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Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 31 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 94-120
23-36 24-22 28-34 19-28
Position#29
Record16-58
FormLLWLL
Points / game108.8
Allowed / game120.9
vs
Position#20
Record33-41
FormLWWWW
Points / game109.5
Allowed / game110.1
USANBA· Capital One Arena
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Washington Wizards v Miami Heat
17 Feb 2027
WAS v MIA
upcoming
10 Feb 2027
WAS v MIA
upcoming
10 Apr 2026
WAS117
MIA140
08 Feb 2026
WAS101
MIA132
31 Mar 2025
WAS94
MIA120
02 Nov 2024
WAS98
MIA118
31 Mar 2024
WAS107
MIA119
02 Feb 2024
WAS102
MIA110
07 Apr 2023
WAS114
MIA108
18 Nov 2022
WAS107
MIA106
07 Feb 2022
WAS100
MIA121
20 Nov 2021
WAS103
MIA100
09 Jan 2021
WAS124
MIA128
08 Mar 2020
WAS89
MIA100
30 Dec 2019
WAS123
MIA105
23 Mar 2019
WAS108
MIA113
18 Oct 2018
WAS112
MIA113
06 Mar 2018
WAS117
MIA113
17 Nov 2017
WAS88
MIA91
08 Apr 2017
WAS103
MIA106
19 Nov 2016
WAS111
MIA114
20 Jan 2016
WAS106
MIA87
03 Jan 2016
WAS75
MIA97
06 Mar 2015
WAS99
MIA97
01 Dec 2014
WAS107
MIA86
14 Apr 2014
WAS114
MIA93
15 Jan 2014
WAS114
MIA97
10 Apr 2013
WAS98
MIA103
04 Dec 2012
WAS105
MIA101
26 Apr 2012
WAS104
MIA70
10 Feb 2012
WAS89
MIA106
30 Mar 2011
WAS107
MIA123
18 Dec 2010
WAS94
MIA95
22 Jan 2010
WAS88
MIA112
04 Nov 2009
WAS89
MIA93
04 Apr 2009
WAS104
MIA118
18 Nov 2008
WAS87
MIA94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Washington Wizards winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWizards
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
129-125
129
125
+4
126avg 99
A13/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
126-123
126
123
+3
123avg 99
A16/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
L
97-112
97
112
-15
79avg 99
A18/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
L
112-128
112
128
-16
93avg 99
A20/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
L
105-120
105
120
-15
94avg 99
H21/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
L
103-122
103
122
-19
90avg 99
A23/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
104-112
104
112
-8
93avg 99
H24/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
119-114
119
114
+5
102avg 99
A26/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
109-162
109
162
-53
87avg 99
H27/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
L
112-115
112
115
-3
87avg 99
H29/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-31
38-31
27-39
33-24
30-44
33-28
32-23
31-28
24-31
25-28
21-30
27-23
35-31
28-33
25-33
24-31
30-33
24-34
17-35
34-18
21-31
20-35
35-26
27-30
32-28
18-24
26-26
28-34
45-29
22-29
30-27
22-29
31-45
30-38
27-42
21-37
28-23
31-28
26-31
27-33
234.9Avg total
111.6Scored
123.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (74)108.8120.9229.7-12.122%
Season at home (37)110.2123.1233.3-12.819%
Season away (37)107.3118.8226.1-11.524%
Last 10 (10)111.6123.3234.9-11.730%
Last 5 (5)109.4125.0234.4-15.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)109.0119.7228.7-10.727%
vs Similar (4)118.5116.0234.5+2.575%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
104-119
104
119
-15
93avg 104
H13/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
91-103
91
103
-12
81avg 104
H14/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
91-125
91
125
-34
78avg 104
A16/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
L
95-116
95
116
-21
88avg 104
A17/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
113-116
113
116
-3
102avg 104
H19/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
98-102
98
102
-4
96avg 104
H22/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
122-105
122
105
+17
117avg 104
H23/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
112-86
112
86
+26
113avg 104
H25/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
W
122-112
122
112
+10
117avg 104
H27/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
118-95
118
95
+23
116avg 104
A29/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-30
32-27
32-35
20-27
23-30
27-20
27-28
14-25
27-38
21-25
19-31
24-31
29-18
20-29
15-41
31-28
32-22
28-36
33-30
20-28
27-23
32-28
21-27
18-24
20-26
37-21
39-28
26-30
28-22
29-18
26-30
29-16
22-32
38-23
33-25
29-32
34-29
28-24
34-22
22-20
214.5Avg total
106.6Scored
107.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (74)109.5110.1219.6-0.645%
Season at home (37)111.4109.8221.2+1.549%
Season away (37)107.6110.4218.0-2.741%
Last 10 (10)106.6107.9214.5-1.340%
Last 5 (5)114.4100.0214.4+14.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)99.5113.0212.5-13.50%
vs Similar (13)115.2112.2227.5+3.054%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)107.099.7206.7+7.367%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -2.8-2.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -2.8-2.8
Washington WizardsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
69-62
69
62
+7
A13/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
63-72
63
72
-9
A16/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
L
49-59
49
59
-10
A18/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
L
63-64
63
64
-1
A20/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
L
54-67
54
67
-13
H21/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
L
41-66
41
66
-25
A23/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H24/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
67-58
67
58
+9
A26/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
61-83
61
83
-22
H27/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
59-51
59
51
+8
H29/03
NBA
121.0Avg total
57.6Scored
63.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.860.9117.7-4.143%-
Last 30 at home (14)56.760.5117.2-3.843%-
Last 30 away (16)56.961.2118.1-4.344%-
Last 10 (10)57.663.4121.0-5.830%-
Last 5 (5)55.662.0117.6-6.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)55.761.3117.0-5.642%-
vs Similar (4)64.058.0122.0+6.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
52-57
52
57
-5
H13/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
D
50-50
50
50
+0
H14/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
48-63
48
63
-15
A16/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A17/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
60-58
60
58
+2
H19/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
59-51
59
51
+8
H22/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H23/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H25/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
W
60-55
60
55
+5
H27/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
62-53
62
53
+9
A29/03
NBA
107.5Avg total
55.4Scored
52.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.553.6110.1+2.960%-
Last 30 at home (17)55.852.6108.5+3.253%-
Last 30 away (13)57.454.8112.2+2.669%-
Last 10 (10)55.452.1107.5+3.370%-
Last 5 (5)59.049.2108.2+9.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)52.553.7106.3-1.236%-
vs Similar (13)59.255.2114.5+4.069%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)57.849.7107.5+8.283%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 111.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.126.1
52.1%
54.3%52.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.514.0
35.4%
35.9%42.0
🏀 Free throws21.716.8
77.4%
77.8%16.8
They take 89.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 106.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.027.9
54.7%
54.3%55.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.712.9
40.7%
35.9%38.7
🏀 Free throws15.512.1
78.1%
77.8%12.1
They take 82.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Washington Wizards
LLWLLLLLWW
Miami Heat
WWWWLLLLLL
#29
League position
#20
-12.0
Net rating
-1.4
108.0
Offensive rating
112.5
120.0
Defensive rating
113.9
52.6%
Effective FG%
57.1%
56.4%
Opp. effective FG%
57.2%
13.8%
Turnover %
14.9%
22.5%
Off. rebound %
22.4%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.19
35.4%
3-point %
40.7%
64.6%
Assist %
62.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence108.0 · 112.5Defence120.0 · 113.9Shooting52.6% · 57.1%3-point %35.4% · 40.7%Ball care13.8% · 14.9%Off. rebounds22.5% · 22.4%Free throws0.24 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Washington Wizards   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Washington Wizards wins
7
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/25HBrooklyn Nets112-115
27/03/25HIndiana Pacers109-162
26/03/25APhiladelphia 76ers119-114
24/03/25HToronto Raptors104-112
23/03/25ANew York Knicks103-122
21/03/25HOrlando Magic105-120
20/03/25AUtah Jazz112-128
18/03/25APortland Trail Blazers97-112
16/03/25ADenver Nuggets126-123
13/03/25ADetroit Pistons129-125
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/25APhiladelphia 76ers118-95
27/03/25HAtlanta Hawks122-112
25/03/25HGolden State Warriors112-86
23/03/25HCharlotte Hornets122-105
22/03/25HHouston Rockets98-102
19/03/25HDetroit Pistons113-116
17/03/25ANew York Knicks95-116
16/03/25AMemphis Grizzlies91-125
14/03/25HBoston Celtics91-103
13/03/25HLos Angeles Clippers104-119

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Washington Wizards
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL22%
HomeWLLLL19%
AwayWLLLW24%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743737
Win %22%19%24%
Points / game108.8110.2107.3
Allowed / game120.9123.1118.8
Point differential-12.1-12.8-11.5
Avg total229.7233.3226.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%5%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (12)33% (6)100% (6)
Overtime %3%5%0%
Miami Heat
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW45%
HomeLLWWW49%
AwayLLLLW41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743737
Win %45%49%41%
Points / game109.5111.4107.6
Allowed / game110.1109.8110.4
Point differential-0.6+1.5-2.7
Avg total219.6221.2218.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%35%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won35% (23)20% (10)46% (13)
Overtime %9%8%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder72601283%120.2107.1+13.1
2 Cleveland Cavaliers75601580%122.3112.3+10.0
3 Boston Celtics74551974%116.9107.8+9.1
4 Houston Rockets73482566%114.7109.4+5.4
5 New York Knicks73472664%116.6112.1+4.5
6 Denver Nuggets75472863%120.9116.7+4.2
7 Los Angeles Lakers74452961%113.2112.4+0.8
8 Memphis Grizzlies74443059%122.2117.1+5.1
9 Golden State Warriors73433059%113.8110.9+2.8
10 Indiana Pacers74433158%117.2115.4+1.8
11 Minnesota Timberwolves75433257%113.8109.2+4.6
12 Los Angeles Clippers74423257%112.4108.7+3.7
13 Detroit Pistons75423356%115.5113.1+2.4
14 Milwaukee Bucks72383453%114.5113.0+1.6
15 Dallas Mavericks74373750%115.1115.1+0.0
16 Sacramento Kings74363849%115.9115.8+0.1
17 Orlando Magic74363849%105.1105.7-0.6
18 Atlanta Hawks72353749%118.2119.8-1.6
19 Phoenix Suns75354047%114.3116.4-2.1
20 Miami Heat74334145%109.5110.1-0.6
21 Chicago Bulls74334145%117.4119.7-2.4
22 Portland Trail Blazers75324343%110.7114.4-3.7
23 San Antonio Spurs74314342%114.2116.8-2.6
24 Toronto Raptors75284737%110.7115.0-4.3
25 Brooklyn Nets75245132%105.1111.9-6.8
26 Philadelphia 76ers75235231%109.8115.8-6.0
27 New Orleans Pelicans75215428%110.2118.8-8.6
28 Charlotte Hornets74185624%105.5113.7-8.1
29 Washington Wizards74165822%108.8120.9-12.1
30 Utah Jazz75165921%111.6120.2-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Washington Wizards2324281994
Miami Heat36223428120
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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