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Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 30 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 98-106
29-25 23-28 31-26 15-27
Position#6
Record47-29
FormWWWWL
Points / game110.8
Allowed / game104.0
vs
Position#4
Record48-28
FormLLLLW
Points / game109.3
Allowed / game105.2
USANBA· TD Garden
NBA2021-22
Meetings · Boston Celtics v Miami Heat
02 Apr 2027
BOS v MIA
upcoming
25 Dec 2026
BOS v MIA
upcoming
06 Feb 2026
BOS98
MIA96
19 Dec 2025
BOS129
MIA116
02 Apr 2025
BOS103
MIA124
02 Dec 2024
BOS108
MIA89
01 May 2024
BOS118
MIA84
24 Apr 2024
BOS101
MIA111
21 Apr 2024
BOS114
MIA94
27 Oct 2023
BOS119
MIA111
29 May 2023
BOS84
MIA103
25 May 2023
BOS110
MIA97
19 May 2023
BOS105
MIA111
17 May 2023
BOS116
MIA123
02 Dec 2022
BOS116
MIA120
30 Nov 2022
BOS134
MIA121
27 May 2022
BOS103
MIA111
23 May 2022
BOS102
MIA82
21 May 2022
BOS103
MIA109
30 Mar 2022
BOS98
MIA106
31 Jan 2022
BOS122
MIA92
11 May 2021
BOS121
MIA129
09 May 2021
BOS124
MIA130
25 Sep 2020
BOS121
MIA108
17 Sep 2020
BOS101
MIA106
15 Sep 2020
BOS114
MIA117
04 Dec 2019
BOS112
MIA93
01 Apr 2019
BOS110
MIA105
21 Jan 2019
BOS107
MIA99
20 Dec 2017
BOS89
MIA90
26 Mar 2017
BOS112
MIA108
30 Dec 2016
BOS117
MIA114
13 Apr 2016
BOS98
MIA88
27 Feb 2016
BOS101
MIA89
25 Mar 2015
BOS86
MIA93
01 Feb 2015
BOS75
MIA83
19 Mar 2014
BOS101
MIA96
18 Mar 2013
BOS103
MIA105
27 Jan 2013
BOS100
MIA98
07 Jun 2012
BOS79
MIA98
03 Jun 2012
BOS93
MIA91
01 Jun 2012
BOS101
MIA91
24 Apr 2012
BOS78
MIA66
01 Apr 2012
BOS91
MIA72
09 May 2011
BOS90
MIA98
07 May 2011
BOS97
MIA81
13 Feb 2011
BOS85
MIA82
26 Oct 2010
BOS88
MIA80
27 Apr 2010
BOS96
MIA86
20 Apr 2010
BOS106
MIA77
17 Apr 2010
BOS85
MIA76
03 Feb 2010
BOS107
MIA102
10 Apr 2009
BOS105
MIA98
18 Mar 2009
BOS112
MIA108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston Celtics winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
115-101
115
101
+14
112avg 104
A10/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#28
W
114-103
114
103
+11
105avg 104
H12/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#7
L
92-95
92
95
-3
76avg 104
H13/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
110-88
110
88
+22
110avg 104
A17/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
126-97
126
97
+29
130avg 104
A19/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#11
W
124-104
124
104
+20
125avg 104
A21/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
132-123
132
123
+9
124avg 104
A22/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
125-97
125
97
+28
131avg 104
H23/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
W
134-112
134
112
+22
133avg 104
H27/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#10
L
112-115 OT
112
115
-3
103avg 104
A28/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-22
23-26
35-30
28-23
32-34
29-28
31-28
22-13
20-18
27-20
26-38
19-19
23-17
25-15
31-37
31-19
32-26
35-22
25-31
34-18
33-27
35-16
30-32
26-29
38-21
27-30
43-33
24-39
39-24
29-21
25-23
32-29
34-30
38-19
34-31
28-32
38-30
20-29
22-21
26-26
221.9Avg total
118.4Scored
103.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (76)110.8104.0214.8+6.762%
Season at home (38)109.8103.3213.0+6.568%
Season away (38)111.7104.8216.5+7.055%
Last 10 (10)118.4103.5221.9+14.980%
Last 5 (5)125.4110.2235.6+15.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)113.895.8209.6+18.080%
vs Weaker (25)116.1102.3218.4+13.880%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#1
L
90-111
90
111
-21
79avg 103
H10/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
W
117-105
117
105
+12
113avg 103
H12/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
L
104-113
104
113
-9
97avg 103
H13/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#28
W
105-98
105
98
+7
101avg 103
H15/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
120-108
120
108
+12
112avg 103
H19/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
106-113
106
113
-7
98avg 103
A21/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
104-118
104
118
-14
92avg 103
H23/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
L
103-111
103
111
-8
96avg 103
H26/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
L
95-110
95
110
-15
86avg 103
H27/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
123-100
123
100
+23
125avg 103
H28/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-29
28-28
19-34
16-20
28-18
30-39
27-15
32-33
25-30
42-25
19-34
18-24
29-22
28-29
11-22
37-25
27-26
42-28
34-25
17-29
32-26
24-31
22-23
28-33
23-23
27-27
30-31
24-37
32-25
26-24
30-24
15-38
25-27
21-40
22-29
27-14
31-19
26-22
36-27
30-32
215.4Avg total
106.7Scored
108.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (76)109.3105.2214.5+4.163%
Season at home (39)109.8104.9214.7+4.969%
Season away (37)108.7105.4214.2+3.357%
Last 10 (10)106.7108.7215.4-2.040%
Last 5 (5)106.2110.4216.6-4.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)105.6110.9216.6-5.329%
vs Weaker (16)114.9103.3218.2+11.694%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +6.9+6.9Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +6.2+6.2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -4.1-4.1
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +6.9+6.9Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +6.2+6.2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -4.1-4.1
Boston CelticsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A10/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#28
L
61-62
61
62
-1
H12/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#7
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H13/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A17/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
67-48
67
48
+19
A19/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#11
W
68-43
68
43
+25
A21/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
65-51
65
51
+14
A22/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
68-45
68
45
+23
H23/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
W
72-49
72
49
+23
H27/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#10
L
58-59
58
59
-1
A28/03
NBA
108.1Avg total
60.6Scored
47.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.048.6105.6+8.473%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.850.6106.4+5.164%-
Last 30 away (16)58.046.8104.8+11.281%-
Last 10 (10)60.647.5108.1+13.180%-
Last 5 (5)66.249.4115.6+16.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)52.841.093.8+11.8100%-
vs Weaker (25)57.850.1107.9+7.768%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#1
L
55-57
55
57
-2
H10/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
W
58-57
58
57
+1
H12/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
W
67-55
67
55
+12
H13/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#28
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H15/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
69-54
69
54
+15
H19/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
56-57
56
57
-1
A21/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
D
50-50
50
50
+0
H23/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
W
58-49
58
49
+9
H26/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
L
46-67
46
67
-21
H27/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
57-41
57
41
+16
H28/03
NBA
111.1Avg total
57.3Scored
53.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.753.4111.0+4.370%-
Last 30 at home (19)58.452.3110.7+6.179%-
Last 30 away (11)56.455.2111.5+1.255%-
Last 10 (10)57.353.8111.1+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)53.452.8106.2+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)56.856.1112.9+0.650%-
vs Weaker (16)58.450.9109.4+7.588%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 118.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.728.8
59.1%
53.1%57.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.114.6
38.3%
35.3%43.8
🏀 Free throws20.317.0
83.7%
77.4%17.0
They take 86.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 106.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.624.7
54.2%
53.1%49.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.313.1
35.1%
35.3%39.3
🏀 Free throws21.418.0
84.1%
77.4%18.0
They take 82.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Mar 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boston Celtics
LWWWWWWLWW
Miami Heat
WLLLLWWLWL
#6
League position
#4
+15.3
Net rating
-2.1
121.5
Offensive rating
110.0
106.2
Defensive rating
112.0
58.4%
Effective FG%
53.5%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
11.5%
Turnover %
13.3%
24.4%
Off. rebound %
19.0%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.26
38.3%
3-point %
35.1%
60.6%
Assist %
63.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence121.5 · 110.0Defence106.2 · 112.0Shooting58.4% · 53.5%3-point %38.3% · 35.1%Ball care11.5% · 13.3%Off. rebounds24.4% · 19.0%Free throws0.23 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Boston Celtics   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Boston Celtics wins
5
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/22AToronto Raptors112-115 OT
27/03/22HMinnesota Timberwolves134-112
23/03/22HUtah Jazz125-97
22/03/22AOklahoma City Thunder132-123
21/03/22ADenver Nuggets124-104
19/03/22ASacramento Kings126-97
17/03/22AGolden State Warriors110-88
13/03/22HDallas Mavericks92-95
12/03/22HDetroit Pistons114-103
10/03/22ACharlotte Hornets115-101
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/22HSacramento Kings123-100
27/03/22HBrooklyn Nets95-110
26/03/22HNew York Knicks103-111
23/03/22HGolden State Warriors104-118
21/03/22APhiladelphia 76ers106-113
19/03/22HOklahoma City Thunder120-108
15/03/22HDetroit Pistons105-98
13/03/22HMinnesota Timberwolves104-113
12/03/22HCleveland Cavaliers117-105
10/03/22HPhoenix Suns90-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston Celtics
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL62%
HomeWWLWW68%
AwayWWWWL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games763838
Win %62%68%55%
Points / game110.8109.8111.7
Allowed / game104.0103.3104.8
Point differential+6.7+6.5+7.0
Avg total214.8213.0216.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%39%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won21% (19)40% (10)0% (9)
Overtime %9%8%11%
Miami Heat
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW63%
HomeWLLLW69%
AwayWWLWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games763937
Win %63%69%57%
Points / game109.3109.8108.7
Allowed / game105.2104.9105.4
Point differential+4.1+4.9+3.3
Avg total214.5214.7214.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%41%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (16)83% (6)30% (10)
Overtime %5%3%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Phoenix Suns75611481%115.3106.9+8.5
2 Memphis Grizzlies76532370%115.4109.1+6.3
3 Golden State Warriors76482863%110.8105.7+5.2
4 Miami Heat76482863%109.3105.2+4.1
5 Milwaukee Bucks75472863%114.9111.3+3.7
6 Dallas Mavericks77482962%107.1104.3+2.8
7 Boston Celtics76472962%110.8104.0+6.7
8 Philadelphia 76ers75462961%108.9106.8+2.1
9 Denver Nuggets77463160%112.0109.5+2.5
10 Utah Jazz76453159%113.3107.8+5.5
11 Chicago Bulls76443258%111.4110.9+0.5
12 Toronto Raptors75433257%109.1107.1+2.0
13 Minnesota Timberwolves76433357%115.4112.2+3.2
14 Cleveland Cavaliers76423455%107.2104.8+2.4
15 Brooklyn Nets76403653%112.4112.1+0.4
16 Charlotte Hornets76393751%114.7114.4+0.3
17 Atlanta Hawks75383751%113.2112.4+0.8
18 Los Angeles Clippers76373949%106.8108.4-1.6
19 New York Knicks76344245%106.3106.8-0.4
20 Washington Wizards76334343%108.4111.4-3.1
21 New Orleans Pelicans75324343%108.8109.8-1.0
22 San Antonio Spurs75314441%113.0113.3-0.3
23 Los Angeles Lakers75314441%111.5114.5-2.9
24 Portland Trail Blazers75274836%107.4114.9-7.5
25 Sacramento Kings76274936%110.4115.8-5.4
26 Indiana Pacers77255232%110.8114.0-3.2
27 Oklahoma City Thunder75225329%103.8111.2-7.4
28 Detroit Pistons76205626%104.5112.3-7.8
29 Houston Rockets76205626%109.2117.7-8.5
30 Orlando Magic77205726%104.2112.1-7.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Boston Celtics2923311598
Miami Heat25282627106
← all games of the day
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