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Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 03 Apr 2019
Tip-off: 02:30
Final 116-102
30-24 29-19 27-21 30-38
Position#3
Record53-28
FormLWWLW
Points / game117.3
Allowed / game111.6
vs
Position#4
Record54-26
FormLWLWL
Points / game110.8
Allowed / game106.7
USANBA· ORACLE Arena
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Golden State Warriors v Denver Nuggets
25 Dec 2026
GSW v DEN
upcoming
22 Feb 2026
GSW128
DEN117
23 Oct 2025
GSW137
DEN131
04 Apr 2025
GSW118
DEN104
17 Mar 2025
GSW105
DEN114
25 Feb 2024
GSW103
DEN119
04 Jan 2024
GSW127
DEN130
21 Oct 2022
GSW123
DEN128
14 Oct 2022
GSW112
DEN119
27 Apr 2022
GSW102
DEN98
18 Apr 2022
GSW126
DEN106
16 Apr 2022
GSW123
DEN107
16 Feb 2022
GSW116
DEN117
28 Dec 2021
GSW86
DEN89
06 Oct 2021
GSW118
DEN116
23 Apr 2021
GSW118
DEN97
12 Apr 2021
GSW116
DEN107
12 Dec 2020
GSW107
DEN105
31 Mar 2020
GSW v DEN
upcoming
16 Jan 2020
GSW131
DEN134
10 Jul 2019
GSW73
DEN69
02 Apr 2019
GSW116
DEN102
08 Mar 2019
GSW122
DEN105
08 Jan 2018
GSW124
DEN114
23 Dec 2017
GSW81
DEN96
30 Sep 2017
GSW102
DEN108
02 Jan 2017
GSW127
DEN119
02 Jan 2016
GSW111
DEN108
06 Nov 2015
GSW119
DEN104
13 Oct 2015
GSW103
DEN114
15 Apr 2015
GSW133
DEN126
19 Jan 2015
GSW122
DEN79
24 Oct 2014
GSW119
DEN112
16 Oct 2014
GSW104
DEN101
10 Apr 2014
GSW99
DEN100
15 Jan 2014
GSW116
DEN123
02 May 2013
GSW92
DEN88
28 Apr 2013
GSW115
DEN101
26 Apr 2013
GSW110
DEN108
29 Nov 2012
GSW106
DEN105
10 Nov 2012
GSW101
DEN107
07 Apr 2012
GSW112
DEN97
09 Feb 2011
GSW116
DEN114
22 Nov 2010
GSW89
DEN106
25 Feb 2010
GSW112
DEN127
20 Jan 2010
GSW118
DEN123
05 Nov 2008
GSW111
DEN101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Golden State Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#5
W
106-104
106
104
+2
A14/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#9
W
110-88
110
88
+22
A17/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
L
105-111
105
111
-6
A19/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
117-107
117
107
+10
A20/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
W
112-89
112
89
+23
H22/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
91-126
91
126
-35
H24/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#18
W
121-114
121
114
+7
H25/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#23
W
118-103
118
103
+15
A28/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
130-131 OT
130
131
-1
A30/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
137-90
137
90
+47
H01/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-23
21-29
31-26
21-26
40-27
24-19
23-25
23-17
25-25
22-33
31-24
27-29
30-27
29-20
32-28
26-32
19-19
34-24
35-19
24-27
22-37
24-37
24-34
21-18
29-28
34-21
34-28
24-37
31-37
35-23
23-24
29-19
32-27
36-27
18-32
29-29
35-27
36-22
34-23
32-18
221.0Avg total
114.7Scored
106.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (81)117.3111.6229.0+5.765%
Season at home (42)117.2111.8229.0+5.467%
Season away (39)117.5111.4228.9+6.164%
Last 10 (10)114.7106.3221.0+8.470%
Last 5 (5)119.4112.8232.2+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)112.5109.2221.7+3.367%
vs Weaker (18)119.2112.0231.2+7.267%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
100-99
100
99
+1
H15/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
W
102-100
102
100
+2
H17/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#11
W
114-105
114
105
+9
A18/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#22
W
113-108
113
108
+5
A21/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
111-93
111
93
+18
A22/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
88-124
88
124
-36
A24/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#18
W
95-92
95
92
+3
H27/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
85-112
85
112
-27
A29/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#9
W
115-105
115
105
+10
A30/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#22
L
90-95
90
95
-5
H01/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-29
25-28
28-32
21-10
25-36
32-24
22-15
23-25
24-22
31-30
25-28
34-25
33-30
28-23
24-32
28-23
37-18
19-24
26-20
29-31
23-27
23-35
21-30
21-32
27-9
39-30
15-23
14-30
25-22
19-40
21-25
20-25
33-29
23-23
30-23
29-30
34-23
28-30
10-22
18-20
204.6Avg total
101.3Scored
103.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (80)110.8106.7217.4+4.168%
Season at home (38)114.4104.2218.6+10.382%
Season away (42)107.5108.9216.4-1.455%
Last 10 (10)101.3103.3204.6-2.070%
Last 5 (5)94.6105.6200.2-11.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)109.6109.1218.7+0.657%
vs Weaker (16)110.9105.7216.6+5.275%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -1.4-1.4
Golden State WarriorsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#5
W
54-52
54
52
+2
A14/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#9
W
64-46
64
46
+18
A17/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A19/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
59-47
59
47
+12
A20/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H22/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
46-74
46
74
-28
H24/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#18
W
63-49
63
49
+14
H25/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#23
W
66-60
66
60
+6
A28/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
68-54
68
54
+14
A30/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
71-49
71
49
+22
H01/04
NBA
112.3Avg total
59.1Scored
53.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.456.6116.0+2.867%-
Last 30 at home (14)57.855.9113.7+1.964%-
Last 30 away (16)60.957.2118.1+3.769%-
Last 10 (10)59.153.2112.3+5.980%-
Last 5 (5)62.857.2120.0+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)57.855.0112.8+2.867%-
vs Weaker (18)60.657.7118.2+2.967%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
51-57
51
57
-6
H15/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H17/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#11
W
55-52
55
52
+3
A18/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#22
W
61-53
61
53
+8
A21/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
56-42
56
42
+14
A22/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
46-62
46
62
-16
A24/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#18
W
66-39
66
39
+27
H27/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
44-62
44
62
-18
A29/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#9
W
56-52
56
52
+4
A30/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#22
W
62-53
62
53
+9
H01/04
NBA
108.6Avg total
55.4Scored
53.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.757.3115.0+0.453%-
Last 30 at home (14)62.356.8119.1+5.571%-
Last 30 away (16)53.857.8111.5-4.038%-
Last 10 (10)55.453.2108.6+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)54.853.6108.4+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)56.558.3114.8-1.850%-
vs Weaker (16)58.856.4115.2+2.456%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 114.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.729.1
55.2%
51.7%58.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.314.3
41.7%
35.4%42.9
🏀 Free throws16.913.2
78.1%
76.6%13.2
They take 87.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 100.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.929.1
52.1%
51.7%58.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.310.1
31.3%
35.4%30.3
🏀 Free throws15.912.4
78.0%
76.6%12.4
They take 88.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Apr 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Golden State Warriors
WLWWLWWLWW
Denver Nuggets
LWLWLWWWWW
#3
League position
#4
+8.4
Net rating
-2.1
114.3
Offensive rating
104.1
105.9
Defensive rating
106.1
58.1%
Effective FG%
50.2%
48.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
13.7%
Turnover %
12.8%
20.4%
Off. rebound %
23.9%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.18
41.7%
3-point %
31.3%
69.6%
Assist %
63.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence114.3 · 104.1Defence105.9 · 106.1Shooting58.1% · 50.2%3-point %41.7% · 31.3%Ball care13.7% · 12.8%Off. rebounds20.4% · 23.9%Free throws0.19 · 0.18Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Golden State Warriors   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/19HCharlotte Hornets137-90
30/03/19AMinnesota Timberwolves130-131 OT
28/03/19AMemphis Grizzlies118-103
25/03/19HDetroit Pistons121-114
24/03/19HDallas Mavericks91-126
22/03/19HIndiana Pacers112-89
20/03/19AMinnesota Timberwolves117-107
19/03/19ASan Antonio Spurs105-111
17/03/19AOklahoma City Thunder110-88
14/03/19AHouston Rockets106-104
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/19HWashington Wizards90-95
30/03/19AOklahoma City Thunder115-105
29/03/19AHouston Rockets85-112
27/03/19HDetroit Pistons95-92
24/03/19AIndiana Pacers88-124
22/03/19ANew York Knicks111-93
21/03/19AWashington Wizards113-108
18/03/19ABoston Celtics114-105
17/03/19HIndiana Pacers102-100
15/03/19HDallas Mavericks100-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Golden State Warriors
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW65%
HomeLWLWW67%
AwayWLWWL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games814239
Win %65%67%64%
Points / game117.3117.2117.5
Allowed / game111.6111.8111.4
Point differential+5.7+5.4+6.1
Avg total229.0229.0228.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%38%41%
Close games (≤5 pts) won52% (23)56% (9)50% (14)
Overtime %6%5%8%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL68%
HomeWWWWL82%
AwayWWLLW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games803842
Win %68%82%55%
Points / game110.8114.4107.5
Allowed / game106.7104.2108.9
Point differential+4.2+10.3-1.4
Avg total217.4218.6216.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%45%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (25)80% (10)80% (15)
Overtime %2%0%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks82612174%118.3108.5+9.7
2 Toronto Raptors82582471%114.5108.3+6.2
3 Denver Nuggets80542668%110.8106.7+4.2
4 Golden State Warriors81532865%117.3111.6+5.7
5 Houston Rockets82532965%113.2109.1+4.1
6 Philadelphia 76ers80512964%115.2112.3+2.9
7 Portland Trail Blazers82523063%114.5110.3+4.1
8 Utah Jazz80503062%111.5105.8+5.7
9 Los Angeles Clippers81503162%115.0112.8+2.2
10 Indiana Pacers82483459%107.7104.3+3.5
11 Oklahoma City Thunder82483459%113.8110.4+3.4
12 San Antonio Spurs83483558%111.6109.9+1.7
13 Boston Celtics82473557%111.9108.0+3.8
14 Detroit Pistons82414150%107.3107.5-0.2
15 Brooklyn Nets82414150%111.7112.4-0.7
16 Miami Heat83414249%106.1106.2-0.0
17 Orlando Magic82394348%105.9106.1-0.2
18 Charlotte Hornets82394348%110.8112.0-1.3
19 Sacramento Kings83394447%113.5115.2-1.8
20 Los Angeles Lakers84384645%112.1113.7-1.6
21 Minnesota Timberwolves82354743%112.5114.6-2.1
22 Washington Wizards82354743%114.1116.4-2.3
23 Memphis Grizzlies82334940%103.2106.1-2.9
24 Dallas Mavericks80324840%108.9110.2-1.3
25 New Orleans Pelicans83325139%115.2117.0-1.8
26 Atlanta Hawks83305336%112.9118.7-5.7
27 Chicago Bulls83236028%104.9112.9-8.0
28 Cleveland Cavaliers82216126%104.7113.6-8.9
29 Phoenix Suns82196323%106.8116.0-9.2
30 New York Knicks82186422%105.2113.8-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Golden State Warriors30292730116
Denver Nuggets24192138102
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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