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Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 14 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 114-118
33-26 27-25 30-37 24-30
Position#9
Record-
FormWWWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#22
Record-
FormWLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANBA· Footprint Center
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Phoenix Suns
05 Jan 2027
DEN v PHX
upcoming
16 Nov 2026
DEN v PHX
upcoming
25 Oct 2025
DEN133
PHX111
07 Mar 2025
DEN149
PHX141
23 Dec 2024
DEN117
PHX90
13 Oct 2024
DEN114
PHX118
27 Mar 2024
DEN97
PHX104
05 Mar 2024
DEN107
PHX117
09 May 2023
DEN118
PHX102
01 May 2023
DEN97
PHX87
29 Apr 2023
DEN125
PHX107
11 Jan 2023
DEN126
PHX97
25 Dec 2022
DEN128
PHX125
24 Mar 2022
DEN130
PHX140
13 Jun 2021
DEN118
PHX125
11 Jun 2021
DEN102
PHX116
01 Jan 2021
DEN103
PHX106
24 Nov 2019
DEN116
PHX104
25 Oct 2019
DEN108
PHX107
25 Jan 2019
DEN132
PHX95
20 Oct 2018
DEN119
PHX91
19 Jan 2018
DEN100
PHX108
03 Jan 2018
DEN134
PHX111
26 Jan 2017
DEN127
PHX120
16 Nov 2016
DEN120
PHX104
10 Mar 2016
DEN116
PHX98
20 Nov 2015
DEN107
PHX114
25 Feb 2015
DEN96
PHX110
28 Nov 2014
DEN122
PHX97
18 Feb 2014
DEN107
PHX112
20 Dec 2013
DEN99
PHX103
17 Apr 2013
DEN118
PHX98
06 Apr 2012
DEN105
PHX99
14 Feb 2012
DEN109
PHX92
20 Dec 2011
DEN127
PHX110
11 Jan 2011
DEN132
PHX98
28 Nov 2010
DEN138
PHX133
03 Feb 2010
DEN97
PHX109
12 Dec 2009
DEN105
PHX99
15 Jan 2009
DEN119
PHX113
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Phoenix Suns winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
112-105
112
105
+7
110avg 108
A26/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
108-119
108
119
-11
102avg 108
A28/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
108-106
108
106
+2
104avg 108
H30/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
99-106
99
106
-7
93avg 108
H04/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
80-106
80
106
-26
68avg 108
H07/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
117-90
117
90
+27
115avg 108
A11/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
115-107
115
107
+8
112avg 108
A13/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
112-97
112
97
+15
112avg 108
H15/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
70-115
70
115
-45
53avg 108
A17/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
90-98
90
98
-8
79avg 108
H20/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-33
26-20
34-22
29-30
23-28
25-33
32-30
28-28
28-24
22-29
31-26
27-27
25-23
19-17
27-33
28-33
20-28
15-33
25-21
20-24
28-20
28-21
37-25
24-24
29-24
35-25
26-30
25-28
28-26
22-18
38-30
24-23
14-31
26-28
21-27
9-29
24-19
29-19
14-28
23-32
206.0Avg total
101.1Scored
104.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)101.1104.9206.0-3.850%
Last 5 (5)100.8101.4202.2-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)103.6103.2206.8+0.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)116.9108.1224.9+8.886%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
97-87
97
87
+10
99avg 110
H06/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
105-113
105
113
-8
99avg 110
H07/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
92-105
92
105
-13
71avg 110
H10/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
124-108
124
108
+16
120avg 110
A11/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
W
108-107
108
107
+1
108avg 110
A13/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
125-106
125
106
+19
118avg 110
A14/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
95-120
95
120
-25
79avg 110
A20/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
93-105
93
105
-12
85avg 110
A23/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
109-126
109
126
-17
99avg 110
H27/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
116-122
116
122
-6
108avg 110
H29/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-20
25-21
20-20
20-26
26-19
24-37
33-34
22-23
10-37
23-29
35-18
24-21
28-27
27-29
37-37
32-15
22-27
23-27
33-31
30-22
44-22
22-31
23-25
36-28
28-27
23-34
21-31
23-28
21-24
30-26
20-28
22-27
32-34
21-25
20-36
36-31
26-25
35-31
31-34
24-32
216.3Avg total
106.4Scored
109.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)106.4109.9216.3-3.540%
Last 5 (5)107.6115.8223.4-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)108.0122.5230.5-14.50%
vs Similar (21)111.6110.4222.0+1.257%
vs Weaker (5)117.6106.8224.4+10.880%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: +1.6+1.6
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: +1.6+1.6
Denver NuggetsPhoenix Suns
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A26/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
48-61
48
61
-13
A28/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H30/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H04/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
35-61
35
61
-26
H07/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
56-41
56
41
+15
A11/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
64-49
64
49
+15
A13/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H15/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
40-59
40
59
-19
A17/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H20/05
NBA
98.8Avg total
48.9Scored
49.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.952.9107.9+2.060%-
Last 30 at home (16)52.953.9106.8-0.950%-
Last 30 away (14)57.251.9109.1+5.471%-
Last 10 (10)48.949.998.8-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)52.646.298.8+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)52.651.7104.3+0.962%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)57.654.4111.9+3.257%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
57-41
57
41
+16
H06/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
50-56
50
56
-6
H07/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
33-66
33
66
-33
H10/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
55-56
55
56
-1
A11/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A13/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
66-53
66
53
+13
A14/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
51-61
51
61
-10
A20/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A23/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
53-59
53
59
-6
H27/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
61-56
61
56
+5
H29/04
NBA
107.4Avg total
52.2Scored
55.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.656.5114.2+1.153%-
Last 30 at home (14)57.155.9113.1+1.257%-
Last 30 away (16)58.157.1115.1+1.050%-
Last 10 (10)52.255.2107.4-3.040%-
Last 5 (5)56.455.8112.2+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)55.265.8121.0-10.50%-
vs Similar (21)57.556.2113.7+1.252%-
vs Weaker (5)60.250.4110.6+9.8100%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 101.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.927.8
52.6%
54.3%55.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.310.3
34.0%
35.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws17.714.6
82.5%
77.8%14.6
They take 83.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 106.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.726.1
52.5%
54.3%52.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.511.5
36.5%
35.9%34.5
🏀 Free throws23.319.7
84.5%
77.8%19.7
They take 81.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LLWWWLLWLW
Phoenix Suns
LLLLWWWLLW
#9
League position
#22
-4.1
Net rating
-3.6
108.0
Offensive rating
109.2
112.0
Defensive rating
112.8
52.0%
Effective FG%
53.4%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
13.1%
Turnover %
14.2%
22.1%
Off. rebound %
19.3%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.0%
3-point %
36.5%
64.6%
Assist %
63.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence108.0 · 109.2Defence112.0 · 112.8Shooting52.0% · 53.4%3-point %34.0% · 36.5%Ball care13.1% · 14.2%Off. rebounds22.1% · 19.3%Free throws0.21 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Phoenix Suns
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Denver Nuggets wins
5
Phoenix Suns wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/05/24HMinnesota Timberwolves90-98
17/05/24AMinnesota Timberwolves70-115
15/05/24HMinnesota Timberwolves112-97
13/05/24AMinnesota Timberwolves115-107
11/05/24AMinnesota Timberwolves117-90
07/05/24HMinnesota Timberwolves80-106
04/05/24HMinnesota Timberwolves99-106
30/04/24HLos Angeles Lakers108-106
28/04/24ALos Angeles Lakers108-119
26/04/24ALos Angeles Lakers112-105
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/24HMinnesota Timberwolves116-122
27/04/24HMinnesota Timberwolves109-126
23/04/24AMinnesota Timberwolves93-105
20/04/24AMinnesota Timberwolves95-120
14/04/24AMinnesota Timberwolves125-106
13/04/24ASacramento Kings108-107
11/04/24ALos Angeles Clippers124-108
10/04/24HLos Angeles Clippers92-105
07/04/24HNew Orleans Pelicans105-113
06/04/24HMinnesota Timberwolves97-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Phoenix Suns
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets33273024114
Phoenix Suns26253730118
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