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San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 121-120
32-31 18-37 37-32 34-20
Position#26
Record20-60
FormLWLWL
Points / game111.8
Allowed / game118.9
vs
Position#3
Record56-24
FormWLWWW
Points / game114.7
Allowed / game109.4
USANBA· Frost Bank Center
NBA2023-24
Meetings · San Antonio Spurs v Denver Nuggets
28 Feb 2027
SAS v DEN
upcoming
12 Apr 2026
SAS118
DEN128
12 Mar 2026
SAS131
DEN136
04 Jan 2025
SAS111
DEN122
12 Apr 2024
SAS121
DEN120
15 Mar 2024
SAS106
DEN117
10 Mar 2023
SAS128
DEN120
07 Nov 2022
SAS109
DEN115
11 Dec 2021
SAS112
DEN127
09 Dec 2021
SAS123
DEN111
29 Jan 2021
SAS119
DEN109
05 Aug 2020
SAS126
DEN132
25 Apr 2019
SAS120
DEN103
20 Apr 2019
SAS103
DEN117
18 Apr 2019
SAS118
DEN108
04 Mar 2019
SAS104
DEN103
26 Dec 2018
SAS111
DEN103
30 Jan 2018
SAS106
DEN104
13 Jan 2018
SAS112
DEN80
04 Feb 2017
SAS121
DEN97
19 Jan 2017
SAS118
DEN104
26 Dec 2015
SAS101
DEN86
18 Nov 2015
SAS109
DEN98
03 Apr 2015
SAS123
DEN93
06 Mar 2015
SAS120
DEN111
26 Mar 2014
SAS108
DEN103
27 Mar 2013
SAS100
DEN99
17 Nov 2012
SAS126
DEN100
04 Mar 2012
SAS94
DEN99
07 Jan 2012
SAS121
DEN117
16 Jan 2011
SAS110
DEN97
22 Dec 2010
SAS109
DEN103
31 Jan 2010
SAS89
DEN103
05 Dec 2009
SAS99
DEN106
19 Nov 2008
SAS81
DEN91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Antonio Spurs winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSpurs
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
106-131
106
131
-25
97avg 106
H24/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
104-102
104
102
+2
91avg 106
H26/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
118-111
118
111
+7
121avg 106
A28/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
W
130-126 OT
130
126
+4
135avg 106
H30/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
L
113-117
113
117
-4
110avg 106
H31/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
105-110
105
110
-5
98avg 106
A03/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
111-109
111
109
+2
109avg 106
A06/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
126-133 OT
126
133
-7
125avg 106
H07/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
102-87
102
87
+15
104avg 106
A10/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
89-127
89
127
-38
73avg 106
A11/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
30-39
24-38
35-28
29-22
18-28
28-24
29-28
29-15
30-33
29-31
30-32
38-27
36-30
20-34
27-30
34-27
26-25
21-37
32-28
23-30
31-25
31-31
20-24
18-27
33-34
35-25
25-23
24-31
40-23
16-19
31-38
16-25
32-24
29-12
25-26
11-34
24-34
29-30
25-29
225.7Avg total
110.4Scored
115.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (80)111.8118.9230.7-7.025%
Season at home (39)113.8118.9232.8-5.126%
Season away (41)110.0118.8228.7-8.824%
Last 10 (10)110.4115.3225.7-4.950%
Last 5 (5)106.6113.2219.8-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)111.2117.6228.8-6.326%
vs Similar (7)110.4108.9219.3+1.657%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
114-111
114
111
+3
105avg 110
A24/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
128-103
128
103
+25
135avg 110
H26/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
97-104
97
104
-7
86avg 110
H28/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
98-111
98
111
-13
91avg 110
H30/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
130-101
130
101
+29
138avg 110
H31/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
110-105
110
105
+5
103avg 110
H03/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
100-102
100
102
-2
98avg 110
A05/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
142-110
142
110
+32
150avg 110
H07/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
111-95
111
95
+16
104avg 110
A10/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
116-107
116
107
+9
116avg 110
H11/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-22
31-25
28-36
29-28
39-24
30-20
30-32
29-27
29-29
23-30
21-24
24-21
26-33
17-29
21-25
34-24
30-26
35-30
36-21
29-24
30-23
25-31
31-31
24-20
31-20
18-33
21-22
30-27
33-26
36-30
42-30
31-24
34-17
31-36
22-27
24-15
26-28
23-24
34-28
33-27
219.5Avg total
114.6Scored
104.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (80)114.7109.4224.1+5.270%
Season at home (41)118.5108.7227.2+9.880%
Season away (39)110.6110.2220.8+0.459%
Last 10 (10)114.6104.9219.5+9.770%
Last 5 (5)115.8103.8219.6+12.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)115.0109.0224.0+6.0100%
vs Similar (16)107.4105.9213.3+1.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)122.8108.8231.6+13.9100%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +5.6+5.6Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +5.0+5.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +5.6+5.6Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +5.0+5.0
San Antonio SpursDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
47-65
47
65
-18
H24/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H26/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
59-48
59
48
+11
A28/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
W
74-57
74
57
+17
H30/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
60-52
60
52
+8
H31/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
54-55
54
55
-1
A03/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
51-61
51
61
-10
A06/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
64-54
64
54
+10
H07/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A10/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
35-68
35
68
-33
A11/04
NBA
109.8Avg total
53.9Scored
55.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.556.3109.7-2.840%-
Last 30 at home (13)55.754.9110.6+0.862%-
Last 30 away (17)51.857.3109.1-5.524%-
Last 10 (10)53.955.9109.8-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)50.457.4107.8-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)54.157.3111.4-3.339%-
vs Similar (7)51.452.7104.1-1.343%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
57-47
57
47
+10
A24/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
69-44
69
44
+25
H26/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
52-59
52
59
-7
H28/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
43-62
43
62
-19
H30/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
65-56
65
56
+9
H31/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
55-54
55
54
+1
H03/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A05/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
69-56
69
56
+13
H07/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
65-53
65
53
+12
A10/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H11/04
NBA
110.9Avg total
57.3Scored
53.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.754.6113.4+4.163%-
Last 30 at home (17)59.454.6114.1+4.865%-
Last 30 away (13)57.854.6112.5+3.262%-
Last 10 (10)57.353.6110.9+3.760%-
Last 5 (5)57.453.6111.0+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)62.054.0116.0+8.0100%-
vs Similar (16)55.455.9111.3-0.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)62.653.1115.7+9.577%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 110.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.827.9
54.9%
54.4%55.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.413.1
33.2%
36.3%39.3
🏀 Free throws19.415.3
78.9%
78.2%15.3
They take 90.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 114.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.130.4
54.2%
54.4%60.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.913.2
40.1%
36.3%39.6
🏀 Free throws19.414.2
73.2%
78.2%14.2
They take 89.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
San Antonio Spurs
LWLWLLWWWL
Denver Nuggets
WWWLWWLLWW
#26
League position
#3
-4.7
Net rating
+9.8
105.1
Offensive rating
116.1
109.8
Defensive rating
106.3
52.7%
Effective FG%
56.4%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
14.9%
Turnover %
12.4%
20.8%
Off. rebound %
26.3%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.22
33.2%
3-point %
40.1%
74.9%
Assist %
70.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence105.1 · 116.1Defence109.8 · 106.3Shooting52.7% · 56.4%3-point %33.2% · 40.1%Ball care14.9% · 12.4%Off. rebounds20.8% · 26.3%Free throws0.22 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ San Antonio Spurs   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/24AOklahoma City Thunder89-127
10/04/24AMemphis Grizzlies102-87
07/04/24HPhiladelphia 76ers126-133 OT
06/04/24ANew Orleans Pelicans111-109
03/04/24ADenver Nuggets105-110
31/03/24HGolden State Warriors113-117
30/03/24HNew York Knicks130-126 OT
28/03/24AUtah Jazz118-111
26/03/24HPhoenix Suns104-102
24/03/24HPhoenix Suns106-131
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/24HMinnesota Timberwolves116-107
10/04/24AUtah Jazz111-95
07/04/24HAtlanta Hawks142-110
05/04/24ALos Angeles Clippers100-102
03/04/24HSan Antonio Spurs110-105
31/03/24HCleveland Cavaliers130-101
30/03/24HMinnesota Timberwolves98-111
28/03/24HPhoenix Suns97-104
26/03/24HMemphis Grizzlies128-103
24/03/24APortland Trail Blazers114-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL25%
HomeLWWLL26%
AwayWLWWL24%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games803941
Win %25%26%24%
Points / game111.8113.8110.0
Allowed / game118.9118.9118.8
Point differential-7.0-5.1-8.8
Avg total230.7232.8228.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%13%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won32% (22)31% (13)33% (9)
Overtime %6%13%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW70%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLWWLW59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games804139
Win %70%80%59%
Points / game114.7118.5110.6
Allowed / game109.4108.7110.2
Point differential+5.2+9.8+0.4
Avg total224.1227.2220.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%49%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won52% (21)50% (6)53% (15)
Overtime %1%2%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics80631779%120.5108.9+11.6
2 Denver Nuggets80562470%114.7109.4+5.2
3 Minnesota Timberwolves80552569%113.1106.3+6.8
4 Oklahoma City Thunder80552569%119.8113.1+6.8
5 Los Angeles Clippers80512964%115.8112.3+3.5
6 Dallas Mavericks80503062%118.6115.5+3.1
7 Milwaukee Bucks78483062%119.2116.1+3.1
8 New York Knicks80493161%112.6107.6+5.0
9 New Orleans Pelicans78473160%115.4110.1+5.2
10 Phoenix Suns79473259%116.4113.4+3.0
11 Cleveland Cavaliers81483359%112.7110.1+2.6
12 Sacramento Kings79453457%116.6115.2+1.5
13 Philadelphia 76ers81463557%114.7111.9+2.8
14 Orlando Magic81463557%110.4108.7+1.7
15 Golden State Warriors80453556%117.8115.2+2.6
16 Indiana Pacers79443556%122.8120.4+2.4
17 Los Angeles Lakers78433555%117.9118.1-0.2
18 Miami Heat80443655%109.9108.5+1.3
19 Houston Rockets80394149%114.3113.4+0.9
20 Chicago Bulls81394248%112.2113.6-1.4
21 Atlanta Hawks80364445%118.5120.2-1.7
22 Brooklyn Nets81324940%110.7113.3-2.7
23 Utah Jazz80305038%115.7120.7-4.9
24 Memphis Grizzlies80275334%105.6112.5-7.0
25 Toronto Raptors80255531%112.6118.7-6.1
26 Portland Trail Blazers80215926%106.7115.3-8.7
27 San Antonio Spurs80206025%111.8118.9-7.0
28 Charlotte Hornets81206125%106.4116.9-10.5
29 Washington Wizards81156619%113.6122.9-9.3
30 Detroit Pistons80136716%110.1119.3-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
San Antonio Spurs32183734121
Denver Nuggets31373220120
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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