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Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Jan 2010
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 123-122
28-30 37-32 33-34 25-26
Position#6
Record21-13
FormLLLWL
Points / game106.8
Allowed / game101.6
vs
Position#26
Record9-23
FormLWWLL
Points / game106.8
Allowed / game112.0
USANBA
NBA2009-10
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Golden State Warriors
12 Mar 2027
DEN v GSW
upcoming
26 Oct 2026
DEN114
GSW134
29 Mar 2026
DEN116
GSW93
07 Nov 2025
DEN129
GSW104
03 Dec 2024
DEN119
GSW115
25 Dec 2023
DEN120
GSW114
08 Nov 2023
DEN108
GSW105
02 Apr 2023
DEN112
GSW110
02 Feb 2023
DEN134
GSW117
24 Apr 2022
DEN126
GSW121
21 Apr 2022
DEN113
GSW118
10 Mar 2022
DEN102
GSW113
07 Mar 2022
DEN131
GSW124
14 Jan 2021
DEN114
GSW104
03 Mar 2020
DEN100
GSW116
15 Jan 2019
DEN111
GSW142
21 Oct 2018
DEN100
GSW98
03 Feb 2018
DEN115
GSW108
04 Nov 2017
DEN108
GSW127
13 Feb 2017
DEN132
GSW110
10 Nov 2016
DEN101
GSW125
13 Jan 2016
DEN112
GSW110
22 Nov 2015
DEN105
GSW118
13 Mar 2015
DEN114
GSW103
16 Apr 2014
DEN112
GSW116
23 Dec 2013
DEN81
GSW89
30 Apr 2013
DEN107
GSW100
23 Apr 2013
DEN117
GSW131
20 Apr 2013
DEN97
GSW95
13 Jan 2013
DEN116
GSW105
23 Nov 2012
DEN102
GSW91
09 Apr 2012
DEN123
GSW84
09 Feb 2012
DEN101
GSW109
11 Apr 2011
DEN134
GSW111
05 Jan 2010
DEN123
GSW122
01 Dec 2009
DEN135
GSW107
28 Mar 2009
DEN129
GSW116
13 Dec 2008
DEN123
GSW105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Golden State Warriors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
102-93
102
93
+9
H15/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#15
W
111-101
111
101
+10
H17/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
92-98
92
98
-6
A19/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
L
96-102
96
102
-6
A20/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
W
124-104
124
104
+20
H24/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#11
L
96-107
96
107
-11
A26/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#5
L
96-104
96
104
-8
H28/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
L
101-106
101
106
-5
A29/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#7
W
105-95
105
95
+10
A03/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#24
L
105-108
105
108
-3
H04/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
30-17
19-21
28-32
25-21
33-30
27-27
26-23
23-25
29-21
19-33
21-19
19-33
24-28
24-19
29-22
34-24
29-27
29-31
32-22
31-24
20-25
25-25
20-33
23-30
29-25
20-28
24-21
32-26
16-21
22-28
31-31
28-25
23-22
27-21
27-27
36-27
24-32
16-25
29-24
204.6Avg total
102.8Scored
101.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)106.8101.6208.4+5.162%
Season at home (16)113.4102.6216.1+10.881%
Season away (18)100.9100.8201.7+0.144%
Last 10 (10)102.8101.8204.6+1.040%
Last 5 (5)100.6104.0204.6-3.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)102.9100.9203.8+2.054%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)108.1101.7209.8+6.459%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#25
L
95-104
95
104
-9
A13/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#24
L
101-117
101
117
-16
A15/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
L
91-103
91
103
-12
H17/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#27
L
109-118
109
118
-9
H19/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
L
108-121
108
121
-13
A23/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
102-108
102
108
-6
A24/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#4
W
132-127
132
127
+5
H27/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
W
103-99
103
99
+4
H29/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#3
L
118-124
118
124
-6
A30/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#11
L
89-105
89
105
-16
A03/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-24
25-25
12-22
28-33
24-36
33-35
11-26
33-20
25-27
24-20
20-31
22-25
31-39
28-21
23-29
27-29
38-32
20-36
21-29
29-24
26-27
30-31
24-27
22-23
36-35
34-36
34-37
28-19
22-35
35-23
23-18
23-23
35-29
25-24
26-35
32-36
41-31
15-24
17-23
16-27
217.4Avg total
104.8Scored
112.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)106.8112.0218.9-5.228%
Season at home (13)111.5111.6223.1-0.246%
Season away (19)103.7112.3216.0-8.616%
Last 10 (10)104.8112.6217.4-7.820%
Last 5 (5)108.8112.6221.4-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)106.3114.7220.9-8.427%
vs Similar (13)105.1110.8215.8-5.723%
vs Weaker (2)125.597.0222.5+28.5100%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -6.6-6.6Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +0.1+0.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -6.6-6.6Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +0.1+0.1
Denver NuggetsGolden State Warriors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
55-40
55
40
+15
H15/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#15
W
58-51
58
51
+7
H17/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A19/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
L
43-61
43
61
-18
A20/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
W
63-51
63
51
+12
H24/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#11
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A26/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#5
L
52-55
52
55
-3
H28/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A29/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#7
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A03/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#24
W
60-59
60
59
+1
H04/01
NBA
103.9Avg total
53.3Scored
50.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.051.7104.7+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (14)58.152.7110.8+5.471%-
Last 30 away (16)48.650.999.4-2.338%-
Last 10 (10)53.350.6103.9+2.780%-
Last 5 (5)52.451.4103.8+1.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)51.752.0103.7-0.346%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)54.051.5105.5+2.559%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#25
W
55-49
55
49
+6
A13/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#24
L
57-71
57
71
-14
A15/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H17/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#27
L
59-60
59
60
-1
H19/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
L
58-68
58
68
-10
A23/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
56-58
56
58
-2
A24/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#4
L
70-71
70
71
-1
H27/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
57-58
57
58
-1
H29/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#3
W
60-53
60
53
+7
A30/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#11
W
56-55
56
55
+1
A03/01
NBA
116.7Avg total
57.7Scored
59.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.857.6113.3-1.837%-
Last 30 at home (12)56.958.6115.5-1.733%-
Last 30 away (18)55.056.9111.9-1.939%-
Last 10 (10)57.759.0116.7-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)59.859.0118.8+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)55.657.7113.3-2.133%-
vs Similar (13)54.458.4112.8-4.031%-
vs Weaker (2)66.051.5117.5+14.5100%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Denver Nuggets wins
1
Golden State Warriors wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/10HPhiladelphia 76ers105-108
03/01/10AUtah Jazz105-95
29/12/09ASacramento Kings101-106
28/12/09HDallas Mavericks96-104
26/12/09APortland Trail Blazers96-107
24/12/09HAtlanta Hawks124-104
20/12/09AMemphis Grizzlies96-102
19/12/09ANew Orleans Pelicans92-98
17/12/09HHouston Rockets111-101
15/12/09HOklahoma City Thunder102-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/10APortland Trail Blazers89-105
30/12/09ALos Angeles Lakers118-124
29/12/09HBoston Celtics103-99
27/12/09HPhoenix Suns132-127
24/12/09ANew Orleans Pelicans102-108
23/12/09AMemphis Grizzlies108-121
19/12/09HWashington Wizards109-118
17/12/09HSan Antonio Spurs91-103
15/12/09APhiladelphia 76ers101-117
13/12/09ADetroit Pistons95-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2009-10
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL62%
HomeWWWLL81%
AwayLLLLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341618
Win %62%81%44%
Points / game106.8113.4100.9
Allowed / game101.6102.6100.8
Point differential+5.1+10.8+0.1
Avg total208.4216.1201.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%56%28%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Golden State Warriors
NBA 2009-10
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL28%
HomeLLLWW46%
AwayLLLLL16%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321319
Win %28%46%16%
Points / game106.8111.5103.7
Allowed / game112.0111.6112.3
Point differential-5.2-0.2-8.6
Avg total218.9223.1216.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%23%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %3%0%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers3327682%104.997.3+7.6
2 Boston Celtics3224875%100.592.8+7.8
3 Cleveland Cavaliers3627975%100.093.5+6.5
4 Orlando Magic34241071%101.395.9+5.4
5 Dallas Mavericks35241169%100.797.2+3.4
6 Atlanta Hawks33211264%104.098.0+5.9
7 San Antonio Spurs32201262%101.895.6+6.2
8 Denver Nuggets34211362%106.8101.6+5.1
9 Phoenix Suns34211362%109.8106.4+3.4
10 Portland Trail Blazers36221461%96.793.2+3.5
11 Houston Rockets34201459%100.399.5+0.8
12 Oklahoma City Thunder34191556%98.396.1+2.2
13 Miami Heat32171553%96.796.1+0.6
14 Utah Jazz34181653%99.397.4+1.9
15 Memphis Grizzlies32161650%104.1104.7-0.5
16 New Orleans Pelicans32161650%97.8100.3-2.5
17 Toronto Raptors35171849%103.0105.1-2.1
18 Charlotte Hornets33151845%92.893.0-0.2
19 Los Angeles Clippers33151845%96.198.6-2.5
20 Milwaukee Bucks32141844%97.598.0-0.5
21 Sacramento Kings33141942%103.8105.5-1.7
22 Chicago Bulls33141942%92.397.6-5.4
23 New York Knicks34142041%101.9102.7-0.8
24 Washington Wizards32112134%99.1102.5-3.4
25 Detroit Pistons33112233%91.595.9-4.4
26 Indiana Pacers34112332%97.6103.4-5.9
27 Philadelphia 76ers34102429%97.7101.9-4.1
28 Golden State Warriors3292328%106.8112.0-5.2
29 Minnesota Timberwolves3572820%95.4105.5-10.0
30 Brooklyn Nets343319%89.7100.7-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets28373325123
Golden State Warriors30323426122
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