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Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 18 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 00:00
Scheduled
Position#23
Record4-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game107.5
Allowed / game113.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
2.8/10
🧊 Cold
3.3/10
Below normal
Position#18
Record5-6
FormLWLWW
Points / game115.7
Allowed / game120.0
USANBA· Capital One Arena
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Washington Wizards v Miami Heat
17 Feb 2027
WAS v MIA
upcoming
10 Feb 2027
WAS v MIA
upcoming
10 Apr 2026
WAS117
MIA140
08 Feb 2026
WAS101
MIA132
31 Mar 2025
WAS94
MIA120
02 Nov 2024
WAS98
MIA118
31 Mar 2024
WAS107
MIA119
02 Feb 2024
WAS102
MIA110
07 Apr 2023
WAS114
MIA108
18 Nov 2022
WAS107
MIA106
07 Feb 2022
WAS100
MIA121
20 Nov 2021
WAS103
MIA100
09 Jan 2021
WAS124
MIA128
08 Mar 2020
WAS89
MIA100
30 Dec 2019
WAS123
MIA105
23 Mar 2019
WAS108
MIA113
18 Oct 2018
WAS112
MIA113
06 Mar 2018
WAS117
MIA113
17 Nov 2017
WAS88
MIA91
08 Apr 2017
WAS103
MIA106
19 Nov 2016
WAS111
MIA114
20 Jan 2016
WAS106
MIA87
03 Jan 2016
WAS75
MIA97
06 Mar 2015
WAS99
MIA97
01 Dec 2014
WAS107
MIA86
14 Apr 2014
WAS114
MIA93
15 Jan 2014
WAS114
MIA97
10 Apr 2013
WAS98
MIA103
04 Dec 2012
WAS105
MIA101
26 Apr 2012
WAS104
MIA70
10 Feb 2012
WAS89
MIA106
30 Mar 2011
WAS107
MIA123
18 Dec 2010
WAS94
MIA95
22 Jan 2010
WAS88
MIA112
04 Nov 2009
WAS89
MIA93
04 Apr 2009
WAS104
MIA118
18 Nov 2008
WAS87
MIA94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Washington Wizards win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWizards
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
124-120
124
120
+4
118avg 97
A25/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
L
103-110
103
110
-7
94avg 97
A26/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#16
L
111-121
111
121
-10
105avg 97
A28/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
W
95-79
95
79
+16
92avg 97
H30/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
103-94
103
94
+9
101avg 97
A03/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
L
105-120
105
120
-15
96avg 97
H05/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
L
132-139
132
139
-7
126avg 97
A07/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
75-114
75
114
-39
54avg 97
A08/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#8
L
111-122
111
122
-11
96avg 97
A10/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#22
L
101-114
101
114
-13
83avg 97
A12/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-27
29-35
40-20
27-38
21-19
23-35
24-26
35-30
42-34
27-25
23-33
19-29
22-26
29-20
28-13
16-20
28-33
32-26
19-9
24-26
32-37
29-31
24-25
20-27
32-28
27-38
35-39
38-34
19-25
17-32
23-33
16-24
32-31
26-37
29-35
24-19
25-26
25-29
27-22
24-37
219.3Avg total
106.0Scored
113.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)107.5113.4220.9-5.933%
Season at home (4)107.5106.8214.2+0.850%
Season away (8)107.5116.8224.2-9.225%
Last 10 (10)106.0113.3219.3-7.330%
Last 5 (5)104.8121.8226.6-17.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)111.0128.2239.2-17.20%
vs Similar ◀ (4)113.0109.8222.8+3.250%
vs Weaker (4)112.5106.2218.8+6.275%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#8
L
111-128
111
128
-17
92avg 113
H24/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
L
110-115
110
115
-5
95avg 113
A24/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
109-113
109
113
-4
96avg 113
H26/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
W
129-117
129
117
+12
131avg 113
A28/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#22
W
145-125
145
125
+20
148avg 113
H31/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
117-138
117
138
-21
108avg 113
A03/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#26
W
117-116 OT
117
116
+1
112avg 113
A05/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#9
L
100-120
100
120
-20
90avg 113
A06/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
W
114-108
114
108
+6
104avg 113
A09/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
W
115-109
115
109
+6
99avg 113
A11/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-41
27-24
27-38
31-25
31-31
27-35
17-30
35-19
27-23
25-30
32-30
25-30
34-25
35-31
28-29
32-32
36-42
32-19
35-27
42-37
30-37
42-42
21-32
24-27
33-24
19-43
26-20
29-20
29-26
24-27
23-38
24-29
34-30
34-29
23-22
23-27
29-25
35-29
28-18
23-37
235.6Avg total
116.7Scored
118.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)115.7120.0235.7-4.345%
Season at home (4)117.8124.2242.0-6.525%
Season away (7)114.6117.6232.1-3.057%
Last 10 (10)116.7118.9235.6-2.250%
Last 5 (5)112.6118.2230.8-5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)114.8126.7241.4-11.922%
vs Similar ◀ (13)121.4123.8245.2-2.438%
vs Weaker (8)126.4119.2245.6+7.175%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: +0.5+0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: +0.5+0.5
Washington WizardsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#27
L
57-62
57
62
-5
A25/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A26/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#16
W
69-59
69
59
+10
A28/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H30/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
60-59
60
59
+1
A03/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
L
61-68
61
68
-7
H05/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
L
59-66
59
66
-7
A07/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
36-57
36
57
-21
A08/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#8
L
58-68
58
68
-10
A10/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#22
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A12/11
NBA
113.9Avg total
54.5Scored
59.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.262.2116.4-7.913%-
Last 30 at home (12)54.762.4117.1-7.88%-
Last 30 away (18)53.962.0115.9-8.117%-
Last 10 (10)54.559.4113.9-4.930%-
Last 5 (5)52.862.8115.6-10.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)54.065.0119.0-11.05%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)59.054.5113.5+4.550%-
vs Weaker (4)50.854.5105.2-3.825%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#8
L
53-65
53
65
-12
H24/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
L
58-66
58
66
-8
A24/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
52-53
52
53
-1
H26/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
W
69-56
69
56
+13
A28/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#22
W
68-61
68
61
+7
H31/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
72-79
72
79
-7
A03/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#26
L
52-67
52
67
-15
A05/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#9
D
53-53
53
53
+0
A06/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
W
68-59
68
59
+9
A09/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
W
64-54
64
54
+10
A11/11
NBA
122.2Avg total
60.9Scored
61.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.462.5123.8-1.143%-
Last 30 at home (14)62.462.4124.9+0.050%-
Last 30 away (16)60.462.5122.9-2.138%-
Last 10 (10)60.961.3122.2-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)61.862.4124.2-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)60.064.3124.3-4.322%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)57.862.7120.5-4.838%-
vs Weaker (8)68.660.0128.6+8.675%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 114.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.431.5
55.9%
54.0%63.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.611.0
34.8%
35.1%33.0
🏀 Free throws23.018.1
78.7%
77.1%18.1
They take 88.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 118.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.129.7
55.9%
54.0%59.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.813.6
35.1%
35.1%40.8
🏀 Free throws25.118.7
74.5%
77.1%18.7
They take 91.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Washington Wizards
LLLLLWWLLW
Miami Heat
WWLWLWWLLL
#23
League position
#18
-6.2
Net rating
-0.5
110.3
Offensive rating
111.7
116.5
Defensive rating
112.2
54.5%
Effective FG%
54.5%
55.9%
Opp. effective FG%
56.8%
13.5%
Turnover %
11.9%
24.1%
Off. rebound %
19.3%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.8%
3-point %
35.1%
56.2%
Assist %
66.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.3 · 111.7Defence116.5 · 112.2Shooting54.5% · 54.5%3-point %34.8% · 35.1%Ball care13.5% · 11.9%Off. rebounds24.1% · 19.3%Free throws0.26 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Washington Wizards   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Washington Wizards wins
8
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AIndiana Pacers101-114
10/11/26ADetroit Pistons111-122
08/11/26AOklahoma City Thunder75-114
07/11/26AAtlanta Hawks132-139
05/11/26HAtlanta Hawks105-120
03/11/26AOrlando Magic103-94
30/10/26HCharlotte Hornets95-79
28/10/26ACleveland Cavaliers111-121
26/10/26ACharlotte Hornets103-110
25/10/26AChicago Bulls124-120
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26AUtah Jazz115-109
09/11/26ASacramento Kings114-108
06/11/26AGolden State Warriors100-120
05/11/26ALos Angeles Clippers117-116 OT
03/11/26ALos Angeles Lakers117-138
31/10/26HIndiana Pacers145-125
28/10/26AAtlanta Hawks129-117
26/10/26HDallas Mavericks109-113
24/10/26ACharlotte Hornets110-115
24/10/26HDetroit Pistons111-128

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Washington Wizards
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL33%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayWLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1248
Win %33%50%25%
Points / game107.5107.5107.5
Allowed / game113.4106.8116.8
Point differential-5.9+0.8-9.2
Avg total220.9214.2224.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Miami Heat
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW45%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayLWLWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %45%25%57%
Points / game115.7117.8114.6
Allowed / game120.0124.2117.6
Point differential-4.3-6.5-3.0
Avg total235.7242.0232.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%25%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %9%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers1311285%122.2114.2+7.9
2 Boston Celtics1210283%114.2103.1+11.2
3 San Antonio Spurs1210283%119.2108.0+11.2
4 Houston Rockets129375%115.4106.5+8.9
5 Philadelphia 76ers129375%110.2109.2+1.0
6 Minnesota Timberwolves118373%118.1107.0+11.1
7 Portland Trail Blazers118373%119.5112.3+7.3
8 Detroit Pistons107370%112.7104.6+8.1
9 Golden State Warriors128467%119.3111.5+7.8
10 Oklahoma City Thunder128467%111.1106.9+4.2
11 Memphis Grizzlies117464%117.9111.9+6.0
12 Dallas Mavericks117464%114.9110.3+4.6
13 Denver Nuggets106460%114.5113.3+1.2
14 Atlanta Hawks127558%118.2116.2+2.1
15 New York Knicks116555%110.3103.5+6.8
16 Cleveland Cavaliers126650%116.4114.3+2.1
17 Toronto Raptors115645%114.5111.9+2.5
18 Miami Heat115645%115.7120.0-4.3
19 Phoenix Suns104640%112.8118.1-5.3
20 Orlando Magic114736%108.5114.0-5.5
21 Charlotte Hornets114736%98.8110.4-11.5
22 Indiana Pacers124833%111.6114.0-2.4
23 Washington Wizards124833%107.5113.4-5.9
24 New Orleans Pelicans124833%116.9124.2-7.3
25 Brooklyn Nets113827%110.2115.3-5.1
26 Los Angeles Clippers102820%112.2118.1-5.9
27 Chicago Bulls101910%113.3128.8-15.5
28 Sacramento Kings111109%108.3121.0-12.7
29 Utah Jazz121118%106.6118.1-11.5
30 Milwaukee Bucks121118%106.8121.3-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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