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Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Dec 2015
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 111-108 (OT)
23-29 18-27 32-22 27-22 11-8
Position#22
Record8-14
FormLLWWL
Points / game96.1
Allowed / game102.2
vs
Position#26
Record9-12
FormLLLLW
Points / game102.1
Allowed / game102.9
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Minnesota Timberwolves
07 Mar 2027
DEN v MIN
upcoming
28 Dec 2026
DEN v MIN
upcoming
27 Apr 2026
DEN125
MIN113
20 Apr 2026
DEN114
MIN119
18 Apr 2026
DEN116
MIN105
01 Mar 2026
DEN108
MIN117
25 Dec 2025
DEN142
MIN138
01 Apr 2025
DEN139
MIN140
12 Mar 2025
DEN95
MIN115
19 May 2024
DEN90
MIN98
14 May 2024
DEN112
MIN97
06 May 2024
DEN80
MIN106
04 May 2024
DEN99
MIN106
10 Apr 2024
DEN116
MIN107
29 Mar 2024
DEN98
MIN111
25 Apr 2023
DEN112
MIN109
19 Apr 2023
DEN122
MIN113
16 Apr 2023
DEN109
MIN80
07 Feb 2023
DEN146
MIN112
18 Jan 2023
DEN122
MIN118
01 Apr 2022
DEN130
MIN136
15 Dec 2021
DEN107
MIN124
05 Jan 2021
DEN123
MIN116
23 Feb 2020
DEN128
MIN116
20 Dec 2019
DEN109
MIN100
10 Apr 2019
DEN99
MIN95
12 Mar 2019
DEN133
MIN107
05 Apr 2018
DEN100
MIN96
20 Dec 2017
DEN104
MIN112
15 Feb 2017
DEN99
MIN112
28 Dec 2016
DEN105
MIN103
11 Dec 2015
DEN111
MIN108
30 Oct 2015
DEN78
MIN95
17 Jan 2015
DEN105
MIN113
26 Dec 2014
DEN106
MIN102
03 Mar 2014
DEN128
MIN132
15 Nov 2013
DEN117
MIN113
09 Mar 2013
DEN111
MIN88
03 Jan 2013
DEN97
MIN101
11 Apr 2012
DEN113
MIN107
20 Feb 2012
DEN103
MIN101
09 Apr 2011
DEN130
MIN106
18 Dec 2010
DEN115
MIN113
11 Jan 2010
DEN105
MIN94
29 Nov 2009
DEN100
MIN106
10 Dec 2008
DEN116
MIN105
16 Nov 2008
DEN90
MIN84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#27
L
107-114
107
114
-7
94avg 87
H21/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
105-118
105
118
-13
93avg 87
H23/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
94-111
94
111
-17
85avg 87
H25/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
80-91
80
91
-11
68avg 87
H28/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
L
81-92
81
92
-11
73avg 87
A29/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
L
74-92
74
92
-18
67avg 87
A01/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
90-99
90
99
-9
78avg 87
A03/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
W
106-105
106
105
+1
106avg 87
A04/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
108-105
108
105
+3
101avg 87
A05/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
74-85
74
85
-11
60avg 87
H09/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-17
34-32
21-31
23-34
23-34
35-30
21-27
26-27
26-25
19-26
27-32
22-28
16-16
26-30
17-24
21-21
25-22
27-26
5-25
24-19
23-28
21-18
16-21
14-25
21-28
25-23
26-17
18-31
29-19
27-23
25-29
25-34
29-25
23-34
25-26
31-20
26-26
21-14
16-22
11-23
193.1Avg total
91.9Scored
101.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)96.1102.2198.4-6.136%
Season at home (10)94.0101.4195.4-7.430%
Season away (12)97.9102.9200.8-5.042%
Last 10 (10)91.9101.2193.1-9.320%
Last 5 (5)90.497.2187.6-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)101.6114.1215.7-12.58%
vs Similar ◀ (15)96.598.6195.1-2.147%
vs Weaker (2)114.0107.0221.0+7.0100%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#20
L
101-104 OT
101
104
-3
97avg 92
A19/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
86-96
86
96
-10
74avg 92
H21/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
100-95
100
95
+5
94avg 92
H24/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
99-95
99
95
+4
90avg 92
H26/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
101-91
101
91
+10
98avg 92
A28/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
99-107
99
107
-8
89avg 92
A29/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
93-96
93
96
-3
81avg 92
H02/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
103-109
103
109
-6
98avg 92
H06/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
106-110
106
110
-4
95avg 92
H08/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
123-122 OT
123
122
+1
118avg 92
H10/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-17
27-21
24-33
17-22
26-22
18-16
21-30
21-28
19-26
27-26
28-21
26-22
27-23
23-25
20-26
29-21
29-28
24-19
22-21
26-23
19-23
18-25
24-23
38-36
14-21
27-33
26-22
26-20
32-22
27-24
23-34
21-29
25-29
27-21
25-21
29-39
35-32
24-25
25-24
30-33
203.6Avg total
101.1Scored
102.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)102.1102.9205.0-0.843%
Season at home (12)101.0106.0207.0-5.025%
Season away (9)103.798.8202.4+4.967%
Last 10 (10)101.1102.5203.6-1.440%
Last 5 (5)104.8108.8213.6-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)100.6108.9209.5-8.419%
vs Similar ◀ (11)97.399.1196.4-1.827%
vs Weaker (3)111.7109.3221.0+2.3100%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -5.5-5.5Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: -1.0-1.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -5.5-5.5Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: -1.0-1.0
Denver NuggetsMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
63-49
63
49
+14
H21/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
58-64
58
64
-6
H23/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H25/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H28/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A29/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A01/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A03/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
W
56-42
56
42
+14
A04/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
L
52-59
52
59
-7
A05/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H09/12
NBA
100.1Avg total
50.5Scored
49.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.755.4106.1-4.737%-
Last 30 at home (14)51.053.8104.8-2.843%-
Last 30 away (16)50.456.8107.2-6.331%-
Last 10 (10)50.549.6100.1+0.940%-
Last 5 (5)49.047.696.6+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)50.558.5109.0-7.923%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)50.152.3102.5-2.247%-
vs Weaker (2)56.058.0114.0-2.050%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#20
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A19/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H21/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H24/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H26/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
53-47
53
47
+6
A28/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A29/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
41-54
41
54
-13
H02/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
59-46
59
46
+13
H06/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H08/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
59-57
59
57
+2
H10/12
NBA
97.1Avg total
49.3Scored
47.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.553.0102.5-3.533%-
Last 30 at home (17)48.954.6103.5-5.729%-
Last 30 away (13)50.351.0101.3-0.738%-
Last 10 (10)49.347.897.1+1.570%-
Last 5 (5)49.651.0100.6-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)48.955.7104.6-6.819%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)49.748.398.0+1.555%-
vs Weaker (3)52.056.3108.3-4.333%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 91.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.526.4
44.4%
49.0%52.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.57.3
32.4%
35.3%21.9
🏀 Free throws23.417.2
73.5%
75.5%17.2
They take 82.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 101.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀18%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.6 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.030.3
47.3%
49.0%60.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.65.9
33.5%
35.3%17.7
🏀 Free throws28.122.8
81.1%
75.5%22.8
They take 81.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 22% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Dec 2015 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LWWLLLLLLL
Minnesota Timberwolves
WLLLLWWWLL
#22
League position
#26
-9.5
Net rating
-1.4
94.2
Offensive rating
102.1
103.8
Defensive rating
103.6
45.5%
Effective FG%
48.0%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
16.2%
Turnover %
15.0%
23.0%
Off. rebound %
23.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.34
32.4%
3-point %
33.5%
64.1%
Assist %
57.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence94.2 · 102.1Defence103.8 · 103.6Shooting45.5% · 48.0%3-point %32.4% · 33.5%Ball care16.2% · 15.0%Off. rebounds23.0% · 23.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/15HOrlando Magic74-85
05/12/15APhiladelphia 76ers108-105
04/12/15AToronto Raptors106-105
03/12/15AChicago Bulls90-99
01/12/15AMilwaukee Bucks74-92
29/11/15ADallas Mavericks81-92
28/11/15HSan Antonio Spurs80-91
25/11/15HLos Angeles Clippers94-111
23/11/15HGolden State Warriors105-118
21/11/15HPhoenix Suns107-114
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/15HLos Angeles Lakers123-122 OT
08/12/15HLos Angeles Clippers106-110
06/12/15HPortland Trail Blazers103-109
02/12/15HOrlando Magic93-96
29/11/15ALos Angeles Clippers99-107
28/11/15ASacramento Kings101-91
26/11/15HAtlanta Hawks99-95
24/11/15HPhiladelphia 76ers100-95
21/11/15HDetroit Pistons86-96
19/11/15AOrlando Magic101-104 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL36%
HomeLLLLL30%
AwayLLLWW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %36%30%42%
Points / game96.194.097.9
Allowed / game102.2101.4102.9
Point differential-6.1-7.4-5.0
Avg total198.4195.4200.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW43%
HomeWLLLW25%
AwayLWLWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21129
Win %43%25%67%
Points / game102.1101.0103.7
Allowed / game102.9106.098.8
Point differential-0.8-5.0+4.9
Avg total205.0207.0202.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%0%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)50% (6)33% (3)
Overtime %14%8%22%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors24240100%116.1102.0+14.2
2 San Antonio Spurs2318578%99.988.7+11.2
3 Cleveland Cavaliers2215768%102.096.7+5.4
4 Oklahoma City Thunder2214864%108.4101.3+7.1
5 Charlotte Hornets2214864%103.198.0+5.2
6 Toronto Raptors2415962%100.196.2+3.9
7 Indiana Pacers2113862%103.999.0+4.9
8 Chicago Bulls2012860%98.197.7+0.4
9 Atlanta Hawks24141058%101.099.6+1.5
10 Miami Heat2112957%95.493.7+1.7
11 Boston Celtics23131057%103.999.0+4.9
12 Los Angeles Clippers23131057%102.3100.8+1.5
13 Dallas Mavericks23131057%101.1100.3+0.8
14 Detroit Pistons24131154%98.497.5+1.0
15 Memphis Grizzlies24131154%96.0101.3-5.3
16 Orlando Magic23121152%99.999.2+0.7
17 Utah Jazz20101050%98.296.2+1.9
18 Houston Rockets23111248%103.3107.2-4.0
19 Phoenix Suns23101343%105.6105.2+0.4
20 Minnesota Timberwolves2191243%102.1102.9-0.8
21 Washington Wizards2191243%101.2105.0-3.9
22 New York Knicks24101442%96.798.8-2.1
23 Portland Trail Blazers2391439%101.4101.8-0.4
24 Sacramento Kings2491538%104.9108.2-3.2
25 Milwaukee Bucks2491538%95.0101.4-6.5
26 Denver Nuggets2281436%96.1102.2-6.1
27 Brooklyn Nets2271532%96.4102.4-6.0
28 New Orleans Pelicans2261627%102.0108.9-6.9
29 Los Angeles Lakers2231914%97.5106.3-8.8
30 Philadelphia 76ers241234%91.0103.1-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Denver Nuggets2318322711111
Minnesota Timberwolves292722228108
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