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Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Nov 2017
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 108-127
23-36 32-24 21-43 32-24
Position#12
Record5-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game105.8
Allowed / game104.0
vs
Position#2
Record6-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game120.0
Allowed / game111.7
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2017-18
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Golden State Warriors
12 Mar 2027
DEN v GSW
upcoming
26 Oct 2026
DEN114
GSW134
29 Mar 2026
DEN116
GSW93
07 Nov 2025
DEN129
GSW104
03 Dec 2024
DEN119
GSW115
25 Dec 2023
DEN120
GSW114
08 Nov 2023
DEN108
GSW105
02 Apr 2023
DEN112
GSW110
02 Feb 2023
DEN134
GSW117
24 Apr 2022
DEN126
GSW121
21 Apr 2022
DEN113
GSW118
10 Mar 2022
DEN102
GSW113
07 Mar 2022
DEN131
GSW124
14 Jan 2021
DEN114
GSW104
03 Mar 2020
DEN100
GSW116
15 Jan 2019
DEN111
GSW142
21 Oct 2018
DEN100
GSW98
03 Feb 2018
DEN115
GSW108
04 Nov 2017
DEN108
GSW127
13 Feb 2017
DEN132
GSW110
10 Nov 2016
DEN101
GSW125
13 Jan 2016
DEN112
GSW110
22 Nov 2015
DEN105
GSW118
13 Mar 2015
DEN114
GSW103
16 Apr 2014
DEN112
GSW116
23 Dec 2013
DEN81
GSW89
30 Apr 2013
DEN107
GSW100
23 Apr 2013
DEN117
GSW131
20 Apr 2013
DEN97
GSW95
13 Jan 2013
DEN116
GSW105
23 Nov 2012
DEN102
GSW91
09 Apr 2012
DEN123
GSW84
09 Feb 2012
DEN101
GSW109
11 Apr 2011
DEN134
GSW111
05 Jan 2010
DEN123
GSW122
01 Dec 2009
DEN135
GSW107
28 Mar 2009
DEN129
GSW116
13 Dec 2008
DEN123
GSW105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Golden State Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
111-105
111
105
+6
102avg 105
A13/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
96-106
96
106
-10
90avg 105
A19/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
96-79
96
79
+17
95avg 105
H22/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
L
104-109
104
109
-5
102avg 105
H24/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
93-110
93
110
-17
74avg 105
A25/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
105-100
105
100
+5
96avg 105
A27/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#23
W
124-111
124
111
+13
115avg 105
A29/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
L
110-116
110
116
-6
93avg 105
A30/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
129-111
129
111
+18
128avg 105
H02/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#16
W
95-94
95
94
+1
81avg 105
H04/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-26
31-38
30-21
25-20
30-21
28-28
25-29
13-28
17-18
25-16
24-18
30-27
29-29
26-27
22-22
27-31
23-27
16-35
29-23
25-25
26-23
27-29
22-19
30-29
29-36
31-27
40-21
24-27
25-35
18-30
38-19
29-32
34-19
26-27
43-25
26-40
28-37
23-21
25-13
19-23
210.4Avg total
106.3Scored
104.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)105.8104.0209.8+1.856%
Season at home (4)106.098.2204.2+7.875%
Season away (5)105.6108.6214.2-3.040%
Last 10 (10)106.3104.1210.4+2.260%
Last 5 (5)112.6106.4219.0+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)115.5113.8229.2+1.825%
vs Similar (19)111.4110.9222.3+0.453%
vs Weaker (7)111.099.3210.3+11.786%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
W
129-120
129
120
+9
122avg 115
H13/06
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
L
121-122
121
122
-1
126avg 115
H18/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#7
W
128-120
128
120
+8
126avg 115
A21/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
L
101-111
101
111
-10
91avg 115
A22/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#27
W
133-103
133
103
+30
138avg 115
A24/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
117-112
117
112
+5
120avg 115
H26/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
W
120-117
120
117
+3
121avg 115
H28/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
107-115
107
115
-8
110avg 115
H30/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
W
141-113
141
113
+28
146avg 115
A31/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#13
W
112-92
112
92
+20
111avg 115
A03/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-37
38-23
27-33
31-27
35-34
36-28
30-26
20-34
26-39
35-25
37-26
30-30
26-31
25-25
20-32
30-23
40-24
25-38
34-22
34-19
29-26
32-27
30-33
26-26
27-34
26-33
34-30
33-20
35-27
22-25
24-30
26-33
34-28
40-29
33-29
34-27
24-33
26-22
34-23
28-14
233.4Avg total
120.9Scored
112.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)120.0111.7231.7+8.367%
Season at home (4)116.2116.5232.8-0.250%
Season away (5)123.0107.8230.8+15.280%
Last 10 (10)120.9112.5233.4+8.470%
Last 5 (5)119.4109.8229.2+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)119.0117.0236.0+2.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)118.6106.4225.0+12.286%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +8.8+8.8Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +3.9+3.9
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +8.8+8.8Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +3.9+3.9
Denver NuggetsGolden State Warriors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
56-64
56
64
-8
A13/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
58-49
58
49
+9
A19/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H22/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
L
55-56
55
56
-1
H24/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
39-62
39
62
-23
A25/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
53-52
53
52
+1
A27/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#23
L
60-63
60
63
-3
A29/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
L
43-65
43
65
-22
A30/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
60-46
60
46
+14
H02/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#16
L
51-58
51
58
-7
H04/11
NBA
106.6Avg total
51.7Scored
54.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.255.1111.4+1.157%-
Last 30 at home (15)55.452.1107.5+3.367%-
Last 30 away (15)57.158.1115.2-1.147%-
Last 10 (10)51.754.9106.6-3.240%-
Last 5 (5)53.456.8110.2-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)57.854.5112.2+3.275%-
vs Similar (19)56.857.1113.9-0.347%-
vs Weaker (7)53.750.1103.9+3.671%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
W
71-60
71
60
+11
H13/06
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
W
71-62
71
62
+9
H18/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#7
L
61-64
61
64
-3
A21/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
L
51-56
51
56
-5
A22/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#27
W
65-62
65
62
+3
A24/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
61-53
61
53
+8
H26/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
L
53-67
53
67
-14
H28/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
57-52
57
52
+5
H30/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
W
74-57
74
57
+17
A31/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#13
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A03/11
NBA
120.2Avg total
61.4Scored
58.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.355.7116.1+4.670%-
Last 30 at home (16)59.553.5113.0+6.081%-
Last 30 away (14)61.358.3119.6+3.057%-
Last 10 (10)61.458.8120.2+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)59.056.8115.8+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)66.057.5123.5+8.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)59.955.6115.5+4.368%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 106.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.329.2
49.2%
51.0%58.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.210.4
38.2%
36.1%31.2
🏀 Free throws23.216.7
72.0%
76.5%16.7
They take 86.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 120.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.931.0
59.7%
51.0%62.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.313.5
40.5%
36.1%40.5
🏀 Free throws22.218.4
82.9%
76.5%18.4
They take 85.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Nov 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWLWWLLWLW
Golden State Warriors
WWLWWWLWLW
#12
League position
#2
+2.2
Net rating
+8.2
106.2
Offensive rating
118.1
104.0
Defensive rating
109.9
51.8%
Effective FG%
60.2%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
14.5%
Turnover %
16.4%
24.3%
Off. rebound %
25.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.26
38.2%
3-point %
40.5%
58.8%
Assist %
68.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence106.2 · 118.1Defence104.0 · 109.9Shooting51.8% · 60.2%3-point %38.2% · 40.5%Ball care14.5% · 16.4%Off. rebounds24.3% · 25.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Golden State Warriors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/17HMiami Heat95-94
02/11/17HToronto Raptors129-111
30/10/17ANew York Knicks110-116
29/10/17ABrooklyn Nets124-111
27/10/17AAtlanta Hawks105-100
25/10/17ACharlotte Hornets93-110
24/10/17HWashington Wizards104-109
22/10/17HSacramento Kings96-79
19/10/17AUtah Jazz96-106
13/04/17AOklahoma City Thunder111-105
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/17ASan Antonio Spurs112-92
31/10/17ALos Angeles Clippers141-113
30/10/17HDetroit Pistons107-115
28/10/17HWashington Wizards120-117
26/10/17HToronto Raptors117-112
24/10/17ADallas Mavericks133-103
22/10/17AMemphis Grizzlies101-111
21/10/17ANew Orleans Pelicans128-120
18/10/17HHouston Rockets121-122
13/06/17HCleveland Cavaliers129-120

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW56%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%75%40%
Points / game105.8106.0105.6
Allowed / game104.098.2108.6
Point differential+1.8+7.8-3.0
Avg total209.8204.2214.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Golden State Warriors
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW67%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayWLWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %67%50%80%
Points / game120.0116.2123.0
Allowed / game111.7116.5107.8
Point differential+8.3-0.2+15.2
Avg total231.7232.8230.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics97278%102.893.8+9.0
2 Houston Rockets107370%107.2102.6+4.6
3 Detroit Pistons107370%104.8101.2+3.6
4 Golden State Warriors96367%120.0111.7+8.3
5 Orlando Magic96367%111.3106.6+4.8
6 Memphis Grizzlies96367%101.897.1+4.7
7 Minnesota Timberwolves96367%109.1111.6-2.4
8 Toronto Raptors85362%109.2102.2+7.0
9 Los Angeles Clippers85362%108.4101.8+6.6
10 Portland Trail Blazers95456%107.7101.1+6.6
11 Indiana Pacers95456%111.3109.2+2.1
12 Utah Jazz95456%98.196.0+2.1
13 Denver Nuggets95456%105.8104.0+1.8
14 Charlotte Hornets95456%105.2104.3+0.9
15 Philadelphia 76ers95456%107.7108.6-0.9
16 San Antonio Spurs95456%98.6100.6-2.0
17 Oklahoma City Thunder84450%105.096.4+8.6
18 Washington Wizards84450%113.5110.9+2.6
19 New Orleans Pelicans105550%105.2105.6-0.4
20 New York Knicks84450%104.2105.4-1.1
21 Los Angeles Lakers94544%106.4107.9-1.4
22 Milwaukee Bucks94544%103.9107.0-3.1
23 Cleveland Cavaliers94544%107.8113.0-5.2
24 Phoenix Suns94544%107.3117.0-9.7
25 Miami Heat83538%103.5105.1-1.6
26 Brooklyn Nets93633%114.3119.3-5.0
27 Chicago Bulls82625%91.998.2-6.4
28 Atlanta Hawks91811%101.1110.1-9.0
29 Sacramento Kings91811%93.8105.8-12.0
30 Dallas Mavericks111109%97.9107.8-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets23322132108
Golden State Warriors36244324127
← all games of the day
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