196323%107.5116.8-9.3
29 Cleveland Cavaliers82196323%104.5114.1-9.6
30 New York Knicks82176521%104.6113.8-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
San Antonio Spurs34202524103
Denver Nuggets22323726117
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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