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Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 11 Apr 2019
Tip-off: 02:30
Final 99-95
22-21 29-29 22-29 26-16
Position#4
Record53-28
FormLWWLL
Points / game110.8
Allowed / game106.9
vs
Position#21
Record36-45
FormLWWLL
Points / game112.7
Allowed / game114.2
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Minnesota Timberwolves
07 Mar 2027
DEN v MIN
upcoming
28 Dec 2026
DEN v MIN
upcoming
27 Apr 2026
DEN125
MIN113
20 Apr 2026
DEN114
MIN119
18 Apr 2026
DEN116
MIN105
01 Mar 2026
DEN108
MIN117
25 Dec 2025
DEN142
MIN138
01 Apr 2025
DEN139
MIN140
12 Mar 2025
DEN95
MIN115
19 May 2024
DEN90
MIN98
14 May 2024
DEN112
MIN97
06 May 2024
DEN80
MIN106
04 May 2024
DEN99
MIN106
10 Apr 2024
DEN116
MIN107
29 Mar 2024
DEN98
MIN111
25 Apr 2023
DEN112
MIN109
19 Apr 2023
DEN122
MIN113
16 Apr 2023
DEN109
MIN80
07 Feb 2023
DEN146
MIN112
18 Jan 2023
DEN122
MIN118
01 Apr 2022
DEN130
MIN136
15 Dec 2021
DEN107
MIN124
05 Jan 2021
DEN123
MIN116
23 Feb 2020
DEN128
MIN116
20 Dec 2019
DEN109
MIN100
10 Apr 2019
DEN99
MIN95
12 Mar 2019
DEN133
MIN107
05 Apr 2018
DEN100
MIN96
20 Dec 2017
DEN104
MIN112
15 Feb 2017
DEN99
MIN112
28 Dec 2016
DEN105
MIN103
11 Dec 2015
DEN111
MIN108
30 Oct 2015
DEN78
MIN95
17 Jan 2015
DEN105
MIN113
26 Dec 2014
DEN106
MIN102
03 Mar 2014
DEN128
MIN132
15 Nov 2013
DEN117
MIN113
09 Mar 2013
DEN111
MIN88
03 Jan 2013
DEN97
MIN101
11 Apr 2012
DEN113
MIN107
20 Feb 2012
DEN103
MIN101
09 Apr 2011
DEN130
MIN106
18 Dec 2010
DEN115
MIN113
11 Jan 2010
DEN105
MIN94
29 Nov 2009
DEN100
MIN106
10 Dec 2008
DEN116
MIN105
16 Nov 2008
DEN90
MIN84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
88-124
88
124
-36
71avg 105
A24/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
95-92
95
92
+3
no box
H27/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
85-112
85
112
-27
73avg 105
A29/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
115-105
115
105
+10
115avg 105
A30/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
L
90-95
90
95
-5
no box
H01/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
102-116
102
116
-14
83avg 105
A03/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
W
113-85
113
85
+28
121avg 105
H04/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
119-110
119
110
+9
no box
H06/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
108-115
108
115
-7
92avg 105
A08/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
108-118
108
118
-10
92avg 105
A10/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-27
23-35
21-30
21-32
27-9
39-30
15-23
14-30
25-22
19-40
21-25
20-25
33-29
23-23
30-23
29-30
34-23
28-30
10-22
18-20
24-30
19-29
21-27
38-30
28-24
33-19
25-21
27-21
22-29
34-21
28-37
35-23
25-29
24-31
32-26
27-29
21-27
38-33
27-31
22-27
209.5Avg total
102.3Scored
107.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (81)110.8106.9217.7+4.065%
Season at home (40)114.5103.8218.3+10.782%
Season away (41)107.2109.8217.0-2.649%
Last 10 (10)102.3107.2209.5-4.940%
Last 5 (5)110.0108.8218.8+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)107.2108.2215.4-0.947%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)111.0108.1219.1+2.969%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#18
L
106-113
106
113
-7
no box
A21/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
112-99
112
99
+13
112avg 102
A24/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
L
111-122
111
122
-11
no box
H27/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
131-130 OT
131
130
+1
121avg 102
H30/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
L
109-118
109
118
-9
no box
H31/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
122-132
122
132
-10
112avg 102
H02/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
110-108
110
108
+2
102avg 102
A04/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
111-109
111
109
+2
no box
H06/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
126-132
126
132
-6
119avg 102
H07/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
100-120
100
120
-20
86avg 102
H10/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
26-29
27-27
28-32
25-25
24-25
35-18
28-31
23-42
32-33
30-25
26-22
27-32
27-36
32-18
29-29
20-38
35-30
26-24
28-26
23-38
41-37
36-22
22-35
32-27
26-31
31-21
21-29
36-35
25-34
29-22
21-18
31-38
29-24
37-33
29-37
28-26
19-43
31-29
22-22
232.1Avg total
113.8Scored
118.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (81)112.7114.2226.9-1.544%
Season at home (41)114.6111.8226.4+2.961%
Season away (40)110.7116.6227.3-5.928%
Last 10 (10)113.8118.3232.1-4.540%
Last 5 (5)113.8120.2234.0-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)114.6122.8237.4-8.121%
vs Similar (13)115.2117.2232.4-2.146%
vs Weaker (3)113.7109.0222.7+4.767%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -5.6-5.6Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: +7.5+7.5Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -2.7-2.7
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -5.6-5.6Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: +7.5+7.5Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -2.7-2.7
Denver NuggetsMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
46-62
46
62
-16
A24/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
66-39
66
39
+27
H27/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
44-62
44
62
-18
A29/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
56-52
56
52
+4
A30/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
W
62-53
62
53
+9
H01/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
43-59
43
59
-16
A03/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
W
61-43
61
43
+18
H04/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
56-50
56
50
+6
H06/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
49-60
49
60
-11
A08/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
59-60
59
60
-1
A10/04
NBA
108.2Avg total
54.2Scored
54.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.956.0111.9-0.250%-
Last 30 at home (13)58.453.4111.8+5.069%-
Last 30 away (17)53.958.1112.0-4.135%-
Last 10 (10)54.254.0108.2+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)53.654.4108.0-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)52.955.8108.7-2.941%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)59.856.3116.1+3.562%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#18
L
51-54
51
54
-3
A21/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A24/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
L
55-75
55
75
-20
H27/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
54-68
54
68
-14
H30/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
L
55-68
55
68
-13
H31/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
64-75
64
75
-11
H02/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
D
58-58
58
58
+0
A04/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
61-69
61
69
-8
H06/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
60-62
60
62
-2
H07/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
47-69
47
69
-22
H10/04
NBA
120.2Avg total
55.4Scored
64.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.261.7119.9-3.533%-
Last 30 at home (15)58.163.0121.1-4.933%-
Last 30 away (15)58.460.4118.8-2.033%-
Last 10 (10)55.464.8120.2-9.40%-
Last 5 (5)58.066.6124.6-8.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)56.963.0119.9-6.121%-
vs Similar (13)58.662.0120.6-3.431%-
vs Weaker (3)63.054.3117.3+8.7100%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 102.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.6 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.530.3
50.9%
51.7%60.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.79.0
30.3%
35.4%27.0
🏀 Free throws19.414.7
75.8%
76.6%14.7
They take 89.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 113.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.831.1
51.2%
51.7%62.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.010.8
37.2%
35.4%32.4
🏀 Free throws24.519.0
77.6%
76.6%19.0
They take 89.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Apr 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LLWWLLWLWL
Minnesota Timberwolves
LLWWLLWLWL
#4
League position
#21
-4.3
Net rating
-3.9
103.1
Offensive rating
108.6
107.4
Defensive rating
112.5
49.1%
Effective FG%
52.7%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
12.3%
Turnover %
12.1%
21.8%
Off. rebound %
18.8%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.27
30.3%
3-point %
37.2%
64.1%
Assist %
60.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence103.1 · 108.6Defence107.4 · 112.5Shooting49.1% · 52.7%3-point %30.3% · 37.2%Ball care12.3% · 12.1%Off. rebounds21.8% · 18.8%Free throws0.22 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
10/04/19AUtah Jazz108-118
08/04/19APortland Trail Blazers108-115
06/04/19HPortland Trail Blazers119-110
04/04/19HSan Antonio Spurs113-85
03/04/19AGolden State Warriors102-116
01/04/19HWashington Wizards90-95
30/03/19AOklahoma City Thunder115-105
29/03/19AHouston Rockets85-112
27/03/19HDetroit Pistons95-92
24/03/19AIndiana Pacers88-124
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/04/19HToronto Raptors100-120
07/04/19HOklahoma City Thunder126-132
06/04/19HMiami Heat111-109
04/04/19ADallas Mavericks110-108
02/04/19HPortland Trail Blazers122-132
31/03/19HPhiladelphia 76ers109-118
30/03/19HGolden State Warriors131-130 OT
27/03/19HLos Angeles Clippers111-122
24/03/19AMemphis Grizzlies112-99
21/03/19ACharlotte Hornets106-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL65%
HomeWWLWW82%
AwayLWLLL49%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games814041
Win %65%82%49%
Points / game110.8114.5107.2
Allowed / game106.9103.8109.8
Point differential+4.0+10.7-2.6
Avg total217.7218.3217.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%45%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (23)80% (10)77% (13)
Overtime %2%0%5%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL44%
HomeLLWLL61%
AwayLLLWW28%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games814140
Win %44%61%28%
Points / game112.7114.6110.7
Allowed / game114.2111.8116.6
Point differential-1.5+2.9-5.9
Avg total226.9226.4227.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%32%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (22)62% (13)33% (9)
Overtime %7%12%2%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks82602273%118.1109.3+8.9
2 Toronto Raptors82582471%114.4108.4+6.1
3 Golden State Warriors82572570%117.7111.2+6.5
4 Denver Nuggets81532865%110.8106.9+4.0
5 Houston Rockets82532965%113.9109.1+4.8
6 Portland Trail Blazers81522964%114.4110.2+4.2
7 Philadelphia 76ers82513162%115.2112.5+2.7
8 Utah Jazz81503162%111.4106.0+5.4
9 Boston Celtics82493360%112.4108.0+4.4
10 Oklahoma City Thunder82493360%114.5111.1+3.4
11 Indiana Pacers82483459%108.0104.7+3.3
12 San Antonio Spurs82483459%111.7110.0+1.7
13 Los Angeles Clippers81473458%114.8114.0+0.8
14 Orlando Magic82424051%107.3106.6+0.7
15 Brooklyn Nets82424051%112.2112.3-0.1
16 Detroit Pistons82414150%107.0107.3-0.2
17 Sacramento Kings81394248%114.0115.0-1.1
18 Miami Heat82394348%105.7105.9-0.2
19 Charlotte Hornets82394348%110.7111.8-1.1
20 Los Angeles Lakers82374545%111.8113.5-1.7
21 Minnesota Timberwolves81364544%112.7114.2-1.5
22 Dallas Mavericks82334940%108.9110.1-1.3
23 New Orleans Pelicans82334940%115.4116.8-1.3
24 Memphis Grizzlies82334940%103.5106.1-2.6
25 Washington Wizards82325039%114.0116.9-2.9
26 Atlanta Hawks82295335%113.3119.4-6.0
27 Chicago Bulls82226027%104.9113.4-8.4
28 Phoenix Suns82196323%107.5116.8-9.3
29 Cleveland Cavaliers82196323%104.5114.1-9.6
30 New York Knicks82176521%104.6113.8-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets2229222699
Minnesota Timberwolves2129291695
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