PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 07 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 114-108
26-23 27-28 36-20 25-37
Position#23
Record34-46
FormWLLLL
Points / game113.2
Allowed / game114.5
vs
Position#10
Record43-37
FormLLWWW
Points / game109.3
Allowed / game109.7
USANBA· Capital One Arena
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Washington Wizards v Miami Heat
17 Feb 2027
WAS v MIA
upcoming
10 Feb 2027
WAS v MIA
upcoming
10 Apr 2026
WAS117
MIA140
08 Feb 2026
WAS101
MIA132
31 Mar 2025
WAS94
MIA120
02 Nov 2024
WAS98
MIA118
31 Mar 2024
WAS107
MIA119
02 Feb 2024
WAS102
MIA110
07 Apr 2023
WAS114
MIA108
18 Nov 2022
WAS107
MIA106
07 Feb 2022
WAS100
MIA121
20 Nov 2021
WAS103
MIA100
09 Jan 2021
WAS124
MIA128
08 Mar 2020
WAS89
MIA100
30 Dec 2019
WAS123
MIA105
23 Mar 2019
WAS108
MIA113
18 Oct 2018
WAS112
MIA113
06 Mar 2018
WAS117
MIA113
17 Nov 2017
WAS88
MIA91
08 Apr 2017
WAS103
MIA106
19 Nov 2016
WAS111
MIA114
20 Jan 2016
WAS106
MIA87
03 Jan 2016
WAS75
MIA97
06 Mar 2015
WAS99
MIA97
01 Dec 2014
WAS107
MIA86
14 Apr 2014
WAS114
MIA93
15 Jan 2014
WAS114
MIA97
10 Apr 2013
WAS98
MIA103
04 Dec 2012
WAS105
MIA101
26 Apr 2012
WAS104
MIA70
10 Feb 2012
WAS89
MIA106
30 Mar 2011
WAS107
MIA123
18 Dec 2010
WAS94
MIA95
22 Jan 2010
WAS88
MIA112
04 Nov 2009
WAS89
MIA93
04 Apr 2009
WAS104
MIA118
18 Nov 2008
WAS87
MIA94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Washington Wizards winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWizards
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
118-132
118
132
-14
111avg 106
H19/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
L
112-122
112
122
-10
106avg 106
A21/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
104-118
104
118
-14
92avg 106
H22/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
136-124
136
124
+12
136avg 106
H24/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
104-114
104
114
-10
96avg 106
A26/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
W
130-111
130
111
+19
125avg 106
H28/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
L
109-116
109
116
-7
93avg 106
H31/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
109-118
109
118
-9
105avg 106
A02/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
128-140
128
140
-12
118avg 106
H04/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
L
116-134
116
134
-18
101avg 106
A05/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-37
27-34
32-33
26-28
25-26
31-34
32-27
24-35
29-31
28-24
16-39
31-24
33-26
33-36
33-36
37-26
21-37
25-26
38-24
20-27
29-23
35-28
35-27
31-33
32-24
31-36
33-25
13-31
31-34
30-19
18-33
30-32
29-32
33-43
35-39
31-26
32-33
28-34
30-39
26-28
239.5Avg total
116.6Scored
122.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (80)113.2114.5227.7-1.242%
Season at home (39)114.4114.8229.2-0.446%
Season away (41)112.1114.1226.2-2.039%
Last 10 (10)116.6122.9239.5-6.320%
Last 5 (5)118.4123.8242.2-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)107.3118.4225.7-11.114%
vs Similar ◀ (19)113.9117.5231.5-3.626%
vs Weaker (4)122.5110.5233.0+12.0100%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
W
138-119
138
119
+19
141avg 99
H15/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
99-113
99
113
-14
89avg 99
A19/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
112-100
112
100
+12
115avg 99
A19/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
W
127-120
127
120
+7
122avg 99
H22/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
L
100-129
100
129
-29
90avg 99
H26/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
92-106
92
106
-14
82avg 99
A28/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
92-101
92
101
-9
80avg 99
A29/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
129-122
129
122
+7
122avg 99
H01/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
118-105
118
105
+13
112avg 99
A04/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
129-101
129
101
+28
134avg 99
A06/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-27
34-24
42-26
33-42
19-33
26-37
32-20
22-23
26-29
26-18
22-34
38-19
31-32
33-29
28-25
35-34
36-28
33-37
18-39
13-25
23-24
24-29
20-31
25-22
23-19
23-29
30-28
16-25
44-31
32-33
26-32
27-26
31-27
28-25
21-27
38-26
41-31
26-15
29-32
33-23
225.2Avg total
113.6Scored
111.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (80)109.3109.7219.1-0.454%
Season at home (40)111.2110.2221.4+0.965%
Season away (40)107.5109.2216.7-1.742%
Last 10 (10)113.6111.6225.2+2.060%
Last 5 (5)112.0107.0219.0+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)106.8107.0213.8-0.250%
vs Similar ◀ (21)111.9115.0226.9-3.248%
vs Weaker (5)109.4106.0215.4+3.460%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +1.5+1.5
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +1.5+1.5
Washington WizardsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
60-71
60
71
-11
H19/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
L
56-60
56
60
-4
A21/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
57-55
57
55
+2
H22/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
66-62
66
62
+4
H24/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
46-63
46
63
-17
A26/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
W
64-51
64
51
+13
H28/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
W
63-60
63
60
+3
H31/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
W
61-53
61
53
+8
A02/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
62-75
62
75
-13
H04/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
L
60-67
60
67
-7
A05/04
NBA
121.2Avg total
59.5Scored
61.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.058.2116.2-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (17)60.258.2118.5+2.059%-
Last 30 away (13)55.158.2113.3-3.223%-
Last 10 (10)59.561.7121.2-2.250%-
Last 5 (5)62.061.2123.2+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)53.060.3113.3-7.329%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)59.457.8117.2+1.547%-
vs Weaker (4)60.256.5116.8+3.850%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
W
63-51
63
51
+12
H15/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
45-70
45
70
-25
A19/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A19/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
W
64-61
64
61
+3
H22/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
69-65
69
65
+4
H26/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A28/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A29/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
76-64
76
64
+12
H01/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
59-52
59
52
+7
A04/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
67-46
67
46
+21
A06/04
NBA
114.5Avg total
58.8Scored
55.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.157.9115.0-0.843%-
Last 30 at home (14)60.661.2121.9-0.643%-
Last 30 away (16)54.155.0109.1-0.944%-
Last 10 (10)58.855.7114.5+3.170%-
Last 5 (5)59.052.6111.6+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)55.058.2113.2-3.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)57.758.9116.6-1.238%-
vs Weaker (5)56.453.4109.8+3.080%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 116.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.932.2
56.6%
54.5%64.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.912.3
36.3%
35.8%36.9
🏀 Free throws20.215.3
75.7%
78.1%15.3
They take 90.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 113.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.827.6
59.0%
54.5%55.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.713.1
37.8%
35.8%39.3
🏀 Free throws22.519.1
84.9%
78.1%19.1
They take 81.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Washington Wizards
LLLLWLWLLL
Miami Heat
WWWLLLWWLW
#23
League position
#10
-6.2
Net rating
+2.1
114.9
Offensive rating
121.1
121.1
Defensive rating
118.9
55.8%
Effective FG%
58.0%
59.1%
Opp. effective FG%
59.5%
11.3%
Turnover %
11.6%
20.5%
Off. rebound %
21.5%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.3%
3-point %
37.8%
60.0%
Assist %
66.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence114.9 · 121.1Defence121.1 · 118.9Shooting55.8% · 58.0%3-point %36.3% · 37.8%Ball care11.3% · 11.6%Off. rebounds20.5% · 21.5%Free throws0.22 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Washington Wizards   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Washington Wizards wins
7
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/23AAtlanta Hawks116-134
04/04/23HMilwaukee Bucks128-140
02/04/23ANew York Knicks109-118
31/03/23HOrlando Magic109-116
28/03/23HBoston Celtics130-111
26/03/23AToronto Raptors104-114
24/03/23HSan Antonio Spurs136-124
22/03/23HDenver Nuggets104-118
21/03/23AOrlando Magic112-122
19/03/23HSacramento Kings118-132
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/23APhiladelphia 76ers129-101
04/04/23ADetroit Pistons118-105
01/04/23HDallas Mavericks129-122
29/03/23ANew York Knicks92-101
28/03/23AToronto Raptors92-106
26/03/23HBrooklyn Nets100-129
22/03/23HNew York Knicks127-120
19/03/23ADetroit Pistons112-100
19/03/23AChicago Bulls99-113
15/03/23HMemphis Grizzlies138-119

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Washington Wizards
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL42%
HomeLWWLL46%
AwayLLLLL39%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games803941
Win %42%46%39%
Points / game113.2114.4112.1
Allowed / game114.5114.8114.1
Point differential-1.2-0.4-2.0
Avg total227.7229.2226.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%28%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (18)62% (8)50% (10)
Overtime %4%5%2%
Miami Heat
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW54%
HomeWWWLW65%
AwayWLLWW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games804040
Win %54%65%42%
Points / game109.3111.2107.5
Allowed / game109.7110.2109.2
Point differential-0.4+0.9-1.7
Avg total219.1221.4216.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%10%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (39)70% (23)50% (16)
Overtime %6%2%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks80582272%117.1112.9+4.2
2 Boston Celtics80552569%117.9111.5+6.4
3 Philadelphia 76ers80522865%114.7110.7+4.0
4 Denver Nuggets80522865%115.9112.6+3.3
5 Cleveland Cavaliers81513063%112.5106.9+5.6
6 Memphis Grizzlies80503062%116.9112.9+3.9
7 Sacramento Kings80483260%121.3118.2+3.2
8 New York Knicks80473359%115.9112.8+3.2
9 Phoenix Suns80453556%113.7111.4+2.4
10 Brooklyn Nets80443655%113.6112.6+1.0
11 Miami Heat80433754%109.3109.7-0.4
12 Golden State Warriors80423852%118.5117.6+0.9
13 Los Angeles Clippers80423852%113.2112.9+0.3
14 New Orleans Pelicans80413951%114.5112.6+1.9
15 Atlanta Hawks80413951%118.3117.9+0.4
16 Los Angeles Lakers80413951%117.0116.7+0.3
17 Toronto Raptors80404050%112.9111.3+1.6
18 Minnesota Timberwolves80404050%115.4115.7-0.3
19 Oklahoma City Thunder81394248%117.5116.6+0.9
20 Chicago Bulls80384248%113.2112.2+1.0
21 Dallas Mavericks80384248%114.2113.8+0.4
22 Utah Jazz80364445%117.1117.9-0.9
23 Washington Wizards80344642%113.2114.5-1.2
24 Orlando Magic80344642%111.8114.0-2.2
25 Indiana Pacers80344642%116.0119.2-3.2
26 Portland Trail Blazers80334741%113.4116.7-3.3
27 Charlotte Hornets80265432%111.0117.5-6.5
28 San Antonio Spurs80215926%112.5122.8-10.3
29 Houston Rockets80206025%110.7118.8-8.2
30 Detroit Pistons80166420%110.5118.8-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Washington Wizards26273625114
Miami Heat23282037108
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.