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Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 13 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 03:00
Scheduled
Position#10
Record7-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game114.6
Allowed / game112.8
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.6/10
Around normal
4.5/10
Below normal
Position#11
Record8-5
FormWWWLL
Points / game116.7
Allowed / game112.4
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Golden State Warriors
12 Mar 2027
DEN v GSW
upcoming
26 Oct 2026
DEN114
GSW134
29 Mar 2026
DEN116
GSW93
07 Nov 2025
DEN129
GSW104
03 Dec 2024
DEN119
GSW115
25 Dec 2023
DEN120
GSW114
08 Nov 2023
DEN108
GSW105
02 Apr 2023
DEN112
GSW110
02 Feb 2023
DEN134
GSW117
24 Apr 2022
DEN126
GSW121
21 Apr 2022
DEN113
GSW118
10 Mar 2022
DEN102
GSW113
07 Mar 2022
DEN131
GSW124
14 Jan 2021
DEN114
GSW104
03 Mar 2020
DEN100
GSW116
15 Jan 2019
DEN111
GSW142
21 Oct 2018
DEN100
GSW98
03 Feb 2018
DEN115
GSW108
04 Nov 2017
DEN108
GSW127
13 Feb 2017
DEN132
GSW110
10 Nov 2016
DEN101
GSW125
13 Jan 2016
DEN112
GSW110
22 Nov 2015
DEN105
GSW118
13 Mar 2015
DEN114
GSW103
16 Apr 2014
DEN112
GSW116
23 Dec 2013
DEN81
GSW89
30 Apr 2013
DEN107
GSW100
23 Apr 2013
DEN117
GSW131
20 Apr 2013
DEN97
GSW95
13 Jan 2013
DEN116
GSW105
23 Nov 2012
DEN102
GSW91
09 Apr 2012
DEN123
GSW84
09 Feb 2012
DEN101
GSW109
11 Apr 2011
DEN134
GSW111
05 Jan 2010
DEN123
GSW122
01 Dec 2009
DEN135
GSW107
28 Mar 2009
DEN129
GSW116
13 Dec 2008
DEN123
GSW105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Golden State Warriors win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
141-135 OT
141
135
+6
113avg 111
H25/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
114-134
114
134
-20
92avg 111
H27/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
104-91
104
91
+13
93avg 111
A29/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
W
127-120
127
120
+7
120avg 111
A31/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
110-118
110
118
-8
96avg 111
H03/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
W
128-109
128
109
+19
134avg 111
H05/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
114-102
114
102
+12
109avg 111
A07/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
100-110
100
110
-10
87avg 111
A10/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#8
W
123-118
123
118
+5
114avg 111
A12/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
116-108
116
108
+8
117avg 111
A15/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-38
33-35
32-35
37-18
32-28
24-32
28-40
30-34
37-18
20-27
22-28
25-18
32-37
39-30
32-26
24-27
31-19
35-39
21-27
23-33
33-35
31-32
39-15
25-27
27-19
37-22
26-37
24-24
24-32
16-22
28-23
32-33
35-24
30-28
29-38
29-28
29-23
27-28
30-31
30-26
232.2Avg total
117.7Scored
114.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)114.6112.8227.5+1.864%
Season at home (4)123.2124.0247.2-0.850%
Season away (7)109.7106.4216.1+3.371%
Last 10 (10)117.7114.5232.2+3.270%
Last 5 (5)116.2109.4225.6+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)115.0113.2228.2+1.850%
vs Similar ◀ (13)113.9115.5229.4-1.554%
vs Weaker (13)126.5116.8243.2+9.792%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#10
W
134-114
134
114
+20
102avg 100
A27/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
119-114
119
114
+5
93avg 100
A29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
W
112-95
112
95
+17
102avg 100
H31/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
W
124-112
124
112
+12
88avg 100
H02/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
W
116-113
116
113
+3
92avg 100
H03/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
W
120-100
120
100
+20
126avg 100
H06/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
126-119 OT
126
119
+7
128avg 100
H08/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
138-87
138
87
+51
144avg 100
H10/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
108-115
108
115
-7
97avg 100
A12/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
L
85-123
85
123
-38
69avg 100
A14/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-32
32-24
40-28
34-30
30-23
34-25
29-33
26-33
15-38
38-15
32-27
27-15
29-37
34-20
29-28
32-27
19-31
32-26
42-36
23-20
26-29
27-24
38-23
29-24
31-19
26-22
20-37
33-32
35-20
37-23
40-22
26-22
20-35
31-21
28-29
29-30
14-38
19-25
27-34
25-26
227.4Avg total
118.2Scored
109.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)116.7112.4229.1+4.362%
Season at home (7)120.6105.3225.9+15.386%
Season away (6)112.2120.7232.8-8.533%
Last 10 (10)118.2109.2227.4+9.080%
Last 5 (5)115.4108.8224.2+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)104.7117.6222.2-12.911%
vs Similar ◀ (9)111.9116.2228.1-4.333%
vs Weaker (12)123.0114.2237.2+8.883%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -5.5-5.5Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +8.5+8.5Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +2.5+2.5
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -5.5-5.5Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +8.5+8.5Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +2.5+2.5
Denver NuggetsGolden State Warriors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
L
57-73
57
73
-16
H25/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
56-60
56
60
-4
H27/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A29/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A31/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
66-58
66
58
+8
H03/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
L
64-67
64
67
-3
H05/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
64-41
64
41
+23
A07/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
40-54
40
54
-14
A10/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#8
W
65-52
65
52
+13
A12/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
56-51
56
51
+5
A15/11
NBA
116.4Avg total
59.6Scored
56.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.958.2118.1+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (16)61.762.4124.1-0.738%-
Last 30 away (14)57.853.5111.3+4.371%-
Last 10 (10)59.656.8116.4+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)57.853.0110.8+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)57.553.8111.2+3.875%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)58.258.0116.2+0.246%-
vs Weaker (13)62.359.8122.2+2.554%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#10
W
60-56
60
56
+4
A27/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
64-48
64
48
+16
A29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H31/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
W
63-57
63
57
+6
H02/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
L
51-57
51
57
-6
H03/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H06/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
57-41
57
41
+16
H08/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
72-43
72
43
+29
H10/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
51-56
51
56
-5
A12/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
L
33-63
33
63
-30
A14/11
NBA
108.4Avg total
55.7Scored
52.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.856.6111.4-1.830%-
Last 30 at home (14)56.554.8111.3+1.736%-
Last 30 away (16)53.258.2111.4-4.925%-
Last 10 (10)55.752.7108.4+3.050%-
Last 5 (5)53.251.2104.4+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)51.057.6108.6-6.622%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)52.056.4108.4-4.411%-
vs Weaker (12)59.756.0115.7+3.750%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 112.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.031.2
56.7%
54.0%62.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.410.1
32.2%
35.1%30.3
🏀 Free throws24.919.6
78.7%
77.3%19.6
They take 86.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 116.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers50.1 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.123.6
53.5%
54.0%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.716.7
41.0%
35.1%50.1
🏀 Free throws23.819.0
79.8%
77.3%19.0
They take 84.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWLWWLWWLW
Golden State Warriors
LLWWWWWWWW
#10
League position
#11
-1.6
Net rating
+3.0
110.1
Offensive rating
112.8
111.6
Defensive rating
109.8
53.6%
Effective FG%
57.4%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
11.1%
Turnover %
15.8%
16.8%
Off. rebound %
19.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.28
32.2%
3-point %
41.0%
65.9%
Assist %
69.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence110.1 · 112.8Defence111.6 · 109.8Shooting53.6% · 57.4%3-point %32.2% · 41.0%Ball care11.1% · 15.8%Off. rebounds16.8% · 19.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Golden State Warriors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ANew Orleans Pelicans116-108
12/11/26AMemphis Grizzlies123-118
10/11/26AHouston Rockets100-110
07/11/26AIndiana Pacers114-102
05/11/26HToronto Raptors128-109
03/11/26HPortland Trail Blazers110-118
31/10/26APhoenix Suns127-120
29/10/26ANew Orleans Pelicans104-91
27/10/26HGolden State Warriors114-134
25/10/26HNew Orleans Pelicans141-135 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ASan Antonio Spurs85-123
12/11/26AHouston Rockets108-115
10/11/26HNew Orleans Pelicans138-87
08/11/26HOrlando Magic126-119 OT
06/11/26HMiami Heat120-100
03/11/26HPhoenix Suns116-113
02/11/26HLos Angeles Clippers124-112
31/10/26HLos Angeles Lakers112-95
29/10/26AMinnesota Timberwolves119-114
27/10/26ADenver Nuggets134-114

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW64%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayWWLWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %64%50%71%
Points / game114.6123.2109.7
Allowed / game112.8124.0106.4
Point differential+1.8-0.8+3.3
Avg total227.5247.2216.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%25%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %9%25%0%
Golden State Warriors
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL62%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayLWWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %62%86%33%
Points / game116.7120.6112.2
Allowed / game112.4105.3120.7
Point differential+4.3+15.3-8.5
Avg total229.1225.9232.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%57%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %8%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Antonio Spurs1311285%119.5106.2+13.2
2 Los Angeles Lakers1311285%122.2114.2+7.9
3 Boston Celtics1210283%114.2103.1+11.2
4 Philadelphia 76ers1411379%112.6110.4+2.1
5 Houston Rockets1310377%116.2107.4+8.8
6 Portland Trail Blazers129375%119.6111.8+7.8
7 Minnesota Timberwolves139469%118.3106.8+11.5
8 Memphis Grizzlies139469%120.6111.7+8.9
9 Detroit Pistons128467%115.7110.2+5.4
10 Denver Nuggets117464%114.6112.8+1.8
11 Golden State Warriors138562%116.7112.4+4.3
12 Oklahoma City Thunder138562%111.2107.4+3.8
13 Atlanta Hawks137654%118.2116.8+1.3
14 Dallas Mavericks137654%113.5113.3+0.2
15 Miami Heat137654%118.7119.8-1.2
16 New York Knicks126650%109.8103.7+6.1
17 Cleveland Cavaliers147750%117.5115.9+1.6
18 Phoenix Suns115645%111.7116.1-4.4
19 Toronto Raptors125742%114.2112.8+1.4
20 Orlando Magic125742%108.3112.8-4.4
21 Indiana Pacers145936%112.1114.5-2.4
22 Charlotte Hornets124833%98.6109.6-11.0
23 Washington Wizards134931%110.0115.8-5.8
24 New Orleans Pelicans1441029%115.9124.9-9.1
25 Los Angeles Clippers113827%112.3117.5-5.3
26 Brooklyn Nets123925%110.2116.4-6.2
27 Chicago Bulls123925%114.6125.9-11.3
28 Sacramento Kings121118%108.2120.9-12.8
29 Utah Jazz131128%107.5118.6-11.2
30 Milwaukee Bucks131128%106.2120.2-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
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