PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 111-120
28-28 27-33 33-33 23-26
Position#17
Record43-43
FormWLWLL
Points / game115.2
Allowed / game115.5
vs
Position#2
Record55-29
FormLLWWW
Points / game115.8
Allowed / game112.1
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Denver Nuggets
27 Jan 2027
MIN v DEN
upcoming
31 Dec 2026
MIN v DEN
upcoming
30 Apr 2026
MIN110
DEN98
25 Apr 2026
MIN112
DEN96
23 Apr 2026
MIN113
DEN96
15 Nov 2025
MIN112
DEN123
27 Oct 2025
MIN114
DEN127
25 Jan 2025
MIN133
DEN104
01 Nov 2024
MIN119
DEN116
16 May 2024
MIN115
DEN70
12 May 2024
MIN107
DEN115
10 May 2024
MIN90
DEN117
19 Mar 2024
MIN112
DEN115
01 Nov 2023
MIN110
DEN89
23 Apr 2023
MIN114
DEN108
21 Apr 2023
MIN111
DEN120
05 Feb 2023
MIN128
DEN98
02 Jan 2023
MIN124
DEN111
01 Feb 2022
MIN130
DEN115
30 Oct 2021
MIN91
DEN93
13 May 2021
MIN103
DEN114
03 Jan 2021
MIN109
DEN124
20 Jan 2020
MIN100
DEN107
10 Nov 2019
MIN98
DEN100
02 Feb 2019
MIN106
DEN107
21 Nov 2018
MIN101
DEN103
11 Apr 2018
MIN112
DEN106
27 Dec 2017
MIN128
DEN125
22 Jan 2017
MIN111
DEN108
03 Nov 2016
MIN99
DEN102
06 Jan 2016
MIN74
DEN78
15 Dec 2015
MIN100
DEN112
04 Mar 2015
MIN85
DEN100
05 Jan 2015
MIN101
DEN110
12 Feb 2014
MIN117
DEN90
27 Nov 2013
MIN110
DEN117
12 Dec 2012
MIN108
DEN105
21 Nov 2012
MIN94
DEN101
26 Apr 2012
MIN102
DEN131
25 Mar 2012
MIN117
DEN100
05 Feb 2011
MIN100
DEN113
29 Dec 2010
MIN113
DEN119
10 Mar 2010
MIN102
DEN110
25 Nov 2009
MIN111
DEN124
05 Apr 2009
MIN87
DEN110
29 Nov 2008
MIN97
DEN106
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
100-107
100
107
-7
95avg 108
A30/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
111-123
111
123
-12
97avg 108
H01/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
L
105-107
105
107
-2
107avg 108
H02/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
107-102
107
102
+5
99avg 108
A04/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
151-131
151
131
+20
152avg 108
A08/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
113-108
113
108
+5
106avg 108
H09/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
102-108 OT
102
108
-6
97avg 108
A12/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
120-95
120
95
+25
121avg 108
H15/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
80-109
80
109
-29
64avg 108
A17/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
113-122
113
122
-9
106avg 108
A20/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-25
27-23
23-33
26-26
29-27
36-28
18-35
28-33
29-31
33-25
24-26
19-25
31-24
20-30
26-24
30-24
35-35
45-33
39-23
32-40
18-30
29-25
36-30
30-23
28-22
32-27
26-30
12-19
24-23
33-24
38-31
25-17
23-26
21-29
14-32
22-22
22-31
27-33
40-23
24-35
221.4Avg total
110.2Scored
111.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (86)115.2115.5230.7-0.350%
Season at home (42)116.0114.5230.6+1.555%
Season away (44)114.5116.4230.8-1.945%
Last 10 (10)110.2111.2221.4-1.040%
Last 5 (5)105.6108.4214.0-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)101.8120.2222.0-18.50%
vs Similar (24)115.5115.1230.6+0.454%
vs Weaker (2)132.0126.0258.0+6.050%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
116-111
116
111
+5
117avg 112
H28/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
88-107
88
107
-19
75avg 112
H31/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
93-100
93
100
-7
77avg 112
A01/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
112-110
112
110
+2
99avg 112
H03/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
L
103-124
103
124
-21
97avg 112
A05/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
115-119
115
119
-4
109avg 112
A07/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
L
114-118
114
118
-4
108avg 112
A08/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
109-95
109
95
+14
107avg 112
H09/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
109-80
109
80
+29
104avg 112
H17/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
122-113
122
113
+9
115avg 112
H20/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
36-39
30-20
25-34
17-21
23-29
30-32
18-25
20-32
20-28
34-24
19-16
26-36
32-25
31-26
23-23
30-31
29-25
26-30
18-38
25-27
30-29
31-33
29-30
19-32
36-26
40-31
19-29
26-43
33-24
24-14
26-14
26-23
29-21
32-14
22-22
31-22
33-27
23-40
35-24
215.8Avg total
108.1Scored
107.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (84)115.8112.1227.9+3.765%
Season at home (43)119.2109.0228.2+10.284%
Season away (41)112.2115.3227.5-3.146%
Last 10 (10)108.1107.7215.8+0.450%
Last 5 (5)113.8105.0218.8+8.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)108.4109.8218.2-1.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)118.7111.0229.7+7.769%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -2.1-2.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -2.1-2.1
Minnesota TimberwolvesDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A30/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
65-55
65
55
+10
H01/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
62-56
62
56
+6
H02/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
L
51-54
51
54
-3
A04/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
80-68
80
68
+12
A08/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
47-55
47
55
-8
H09/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
60-49
60
49
+11
A12/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H15/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A17/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
49-64
49
64
-15
A20/04
NBA
111.7Avg total
56.6Scored
55.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.658.5118.1+1.057%-
Last 30 at home (10)57.756.0113.7+1.760%-
Last 30 away (20)60.559.8120.3+0.755%-
Last 10 (10)56.655.1111.7+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)51.454.0105.4-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)46.060.5106.5-14.50%-
vs Similar (24)60.857.2118.0+3.567%-
vs Weaker (2)72.070.0142.0+2.050%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
61-57
61
57
+4
H28/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H31/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
40-60
40
60
-20
A01/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
58-61
58
61
-3
H03/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
59-56
59
56
+3
A05/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
55-56
55
56
-1
A07/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A08/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
59-67
59
67
-8
H09/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H17/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
64-49
64
49
+15
H20/04
NBA
110.4Avg total
54.6Scored
55.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.658.0116.6+0.643%-
Last 30 at home (14)59.655.4115.0+4.357%-
Last 30 away (16)57.860.3118.1-2.631%-
Last 10 (10)54.655.8110.4-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)57.654.8112.4+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)54.160.3114.4-6.221%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)62.656.0118.6+6.662%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 110.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.526.9
52.2%
54.5%53.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.313.5
39.4%
35.8%40.5
🏀 Free throws20.815.9
76.4%
78.1%15.9
They take 85.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 108.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.631.5
55.7%
54.5%63.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.39.7
31.0%
35.8%29.1
🏀 Free throws22.416.0
71.4%
78.1%16.0
They take 87.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
LLWLWWWLLL
Denver Nuggets
WWWLLLWLLW
#17
League position
#2
-1.0
Net rating
+0.4
108.3
Offensive rating
109.5
109.3
Defensive rating
109.1
55.0%
Effective FG%
52.4%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
14.6%
Turnover %
12.7%
20.4%
Off. rebound %
26.1%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.25
39.4%
3-point %
31.0%
66.1%
Assist %
61.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.3 · 109.5Defence109.3 · 109.1Shooting55.0% · 52.4%3-point %39.4% · 31.0%Ball care14.6% · 12.7%Off. rebounds20.4% · 26.1%Free throws0.24 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/23ADenver Nuggets113-122
17/04/23ADenver Nuggets80-109
15/04/23HOklahoma City Thunder120-95
12/04/23ALos Angeles Lakers102-108 OT
09/04/23HNew Orleans Pelicans113-108
08/04/23ASan Antonio Spurs151-131
04/04/23ABrooklyn Nets107-102
02/04/23HPortland Trail Blazers105-107
01/04/23HLos Angeles Lakers111-123
30/03/23APhoenix Suns100-107
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/23HMinnesota Timberwolves122-113
17/04/23HMinnesota Timberwolves109-80
09/04/23HSacramento Kings109-95
08/04/23AUtah Jazz114-118
07/04/23APhoenix Suns115-119
05/04/23AHouston Rockets103-124
03/04/23HGolden State Warriors112-110
01/04/23APhoenix Suns93-100
31/03/23HNew Orleans Pelicans88-107
28/03/23HPhiladelphia 76ers116-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL50%
HomeWLLWW55%
AwayWWLLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games864244
Win %50%55%45%
Points / game115.2116.0114.5
Allowed / game115.5114.5116.4
Point differential-0.3+1.5-1.9
Avg total230.7230.6230.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%21%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (25)55% (11)57% (14)
Overtime %7%10%5%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW65%
HomeLWWWW84%
AwayWLLLL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844341
Win %65%84%46%
Points / game115.8119.2112.2
Allowed / game112.1109.0115.3
Point differential+3.7+10.2-3.1
Avg total227.9228.2227.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%51%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won68% (25)67% (15)70% (10)
Overtime %4%5%2%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks84592570%117.2113.6+3.6
2 Boston Celtics85592669%117.9111.4+6.5
3 Philadelphia 76ers85572867%114.9110.3+4.6
4 Denver Nuggets84552965%115.8112.1+3.7
5 Memphis Grizzlies84523262%116.7112.9+3.8
6 Cleveland Cavaliers85523361%111.6106.5+5.1
7 Sacramento Kings85503559%120.4117.9+2.5
8 New York Knicks85493658%115.3112.4+2.9
9 Phoenix Suns85473855%113.9111.7+2.2
10 Miami Heat86464053%109.7110.1-0.3
11 Golden State Warriors85454053%118.8117.0+1.8
12 Los Angeles Lakers85454053%116.9116.2+0.7
13 Brooklyn Nets85454053%112.7112.3+0.4
14 Los Angeles Clippers85454053%113.7113.4+0.3
15 New Orleans Pelicans83424151%114.4112.6+1.8
16 Atlanta Hawks86434350%118.2118.0+0.2
17 Minnesota Timberwolves86434350%115.2115.5-0.3
18 Toronto Raptors83414249%112.8111.3+1.4
19 Chicago Bulls84414349%112.8111.6+1.2
20 Oklahoma City Thunder84414349%117.3116.5+0.8
21 Dallas Mavericks82384446%114.2114.1+0.1
22 Utah Jazz82374545%117.1118.0-0.9
23 Washington Wizards82354743%113.2114.4-1.2
24 Indiana Pacers82354743%116.3119.5-3.2
25 Orlando Magic82344841%111.4114.0-2.6
26 Portland Trail Blazers82334940%113.4117.4-4.0
27 Charlotte Hornets82275533%111.0117.2-6.2
28 Houston Rockets82226027%110.7118.6-7.9
29 San Antonio Spurs82226027%113.0123.1-10.0
30 Detroit Pistons82176521%110.3118.5-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves28273323111
Denver Nuggets28333326120
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.