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Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 28 Dec 2009
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 96-104
23-30 29-25 20-28 24-21
Position#8
Record23-12
FormWLLWL
Points / game108.1
Allowed / game101.8
vs
Position#4
Record26-10
FormWLWLW
Points / game101.1
Allowed / game96.6
USANBA
NBA2009-10
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Dallas Mavericks
04 Feb 2027
DEN v DAL
upcoming
24 Nov 2026
DEN v DAL
upcoming
25 Mar 2026
DEN142
DAL135
01 Dec 2025
DEN121
DAL131
22 Nov 2024
DEN120
DAL123
10 Nov 2024
DEN122
DAL120
18 Dec 2023
DEN130
DAL104
03 Nov 2023
DEN125
DAL114
15 Feb 2023
DEN118
DAL109
06 Dec 2022
DEN115
DAL116
29 Oct 2021
DEN106
DAL75
13 Mar 2021
DEN103
DAL116
07 Jan 2021
DEN117
DAL124
13 Apr 2020
DEN v DAL
upcoming
29 Oct 2019
DEN106
DAL109
14 Mar 2019
DEN100
DAL99
18 Dec 2018
DEN126
DAL118
27 Jan 2018
DEN91
DAL89
16 Jan 2018
DEN105
DAL102
06 Feb 2017
DEN110
DAL87
19 Dec 2016
DEN117
DAL107
21 Oct 2016
DEN101
DAL75
28 Mar 2016
DEN88
DAL97
06 Mar 2016
DEN116
DAL114
10 Apr 2015
DEN143
DAL144
14 Jan 2015
DEN114
DAL107
05 Mar 2014
DEN115
DAL110
23 Nov 2013
DEN102
DAL100
04 Apr 2013
DEN95
DAL94
19 Mar 2012
DEN95
DAL112
08 Feb 2012
DEN95
DAL105
10 Feb 2011
DEN121
DAL120
03 Nov 2010
DEN101
DAL102
09 Feb 2010
DEN127
DAL91
27 Dec 2009
DEN96
DAL104
13 May 2009
DEN124
DAL110
05 May 2009
DEN117
DAL105
03 May 2009
DEN109
DAL95
13 Jan 2009
DEN99
DAL97
07 Nov 2008
DEN108
DAL105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#24
W
93-83
93
83
+10
A08/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#17
L
95-107
95
107
-12
A09/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#26
L
99-101
99
101
-2
A11/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#5
W
105-99
105
99
+6
H13/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#11
W
102-93
102
93
+9
H15/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#15
W
111-101
111
101
+10
H17/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
92-98
92
98
-6
A19/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#18
L
96-102
96
102
-6
A20/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
W
124-104
124
104
+20
H24/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
96-107
96
107
-11
A26/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
21-18
22-21
30-18
26-29
23-25
26-24
20-29
24-23
26-29
23-28
26-21
29-26
18-34
30-17
28-22
25-23
30-17
19-21
28-32
25-21
33-30
27-27
26-23
23-25
29-21
19-33
21-19
19-33
24-28
24-19
29-22
34-24
29-27
29-31
32-22
31-24
20-25
25-25
20-33
200.8Avg total
101.3Scored
99.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)108.1101.8210.0+6.366%
Season at home (16)116.9102.6219.6+14.394%
Season away (19)100.7101.2201.9-0.442%
Last 10 (10)101.399.5200.8+1.850%
Last 5 (5)103.8102.4206.2+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)103.7100.9204.6+2.862%
vs Weaker (17)110.4101.8212.2+8.571%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#9
L
75-80
75
80
-5
H06/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#5
W
102-101
102
101
+1
H09/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#14
W
106-93
106
93
+13
A12/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#17
W
98-97 OT
98
97
+1
H13/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
94-90
94
90
+4
H15/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#11
W
100-86
100
86
+14
A17/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#15
L
108-116 OT
108
116
-8
H19/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
W
102-95
102
95
+7
H21/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
81-85
81
85
-4
H23/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#18
W
106-101
106
101
+5
H26/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-27
21-14
20-23
15-16
23-29
26-21
28-20
25-31
30-18
23-28
31-27
22-20
26-20
17-26
19-24
23-15
35-18
14-25
22-23
23-24
24-24
19-24
28-20
29-18
24-19
17-30
24-24
35-27
25-26
27-24
21-17
29-28
14-18
19-26
32-14
16-27
24-30
29-25
26-22
27-24
191.6Avg total
97.2Scored
94.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)101.196.6197.7+4.572%
Season at home (19)101.796.9198.7+4.874%
Season away (17)100.496.2196.5+4.271%
Last 10 (10)97.294.4191.6+2.870%
Last 5 (5)99.496.6196.0+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)100.395.6195.9+4.769%
vs Weaker (14)101.997.5199.4+4.471%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +1.4+1.4
Denver NuggetsDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#24
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A08/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#17
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A09/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#26
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A11/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#5
L
47-60
47
60
-13
H13/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#11
W
55-40
55
40
+15
H15/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#15
W
58-51
58
51
+7
H17/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A19/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#18
L
43-61
43
61
-18
A20/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
W
63-51
63
51
+12
H24/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A26/12
NBA
101.7Avg total
50.9Scored
50.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.251.6104.8+1.750%-
Last 30 at home (14)58.753.2111.9+5.571%-
Last 30 away (16)48.450.198.6-1.731%-
Last 10 (10)50.950.8101.7+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)53.451.6105.0+1.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)51.251.7102.8-0.538%-
vs Weaker (17)54.851.5106.3+3.459%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#9
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H06/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#5
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H09/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#14
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A12/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#17
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H13/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H15/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#11
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A17/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#15
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H19/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H21/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H23/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#18
L
53-55
53
55
-2
H26/12
NBA
92.8Avg total
45.6Scored
47.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.348.698.9+1.647%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.046.993.9+0.144%-
Last 30 away (14)54.050.6104.6+3.450%-
Last 10 (10)45.647.292.8-1.630%-
Last 5 (5)44.449.293.6-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)47.648.596.1-0.938%-
vs Weaker (14)53.348.8102.1+4.557%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Denver Nuggets wins
1
Dallas Mavericks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/09APortland Trail Blazers96-107
24/12/09HAtlanta Hawks124-104
20/12/09AMemphis Grizzlies96-102
19/12/09ANew Orleans Pelicans92-98
17/12/09HHouston Rockets111-101
15/12/09HOklahoma City Thunder102-93
13/12/09HPhoenix Suns105-99
11/12/09ADetroit Pistons99-101
09/12/09ACharlotte Hornets95-107
08/12/09APhiladelphia 76ers93-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/09HMemphis Grizzlies106-101
23/12/09HPortland Trail Blazers81-85
21/12/09HCleveland Cavaliers102-95
19/12/09HHouston Rockets108-116 OT
17/12/09AOklahoma City Thunder100-86
15/12/09HNew Orleans Pelicans94-90
13/12/09HCharlotte Hornets98-97 OT
12/12/09AMiami Heat106-93
09/12/09HPhoenix Suns102-101
06/12/09HAtlanta Hawks75-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2009-10
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL66%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayLLLLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351619
Win %66%94%42%
Points / game108.1116.9100.7
Allowed / game101.8102.6101.2
Point differential+6.3+14.3-0.4
Avg total210.0219.6201.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%69%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2009-10
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW72%
HomeWLWLW74%
AwayLWLWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361917
Win %72%74%71%
Points / game101.1101.7100.4
Allowed / game96.696.996.2
Point differential+4.5+4.8+4.2
Avg total197.7198.7196.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%26%41%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (12)78% (9)100% (3)
Overtime %14%16%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics3529683%100.691.0+9.5
2 Los Angeles Lakers3629781%103.196.8+6.4
3 Orlando Magic3628878%103.295.0+8.2
4 Dallas Mavericks36261072%101.196.6+4.5
5 Atlanta Hawks35251071%104.797.7+6.9
6 Cleveland Cavaliers38261268%99.593.9+5.6
7 Denver Nuggets35231266%108.1101.8+6.3
8 San Antonio Spurs33201361%102.197.1+5.0
9 Utah Jazz35211460%100.397.5+2.8
10 Portland Trail Blazers38221658%96.893.7+3.1
11 Phoenix Suns38221658%109.4107.3+2.1
12 Miami Heat33181555%97.095.3+1.7
13 Houston Rockets37201754%100.9100.4+0.6
14 Oklahoma City Thunder35171849%97.397.7-0.4
15 Los Angeles Clippers35171849%96.899.1-2.3
16 Toronto Raptors38172145%102.5105.4-2.9
17 Milwaukee Bucks34151944%97.196.9+0.3
18 Sacramento Kings34151944%103.6105.1-1.5
19 New Orleans Pelicans34151944%96.7101.1-4.5
20 Chicago Bulls34151944%91.496.3-5.0
21 Memphis Grizzlies35152043%101.6103.9-2.3
22 New York Knicks35142140%99.5102.2-2.7
23 Washington Wizards35132237%98.4102.3-3.9
24 Detroit Pistons36132336%92.897.2-4.4
25 Charlotte Hornets34122235%91.693.4-1.8
26 Indiana Pacers34112332%98.0103.8-5.8
27 Golden State Warriors35112431%107.6110.8-3.2
28 Philadelphia 76ers35102529%97.2101.1-3.9
29 Minnesota Timberwolves3892924%95.3104.7-9.4
30 Brooklyn Nets363338%90.599.7-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets2329202496
Dallas Mavericks30252821104
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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