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Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 09 Aug 2021
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 97-77
30-12 21-20 22-17 24-28
Position-
Record-
FormWLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position-
Record-
FormWLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Other2021
Meetings · Miami Heat v Denver Nuggets
21 Mar 2027
MIA v DEN
upcoming
29 Dec 2025
MIA147
DEN123
17 Jan 2025
MIA113
DEN133
13 Mar 2024
MIA88
DEN100
09 Jun 2023
MIA95
DEN108
07 Jun 2023
MIA94
DEN109
13 Feb 2023
MIA108
DEN112
29 Nov 2021
MIA111
DEN120
08 Aug 2021
MIA97
DEN77
27 Jan 2021
MIA82
DEN109
08 Jan 2019
MIA99
DEN103
19 Mar 2018
MIA149
DEN141
02 Apr 2017
MIA113
DEN116
14 Mar 2016
MIA124
DEN119
20 Mar 2015
MIA108
DEN91
14 Mar 2014
MIA107
DEN111
03 Nov 2012
MIA119
DEN116
19 Mar 2011
MIA103
DEN98
06 Nov 2009
MIA96
DEN88
10 Feb 2009
MIA82
DEN99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
121-112
121
112
+9
112avg 102
H08/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
W
130-124
130
124
+6
129avg 102
A09/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
W
129-121
129
121
+8
128avg 102
A11/05
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
W
106-94
106
94
+12
107avg 102
H13/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
108-122
108
122
-14
92avg 102
A16/05
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
120-107
120
107
+13
119avg 102
A17/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
107-109 OT
107
109
-2
91avg 102
A22/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
98-132
98
132
-34
81avg 102
A24/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
84-113
84
113
-29
71avg 102
H27/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
103-120
103
120
-17
92avg 102
H29/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-32
31-22
30-24
32-34
36-23
43-30
26-31
25-40
28-28
34-28
31-23
36-42
38-22
22-19
29-26
17-27
28-44
23-26
30-29
27-23
32-13
37-34
26-24
25-36
24-22
26-31
28-27
21-19
20-46
31-32
27-29
20-25
14-26
22-23
24-37
24-27
26-22
38-35
21-34
18-29
226.0Avg total
110.6Scored
115.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)110.6115.4226.0-4.850%
Last 5 (5)102.4116.2218.6-13.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)100.8114.0214.8-13.222%
vs Similar (16)111.4107.9219.3+3.475%
vs Weaker (5)116.8106.0222.8+10.880%
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
109-123
109
123
-14
100avg 108
H23/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
128-109
128
109
+19
122avg 108
H25/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
120-115
120
115
+5
114avg 108
A28/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
95-115
95
115
-20
78avg 108
A29/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
147-140 OT
147
140
+7
141avg 108
H02/06
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
126-115
126
115
+11
no box
A04/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
105-122
105
122
-17
no box
A08/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
98-123
98
123
-25
86avg 108
A10/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
102-116
102
116
-14
86avg 108
H12/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
118-125
118
125
-7
98avg 108
H14/06
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-35
31-23
25-38
23-27
31-25
42-36
28-26
27-22
39-30
25-29
20-20
36-36
24-32
23-25
19-36
29-22
38-25
27-37
27-32
29-27
29-33
32-35
37-33
28-14
28-28
30-29
21-31
26-34
21-25
21-27
25-34
31-37
27-37
28-22
21-31
26-26
22-28
33-35
28-33
35-29
235.1Avg total
114.8Scored
120.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)114.8120.3235.1-5.540%
Last 5 (5)109.8120.2230.0-10.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (22)112.3116.3228.6-4.041%
vs Weaker (8)118.8106.2225.0+12.5100%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -6.3-6.3Q4Q4: -5.7-5.7Q4: +1.6+1.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -6.3-6.3Q4Q4: -5.7-5.7Q4: +1.6+1.6
Miami HeatDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
59-54
59
54
+5
H08/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
W
79-53
79
53
+26
A09/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
W
62-56
62
56
+6
A11/05
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
W
60-41
60
41
+19
H13/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
51-70
51
70
-19
A16/05
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
69-47
69
47
+22
A17/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A22/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
51-78
51
78
-27
A24/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H27/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
64-57
64
57
+7
H29/05
NBA
113.9Avg total
58.1Scored
55.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.655.2111.8+1.450%-
Last 30 at home (14)56.953.8110.7+3.164%-
Last 30 away (16)56.356.4112.8-0.138%-
Last 10 (10)58.155.8113.9+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)54.056.8110.8-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)52.858.2111.0-5.433%-
vs Similar (16)57.253.0110.2+4.256%-
vs Weaker (5)61.656.8118.4+4.860%-
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
61-58
61
58
+3
H23/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
73-61
73
61
+12
H25/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
64-59
64
59
+5
A28/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
47-57
47
57
-10
A29/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
65-62
65
62
+3
H02/06
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
61-68
61
68
-7
A04/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
W
58-57
58
57
+1
A08/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A10/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
55-59
55
59
-4
H12/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
55-63
55
63
-8
H14/06
NBA
117.7Avg total
58.1Scored
59.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.255.8115.0+3.470%-
Last 30 at home (14)61.454.8116.2+6.679%-
Last 30 away (16)57.356.7114.0+0.662%-
Last 10 (10)58.159.6117.7-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)54.259.8114.0-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (22)57.957.0114.9+1.059%-
vs Weaker (8)62.952.6115.5+10.2100%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 110.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 13% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.026.7
52.4%
-53.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.814.1
39.4%
-42.3
🏀 Free throws19.114.9
78.0%
-14.9
They take 86.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 114.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 14% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.727.2
50.7%
-54.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.514.7
38.2%
-44.1
🏀 Free throws20.915.9
76.1%
-15.9
They take 92.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Aug 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
LLLLWLWWWW
Denver Nuggets
LLLLWWLWWL
-4.7
Net rating
-5.9
109.2
Offensive rating
113.8
113.9
Defensive rating
119.7
55.1%
Effective FG%
53.4%
55.9%
Opp. effective FG%
57.6%
13.4%
Turnover %
10.7%
18.9%
Off. rebound %
25.1%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.23
39.4%
3-point %
38.2%
61.5%
Assist %
59.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Miami Heat wins
7
Denver Nuggets wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/05/21HMilwaukee Bucks103-120
27/05/21HMilwaukee Bucks84-113
24/05/21AMilwaukee Bucks98-132
22/05/21AMilwaukee Bucks107-109 OT
17/05/21ADetroit Pistons120-107
16/05/21AMilwaukee Bucks108-122
13/05/21HPhiladelphia 76ers106-94
11/05/21ABoston Celtics129-121
09/05/21ABoston Celtics130-124
08/05/21HMinnesota Timberwolves121-112
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/06/21HPhoenix Suns118-125
12/06/21HPhoenix Suns102-116
10/06/21APhoenix Suns98-123
08/06/21APhoenix Suns105-122
04/06/21APortland Trail Blazers126-115
02/06/21HPortland Trail Blazers147-140 OT
29/05/21APortland Trail Blazers95-115
28/05/21APortland Trail Blazers120-115
25/05/21HPortland Trail Blazers128-109
23/05/21HPortland Trail Blazers109-123

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League 2021
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Denver Nuggets
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League 2021
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat3021222497
Denver Nuggets1220172877
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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