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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 15 Oct 2021
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 107-113 (OT)
30-26 20-30 33-21 19-25 5-11
Position#27
Record-
FormLLLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#11
Record-
FormWLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANBA· BOK Center
NBA2021-22
Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Denver Nuggets
30 Jan 2027
OKC v DEN
upcoming
22 Oct 2026
OKC96
DEN84
09 Mar 2026
OKC129
DEN126
27 Feb 2026
OKC127
DEN121
18 May 2025
OKC125
DEN93
13 May 2025
OKC112
DEN105
07 May 2025
OKC149
DEN106
05 May 2025
OKC119
DEN121
10 Mar 2025
OKC127
DEN140
09 Mar 2025
OKC127
DEN103
31 Jan 2024
OKC105
DEN100
29 Oct 2023
OKC95
DEN128
23 Nov 2022
OKC126
DEN131
03 Nov 2022
OKC110
DEN122
09 Jan 2022
OKC95
DEN99
22 Dec 2021
OKC108
DEN94
14 Oct 2021
OKC107
DEN113
27 Feb 2021
OKC96
DEN126
03 Aug 2020
OKC113
DEN121
21 Feb 2020
OKC113
DEN101
29 Mar 2019
OKC105
DEN115
24 Nov 2018
OKC98
DEN105
30 Mar 2018
OKC125
DEN126
18 Dec 2017
OKC95
DEN94
12 Apr 2017
OKC105
DEN111
07 Jan 2017
OKC121
DEN106
27 Dec 2015
OKC122
DEN112
01 Nov 2015
OKC117
DEN93
22 Feb 2015
OKC119
DEN94
01 Nov 2014
OKC102
DEN91
24 Mar 2014
OKC117
DEN96
18 Nov 2013
OKC115
DEN113
19 Mar 2013
OKC104
DEN114
16 Jan 2013
OKC117
DEN97
25 Apr 2012
OKC101
DEN106
19 Feb 2012
OKC124
DEN118
27 Apr 2011
OKC100
DEN97
20 Apr 2011
OKC106
DEN89
17 Apr 2011
OKC107
DEN103
08 Apr 2011
OKC104
DEN89
25 Dec 2010
OKC114
DEN106
07 Apr 2010
OKC94
DEN98
29 Jan 2010
OKC101
DEN84
04 Feb 2009
OKC113
DEN114
02 Jan 2009
OKC120
DEN122
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
95-109
95
109
-14
84avg 95
H30/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
95-152
95
152
-57
68avg 95
H02/05
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
120-123
120
123
-3
110avg 95
H03/05
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
99-103
99
103
-4
85avg 95
H05/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
L
97-118
97
118
-21
82avg 95
A07/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
L
97-136
97
136
-39
78avg 95
A09/05
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
98-126
98
126
-28
82avg 95
A10/05
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
106-122
106
122
-16
97avg 95
A12/05
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
L
93-109
93
109
-16
80avg 95
H15/05
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
117-112
117
112
+5
109avg 95
H17/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-31
23-29
25-19
27-30
29-42
17-40
24-44
25-26
33-27
24-37
28-34
35-25
20-25
26-31
23-25
30-22
24-31
25-30
23-27
25-30
25-37
23-36
19-33
30-30
25-33
26-38
20-35
27-20
32-27
33-35
18-41
23-19
20-30
27-31
19-31
27-17
35-26
27-34
24-28
31-24
222.7Avg total
101.7Scored
121.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)101.7121.0222.7-19.310%
Last 5 (5)102.2121.0223.2-18.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)103.3120.2223.5-16.914%
vs Similar (1)102.0129.0231.0-27.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
109-123
109
123
-14
100avg 108
H23/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
128-109
128
109
+19
122avg 108
H25/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
120-115
120
115
+5
114avg 108
A28/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
95-115
95
115
-20
78avg 108
A29/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
147-140 OT
147
140
+7
141avg 108
H02/06
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
126-115
126
115
+11
no box
A04/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
105-122
105
122
-17
no box
A08/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
98-123
98
123
-25
86avg 108
A10/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
102-116
102
116
-14
86avg 108
H12/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
118-125
118
125
-7
98avg 108
H14/06
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-35
31-23
25-38
23-27
31-25
42-36
28-26
27-22
39-30
25-29
20-20
36-36
24-32
23-25
19-36
29-22
38-25
27-37
27-32
29-27
29-33
32-35
37-33
28-14
28-28
30-29
21-31
26-34
21-25
21-27
25-34
31-37
27-37
28-22
21-31
26-26
22-28
33-35
28-33
35-29
235.1Avg total
114.8Scored
120.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)114.8120.3235.1-5.540%
Last 5 (5)109.8120.2230.0-10.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (22)112.3116.3228.6-4.041%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)118.8106.2225.0+12.5100%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -9.0-9.0Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -9.4-9.4Q3: -6.3-6.3Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +1.6+1.6
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -9.0-9.0Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -9.4-9.4Q3: -6.3-6.3Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +1.6+1.6
Oklahoma City ThunderDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
43-60
43
60
-17
H30/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
46-82
46
82
-36
H02/05
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
57-64
57
64
-7
H03/05
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
46-56
46
56
-10
H05/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
L
49-61
49
61
-12
A07/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
L
48-73
48
73
-25
A09/05
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
51-71
51
71
-20
A10/05
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
65-62
65
62
+3
A12/05
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
L
47-61
47
61
-14
H15/05
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
62-60
62
60
+2
H17/05
NBA
116.4Avg total
51.4Scored
65.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.762.2115.9-8.523%-
Last 30 at home (16)53.962.9116.8-9.119%-
Last 30 away (14)53.561.3114.8-7.829%-
Last 10 (10)51.465.0116.4-13.620%-
Last 5 (5)54.665.4120.0-10.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)53.462.1115.5-8.624%-
vs Similar (1)61.065.0126.0-4.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
61-58
61
58
+3
H23/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
73-61
73
61
+12
H25/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
64-59
64
59
+5
A28/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
47-57
47
57
-10
A29/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
65-62
65
62
+3
H02/06
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
61-68
61
68
-7
A04/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
W
58-57
58
57
+1
A08/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A10/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
55-59
55
59
-4
H12/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
55-63
55
63
-8
H14/06
NBA
117.7Avg total
58.1Scored
59.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.255.8115.0+3.470%-
Last 30 at home (14)61.454.8116.2+6.679%-
Last 30 away (16)57.356.7114.0+0.662%-
Last 10 (10)58.159.6117.7-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)54.259.8114.0-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (22)57.957.0114.9+1.059%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)62.952.6115.5+10.2100%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 101.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.729.0
48.6%
53.1%58.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.49.5
29.3%
35.3%28.5
🏀 Free throws22.115.2
68.8%
77.4%15.2
They take 92.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 114.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.727.2
50.7%
53.1%54.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.514.7
38.2%
35.3%44.1
🏀 Free throws20.915.9
76.1%
77.4%15.9
They take 92.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Oct 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oklahoma City Thunder
WLLLLLLLLL
Denver Nuggets
LLLLWWLWWL
#27
League position
#11
-18.7
Net rating
-5.9
98.7
Offensive rating
113.8
117.4
Defensive rating
119.7
47.0%
Effective FG%
53.4%
58.2%
Opp. effective FG%
57.6%
13.9%
Turnover %
10.7%
24.5%
Off. rebound %
25.1%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.23
29.3%
3-point %
38.2%
53.2%
Assist %
59.4%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence98.7 · 113.8Defence117.4 · 119.7Shooting47.0% · 53.4%3-point %29.3% · 38.2%Ball care13.9% · 10.7%Off. rebounds24.5% · 25.1%Free throws0.24 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)10% · 40%
■ Oklahoma City Thunder   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
17/05/21HLos Angeles Clippers117-112
15/05/21HUtah Jazz93-109
12/05/21ASacramento Kings106-122
10/05/21ASacramento Kings98-126
09/05/21AGolden State Warriors97-136
07/05/21AGolden State Warriors97-118
05/05/21HSacramento Kings99-103
03/05/21HPhoenix Suns120-123
02/05/21HIndiana Pacers95-152
30/04/21HNew Orleans Pelicans95-109
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/06/21HPhoenix Suns118-125
12/06/21HPhoenix Suns102-116
10/06/21APhoenix Suns98-123
08/06/21APhoenix Suns105-122
04/06/21APortland Trail Blazers126-115
02/06/21HPortland Trail Blazers147-140 OT
29/05/21APortland Trail Blazers95-115
28/05/21APortland Trail Blazers120-115
25/05/21HPortland Trail Blazers128-109
23/05/21HPortland Trail Blazers109-123

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Oklahoma City Thunder302033195107
Denver Nuggets2630212511113
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