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Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 26 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 112-109
22-29 26-18 29-30 35-32
Position#2
Record56-30
FormWWWWL
Points / game115.7
Allowed / game112.1
vs
Position#17
Record44-44
FormWLLLW
Points / game115.2
Allowed / game115.4
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Minnesota Timberwolves
07 Mar 2027
DEN v MIN
upcoming
28 Dec 2026
DEN v MIN
upcoming
27 Apr 2026
DEN125
MIN113
20 Apr 2026
DEN114
MIN119
18 Apr 2026
DEN116
MIN105
01 Mar 2026
DEN108
MIN117
25 Dec 2025
DEN142
MIN138
01 Apr 2025
DEN139
MIN140
12 Mar 2025
DEN95
MIN115
19 May 2024
DEN90
MIN98
14 May 2024
DEN112
MIN97
06 May 2024
DEN80
MIN106
04 May 2024
DEN99
MIN106
10 Apr 2024
DEN116
MIN107
29 Mar 2024
DEN98
MIN111
25 Apr 2023
DEN112
MIN109
19 Apr 2023
DEN122
MIN113
16 Apr 2023
DEN109
MIN80
07 Feb 2023
DEN146
MIN112
18 Jan 2023
DEN122
MIN118
01 Apr 2022
DEN130
MIN136
15 Dec 2021
DEN107
MIN124
05 Jan 2021
DEN123
MIN116
23 Feb 2020
DEN128
MIN116
20 Dec 2019
DEN109
MIN100
10 Apr 2019
DEN99
MIN95
12 Mar 2019
DEN133
MIN107
05 Apr 2018
DEN100
MIN96
20 Dec 2017
DEN104
MIN112
15 Feb 2017
DEN99
MIN112
28 Dec 2016
DEN105
MIN103
11 Dec 2015
DEN111
MIN108
30 Oct 2015
DEN78
MIN95
17 Jan 2015
DEN105
MIN113
26 Dec 2014
DEN106
MIN102
03 Mar 2014
DEN128
MIN132
15 Nov 2013
DEN117
MIN113
09 Mar 2013
DEN111
MIN88
03 Jan 2013
DEN97
MIN101
11 Apr 2012
DEN113
MIN107
20 Feb 2012
DEN103
MIN101
09 Apr 2011
DEN130
MIN106
18 Dec 2010
DEN115
MIN113
11 Jan 2010
DEN105
MIN94
29 Nov 2009
DEN100
MIN106
10 Dec 2008
DEN116
MIN105
16 Nov 2008
DEN90
MIN84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
93-100
93
100
-7
77avg 111
A01/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
112-110
112
110
+2
99avg 111
H03/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
L
103-124
103
124
-21
97avg 111
A05/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
115-119
115
119
-4
109avg 111
A07/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
L
114-118
114
118
-4
108avg 111
A08/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
109-95
109
95
+14
107avg 111
H09/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
109-80
109
80
+29
104avg 111
H17/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
122-113
122
113
+9
115avg 111
H20/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
120-111
120
111
+9
122avg 111
A22/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
108-114 OT
108
114
-6
94avg 111
A24/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-32
20-28
34-24
19-16
26-36
32-25
31-26
23-23
30-31
29-25
26-30
18-38
25-27
30-29
31-33
29-30
19-32
36-26
40-31
19-29
26-43
33-24
24-14
26-14
26-23
29-21
32-14
22-22
31-22
33-27
23-40
35-24
28-28
33-27
33-33
26-23
22-23
30-25
22-32
22-16
218.9Avg total
110.5Scored
108.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (86)115.7112.1227.8+3.765%
Season at home (43)119.2109.0228.2+10.284%
Season away (43)112.3115.2227.5-2.947%
Last 10 (10)110.5108.4218.9+2.150%
Last 5 (5)113.6102.6216.2+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)108.4109.8218.2-1.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)117.3110.9228.2+6.469%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
L
105-107
105
107
-2
107avg 108
H02/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
107-102
107
102
+5
99avg 108
A04/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
151-131
151
131
+20
152avg 108
A08/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
113-108
113
108
+5
106avg 108
H09/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
102-108 OT
102
108
-6
97avg 108
A12/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
120-95
120
95
+25
121avg 108
H15/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
80-109
80
109
-29
64avg 108
A17/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
113-122
113
122
-9
106avg 108
A20/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
111-120
111
120
-9
100avg 108
H22/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
114-108 OT
114
108
+6
105avg 108
H24/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-31
33-25
24-26
19-25
31-24
20-30
26-24
30-24
35-35
45-33
39-23
32-40
18-30
29-25
36-30
30-23
28-22
32-27
26-30
12-19
24-23
33-24
38-31
25-17
23-26
21-29
14-32
22-22
22-31
27-33
40-23
24-35
28-28
27-33
33-33
23-26
23-22
25-30
32-22
16-22
222.6Avg total
111.6Scored
111.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (88)115.2115.4230.6-0.350%
Season at home (44)115.9114.5230.4+1.355%
Season away (44)114.5116.4230.8-1.945%
Last 10 (10)111.6111.0222.6+0.650%
Last 5 (5)107.6110.8218.4-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)104.0112.6216.6-8.620%
vs Similar (23)114.3115.0229.3-0.752%
vs Weaker (2)132.0126.0258.0+6.050%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -2.0-2.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -2.0-2.0
Denver NuggetsMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
40-60
40
60
-20
A01/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
58-61
58
61
-3
H03/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
59-56
59
56
+3
A05/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
55-56
55
56
-1
A07/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A08/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
59-67
59
67
-8
H09/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H17/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
64-49
64
49
+15
H20/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
61-55
61
55
+6
A22/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A24/04
NBA
111.2Avg total
55.8Scored
55.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.957.7115.6+0.347%-
Last 30 at home (13)58.255.9114.1+2.254%-
Last 30 away (17)57.859.0116.8-1.241%-
Last 10 (10)55.855.4111.2+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)58.252.6110.8+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)54.160.3114.4-6.221%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)61.355.4116.7+5.969%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
62-56
62
56
+6
H02/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
L
51-54
51
54
-3
A04/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
80-68
80
68
+12
A08/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
47-55
47
55
-8
H09/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
60-49
60
49
+11
A12/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H15/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A17/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
49-64
49
64
-15
A20/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
55-61
55
61
-6
H22/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H24/04
NBA
111.4Avg total
55.3Scored
56.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.857.4116.3+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (12)56.756.1112.8+0.650%-
Last 30 away (18)60.358.3118.6+1.956%-
Last 10 (10)55.356.1111.4-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)50.655.8106.4-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)47.855.2103.0-7.40%-
vs Similar (23)60.156.8116.9+3.365%-
vs Weaker (2)72.070.0142.0+2.050%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 110.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.332.0
55.8%
54.5%64.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.010.7
33.4%
35.8%32.1
🏀 Free throws20.114.4
71.6%
78.1%14.4
They take 89.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 111.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.526.8
52.0%
54.5%53.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.013.3
40.3%
35.8%39.9
🏀 Free throws23.418.1
77.4%
78.1%18.1
They take 84.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LWWWWLLLWL
Minnesota Timberwolves
WLLLWLWWWL
#2
League position
#17
+2.1
Net rating
+0.6
110.5
Offensive rating
110.2
108.4
Defensive rating
109.6
53.8%
Effective FG%
55.3%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
12.9%
Turnover %
13.4%
25.3%
Off. rebound %
18.8%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.4%
3-point %
40.3%
59.3%
Assist %
66.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.5 · 110.2Defence108.4 · 109.6Shooting53.8% · 55.3%3-point %33.4% · 40.3%Ball care12.9% · 13.4%Off. rebounds25.3% · 18.8%Free throws0.23 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
24/04/23AMinnesota Timberwolves108-114 OT
22/04/23AMinnesota Timberwolves120-111
20/04/23HMinnesota Timberwolves122-113
17/04/23HMinnesota Timberwolves109-80
09/04/23HSacramento Kings109-95
08/04/23AUtah Jazz114-118
07/04/23APhoenix Suns115-119
05/04/23AHouston Rockets103-124
03/04/23HGolden State Warriors112-110
01/04/23APhoenix Suns93-100
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/04/23HDenver Nuggets114-108 OT
22/04/23HDenver Nuggets111-120
20/04/23ADenver Nuggets113-122
17/04/23ADenver Nuggets80-109
15/04/23HOklahoma City Thunder120-95
12/04/23ALos Angeles Lakers102-108 OT
09/04/23HNew Orleans Pelicans113-108
08/04/23ASan Antonio Spurs151-131
04/04/23ABrooklyn Nets107-102
02/04/23HPortland Trail Blazers105-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL65%
HomeLWWWW84%
AwayLLLWL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games864343
Win %65%84%47%
Points / game115.7119.2112.3
Allowed / game112.1109.0115.2
Point differential+3.7+10.2-2.9
Avg total227.8228.2227.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%51%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won68% (25)67% (15)70% (10)
Overtime %5%5%5%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW50%
HomeLWWLW55%
AwayWWLLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games884444
Win %50%55%45%
Points / game115.2115.9114.5
Allowed / game115.4114.5116.4
Point differential-0.3+1.3-1.9
Avg total230.6230.4230.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%20%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (25)55% (11)57% (14)
Overtime %8%11%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics87602769%118.0111.6+6.4
2 Milwaukee Bucks86592769%116.9113.8+3.2
3 Philadelphia 76ers86582867%114.7110.0+4.6
4 Denver Nuggets86563065%115.7112.1+3.7
5 Cleveland Cavaliers86523460%111.4106.5+4.9
6 Memphis Grizzlies86523460%116.4112.9+3.5
7 New York Knicks86503658%115.2112.2+3.0
8 Sacramento Kings86503658%120.5118.0+2.4
9 Phoenix Suns86483856%113.9111.6+2.3
10 Miami Heat88484055%110.0110.0-0.0
11 Los Angeles Lakers87474054%116.8116.0+0.9
12 Golden State Warriors86464053%118.9117.1+1.8
13 Brooklyn Nets86454152%112.4112.1+0.3
14 Los Angeles Clippers86454152%113.5113.3+0.2
15 New Orleans Pelicans83424151%114.4112.6+1.8
16 Atlanta Hawks88444450%118.2118.1+0.1
17 Minnesota Timberwolves88444450%115.2115.4-0.3
18 Toronto Raptors83414249%112.8111.3+1.4
19 Chicago Bulls84414349%112.8111.6+1.2
20 Oklahoma City Thunder84414349%117.3116.5+0.8
21 Dallas Mavericks82384446%114.2114.1+0.1
22 Utah Jazz82374545%117.1118.0-0.9
23 Washington Wizards82354743%113.2114.4-1.2
24 Indiana Pacers82354743%116.3119.5-3.2
25 Orlando Magic82344841%111.4114.0-2.6
26 Portland Trail Blazers82334940%113.4117.4-4.0
27 Charlotte Hornets82275533%111.0117.2-6.2
28 Houston Rockets82226027%110.7118.6-7.9
29 San Antonio Spurs82226027%113.0123.1-10.0
30 Detroit Pistons82176521%110.3118.5-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets22262935112
Minnesota Timberwolves29183032109
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