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Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 04 Oct 2022
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 101-112
21-30 31-21 30-39 19-22
Position#2
Record-
FormLLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#20
Record-
FormWWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Oklahoma City Thunder
02 Feb 2027
DEN v OKC
upcoming
10 Apr 2026
DEN127
OKC107
01 Feb 2026
DEN111
OKC121
15 May 2025
DEN119
OKC107
11 May 2025
DEN87
OKC92
09 May 2025
DEN113
OKC104
06 Nov 2024
DEN124
OKC122
24 Oct 2024
DEN87
OKC102
29 Dec 2023
DEN93
OKC119
16 Dec 2023
DEN117
OKC118
22 Jan 2023
DEN99
OKC101
22 Oct 2022
DEN122
OKC117
03 Oct 2022
DEN101
OKC112
26 Mar 2022
DEN113
OKC107
02 Mar 2022
DEN107
OKC119
12 Feb 2021
DEN97
OKC95
19 Jan 2021
DEN119
OKC101
30 Mar 2020
DEN v OKC
upcoming
14 Dec 2019
DEN110
OKC102
26 Feb 2019
DEN121
OKC112
14 Dec 2018
DEN109
OKC98
01 Feb 2018
DEN127
OKC124
09 Nov 2017
DEN102
OKC94
09 Apr 2017
DEN105
OKC106
25 Nov 2016
DEN129
OKC132
05 Apr 2016
DEN102
OKC124
19 Jan 2016
DEN104
OKC110
09 Feb 2015
DEN114
OKC124
19 Nov 2014
DEN107
OKC100
09 Jan 2014
DEN101
OKC88
17 Dec 2013
DEN93
OKC105
01 Mar 2013
DEN105
OKC103
20 Jan 2013
DEN121
OKC118
15 Mar 2012
DEN90
OKC103
25 Apr 2011
DEN104
OKC101
23 Apr 2011
DEN94
OKC97
05 Apr 2011
DEN94
OKC101
19 Jan 2011
DEN112
OKC107
03 Mar 2010
DEN119
OKC90
14 Dec 2009
DEN102
OKC93
08 Apr 2009
DEN122
OKC112
11 Mar 2009
DEN112
OKC99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oklahoma City Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
L
130-136
130
136
-6
134avg 108
H02/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
W
129-118
129
118
+11
130avg 108
A03/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
97-116
97
116
-19
84avg 108
H06/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
W
122-109
122
109
+13
123avg 108
H08/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
L
141-146 OT
141
146
-5
133avg 108
H11/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
107-123
107
123
-16
94avg 108
A17/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
106-126
106
126
-20
97avg 108
A19/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
113-118
113
118
-5
110avg 108
H22/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
126-121
126
121
+5
125avg 108
H24/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
98-102
98
102
-4
95avg 108
A28/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-40
30-30
29-28
36-38
24-28
38-33
33-33
34-24
30-32
14-32
35-21
18-31
34-30
36-23
35-25
17-31
33-36
36-33
39-26
27-40
27-26
20-32
23-32
37-33
26-25
25-32
30-44
25-25
32-34
27-35
30-18
24-31
26-21
37-31
35-37
28-32
25-30
23-18
30-22
20-32
238.4Avg total
116.9Scored
121.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)116.9121.5238.4-4.630%
Last 5 (5)110.0118.0228.0-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)117.0132.0249.0-15.00%
vs Similar ◀ (17)116.0118.5234.5-2.547%
vs Weaker (11)121.0111.8232.8+9.282%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#29
W
118-102
118
102
+16
113avg 93
H24/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#11
L
107-113
107
113
-6
102avg 93
A27/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
W
134-131 OT
134
131
+3
134avg 93
A29/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
L
118-136
118
136
-18
113avg 93
H31/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#28
L
101-110
101
110
-9
96avg 93
H02/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#1
W
117-96
117
96
+21
122avg 93
H03/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
W
98-94
98
94
+4
86avg 93
H06/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
101-137
101
137
-36
85avg 93
A07/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
L
101-120
101
120
-19
90avg 93
A09/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
88-138
88
138
-50
64avg 93
A11/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-34
34-19
24-21
34-28
25-32
24-26
27-29
31-26
34-28
24-33
23-28
34-26
24-42
34-43
31-30
29-21
20-21
32-34
14-28
35-27
20-27
32-26
32-22
33-21
29-27
19-27
19-28
31-12
31-41
27-30
27-35
16-31
28-27
24-29
30-34
19-30
18-39
33-27
16-29
21-43
226.0Avg total
108.3Scored
117.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)108.3117.7226.0-9.440%
Last 5 (5)101.0117.0218.0-16.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)108.6122.0230.6-13.317%
vs Similar ◀ (6)107.7109.7217.3-2.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -6.3-6.3Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: -5.1-5.1Q4: +1.8+1.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -6.3-6.3Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: -5.1-5.1Q4: +1.8+1.8
Denver NuggetsOklahoma City Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
L
65-70
65
70
-5
H02/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
W
62-61
62
61
+1
A03/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
44-64
44
64
-20
H06/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
W
70-53
70
53
+17
H08/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
D
69-69
69
69
+0
H11/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A17/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A19/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
59-69
59
69
-10
H22/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
63-52
63
52
+11
H24/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A28/04
NBA
117.9Avg total
57.8Scored
60.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.058.0118.0+2.157%-
Last 30 at home (17)60.860.2121.0+0.659%-
Last 30 away (13)59.055.1114.1+3.954%-
Last 10 (10)57.860.1117.9-2.330%-
Last 5 (5)53.656.8110.4-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)55.567.0122.5-11.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)58.959.1117.9-0.241%-
vs Weaker (11)62.654.6117.3+8.082%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#29
W
60-53
60
53
+7
H24/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#11
L
49-58
49
58
-9
A27/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
L
58-61
58
61
-3
A29/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
L
58-85
58
85
-27
H31/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#28
L
52-55
52
55
-3
H02/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#1
L
52-53
52
53
-1
H03/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H06/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
58-71
58
71
-13
A07/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
L
52-56
52
56
-4
A09/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
51-66
51
66
-15
A11/04
NBA
115.0Avg total
53.8Scored
61.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.961.5115.3-7.610%-
Last 30 at home (16)54.262.5116.8-8.26%-
Last 30 away (14)53.460.3113.7-6.914%-
Last 10 (10)53.861.2115.0-7.410%-
Last 5 (5)52.260.0112.2-7.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)54.063.2117.2-9.28%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)53.354.5107.8-1.217%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 116.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.731.0
58.8%
54.5%62.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.311.4
34.2%
35.8%34.2
🏀 Free throws25.720.7
80.5%
78.1%20.7
They take 86.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 108.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.126.2
52.3%
54.5%52.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.713.6
37.1%
35.8%40.8
🏀 Free throws21.215.1
71.2%
78.1%15.1
They take 86.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Oct 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LWLLLLWLWL
Oklahoma City Thunder
LLLWWLLWLW
#2
League position
#20
-4.5
Net rating
-9.3
114.5
Offensive rating
107.3
119.0
Defensive rating
116.6
55.9%
Effective FG%
53.7%
58.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
14.6%
Turnover %
14.3%
24.6%
Off. rebound %
22.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.24
34.2%
3-point %
37.1%
65.1%
Assist %
62.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence114.5 · 107.3Defence119.0 · 116.6Shooting55.9% · 53.7%3-point %34.2% · 37.1%Ball care14.6% · 14.3%Off. rebounds24.6% · 22.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Oklahoma City Thunder
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/22AGolden State Warriors98-102
24/04/22HGolden State Warriors126-121
22/04/22HGolden State Warriors113-118
19/04/22AGolden State Warriors106-126
17/04/22AGolden State Warriors107-123
11/04/22HLos Angeles Lakers141-146 OT
08/04/22HMemphis Grizzlies122-109
06/04/22HSan Antonio Spurs97-116
03/04/22ALos Angeles Lakers129-118
02/04/22HMinnesota Timberwolves130-136
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/22ALos Angeles Clippers88-138
09/04/22ALos Angeles Lakers101-120
07/04/22AUtah Jazz101-137
06/04/22HPortland Trail Blazers98-94
03/04/22HPhoenix Suns117-96
02/04/22HDetroit Pistons101-110
31/03/22HAtlanta Hawks118-136
29/03/22APortland Trail Blazers134-131 OT
27/03/22ADenver Nuggets107-113
24/03/22HOrlando Magic118-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets21313019101
Oklahoma City Thunder30213922112
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