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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 16 Dec 2015
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 100-112
24-27 25-36 31-29 20-20
Position#26
Record11-19
FormLLWLL
Points / game100.7
Allowed / game104.0
vs
Position#22
Record14-17
FormWWLWW
Points / game98.1
Allowed / game101.3
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Denver Nuggets
27 Jan 2027
MIN v DEN
upcoming
31 Dec 2026
MIN v DEN
upcoming
30 Apr 2026
MIN110
DEN98
25 Apr 2026
MIN112
DEN96
23 Apr 2026
MIN113
DEN96
15 Nov 2025
MIN112
DEN123
27 Oct 2025
MIN114
DEN127
25 Jan 2025
MIN133
DEN104
01 Nov 2024
MIN119
DEN116
17 Oct 2024
MIN126
DEN132
16 May 2024
MIN115
DEN70
12 May 2024
MIN107
DEN115
10 May 2024
MIN90
DEN117
19 Mar 2024
MIN112
DEN115
01 Nov 2023
MIN110
DEN89
23 Apr 2023
MIN114
DEN108
21 Apr 2023
MIN111
DEN120
05 Feb 2023
MIN128
DEN98
02 Jan 2023
MIN124
DEN111
08 Jul 2022
MIN85
DEN78
01 Feb 2022
MIN130
DEN115
30 Oct 2021
MIN91
DEN93
13 May 2021
MIN103
DEN114
03 Jan 2021
MIN109
DEN124
20 Jan 2020
MIN100
DEN107
10 Nov 2019
MIN98
DEN100
02 Feb 2019
MIN106
DEN107
21 Nov 2018
MIN101
DEN103
06 Jul 2018
MIN69
DEN70
11 Apr 2018
MIN112
DEN106
27 Dec 2017
MIN128
DEN125
22 Jan 2017
MIN111
DEN108
03 Nov 2016
MIN99
DEN102
12 Oct 2016
MIN105
DEN88
06 Jan 2016
MIN74
DEN78
15 Dec 2015
MIN100
DEN112
04 Mar 2015
MIN85
DEN100
05 Jan 2015
MIN101
DEN110
12 Feb 2014
MIN117
DEN90
27 Nov 2013
MIN110
DEN117
12 Dec 2012
MIN108
DEN105
21 Nov 2012
MIN94
DEN101
26 Apr 2012
MIN102
DEN131
25 Mar 2012
MIN117
DEN100
05 Feb 2011
MIN100
DEN113
29 Dec 2010
MIN113
DEN119
12 Oct 2010
MIN122
DEN108
10 Mar 2010
MIN102
DEN110
25 Nov 2009
MIN111
DEN124
05 Apr 2009
MIN87
DEN110
29 Nov 2008
MIN97
DEN106
19 Oct 2008
MIN111
DEN107
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
100-95
100
95
+5
H24/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
99-95
99
95
+4
H26/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
101-91
101
91
+10
A28/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
99-107
99
107
-8
A29/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
93-96
93
96
-3
H02/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
103-109
103
109
-6
H06/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
106-110
106
110
-4
H08/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
123-122 OT
123
122
+1
H10/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
L
108-111 OT
108
111
-3
A12/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
L
101-108
101
108
-7
A13/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-26
27-26
28-21
26-22
27-23
23-25
20-26
29-21
29-28
24-19
22-21
26-23
19-23
18-25
24-23
38-36
14-21
27-33
26-22
26-20
32-22
27-24
23-34
21-29
25-29
27-21
25-21
29-39
35-32
24-25
25-24
30-33
29-23
27-18
22-32
22-27
27-25
22-30
17-30
35-23
207.7Avg total
103.3Scored
104.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)100.7104.0204.6-3.337%
Season at home (16)101.1106.4207.5-5.431%
Season away (14)100.2101.1201.4-0.943%
Last 10 (10)103.3104.4207.7-1.140%
Last 5 (5)108.2112.0220.2-3.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)100.3105.2205.5-4.927%
vs Similar ◀ (12)98.3101.1199.4-2.833%
vs Weaker (3)111.7109.3221.0+2.3100%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
94-111
94
111
-17
H25/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
80-91
80
91
-11
H28/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#19
L
81-92
81
92
-11
A29/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#24
L
74-92
74
92
-18
A01/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
90-99
90
99
-9
A03/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
W
106-105
106
105
+1
A04/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
108-105
108
105
+3
A05/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
74-85
74
85
-11
H09/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
W
111-108 OT
111
108
+3
H12/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#18
W
114-108
114
108
+6
H15/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-25
19-26
27-32
22-28
16-16
26-30
17-24
21-21
25-22
27-26
5-25
24-19
23-28
21-18
16-21
14-25
21-28
25-23
26-17
18-31
29-19
27-23
25-29
25-34
29-25
23-34
25-26
31-20
26-26
21-14
16-22
11-23
23-29
18-27
32-22
27-22
36-22
18-36
34-24
26-26
192.8Avg total
93.2Scored
99.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)98.1101.3199.4-3.345%
Season at home (14)98.8100.4199.1-1.650%
Season away (17)97.5102.1199.6-4.641%
Last 10 (10)93.299.6192.8-6.440%
Last 5 (5)102.6102.2204.8+0.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)95.8107.1202.9-11.318%
vs Similar ◀ (17)97.896.8194.6+0.959%
vs Weaker (2)114.0107.0221.0+7.0100%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -3.0-3.0
Minnesota TimberwolvesDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H24/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H26/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
53-47
53
47
+6
A28/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A29/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
41-54
41
54
-13
H02/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
59-46
59
46
+13
H06/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H08/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
59-57
59
57
+2
H10/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
W
56-41
56
41
+15
A12/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
L
49-55
49
55
-6
A13/12
NBA
100.0Avg total
50.2Scored
49.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.252.3103.6-1.140%-
Last 30 at home (16)51.554.7106.2-3.238%-
Last 30 away (14)50.949.6100.6+1.343%-
Last 10 (10)50.249.8100.0+0.460%-
Last 5 (5)55.049.8104.8+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)52.153.3105.4-1.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)50.050.1100.1-0.150%-
vs Weaker (3)52.056.3108.3-4.333%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H25/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H28/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#19
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A29/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#24
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A01/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A03/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
W
56-42
56
42
+14
A04/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
L
52-59
52
59
-7
A05/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H09/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
L
41-56
41
56
-15
H12/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#18
L
54-58
54
58
-4
H15/12
NBA
97.6Avg total
47.9Scored
49.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.752.5103.1-1.840%-
Last 30 at home (14)51.449.7101.1+1.743%-
Last 30 away (16)50.054.9104.9-4.938%-
Last 10 (10)47.949.797.6-1.830%-
Last 5 (5)50.051.0101.0-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)49.855.5105.3-5.627%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)50.649.9100.5+0.747%-
vs Weaker (2)56.058.0114.0-2.050%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 103.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws23.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.129.7
47.1%
49.0%59.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.36.7
36.6%
35.3%20.1
🏀 Free throws28.923.8
82.4%
75.5%23.8
They take 81.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 22% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 93.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.325.6
44.7%
49.0%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.98.3
34.7%
35.3%24.9
🏀 Free throws23.117.1
74.0%
75.5%17.1
They take 81.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2015 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
LLWLLLLWWW
Denver Nuggets
WWLWWLLLLL
#26
League position
#22
-1.1
Net rating
-6.6
104.3
Offensive rating
96.0
105.4
Defensive rating
102.6
48.8%
Effective FG%
46.9%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
15.2%
Turnover %
16.3%
24.1%
Off. rebound %
22.9%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.6%
3-point %
34.7%
58.5%
Assist %
63.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence104.3 · 96.0Defence105.4 · 102.6Shooting48.8% · 46.9%3-point %36.6% · 34.7%Ball care15.2% · 16.3%Off. rebounds24.1% · 22.9%Free throws0.36 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/15APhoenix Suns101-108
12/12/15ADenver Nuggets108-111 OT
10/12/15HLos Angeles Lakers123-122 OT
08/12/15HLos Angeles Clippers106-110
06/12/15HPortland Trail Blazers103-109
02/12/15HOrlando Magic93-96
29/11/15ALos Angeles Clippers99-107
28/11/15ASacramento Kings101-91
26/11/15HAtlanta Hawks99-95
24/11/15HPhiladelphia 76ers100-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/15HHouston Rockets114-108
12/12/15HMinnesota Timberwolves111-108 OT
09/12/15HOrlando Magic74-85
05/12/15APhiladelphia 76ers108-105
04/12/15AToronto Raptors106-105
03/12/15AChicago Bulls90-99
01/12/15AMilwaukee Bucks74-92
29/11/15ADallas Mavericks81-92
28/11/15HSan Antonio Spurs80-91
25/11/15HLos Angeles Clippers94-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL37%
HomeWLLLW31%
AwayLWLLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %37%31%43%
Points / game100.7101.1100.2
Allowed / game104.0106.4101.1
Point differential-3.3-5.4-0.9
Avg total204.6207.5201.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%0%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)62% (8)25% (4)
Overtime %13%6%21%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW45%
HomeLLLWW50%
AwayLLLWW41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311417
Win %45%50%41%
Points / game98.198.897.5
Allowed / game101.3100.4102.1
Point differential-3.3-1.6-4.6
Avg total199.4199.1199.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%14%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %3%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors3227584%112.7102.7+9.9
2 San Antonio Spurs3223972%99.789.4+10.3
3 Oklahoma City Thunder2920969%107.199.9+7.2
4 Charlotte Hornets31211068%101.795.7+6.0
5 Toronto Raptors33211264%98.594.3+4.2
6 Indiana Pacers30191163%103.399.1+4.3
7 Boston Celtics30181260%102.097.3+4.7
8 Chicago Bulls30181260%99.599.4+0.1
9 Memphis Grizzlies32191359%94.997.2-2.2
10 Miami Heat31181358%95.994.3+1.6
11 Orlando Magic31181358%100.398.6+1.6
12 Los Angeles Clippers31181358%101.6101.1+0.5
13 Cleveland Cavaliers30171357%99.897.0+2.9
14 Atlanta Hawks33181555%98.398.5-0.2
15 Detroit Pistons34171750%100.297.4+2.9
16 Phoenix Suns32151747%104.4103.9+0.5
17 New York Knicks30141647%97.498.8-1.4
18 Sacramento Kings30141647%104.3106.1-1.8
19 Houston Rockets33151845%105.1107.3-2.2
20 Denver Nuggets31141745%98.1101.3-3.3
21 Washington Wizards29131645%103.0105.5-2.6
22 Dallas Mavericks32141844%99.0100.5-1.6
23 Utah Jazz30131743%97.297.4-0.2
24 Portland Trail Blazers33141942%102.5102.0+0.5
25 Milwaukee Bucks31121939%96.6101.8-5.2
26 Minnesota Timberwolves30111937%100.7104.0-3.3
27 Brooklyn Nets2992031%96.3101.9-5.6
28 New Orleans Pelicans3192229%102.1108.0-6.0
29 Los Angeles Lakers3152616%96.7106.5-9.8
30 Philadelphia 76ers333309%91.6103.6-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves24253120100
Denver Nuggets27362920112
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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