PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 17 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 02:30
Final 109-80
26-23 29-21 32-14 22-22
Position#2
Record53-29
FormWLLLW
Points / game115.8
Allowed / game112.5
vs
Position#17
Record43-41
FormWWWLW
Points / game115.7
Allowed / game115.5
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Minnesota Timberwolves
07 Mar 2027
DEN v MIN
upcoming
28 Dec 2026
DEN v MIN
upcoming
27 Apr 2026
DEN125
MIN113
20 Apr 2026
DEN114
MIN119
18 Apr 2026
DEN116
MIN105
01 Mar 2026
DEN108
MIN117
25 Dec 2025
DEN142
MIN138
01 Apr 2025
DEN139
MIN140
12 Mar 2025
DEN95
MIN115
19 May 2024
DEN90
MIN98
14 May 2024
DEN112
MIN97
06 May 2024
DEN80
MIN106
04 May 2024
DEN99
MIN106
10 Apr 2024
DEN116
MIN107
29 Mar 2024
DEN98
MIN111
25 Apr 2023
DEN112
MIN109
19 Apr 2023
DEN122
MIN113
16 Apr 2023
DEN109
MIN80
07 Feb 2023
DEN146
MIN112
18 Jan 2023
DEN122
MIN118
01 Apr 2022
DEN130
MIN136
15 Dec 2021
DEN107
MIN124
05 Jan 2021
DEN123
MIN116
23 Feb 2020
DEN128
MIN116
20 Dec 2019
DEN109
MIN100
10 Apr 2019
DEN99
MIN95
12 Mar 2019
DEN133
MIN107
05 Apr 2018
DEN100
MIN96
20 Dec 2017
DEN104
MIN112
15 Feb 2017
DEN99
MIN112
28 Dec 2016
DEN105
MIN103
11 Dec 2015
DEN111
MIN108
30 Oct 2015
DEN78
MIN95
17 Jan 2015
DEN105
MIN113
26 Dec 2014
DEN106
MIN102
03 Mar 2014
DEN128
MIN132
15 Nov 2013
DEN117
MIN113
09 Mar 2013
DEN111
MIN88
03 Jan 2013
DEN97
MIN101
11 Apr 2012
DEN113
MIN107
20 Feb 2012
DEN103
MIN101
09 Apr 2011
DEN130
MIN106
18 Dec 2010
DEN115
MIN113
11 Jan 2010
DEN105
MIN94
29 Nov 2009
DEN100
MIN106
10 Dec 2008
DEN116
MIN105
16 Nov 2008
DEN90
MIN84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#23
W
118-104
118
104
+14
116avg 112
A22/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
129-106
129
106
+23
126avg 112
H26/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
116-111
116
111
+5
117avg 112
H28/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
88-107
88
107
-19
75avg 112
H31/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
93-100
93
100
-7
77avg 112
A01/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
112-110
112
110
+2
99avg 112
H03/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
L
103-124
103
124
-21
97avg 112
A05/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
115-119
115
119
-4
109avg 112
A07/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
L
114-118
114
118
-4
108avg 112
A08/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
109-95
109
95
+14
107avg 112
H09/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-29
24-28
39-16
24-31
37-38
26-28
34-19
32-21
25-18
36-39
30-20
25-34
17-21
23-29
30-32
18-25
20-32
20-28
34-24
19-16
26-36
32-25
31-26
23-23
30-31
29-25
26-30
18-38
25-27
30-29
31-33
29-30
19-32
36-26
40-31
19-29
26-43
33-24
24-14
26-14
219.1Avg total
109.7Scored
109.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (82)115.8112.5228.3+3.365%
Season at home (41)119.4109.6229.0+9.883%
Season away (41)112.2115.3227.5-3.146%
Last 10 (10)109.7109.4219.1+0.350%
Last 5 (5)110.6113.2223.8-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)108.4109.8218.2-1.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)118.4113.7232.1+4.762%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
99-96
99
96
+3
94avg 108
A27/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
119-115
119
115
+4
115avg 108
A28/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
100-107
100
107
-7
95avg 108
A30/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
111-123
111
123
-12
97avg 108
H01/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
L
105-107
105
107
-2
107avg 108
H02/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
107-102
107
102
+5
99avg 108
A04/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
151-131
151
131
+20
152avg 108
A08/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
113-108
113
108
+5
106avg 108
H09/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
102-108 OT
102
108
-6
97avg 108
A12/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
120-95
120
95
+25
121avg 108
H15/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-29
24-26
24-18
22-23
34-25
23-33
29-27
33-30
24-25
27-23
23-33
26-26
29-27
36-28
18-35
28-33
29-31
33-25
24-26
19-25
31-24
20-30
26-24
30-24
35-35
45-33
39-23
32-40
18-30
29-25
36-30
30-23
28-22
32-27
26-30
12-19
24-23
33-24
38-31
25-17
221.9Avg total
112.7Scored
109.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (84)115.7115.5231.1+0.251%
Season at home (42)116.0114.5230.6+1.555%
Season away (42)115.3116.4231.7-1.148%
Last 10 (10)112.7109.2221.9+3.560%
Last 5 (5)118.6108.8227.4+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)114.0116.0230.0-2.033%
vs Similar (25)115.7115.6231.3+0.152%
vs Weaker (2)132.0126.0258.0+6.050%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -5.1-5.1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +7.4+7.4Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -0.3-0.3
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -5.1-5.1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +7.4+7.4Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -0.3-0.3
Denver NuggetsMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#23
L
55-57
55
57
-2
A22/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
63-66
63
66
-3
H26/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
61-57
61
57
+4
H28/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H31/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
40-60
40
60
-20
A01/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
58-61
58
61
-3
H03/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
59-56
59
56
+3
A05/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
55-56
55
56
-1
A07/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A08/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
59-67
59
67
-8
H09/04
NBA
113.3Avg total
54.5Scored
58.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.458.7117.2-0.340%-
Last 30 at home (13)60.556.5116.9+4.054%-
Last 30 away (17)56.960.5117.4-3.629%-
Last 10 (10)54.558.8113.3-4.320%-
Last 5 (5)57.259.6116.8-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)54.160.3114.4-6.221%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)62.257.4119.6+4.956%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
53-55
53
55
-2
A27/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
57-58
57
58
-1
A28/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A30/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
65-55
65
55
+10
H01/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
62-56
62
56
+6
H02/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
L
51-54
51
54
-3
A04/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
80-68
80
68
+12
A08/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
47-55
47
55
-8
H09/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
60-49
60
49
+11
A12/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H15/04
NBA
112.8Avg total
58.3Scored
54.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.558.1118.6+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (12)58.155.6113.7+2.558%-
Last 30 away (18)62.159.8121.9+2.261%-
Last 10 (10)58.354.5112.8+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)59.054.6113.6+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)51.355.3106.7-4.033%-
vs Similar (25)60.657.5118.2+3.164%-
vs Weaker (2)72.070.0142.0+2.050%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 109.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.631.3
56.3%
54.5%62.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.010.1
31.6%
35.8%30.3
🏀 Free throws23.116.8
72.7%
78.1%16.8
They take 87.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 112.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.427.6
52.7%
54.5%55.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.013.6
40.0%
35.8%40.8
🏀 Free throws22.816.7
73.2%
78.1%16.7
They take 86.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WLLLWLLWWW
Minnesota Timberwolves
WLWWWLLLWW
#2
League position
#17
+0.3
Net rating
+3.4
110.6
Offensive rating
110.1
110.3
Defensive rating
106.6
53.0%
Effective FG%
55.6%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
12.6%
Turnover %
14.4%
25.5%
Off. rebound %
21.9%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.26
31.6%
3-point %
40.0%
63.0%
Assist %
68.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.6 · 110.1Defence110.3 · 106.6Shooting53.0% · 55.6%3-point %31.6% · 40.0%Ball care12.6% · 14.4%Off. rebounds25.5% · 21.9%Free throws0.26 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/23HSacramento Kings109-95
08/04/23AUtah Jazz114-118
07/04/23APhoenix Suns115-119
05/04/23AHouston Rockets103-124
03/04/23HGolden State Warriors112-110
01/04/23APhoenix Suns93-100
31/03/23HNew Orleans Pelicans88-107
28/03/23HPhiladelphia 76ers116-111
26/03/23HMilwaukee Bucks129-106
22/03/23AWashington Wizards118-104
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/04/23HOklahoma City Thunder120-95
12/04/23ALos Angeles Lakers102-108 OT
09/04/23HNew Orleans Pelicans113-108
08/04/23ASan Antonio Spurs151-131
04/04/23ABrooklyn Nets107-102
02/04/23HPortland Trail Blazers105-107
01/04/23HLos Angeles Lakers111-123
30/03/23APhoenix Suns100-107
28/03/23ASacramento Kings119-115
27/03/23AGolden State Warriors99-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW65%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayWLLLL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games824141
Win %65%83%46%
Points / game115.8119.4112.2
Allowed / game112.5109.6115.3
Point differential+3.3+9.8-3.1
Avg total228.3229.0227.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%51%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won68% (25)67% (15)70% (10)
Overtime %4%5%2%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW51%
HomeWLLWW55%
AwayWLWWL48%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844242
Win %51%55%48%
Points / game115.7116.0115.3
Allowed / game115.5114.5116.4
Point differential+0.2+1.5-1.1
Avg total231.1230.6231.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%21%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (25)55% (11)57% (14)
Overtime %7%10%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics83582570%117.9111.3+6.6
2 Milwaukee Bucks83582570%116.9113.5+3.4
3 Philadelphia 76ers83552866%115.3110.8+4.5
4 Denver Nuggets82532965%115.8112.5+3.3
5 Cleveland Cavaliers83513261%112.1106.8+5.3
6 Memphis Grizzlies83513261%116.9113.2+3.7
7 Sacramento Kings83493459%120.8118.1+2.7
8 New York Knicks83483558%115.8112.9+2.9
9 Phoenix Suns83453854%113.6111.6+2.0
10 Brooklyn Nets83453854%113.2112.6+0.6
11 Los Angeles Clippers83453854%113.6113.0+0.6
12 Miami Heat85463954%109.6109.7-0.2
13 Los Angeles Lakers84453954%117.2116.4+0.8
14 Golden State Warriors83443953%119.0117.2+1.7
15 Minnesota Timberwolves84434151%115.7115.5+0.2
16 New Orleans Pelicans83424151%114.4112.6+1.8
17 Atlanta Hawks84424250%118.2117.9+0.3
18 Toronto Raptors83414249%112.8111.3+1.4
19 Chicago Bulls84414349%112.8111.6+1.2
20 Oklahoma City Thunder84414349%117.3116.5+0.8
21 Dallas Mavericks82384446%114.2114.1+0.1
22 Utah Jazz82374545%117.1118.0-0.9
23 Washington Wizards82354743%113.2114.4-1.2
24 Indiana Pacers82354743%116.3119.5-3.2
25 Orlando Magic82344841%111.4114.0-2.6
26 Portland Trail Blazers82334940%113.4117.4-4.0
27 Charlotte Hornets82275533%111.0117.2-6.2
28 Houston Rockets82226027%110.7118.6-7.9
29 San Antonio Spurs82226027%113.0123.1-10.0
30 Detroit Pistons82176521%110.3118.5-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets26293222109
Minnesota Timberwolves2321142280
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.