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Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 10 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 117-140
23-34 29-38 33-33 32-35
Position#30
Record17-63
FormLLLLL
Points / game112.8
Allowed / game124.6
vs
Position#17
Record41-38
FormWLWLL
Points / game120.5
Allowed / game118.6
USANBA· Capital One Arena
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Washington Wizards v Miami Heat
17 Feb 2027
WAS v MIA
upcoming
10 Feb 2027
WAS v MIA
upcoming
10 Apr 2026
WAS117
MIA140
08 Feb 2026
WAS101
MIA132
31 Mar 2025
WAS94
MIA120
02 Nov 2024
WAS98
MIA118
31 Mar 2024
WAS107
MIA119
02 Feb 2024
WAS102
MIA110
07 Apr 2023
WAS114
MIA108
18 Nov 2022
WAS107
MIA106
07 Feb 2022
WAS100
MIA121
20 Nov 2021
WAS103
MIA100
09 Jan 2021
WAS124
MIA128
08 Mar 2020
WAS89
MIA100
30 Dec 2019
WAS123
MIA105
23 Mar 2019
WAS108
MIA113
18 Oct 2018
WAS112
MIA113
06 Mar 2018
WAS117
MIA113
17 Nov 2017
WAS88
MIA91
08 Apr 2017
WAS103
MIA106
19 Nov 2016
WAS111
MIA114
20 Jan 2016
WAS106
MIA87
03 Jan 2016
WAS75
MIA97
06 Mar 2015
WAS99
MIA97
01 Dec 2014
WAS107
MIA86
14 Apr 2014
WAS114
MIA93
15 Jan 2014
WAS114
MIA97
10 Apr 2013
WAS98
MIA103
04 Dec 2012
WAS105
MIA101
26 Apr 2012
WAS104
MIA70
10 Feb 2012
WAS89
MIA106
30 Mar 2011
WAS107
MIA123
18 Dec 2010
WAS94
MIA95
22 Jan 2010
WAS88
MIA112
04 Nov 2009
WAS89
MIA93
04 Apr 2009
WAS104
MIA118
18 Nov 2008
WAS87
MIA94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Washington Wizards winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWizards
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#4
L
113-145
113
145
-32
98avg 100
A22/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
133-110
133
110
+23
104avg 100
A26/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
126-131
126
131
-5
118avg 100
A28/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
88-123
88
123
-35
60avg 100
A29/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
101-120
101
120
-19
85avg 100
A31/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
131-153
131
153
-22
121avg 100
H01/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
136-152
136
152
-16
117avg 100
A04/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
115-121
115
121
-6
92avg 100
A05/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
98-129
98
129
-31
70avg 100
H07/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
108-119
108
119
-11
81avg 100
H09/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-32
25-36
29-37
32-40
33-20
39-25
32-30
29-35
25-38
35-34
34-20
32-39
15-24
32-34
19-33
22-32
26-25
18-40
33-26
24-29
29-35
42-38
32-47
28-33
32-36
25-41
34-45
45-30
23-35
31-24
30-26
31-36
18-38
19-28
26-34
35-29
24-32
27-20
23-35
34-32
245.2Avg total
114.9Scored
130.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (80)112.8124.6237.4-11.821%
Season at home (40)113.6124.2237.7-10.628%
Season away (40)112.0125.1237.1-13.115%
Last 10 (10)114.9130.3245.2-15.410%
Last 5 (5)117.6134.8252.4-17.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)112.1130.8242.9-18.60%
vs Similar (6)119.3117.2236.5+2.250%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#8
L
122-123
122
123
-1
117avg 110
A22/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
111-136
111
136
-25
99avg 110
H23/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
120-103
120
103
+17
120avg 110
A25/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
128-149
128
149
-21
118avg 110
A27/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
L
118-135
118
135
-17
106avg 110
A29/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
119-109
119
109
+10
114avg 110
H30/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
129-147
129
147
-18
115avg 110
H01/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
152-136
152
136
+16
160avg 110
H04/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
95-121
95
121
-26
84avg 110
A07/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
114-128
114
128
-14
114avg 110
A09/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-32
34-32
33-23
26-36
31-38
27-38
23-32
30-28
28-19
35-27
20-37
37-20
27-40
19-41
41-28
41-40
36-34
39-45
32-29
11-27
38-34
20-27
33-26
28-22
33-53
24-27
45-32
27-35
36-32
41-25
45-34
30-45
27-32
24-32
25-30
19-27
26-32
24-37
40-33
24-26
249.5Avg total
120.8Scored
128.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (79)120.5118.6239.1+1.952%
Season at home (40)123.0118.3241.3+4.762%
Season away (39)118.0118.9236.9-0.941%
Last 10 (10)120.8128.7249.5-7.930%
Last 5 (5)121.8128.2250.0-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)114.2122.8237.0-8.525%
vs Similar (14)117.9121.2239.1-3.436%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)127.9114.9242.8+13.075%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.3-6.3Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -3.3-3.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.3-6.3Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -3.3-3.3
Washington WizardsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#4
L
52-68
52
68
-16
A22/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
72-45
72
45
+27
A26/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
60-72
60
72
-12
A28/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A29/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
44-65
44
65
-21
A31/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
71-73
71
73
-2
H01/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
57-77
57
77
-20
A04/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
54-59
54
59
-5
A05/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
37-66
37
66
-29
H07/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
51-52
51
52
-1
H09/04
NBA
118.0Avg total
54.5Scored
63.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.964.9119.9-10.010%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.563.2118.7-7.714%-
Last 30 away (16)54.466.4120.9-12.06%-
Last 10 (10)54.563.5118.0-9.010%-
Last 5 (5)54.065.4119.4-11.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)54.665.9120.5-11.34%-
vs Similar (6)56.361.0117.3-4.733%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#8
L
63-64
63
64
-1
A22/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
58-76
58
76
-18
H23/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
63-46
63
46
+17
A25/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
46-81
46
81
-35
A27/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
L
75-79
75
79
-4
A29/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
58-61
58
61
-3
H30/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
57-80
57
80
-23
H01/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
77-57
77
57
+20
H04/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
51-64
51
64
-13
A07/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
50-69
50
69
-19
A09/04
NBA
127.5Avg total
59.8Scored
67.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.560.6121.1-0.147%-
Last 30 at home (16)61.860.2122.0+1.656%-
Last 30 away (14)59.061.1120.1-2.136%-
Last 10 (10)59.867.7127.5-7.920%-
Last 5 (5)58.666.2124.8-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)60.260.5120.8-0.250%-
vs Similar (14)55.862.7118.5-6.921%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)66.158.2124.2+7.975%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 117.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.731.1
56.9%
54.8%62.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.613.5
35.9%
35.8%40.5
🏀 Free throws19.814.5
73.2%
78.1%14.5
They take 92.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 120.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.627.7
57.0%
54.8%55.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.615.6
36.6%
35.8%46.8
🏀 Free throws23.318.6
79.8%
78.1%18.6
They take 91.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 42.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Washington Wizards
LLLLLLLLWL
Miami Heat
LLWLWLLWLL
#30
League position
#17
-12.7
Net rating
-7.6
106.1
Offensive rating
116.8
118.8
Defensive rating
124.5
55.6%
Effective FG%
56.0%
60.4%
Opp. effective FG%
58.6%
13.6%
Turnover %
11.1%
17.9%
Off. rebound %
21.9%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.26
35.9%
3-point %
36.6%
57.8%
Assist %
69.1%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence106.1 · 116.8Defence118.8 · 124.5Shooting55.6% · 56.0%3-point %35.9% · 36.6%Ball care13.6% · 11.1%Off. rebounds17.9% · 21.9%Free throws0.21 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)10% · 30%
■ Washington Wizards   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Washington Wizards wins
8
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/26HChicago Bulls108-119
07/04/26HChicago Bulls98-129
05/04/26ABrooklyn Nets115-121
04/04/26AMiami Heat136-152
01/04/26HPhiladelphia 76ers131-153
31/03/26ALos Angeles Lakers101-120
29/03/26APortland Trail Blazers88-123
28/03/26AGolden State Warriors126-131
26/03/26AUtah Jazz133-110
22/03/26ANew York Knicks113-145
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/26AToronto Raptors114-128
07/04/26AToronto Raptors95-121
04/04/26HWashington Wizards152-136
01/04/26HBoston Celtics129-147
30/03/26HPhiladelphia 76ers119-109
29/03/26AIndiana Pacers118-135
27/03/26ACleveland Cavaliers128-149
25/03/26ACleveland Cavaliers120-103
23/03/26HSan Antonio Spurs111-136
22/03/26AHouston Rockets122-123

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Washington Wizards
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL21%
HomeLLLLL28%
AwayLLLLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games804040
Win %21%28%15%
Points / game112.8113.6112.0
Allowed / game124.6124.2125.1
Point differential-11.8-10.6-13.1
Avg total237.4237.7237.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%12%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (14)50% (8)17% (6)
Overtime %4%2%5%
Miami Heat
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL52%
HomeLLWLW62%
AwayWLLLL41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games794039
Win %52%62%41%
Points / game120.5123.0118.0
Allowed / game118.6118.3118.9
Point differential+1.9+4.7-0.9
Avg total239.1241.3236.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%40%28%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (16)60% (10)33% (6)
Overtime %1%2%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder78631581%119.3107.5+11.8
2 San Antonio Spurs78591976%119.6111.1+8.4
3 Detroit Pistons80582272%117.6109.6+8.0
4 Boston Celtics80542668%114.5107.0+7.5
5 Denver Nuggets80522865%121.9117.0+4.9
6 Los Angeles Lakers79512865%116.3115.0+1.3
7 New York Knicks78502864%116.6110.3+6.3
8 Houston Rockets80512964%114.8109.8+5.0
9 Cleveland Cavaliers80512964%119.6115.3+4.3
10 Minnesota Timberwolves80473359%117.6114.3+3.3
11 Toronto Raptors79453457%114.8111.9+2.9
12 Atlanta Hawks80453556%118.4115.9+2.5
13 Phoenix Suns79443556%113.1111.0+2.1
14 Orlando Magic78433555%115.6115.2+0.5
15 Charlotte Hornets80433754%116.3111.3+5.0
16 Philadelphia 76ers80433754%115.9116.5-0.6
17 Miami Heat79413852%120.5118.6+1.9
18 Los Angeles Clippers80413951%114.0112.6+1.3
19 Portland Trail Blazers80404050%115.4116.1-0.7
20 Golden State Warriors80374346%114.6115.1-0.4
21 Chicago Bulls80314939%116.3121.1-4.8
22 Milwaukee Bucks80314939%110.5116.8-6.3
23 New Orleans Pelicans80265432%115.4119.6-4.2
24 Memphis Grizzlies80255531%115.0120.2-5.2
25 Dallas Mavericks80255531%113.6119.3-5.7
26 Utah Jazz80215926%117.3126.3-8.9
27 Sacramento Kings80215926%110.8121.0-10.2
28 Brooklyn Nets80206025%106.0115.5-9.6
29 Indiana Pacers80196124%112.5120.5-7.9
30 Washington Wizards80176321%112.8124.6-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Washington Wizards23293332117
Miami Heat34383335140
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