PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Oct 2019
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 133-144
35-38 35-35 25-38 38-33
Position#7
Record-
FormLLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#11
Record-
FormLWWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Miami Heat v Houston Rockets
16 Nov 2026
MIA v HOU
upcoming
28 Feb 2026
MIA115
HOU105
21 Mar 2025
MIA98
HOU102
08 Jan 2024
MIA120
HOU113
10 Feb 2023
MIA97
HOU95
07 Mar 2022
MIA123
HOU106
19 Apr 2021
MIA113
HOU91
03 Nov 2019
MIA129
HOU100
18 Oct 2019
MIA133
HOU144
20 Dec 2018
MIA101
HOU99
07 Feb 2018
MIA101
HOU109
17 Jan 2017
MIA109
HOU103
01 Nov 2015
MIA109
HOU89
04 Nov 2014
MIA91
HOU108
16 Mar 2014
MIA113
HOU104
06 Feb 2013
MIA114
HOU108
22 Apr 2012
MIA97
HOU88
27 Mar 2011
MIA125
HOU119
09 Feb 2010
MIA99
HOU66
24 Nov 2008
MIA98
HOU107
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Houston Rockets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#25
W
113-108
113
108
+5
109avg 98
A23/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
99-104
99
104
-5
no box
H26/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
105-99
105
99
+6
100avg 98
H28/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
100-92
100
92
+8
no box
A30/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
105-110
105
110
-5
101avg 98
A01/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
102-112
102
112
-10
90avg 98
H03/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
109-111
109
111
-2
no box
A06/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
109-117 OT
109
117
-8
100avg 98
A07/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
122-99
122
99
+23
119avg 98
H09/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
94-113
94
113
-19
no box
A11/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-27
27-26
26-26
35-29
32-18
19-24
19-34
29-28
26-29
23-30
26-23
30-17
29-33
26-28
24-18
21-13
17-36
30-25
30-27
28-22
31-29
18-24
32-30
21-29
35-36
34-25
22-29
18-21
26-25
31-25
22-28
24-25
34-20
27-22
30-18
31-39
23-32
24-31
24-29
23-21
212.3Avg total
105.8Scored
106.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)105.8106.5212.3-0.740%
Last 5 (5)107.2110.4217.6-3.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)107.4117.7225.1-10.211%
vs Similar ◀ (17)104.199.9204.0+4.259%
vs Weaker (4)115.2109.8225.0+5.575%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#9
W
118-98
118
98
+20
110avg 102
H18/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
104-101
104
101
+3
92avg 102
A21/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
91-107
91
107
-16
72avg 102
A23/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
100-93
100
93
+7
90avg 102
H25/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
100-104
100
104
-4
no box
A28/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
109-115
109
115
-6
100avg 102
A01/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
126-121 OT
126
121
+5
117avg 102
H05/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
112-108
112
108
+4
no box
H07/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
99-104
99
104
-5
88avg 102
A09/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
113-118
113
118
-5
100avg 102
H11/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
39-19
31-25
25-23
23-31
28-30
22-25
24-21
30-25
24-32
23-21
32-23
12-31
20-20
26-22
29-27
25-24
19-28
34-25
23-30
24-21
20-29
29-29
26-24
34-33
25-26
33-23
33-35
21-28
25-28
36-26
32-30
19-24
17-31
26-26
29-15
27-32
28-27
29-30
30-25
26-36
214.1Avg total
107.2Scored
106.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)107.2106.9214.1+0.350%
Last 5 (5)111.8113.2225.0-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)94.0108.0202.0-14.00%
vs Similar ◀ (17)108.6103.1211.7+5.559%
vs Weaker (12)120.8104.1224.8+16.792%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -4.4-4.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -4.4-4.4
Miami HeatHouston Rockets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#25
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A23/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H26/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
49-59
49
59
-10
H28/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
L
55-61
55
61
-6
A30/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
47-61
47
61
-14
A01/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
49-53
49
53
-4
H03/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
69-61
69
61
+8
A06/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
57-50
57
50
+7
A07/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
61-42
61
42
+19
H09/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
47-63
47
63
-16
A11/04
NBA
108.2Avg total
53.7Scored
54.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.353.5108.8+1.747%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.351.5106.8+3.850%-
Last 30 away (16)55.255.3110.6-0.144%-
Last 10 (10)53.754.5108.2-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)56.653.8110.4+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)58.056.1114.1+1.956%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)52.951.2104.1+1.847%-
vs Weaker (4)59.057.8116.8+1.225%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#9
W
70-44
70
44
+26
H18/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A21/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A23/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H25/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
D
53-53
53
53
+0
A28/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
49-58
49
58
-9
A01/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
58-49
58
49
+9
H05/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
61-54
61
54
+7
H07/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
43-57
43
57
-14
A09/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
D
57-57
57
57
+0
H11/05
NBA
105.6Avg total
53.4Scored
52.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.050.3108.3+7.867%-
Last 30 at home (16)60.948.7109.6+12.281%-
Last 30 away (14)54.852.1106.9+2.750%-
Last 10 (10)53.452.2105.6+1.240%-
Last 5 (5)53.655.0108.6-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)53.058.0111.0-5.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)55.549.6105.1+5.959%-
vs Weaker (12)62.150.6112.7+11.583%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 105.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.530.0
53.1%
52.3%60.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.310.4
30.3%
35.7%31.2
🏀 Free throws19.114.0
73.3%
77.2%14.0
They take 90.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 107.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers47.1 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.820.3
51.0%
52.3%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.915.7
36.6%
35.7%47.1
🏀 Free throws25.519.3
75.7%
77.2%19.3
They take 82.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 42.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Oct 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
LWLLLLWWLW
Houston Rockets
LLWWLLWLWW
#7
League position
#11
-1.1
Net rating
+0.3
102.6
Offensive rating
107.0
103.7
Defensive rating
106.7
50.2%
Effective FG%
53.0%
48.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
13.4%
Turnover %
15.3%
21.5%
Off. rebound %
23.6%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.31
30.3%
3-point %
36.6%
63.9%
Assist %
48.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence102.6 · 107.0Defence103.7 · 106.7Shooting50.2% · 53.0%3-point %30.3% · 36.6%Ball care13.4% · 15.3%Off. rebounds21.5% · 23.6%Free throws0.21 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Houston Rockets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Miami Heat wins
6
Houston Rockets wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/19ABrooklyn Nets94-113
09/04/19HPhiladelphia 76ers122-99
07/04/19AToronto Raptors109-117 OT
06/04/19AMinnesota Timberwolves109-111
03/04/19HBoston Celtics102-112
01/04/19ABoston Celtics105-110
30/03/19ANew York Knicks100-92
28/03/19HDallas Mavericks105-99
26/03/19HOrlando Magic99-104
23/03/19AWashington Wizards113-108
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/05/19HGolden State Warriors113-118
09/05/19AGolden State Warriors99-104
07/05/19HGolden State Warriors112-108
05/05/19HGolden State Warriors126-121 OT
01/05/19AGolden State Warriors109-115
28/04/19AGolden State Warriors100-104
25/04/19HUtah Jazz100-93
23/04/19AUtah Jazz91-107
21/04/19AUtah Jazz104-101
18/04/19HUtah Jazz118-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Houston Rockets
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat35352538133
Houston Rockets38353833144
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.