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Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Mar 2009
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 129-116
28-27 38-30 38-18 25-41
Position#5
Record47-26
FormWWLWW
Points / game103.5
Allowed / game100.4
vs
Position#24
Record25-47
FormLWLLL
Points / game108.5
Allowed / game112.2
USANBA
NBA2008-09
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Golden State Warriors
12 Mar 2027
DEN v GSW
upcoming
26 Oct 2026
DEN114
GSW134
29 Mar 2026
DEN116
GSW93
07 Nov 2025
DEN129
GSW104
03 Dec 2024
DEN119
GSW115
25 Dec 2023
DEN120
GSW114
08 Nov 2023
DEN108
GSW105
02 Apr 2023
DEN112
GSW110
02 Feb 2023
DEN134
GSW117
24 Apr 2022
DEN126
GSW121
21 Apr 2022
DEN113
GSW118
10 Mar 2022
DEN102
GSW113
07 Mar 2022
DEN131
GSW124
14 Jan 2021
DEN114
GSW104
03 Mar 2020
DEN100
GSW116
15 Jan 2019
DEN111
GSW142
21 Oct 2018
DEN100
GSW98
03 Feb 2018
DEN115
GSW108
04 Nov 2017
DEN108
GSW127
13 Feb 2017
DEN132
GSW110
10 Nov 2016
DEN101
GSW125
13 Jan 2016
DEN112
GSW110
22 Nov 2015
DEN105
GSW118
13 Mar 2015
DEN114
GSW103
16 Apr 2014
DEN112
GSW116
23 Dec 2013
DEN81
GSW89
30 Apr 2013
DEN107
GSW100
23 Apr 2013
DEN117
GSW131
20 Apr 2013
DEN97
GSW95
13 Jan 2013
DEN116
GSW105
23 Nov 2012
DEN102
GSW91
09 Apr 2012
DEN123
GSW84
09 Feb 2012
DEN101
GSW109
11 Apr 2011
DEN134
GSW111
05 Jan 2010
DEN123
GSW122
01 Dec 2009
DEN135
GSW107
28 Mar 2009
DEN129
GSW116
13 Dec 2008
DEN123
GSW105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Golden State Warriors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#30
L
106-114
106
114
-8
A09/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
95-97
95
97
-2
H10/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
112-99
112
99
+13
H12/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#29
W
107-94
107
94
+13
H15/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#21
W
121-96
121
96
+25
H17/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#26
W
111-109
111
109
+2
A19/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#28
W
116-105
116
105
+11
H21/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#12
L
115-118
115
118
-3
A24/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
101-88
101
88
+13
A26/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
W
103-101
103
101
+2
A28/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-35
24-26
26-24
31-29
27-18
13-27
22-29
33-23
31-19
22-25
30-26
29-29
24-17
27-29
34-25
22-23
30-20
19-23
34-29
38-24
26-35
27-24
28-32
30-18
28-31
30-20
28-25
30-29
22-29
38-34
32-25
23-30
28-21
18-24
31-23
24-20
25-26
32-26
29-24
17-25
210.8Avg total
108.7Scored
102.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (73)103.5100.4203.9+3.164%
Season at home (35)105.999.7205.6+6.277%
Season away (38)101.2101.1202.3+0.253%
Last 10 (10)108.7102.1210.8+6.670%
Last 5 (5)109.2104.2213.4+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)99.096.1195.1+2.967%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)104.4102.1206.5+2.361%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#20
L
120-127
120
127
-7
A08/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#21
W
116-112
116
112
+4
H12/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
W
119-110
119
110
+9
H14/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#12
L
130-154
130
154
-24
H16/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#29
W
127-120
127
120
+7
H18/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
106-114
106
114
-8
A20/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#16
W
119-111
119
111
+8
H21/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
89-99
89
99
-10
A22/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#7
L
106-107
106
107
-1
A25/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
L
106-128
106
128
-22
A26/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-33
25-29
32-32
35-33
30-28
23-39
32-20
31-25
29-31
31-23
29-24
30-32
36-42
36-32
25-46
33-34
25-27
34-24
33-30
35-39
28-26
23-26
22-30
33-32
31-33
31-23
29-23
28-32
20-27
17-27
21-24
31-21
25-28
29-24
24-27
28-28
26-37
30-26
27-32
23-33
232.0Avg total
113.8Scored
118.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (72)108.5112.2220.7-3.735%
Season at home (35)115.0112.3227.3+2.754%
Season away (37)102.3112.2214.5-9.816%
Last 10 (10)113.8118.2232.0-4.440%
Last 5 (5)105.2111.8217.0-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)109.2114.5223.7-5.327%
vs Similar (12)111.6110.8222.3+0.850%
vs Weaker (3)113.0110.0223.0+3.067%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -0.2-0.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -0.2-0.2
Denver NuggetsGolden State Warriors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#30
L
49-61
49
61
-12
A09/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H10/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H12/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#29
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H15/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#21
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H17/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#26
L
53-59
53
59
-6
A19/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#28
W
58-51
58
51
+7
H21/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#12
L
60-63
60
63
-3
A24/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A26/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
W
57-52
57
52
+5
A28/03
NBA
102.5Avg total
51.6Scored
50.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.949.2101.1+2.763%-
Last 30 at home (12)51.746.998.6+4.883%-
Last 30 away (18)52.050.7102.7+1.350%-
Last 10 (10)51.650.9102.5+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)54.854.0108.8+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)51.546.598.0+5.075%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)52.151.0103.1+1.156%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#20
L
53-62
53
62
-9
A08/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#21
L
53-67
53
67
-14
H12/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
W
60-54
60
54
+6
H14/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#12
L
72-74
72
74
-2
H16/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#29
W
59-51
59
51
+8
H18/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A20/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#16
W
62-56
62
56
+6
H21/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A22/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#7
W
54-52
54
52
+2
A25/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
L
56-63
56
63
-7
A26/03
NBA
114.2Avg total
55.7Scored
58.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.156.9113.0-0.840%-
Last 30 at home (17)60.458.1118.5+2.253%-
Last 30 away (13)50.555.3105.8-4.823%-
Last 10 (10)55.758.5114.2-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)52.055.4107.4-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)56.856.7113.5+0.147%-
vs Similar (12)55.158.5113.6-3.425%-
vs Weaker (3)56.351.7108.0+4.767%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Denver Nuggets wins
1
Golden State Warriors wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/09ADallas Mavericks103-101
26/03/09ANew Orleans Pelicans101-88
24/03/09APhoenix Suns115-118
21/03/09HWashington Wizards116-105
19/03/09AMemphis Grizzlies111-109
17/03/09HBrooklyn Nets121-96
15/03/09HLos Angeles Clippers107-94
12/03/09HOklahoma City Thunder112-99
10/03/09HHouston Rockets95-97
09/03/09ASacramento Kings106-114
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/09ADallas Mavericks106-128
25/03/09ASan Antonio Spurs106-107
22/03/09ANew Orleans Pelicans89-99
21/03/09HPhiladelphia 76ers119-111
20/03/09ALos Angeles Lakers106-114
18/03/09HLos Angeles Clippers127-120
16/03/09HPhoenix Suns130-154
14/03/09HDallas Mavericks119-110
12/03/09HBrooklyn Nets116-112
08/03/09AMilwaukee Bucks120-127

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2008-09
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW64%
HomeLWWWW77%
AwayLWLWW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games733538
Win %64%77%53%
Points / game103.5105.9101.2
Allowed / game100.499.7101.1
Point differential+3.1+6.2+0.2
Avg total203.9205.6202.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%49%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (18)62% (8)50% (10)
Overtime %3%3%3%
Golden State Warriors
NBA 2008-09
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL35%
HomeWWLWW54%
AwayLLLLL16%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games723537
Win %35%54%16%
Points / game108.5115.0102.3
Allowed / game112.2112.3112.2
Point differential-3.7+2.7-9.8
Avg total220.7227.3214.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%26%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won32% (19)33% (15)25% (4)
Overtime %7%11%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers72591382%100.391.2+9.1
2 Los Angeles Lakers72581481%107.9100.0+8.0
3 Orlando Magic72541875%102.294.8+7.4
4 Boston Celtics74551974%100.792.7+8.0
5 San Antonio Spurs72482467%97.093.0+4.0
6 Houston Rockets73472664%98.394.6+3.8
7 Denver Nuggets73472664%103.5100.4+3.1
8 Portland Trail Blazers72452762%99.295.4+3.9
9 Utah Jazz71442762%103.399.6+3.6
10 New Orleans Pelicans71442762%95.893.5+2.3
11 Dallas Mavericks72432960%101.5100.0+1.5
12 Atlanta Hawks73423158%98.396.5+1.9
13 Phoenix Suns72403256%109.0106.9+2.1
14 Miami Heat73393453%98.298.2+0.0
15 Philadelphia 76ers71373452%97.596.9+0.6
16 Chicago Bulls74363849%101.6102.2-0.6
17 Detroit Pistons72353749%93.994.6-0.7
18 Charlotte Hornets73334045%93.794.5-0.9
19 Milwaukee Bucks74314342%98.8100.4-1.6
20 Brooklyn Nets72304242%98.6101.0-2.4
21 Indiana Pacers73304341%103.7105.7-2.0
22 New York Knicks73294440%105.6108.2-2.6
23 Toronto Raptors72274538%98.0101.0-3.0
24 Golden State Warriors72254735%108.5112.2-3.7
25 Oklahoma City Thunder72205228%97.3103.0-5.6
26 Minnesota Timberwolves73205327%98.1103.1-5.0
27 Memphis Grizzlies71185325%93.499.6-6.2
28 Los Angeles Clippers73185525%95.8104.3-8.5
29 Washington Wizards74175723%95.3103.1-7.7
30 Sacramento Kings71155621%99.9108.5-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets28383825129
Golden State Warriors27301841116
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