PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Apr 2022
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 130-136
35-40 30-30 29-28 36-38
Position#11
Record46-31
FormWLWWW
Points / game112.0
Allowed / game109.5
vs
Position#12
Record43-34
FormLLWLL
Points / game115.2
Allowed / game112.4
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2021-22
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Minnesota Timberwolves
07 Mar 2027
DEN v MIN
upcoming
28 Dec 2026
DEN v MIN
upcoming
27 Apr 2026
DEN125
MIN113
20 Apr 2026
DEN114
MIN119
18 Apr 2026
DEN116
MIN105
01 Mar 2026
DEN108
MIN117
25 Dec 2025
DEN142
MIN138
01 Apr 2025
DEN139
MIN140
12 Mar 2025
DEN95
MIN115
19 May 2024
DEN90
MIN98
14 May 2024
DEN112
MIN97
06 May 2024
DEN80
MIN106
04 May 2024
DEN99
MIN106
10 Apr 2024
DEN116
MIN107
29 Mar 2024
DEN98
MIN111
25 Apr 2023
DEN112
MIN109
19 Apr 2023
DEN122
MIN113
16 Apr 2023
DEN109
MIN80
07 Feb 2023
DEN146
MIN112
18 Jan 2023
DEN122
MIN118
01 Apr 2022
DEN130
MIN136
15 Dec 2021
DEN107
MIN124
05 Jan 2021
DEN123
MIN116
23 Feb 2020
DEN128
MIN116
20 Dec 2019
DEN109
MIN100
10 Apr 2019
DEN99
MIN95
12 Mar 2019
DEN133
MIN107
05 Apr 2018
DEN100
MIN96
20 Dec 2017
DEN104
MIN112
15 Feb 2017
DEN99
MIN112
28 Dec 2016
DEN105
MIN103
11 Dec 2015
DEN111
MIN108
30 Oct 2015
DEN78
MIN95
17 Jan 2015
DEN105
MIN113
26 Dec 2014
DEN106
MIN102
03 Mar 2014
DEN128
MIN132
15 Nov 2013
DEN117
MIN113
09 Mar 2013
DEN111
MIN88
03 Jan 2013
DEN97
MIN101
11 Apr 2012
DEN113
MIN107
20 Feb 2012
DEN103
MIN101
09 Apr 2011
DEN130
MIN106
18 Dec 2010
DEN115
MIN113
11 Jan 2010
DEN105
MIN94
29 Nov 2009
DEN100
MIN106
10 Dec 2008
DEN116
MIN105
16 Nov 2008
DEN90
MIN84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#10
L
115-127
115
127
-12
117avg 107
H13/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
W
114-110
114
110
+4
113avg 107
A14/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#21
W
127-109
127
109
+18
124avg 107
A16/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
L
116-119 OT
116
119
-3
118avg 107
A18/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
104-124
104
124
-20
91avg 107
H21/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
127-115
127
115
+12
128avg 107
H23/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#1
L
130-140
130
140
-10
127avg 107
H25/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
113-107
113
107
+6
116avg 107
H27/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
113-109
113
109
+4
112avg 107
A28/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
125-118
125
118
+7
133avg 107
A30/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-28
38-37
36-28
16-34
22-37
31-21
28-30
33-22
34-28
39-24
31-29
23-28
29-31
34-21
24-26
20-29
27-33
16-35
32-30
29-26
37-27
35-34
27-27
28-27
31-31
37-35
38-38
24-36
32-25
26-24
29-27
26-31
32-30
24-27
37-27
20-25
43-15
26-38
22-38
34-27
236.2Avg total
118.4Scored
117.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (77)112.0109.5221.5+2.560%
Season at home (37)113.9110.8224.8+3.159%
Season away (40)110.2108.2218.4+2.060%
Last 10 (10)118.4117.8236.2+0.660%
Last 5 (5)121.6117.8239.4+3.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)112.0124.0236.0-12.00%
vs Similar ◀ (17)118.5114.5233.1+4.065%
vs Weaker (10)118.2107.7225.9+10.590%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#29
L
110-118
110
118
-8
99avg 107
A12/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
W
113-104
113
104
+9
105avg 107
A13/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
149-139
149
139
+10
145avg 107
A15/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
W
124-104
124
104
+20
116avg 107
H17/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
138-119
138
119
+19
134avg 107
H19/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#7
L
108-110
108
110
-2
96avg 107
A22/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#1
L
116-125
116
125
-9
106avg 107
H24/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#7
W
116-95
116
95
+21
113avg 107
H26/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
112-134
112
134
-22
103avg 107
A27/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#10
L
102-125
102
125
-23
92avg 107
A30/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-24
29-36
28-37
17-21
30-25
25-42
34-19
24-18
40-32
35-41
46-33
28-33
31-17
36-29
19-31
38-27
34-28
34-28
38-26
32-37
29-23
25-37
27-26
27-24
30-25
34-26
24-32
28-42
26-22
35-28
28-17
27-28
30-34
19-38
31-34
32-28
30-20
30-42
22-35
20-28
236.1Avg total
118.8Scored
117.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (77)115.2112.4227.6+2.856%
Season at home (38)112.9107.0219.9+5.966%
Season away (39)117.5117.6235.0-0.146%
Last 10 (10)118.8117.3236.1+1.550%
Last 5 (5)110.8117.8228.6-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)117.3131.0248.3-13.70%
vs Similar ◀ (16)119.6117.3236.9+2.262%
vs Weaker (11)126.5110.5236.9+16.082%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +6.6+6.6Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -1.3-1.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +6.6+6.6Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -1.3-1.3
Denver NuggetsMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#10
L
63-65
63
65
-2
H13/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
53-58
53
58
-5
A14/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#21
W
73-52
73
52
+21
A16/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
W
63-52
63
52
+11
A18/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
43-68
43
68
-25
H21/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
72-61
72
61
+11
H23/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#1
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H25/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
58-49
58
49
+9
H27/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
56-57
56
57
-1
A28/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
69-53
69
53
+16
A30/03
NBA
119.9Avg total
61.8Scored
58.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.056.9117.9+4.173%-
Last 30 at home (15)61.958.1120.0+3.780%-
Last 30 away (15)60.155.6115.7+4.567%-
Last 10 (10)61.858.1119.9+3.760%-
Last 5 (5)64.657.2121.8+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)57.061.7118.7-4.767%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)61.659.4121.1+2.265%-
vs Weaker (10)61.151.1112.2+10.090%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#29
W
65-60
65
60
+5
A12/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
L
55-67
55
67
-12
A13/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
75-73
75
73
+2
A15/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
W
67-46
67
46
+21
H17/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
68-56
68
56
+12
H19/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#7
L
54-60
54
60
-6
A22/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#1
W
64-51
64
51
+13
H24/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#7
W
61-50
61
50
+11
H26/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
49-72
49
72
-23
A27/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#10
L
60-62
60
62
-2
A30/03
NBA
121.5Avg total
61.8Scored
59.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)62.358.7120.9+3.657%-
Last 30 at home (15)60.552.5112.9+8.067%-
Last 30 away (15)64.164.9128.9-0.847%-
Last 10 (10)61.859.7121.5+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)57.659.0116.6-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)59.765.7125.3-6.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)59.458.1117.5+1.456%-
vs Weaker (11)67.157.6124.7+9.564%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 118.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.931.2
60.1%
53.1%62.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.512.6
38.8%
35.3%37.8
🏀 Free throws22.418.2
81.2%
77.4%18.2
They take 84.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 118.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.127.0
53.9%
53.1%54.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.014.8
37.9%
35.3%44.4
🏀 Free throws24.420.4
83.6%
77.4%20.4
They take 89.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Apr 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWWLWLLWWL
Minnesota Timberwolves
LLWLLWWWWL
#11
League position
#12
+0.6
Net rating
+1.5
119.6
Offensive rating
115.3
119.0
Defensive rating
113.9
59.4%
Effective FG%
55.2%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
14.7%
Turnover %
12.6%
25.1%
Off. rebound %
22.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.27
38.8%
3-point %
37.9%
68.7%
Assist %
60.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence119.6 · 115.3Defence119.0 · 113.9Shooting59.4% · 55.2%3-point %38.8% · 37.9%Ball care14.7% · 12.6%Off. rebounds25.1% · 22.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/22AIndiana Pacers125-118
28/03/22ACharlotte Hornets113-109
27/03/22HOklahoma City Thunder113-107
25/03/22HPhoenix Suns130-140
23/03/22HLos Angeles Clippers127-115
21/03/22HBoston Celtics104-124
18/03/22ACleveland Cavaliers116-119 OT
16/03/22AWashington Wizards127-109
14/03/22APhiladelphia 76ers114-110
13/03/22HToronto Raptors115-127
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/22AToronto Raptors102-125
27/03/22ABoston Celtics112-134
26/03/22HDallas Mavericks116-95
24/03/22HPhoenix Suns116-125
22/03/22ADallas Mavericks108-110
19/03/22HMilwaukee Bucks138-119
17/03/22HLos Angeles Lakers124-104
15/03/22ASan Antonio Spurs149-139
13/03/22AMiami Heat113-104
12/03/22AOrlando Magic110-118

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW60%
HomeLLWLW59%
AwayWWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games773740
Win %60%59%60%
Points / game112.0113.9110.2
Allowed / game109.5110.8108.2
Point differential+2.5+3.1+2.0
Avg total221.5224.8218.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%30%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won68% (19)80% (5)64% (14)
Overtime %5%5%5%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL56%
HomeWWWLW66%
AwayWWLLL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games773839
Win %56%66%46%
Points / game115.2112.9117.5
Allowed / game112.4107.0117.6
Point differential+2.8+5.9-0.1
Avg total227.6219.9235.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%47%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (15)60% (5)60% (10)
Overtime %4%3%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Phoenix Suns77621581%115.2107.0+8.2
2 Memphis Grizzlies78552371%115.4109.2+6.2
3 Miami Heat77492864%109.3105.1+4.2
4 Golden State Warriors77482962%110.7105.7+5.0
5 Milwaukee Bucks77482962%115.0111.9+3.1
6 Boston Celtics78483062%110.8104.3+6.5
7 Dallas Mavericks78483062%107.1104.7+2.4
8 Philadelphia 76ers76463061%108.7106.7+2.0
9 Utah Jazz77463160%113.4107.8+5.6
10 Denver Nuggets77463160%112.0109.5+2.5
11 Toronto Raptors77453258%109.3106.8+2.4
12 Chicago Bulls77453258%111.7111.2+0.5
13 Minnesota Timberwolves77433456%115.2112.4+2.8
14 Cleveland Cavaliers77423555%107.2105.2+2.1
15 Atlanta Hawks77403752%113.7112.4+1.4
16 Charlotte Hornets77403752%114.8114.4+0.5
17 Brooklyn Nets77403752%112.5112.2+0.4
18 Los Angeles Clippers78384049%107.7108.9-1.2
19 New York Knicks77344344%106.4107.0-0.6
20 Washington Wizards77344344%108.7111.3-2.6
21 New Orleans Pelicans76334343%108.9109.8-0.8
22 San Antonio Spurs77324542%113.2113.3-0.1
23 Los Angeles Lakers76314541%111.5114.6-3.1
24 Sacramento Kings78294937%110.7115.8-5.2
25 Portland Trail Blazers77275035%107.4115.1-7.6
26 Indiana Pacers78255332%111.0114.2-3.2
27 Oklahoma City Thunder77225529%103.9111.5-7.6
28 Detroit Pistons78225628%104.6111.9-7.4
29 Orlando Magic78205826%104.0111.9-7.9
30 Houston Rockets78205826%109.4117.8-8.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets35302936130
Minnesota Timberwolves40302838136
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.