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Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 18 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 105-114
22-29 28-33 27-27 28-25
Position#11
Record39-27
FormWWWWW
Points / game113.9
Allowed / game111.2
vs
Position#9
Record43-25
FormLWLWL
Points / game121.2
Allowed / game116.9
USANBA· Chase Center
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Golden State Warriors v Denver Nuggets
25 Dec 2026
GSW v DEN
upcoming
22 Feb 2026
GSW128
DEN117
23 Oct 2025
GSW137
DEN131
04 Apr 2025
GSW118
DEN104
17 Mar 2025
GSW105
DEN114
25 Feb 2024
GSW103
DEN119
04 Jan 2024
GSW127
DEN130
21 Oct 2022
GSW123
DEN128
27 Apr 2022
GSW102
DEN98
18 Apr 2022
GSW126
DEN106
16 Apr 2022
GSW123
DEN107
16 Feb 2022
GSW116
DEN117
28 Dec 2021
GSW86
DEN89
23 Apr 2021
GSW118
DEN97
12 Apr 2021
GSW116
DEN107
12 Dec 2020
GSW107
DEN105
31 Mar 2020
GSW v DEN
upcoming
16 Jan 2020
GSW131
DEN134
02 Apr 2019
GSW116
DEN102
08 Mar 2019
GSW122
DEN105
08 Jan 2018
GSW124
DEN114
23 Dec 2017
GSW81
DEN96
02 Jan 2017
GSW127
DEN119
02 Jan 2016
GSW111
DEN108
06 Nov 2015
GSW119
DEN104
15 Apr 2015
GSW133
DEN126
19 Jan 2015
GSW122
DEN79
10 Apr 2014
GSW99
DEN100
15 Jan 2014
GSW116
DEN123
02 May 2013
GSW92
DEN88
28 Apr 2013
GSW115
DEN101
26 Apr 2013
GSW110
DEN108
29 Nov 2012
GSW106
DEN105
10 Nov 2012
GSW101
DEN107
07 Apr 2012
GSW112
DEN97
09 Feb 2011
GSW116
DEN114
22 Nov 2010
GSW89
DEN106
25 Feb 2010
GSW112
DEN127
20 Jan 2010
GSW118
DEN123
05 Nov 2008
GSW111
DEN101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Golden State Warriors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
128-92
128
92
+36
128avg 109
H26/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
W
121-115
121
115
+6
116avg 109
A28/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
L
119-126
119
126
-7
113avg 109
A02/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
119-101
119
101
+18
117avg 109
A04/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
W
114-102
114
102
+12
111avg 109
A05/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
121-119
121
119
+2
123avg 109
A07/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
115-110
115
110
+5
108avg 109
H09/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
130-120
130
120
+10
132avg 109
H11/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
130-104
130
104
+26
137avg 109
H14/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
W
97-94
97
94
+3
90avg 109
H16/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-18
28-23
41-24
31-27
23-34
29-32
40-21
29-28
30-30
25-37
35-29
29-30
28-21
30-28
28-28
33-24
25-26
22-29
35-26
32-21
15-35
40-25
31-29
35-30
22-20
29-34
33-33
31-23
35-27
33-22
34-43
28-28
30-18
31-33
35-32
34-21
32-31
22-19
21-22
22-22
227.7Avg total
119.4Scored
108.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (66)113.9111.2225.1+2.759%
Season at home (34)113.0110.4223.4+2.662%
Season away (32)114.9112.2227.0+2.756%
Last 10 (10)119.4108.3227.7+11.190%
Last 5 (5)118.6109.4228.0+9.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)100.5117.0217.5-16.550%
vs Similar ◀ (16)114.1108.6222.7+5.469%
vs Weaker (12)120.8113.1233.9+7.867%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
L
112-121
112
121
-9
104avg 114
A28/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
134-119
134
119
+15
135avg 114
A01/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
103-110
103
110
-7
96avg 114
A02/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
116-110
116
110
+6
111avg 114
H06/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
W
149-141 OT
149
141
+8
153avg 114
H08/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
103-127
103
127
-24
87avg 114
A09/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
140-127
140
127
+13
144avg 114
A11/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
95-115
95
115
-20
80avg 114
H13/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
131-126
131
126
+5
126avg 114
H15/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
L
123-126
123
126
-3
124avg 114
H16/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-30
27-24
24-30
31-37
39-31
29-32
39-24
27-32
20-32
28-29
29-22
26-27
29-42
26-23
29-28
32-17
37-28
31-28
34-35
23-34
29-28
31-33
23-25
20-41
34-32
33-41
34-26
39-28
26-34
22-23
27-32
20-26
32-40
39-27
31-32
29-27
44-30
28-33
23-32
28-31
242.8Avg total
120.6Scored
122.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (68)121.2116.9238.1+4.463%
Season at home (34)122.8116.9239.7+6.068%
Season away (34)119.6116.9236.6+2.759%
Last 10 (10)120.6122.2242.8-1.650%
Last 5 (5)118.4124.2242.6-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)115.3121.3236.7-6.033%
vs Similar ◀ (15)116.3115.9232.2+0.560%
vs Weaker (12)131.6119.4251.0+12.283%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +5.0+5.0Q4: -2.5-2.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +5.0+5.0Q4: -2.5-2.5
Golden State WarriorsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H26/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
L
52-66
52
66
-14
A28/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
L
55-67
55
67
-12
A02/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
58-49
58
49
+9
A04/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
L
47-55
47
55
-8
A05/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
L
55-60
55
60
-5
A07/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
51-54
51
54
-3
H09/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
68-49
68
49
+19
H11/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
61-51
61
51
+10
H14/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
W
54-50
54
50
+4
H16/03
NBA
109.9Avg total
55.7Scored
54.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.254.4109.6+0.843%-
Last 30 at home (14)54.952.9107.7+2.043%-
Last 30 away (16)55.555.8111.2-0.244%-
Last 10 (10)55.754.2109.9+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)57.852.8110.6+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)43.556.099.5-12.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)55.352.5107.8+2.850%-
vs Weaker (12)57.056.7113.7+0.342%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
W
57-54
57
54
+3
A28/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
68-63
68
63
+5
A01/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
48-61
48
61
-13
A02/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
L
55-65
55
65
-10
H06/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
W
68-56
68
56
+12
H08/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
60-61
60
61
-1
A09/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
67-73
67
73
-6
A11/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
48-57
48
57
-9
H13/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H15/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
72-63
72
63
+9
H16/03
NBA
123.4Avg total
61.4Scored
62.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)63.459.3122.7+4.067%-
Last 30 at home (15)64.959.7124.6+5.167%-
Last 30 away (15)61.958.9120.8+2.967%-
Last 10 (10)61.462.0123.4-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)63.664.2127.8-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)58.365.0123.3-6.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)60.358.7119.0+1.560%-
vs Weaker (12)68.558.7127.2+9.892%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 119.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers47.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.425.5
55.0%
54.3%51.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.015.7
38.3%
35.9%47.1
🏀 Free throws25.421.3
83.9%
77.8%21.3
They take 87.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 120.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.931.9
56.1%
54.3%63.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.213.3
38.9%
35.9%39.9
🏀 Free throws22.016.9
76.8%
77.8%16.9
They take 91.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Golden State Warriors
WWWWWWWLWW
Denver Nuggets
LWLWLWWLWL
#11
League position
#9
+11.1
Net rating
-1.6
119.1
Offensive rating
117.6
108.0
Defensive rating
119.2
56.1%
Effective FG%
56.9%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
56.0%
13.1%
Turnover %
12.0%
28.3%
Off. rebound %
24.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.24
38.3%
3-point %
38.9%
75.7%
Assist %
66.4%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence119.1 · 117.6Defence108.0 · 119.2Shooting56.1% · 56.9%3-point %38.3% · 38.9%Ball care13.1% · 12.0%Off. rebounds28.3% · 24.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Golden State Warriors   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/25HNew York Knicks97-94
14/03/25HSacramento Kings130-104
11/03/25HPortland Trail Blazers130-120
09/03/25HDetroit Pistons115-110
07/03/25ABrooklyn Nets121-119
05/03/25ANew York Knicks114-102
04/03/25ACharlotte Hornets119-101
02/03/25APhiladelphia 76ers119-126
28/02/25AOrlando Magic121-115
26/02/25HCharlotte Hornets128-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/25HWashington Wizards123-126
15/03/25HLos Angeles Lakers131-126
13/03/25HMinnesota Timberwolves95-115
11/03/25AOklahoma City Thunder140-127
09/03/25AOklahoma City Thunder103-127
08/03/25HPhoenix Suns149-141 OT
06/03/25HSacramento Kings116-110
02/03/25ABoston Celtics103-110
01/03/25ADetroit Pistons134-119
28/02/25AMilwaukee Bucks112-121

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Golden State Warriors
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW59%
HomeWWWWW62%
AwayWLWWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games663432
Win %59%62%56%
Points / game113.9113.0114.9
Allowed / game111.2110.4112.2
Point differential+2.7+2.6+2.7
Avg total225.1223.4227.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%29%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won59% (17)75% (8)44% (9)
Overtime %2%0%3%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL63%
HomeWWLWL68%
AwayLWLLW59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games683434
Win %63%68%59%
Points / game121.2122.8119.6
Allowed / game116.9116.9116.9
Point differential+4.4+6.0+2.7
Avg total238.1239.7236.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%44%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won61% (18)56% (9)67% (9)
Overtime %7%3%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers67561184%122.5111.5+11.0
2 Oklahoma City Thunder66541282%119.7107.3+12.4
3 Boston Celtics68491972%116.6108.2+8.4
4 New York Knicks66432365%117.0112.2+4.7
5 Houston Rockets67432464%114.3109.4+4.9
6 Memphis Grizzlies68432563%122.7116.6+6.1
7 Denver Nuggets68432563%121.2116.9+4.4
8 Los Angeles Lakers66412562%112.9111.4+1.4
9 Golden State Warriors66392759%113.9111.2+2.7
10 Minnesota Timberwolves70403057%113.4109.3+4.1
11 Indiana Pacers67382957%116.6115.5+1.0
12 Los Angeles Clippers68383056%111.4108.4+3.0
13 Milwaukee Bucks65362955%114.9112.9+2.0
14 Detroit Pistons69383155%115.0112.7+2.3
15 Sacramento Kings66333350%116.3115.5+0.8
16 Dallas Mavericks68333549%114.9115.1-0.2
17 Orlando Magic68323647%104.5105.9-1.4
18 Atlanta Hawks66313547%117.4120.1-2.7
19 Phoenix Suns68313746%114.2116.1-2.0
20 Miami Heat68293943%109.1110.8-1.7
21 Chicago Bulls68293943%116.5119.8-3.3
22 Portland Trail Blazers68293943%110.6114.5-3.9
23 San Antonio Spurs66283842%114.2116.5-2.3
24 Toronto Raptors68244435%110.9115.6-4.6
25 Philadelphia 76ers68234534%110.0115.0-5.0
26 Brooklyn Nets68234534%105.6111.7-6.0
27 New Orleans Pelicans69185126%110.4119.1-8.7
28 Charlotte Hornets67175025%105.7113.4-7.7
29 Washington Wizards66155123%108.9120.7-11.7
30 Utah Jazz69155422%112.2119.9-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Golden State Warriors22282728105
Denver Nuggets29332725114
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