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Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 28 Jan 2020
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 113-92
31-21 23-27 31-23 28-21
Position#7
Record31-14
FormWLWWL
Points / game112.2
Allowed / game108.7
vs
Position#20
Record21-26
FormLWLLL
Points / game103.7
Allowed / game104.5
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Miami Heat v Orlando Magic
10 Mar 2027
MIA v ORL
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
MIA117
ORL121
28 Jan 2026
MIA124
ORL133
27 Jan 2025
MIA125
ORL119
23 Oct 2024
MIA97
ORL116
06 Feb 2024
MIA121
ORL95
12 Jan 2024
MIA99
ORL96
09 Apr 2023
MIA123
ORL110
27 Jan 2023
MIA110
ORL105
26 Dec 2021
MIA93
ORL83
25 Oct 2021
MIA107
ORL90
11 Mar 2021
MIA111
ORL103
04 Mar 2020
MIA116
ORL113
27 Jan 2020
MIA113
ORL92
26 Mar 2019
MIA99
ORL104
04 Dec 2018
MIA90
ORL105
05 Feb 2018
MIA109
ORL111
26 Dec 2017
MIA107
ORL89
13 Feb 2017
MIA107
ORL116
20 Dec 2016
MIA130
ORL136
10 Apr 2016
MIA118
ORL96
25 Mar 2016
MIA108
ORL97
13 Apr 2015
MIA100
ORL93
29 Dec 2014
MIA101
ORL102
01 Mar 2014
MIA112
ORL98
23 Nov 2013
MIA101
ORL99
17 Apr 2013
MIA105
ORL93
06 Mar 2013
MIA97
ORL96
18 Mar 2012
MIA91
ORL81
19 Feb 2012
MIA90
ORL78
18 Dec 2011
MIA118
ORL85
03 Mar 2011
MIA96
ORL99
29 Oct 2010
MIA96
ORL70
18 Mar 2010
MIA102
ORL108
17 Dec 2009
MIA104
ORL86
30 Mar 2009
MIA95
ORL101
24 Jan 2009
MIA103
ORL97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Orlando Magic winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
122-111
122
111
+11
123avg 105
H05/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#10
W
122-108
122
108
+14
121avg 105
A09/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
113-117
113
117
-4
108avg 105
A11/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
L
121-124
121
124
-3
118avg 105
A12/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#17
W
106-100
106
100
+6
101avg 105
H16/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#6
W
115-108
115
108
+7
111avg 105
A18/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#17
L
102-107
102
107
-5
95avg 105
A19/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
118-113 OT
118
113
+5
114avg 105
H20/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
W
134-129 OT
134
129
+5
132avg 105
H23/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
L
117-122
117
122
-5
106avg 105
H25/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-19
34-27
29-35
28-30
31-23
31-26
38-23
22-36
42-32
27-25
20-32
24-28
31-27
29-28
34-29
27-40
24-17
27-34
24-26
31-23
40-26
21-21
31-31
23-30
31-28
23-32
30-26
18-21
21-24
35-34
20-20
29-27
30-27
39-23
21-33
28-35
30-22
35-41
20-38
32-21
230.9Avg total
117.0Scored
113.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)112.2108.7220.8+3.569%
Season at home (22)116.5106.5223.1+10.091%
Season away (23)108.0110.7218.7-2.748%
Last 10 (10)117.0113.9230.9+3.160%
Last 5 (5)117.2115.8233.0+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)109.8109.1218.8+0.762%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)116.6112.6229.1+4.071%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMagic
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#24
W
123-89
123
89
+34
119avg 96
H09/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
L
94-98
94
98
-4
78avg 96
A11/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
114-112
114
112
+2
98avg 96
A14/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
W
119-118
119
118
+1
107avg 96
A16/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
L
95-122
95
122
-27
80avg 96
A17/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
L
95-109
95
109
-14
86avg 96
A19/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
106-83
106
83
+23
98avg 96
A20/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#6
L
114-120
114
120
-6
103avg 96
H23/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
98-109
98
109
-11
83avg 96
H25/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
L
97-112
97
112
-15
81avg 96
H26/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-23
37-29
28-20
26-17
25-27
23-31
27-19
19-21
33-25
32-27
21-33
28-27
35-29
30-29
24-30
30-30
26-34
22-33
28-24
19-31
25-28
27-25
19-29
24-27
19-27
32-18
21-20
34-18
21-24
30-36
38-32
25-28
30-24
27-29
20-29
21-27
28-26
24-28
20-31
25-27
212.7Avg total
105.5Scored
107.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (47)103.7104.5208.2-0.845%
Season at home (24)102.8101.5204.3+1.354%
Season away (23)104.6107.7212.3-3.135%
Last 10 (10)105.5107.2212.7-1.740%
Last 5 (5)102.0106.6208.6-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)99.2108.4207.6-9.217%
vs Similar (13)112.4106.5218.9+5.869%
vs Weaker (5)97.495.2192.6+2.260%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.6+6.6Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -0.2-0.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.6+6.6Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -0.2-0.2
Miami HeatOrlando Magic
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
65-46
65
46
+19
H05/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#10
W
62-49
62
49
+13
A09/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
W
69-57
69
57
+12
A11/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
60-55
60
55
+5
A12/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#17
D
51-51
51
51
+0
H16/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#6
W
61-47
61
47
+14
A18/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#17
L
54-60
54
60
-6
A19/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
56-58
56
58
-2
H20/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
W
69-50
69
50
+19
H23/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
W
65-63
65
63
+2
H25/01
NBA
114.8Avg total
61.2Scored
53.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.655.6114.2+3.060%-
Last 30 at home (16)59.854.1113.8+5.769%-
Last 30 away (14)57.357.3114.6+0.050%-
Last 10 (10)61.253.6114.8+7.670%-
Last 5 (5)61.055.6116.6+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)55.654.2109.9+1.462%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)62.057.1119.1+4.957%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#24
W
69-52
69
52
+17
H09/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
L
48-58
48
58
-10
A11/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
65-52
65
52
+13
A14/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
W
65-58
65
58
+7
A16/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
L
48-67
48
67
-19
A17/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A19/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A20/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#6
L
51-60
51
60
-9
H23/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
57-53
57
53
+4
H25/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
L
52-54
52
54
-2
H26/01
NBA
111.0Avg total
55.8Scored
55.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.352.7106.0+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)52.950.9103.9+2.047%-
Last 30 away (15)53.754.5108.2-0.753%-
Last 10 (10)55.855.2111.0+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)52.653.0105.6-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)49.853.9103.8-4.133%-
vs Similar (13)56.853.2110.0+3.762%-
vs Weaker (5)52.648.6101.2+4.060%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 117.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.827.8
58.2%
52.3%55.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.514.2
37.9%
35.7%42.6
🏀 Free throws23.418.8
80.3%
77.2%18.8
They take 85.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 105.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.928.4
48.2%
52.3%56.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.010.8
33.8%
35.7%32.4
🏀 Free throws22.216.3
73.4%
77.2%16.3
They take 90.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
LWWLWWLLWW
Orlando Magic
LLLWLLWWLW
#7
League position
#20
+3.1
Net rating
-1.7
116.3
Offensive rating
105.4
113.2
Defensive rating
107.1
57.6%
Effective FG%
49.1%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
11.7%
Turnover %
11.8%
17.5%
Off. rebound %
24.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.24
37.9%
3-point %
33.8%
63.6%
Assist %
55.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence116.3 · 105.4Defence113.2 · 107.1Shooting57.6% · 49.1%3-point %37.9% · 33.8%Ball care11.7% · 11.8%Off. rebounds17.5% · 24.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Orlando Magic
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Miami Heat wins
7
Orlando Magic wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/20HLos Angeles Clippers117-122
23/01/20HWashington Wizards134-129 OT
20/01/20HSacramento Kings118-113 OT
19/01/20ASan Antonio Spurs102-107
18/01/20AOklahoma City Thunder115-108
16/01/20HSan Antonio Spurs106-100
12/01/20ANew York Knicks121-124
11/01/20ABrooklyn Nets113-117
09/01/20AIndiana Pacers122-108
05/01/20HPortland Trail Blazers122-111
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/20HLos Angeles Clippers97-112
25/01/20HBoston Celtics98-109
23/01/20HOklahoma City Thunder114-120
20/01/20ACharlotte Hornets106-83
19/01/20AGolden State Warriors95-109
17/01/20ALos Angeles Clippers95-122
16/01/20ALos Angeles Lakers119-118
14/01/20ASacramento Kings114-112
11/01/20APhoenix Suns94-98
09/01/20HWashington Wizards123-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL69%
HomeWWWWL91%
AwayWLLWL48%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452223
Win %69%91%48%
Points / game112.2116.5108.0
Allowed / game108.7106.5110.7
Point differential+3.5+10.0-2.7
Avg total220.8223.1218.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%45%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (15)75% (8)57% (7)
Overtime %18%23%13%
Orlando Magic
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL45%
HomeWWLLL54%
AwayWWLLW35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games472423
Win %45%54%35%
Points / game103.7102.8104.6
Allowed / game104.5101.5107.7
Point differential-0.8+1.3-3.1
Avg total208.2204.3212.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%29%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)80% (5)33% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks4640687%119.3106.7+12.6
2 Los Angeles Lakers46361078%113.5106.3+7.3
3 Utah Jazz45321371%111.1105.8+5.3
4 Los Angeles Clippers47331470%115.6109.3+6.4
5 Toronto Raptors46321470%112.0106.0+6.0
6 Denver Nuggets46321470%109.5106.0+3.5
7 Miami Heat45311469%112.2108.7+3.5
8 Boston Celtics45301567%112.3105.6+6.7
9 Philadelphia 76ers47301764%108.4104.8+3.6
10 Indiana Pacers47301764%110.0107.1+2.9
11 Dallas Mavericks45281762%116.6109.8+6.8
12 Houston Rockets45281762%118.5114.3+4.2
13 Oklahoma City Thunder47281960%110.6108.1+2.5
14 Memphis Grizzlies46222448%113.5115.8-2.4
15 Orlando Magic47212645%103.7104.5-0.8
16 San Antonio Spurs45202544%113.4114.4-1.0
17 Portland Trail Blazers47202743%112.8114.9-2.1
18 Brooklyn Nets45192642%109.4111.9-2.6
19 Phoenix Suns46192741%112.7113.7-1.0
20 New Orleans Pelicans47182938%114.5117.4-2.9
21 Chicago Bulls48183038%105.6107.6-2.0
22 Sacramento Kings45162936%106.6109.8-3.2
23 Detroit Pistons48173135%109.2111.2-2.1
24 Washington Wizards45153033%115.3120.6-5.3
25 Minnesota Timberwolves46153133%111.2114.9-3.7
26 Charlotte Hornets46153133%103.3110.6-7.3
27 New York Knicks47133428%104.3111.8-7.5
28 Cleveland Cavaliers47133428%105.2113.9-8.7
29 Atlanta Hawks47123526%108.7117.8-9.1
30 Golden State Warriors47103721%105.7114.2-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat31233128113
Orlando Magic2127232192
← all games of the day
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