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Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 07 Oct 2021
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 118-116
26-39 37-23 21-27 34-27
Position#2
Record-
FormWWWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#11
Record-
FormWLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANBA· Chase Center
NBA2021-22
Meetings · Golden State Warriors v Denver Nuggets
25 Dec 2026
GSW v DEN
upcoming
22 Feb 2026
GSW128
DEN117
23 Oct 2025
GSW137
DEN131
04 Apr 2025
GSW118
DEN104
17 Mar 2025
GSW105
DEN114
25 Feb 2024
GSW103
DEN119
04 Jan 2024
GSW127
DEN130
21 Oct 2022
GSW123
DEN128
27 Apr 2022
GSW102
DEN98
18 Apr 2022
GSW126
DEN106
16 Apr 2022
GSW123
DEN107
16 Feb 2022
GSW116
DEN117
28 Dec 2021
GSW86
DEN89
06 Oct 2021
GSW118
DEN116
23 Apr 2021
GSW118
DEN97
12 Apr 2021
GSW116
DEN107
12 Dec 2020
GSW107
DEN105
31 Mar 2020
GSW v DEN
upcoming
16 Jan 2020
GSW131
DEN134
02 Apr 2019
GSW116
DEN102
08 Mar 2019
GSW122
DEN105
08 Jan 2018
GSW124
DEN114
23 Dec 2017
GSW81
DEN96
02 Jan 2017
GSW127
DEN119
02 Jan 2016
GSW111
DEN108
06 Nov 2015
GSW119
DEN104
15 Apr 2015
GSW133
DEN126
19 Jan 2015
GSW122
DEN79
10 Apr 2014
GSW99
DEN100
15 Jan 2014
GSW116
DEN123
02 May 2013
GSW92
DEN88
28 Apr 2013
GSW115
DEN101
26 Apr 2013
GSW110
DEN108
29 Nov 2012
GSW106
DEN105
10 Nov 2012
GSW101
DEN107
07 Apr 2012
GSW112
DEN97
09 Feb 2011
GSW116
DEN114
22 Nov 2010
GSW89
DEN106
25 Feb 2010
GSW112
DEN127
20 Jan 2010
GSW118
DEN123
05 Nov 2008
GSW111
DEN101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Golden State Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
123-108
123
108
+15
120avg 107
A03/05
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
103-108
103
108
-5
92avg 107
A05/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
118-97
118
97
+21
123avg 107
H07/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
136-97
136
97
+39
142avg 107
H09/05
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
W
119-116
119
116
+3
112avg 107
H11/05
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
W
122-116
122
116
+6
116avg 107
H12/05
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
125-122
125
122
+3
122avg 107
H15/05
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
W
113-101
113
101
+12
112avg 107
H16/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
100-103
100
103
-3
91avg 107
A20/05
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
112-117 OT
112
117
-5
106avg 107
H22/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
39-21
27-33
29-26
28-28
34-32
23-24
22-19
24-33
31-24
30-25
27-23
30-25
37-25
36-23
33-19
30-30
31-30
23-19
35-26
30-41
29-38
29-28
34-32
30-18
41-32
34-25
24-33
26-32
30-29
25-20
31-20
27-32
28-22
27-20
24-35
21-26
29-30
20-32
24-16
26-21
225.6Avg total
117.1Scored
108.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)117.1108.5225.6+8.670%
Last 5 (5)114.4111.8226.2+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)116.0111.0227.0+5.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (18)110.6113.8224.4-3.239%
vs Weaker (9)123.1108.9232.0+14.278%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
109-123
109
123
-14
100avg 109
H23/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
128-109
128
109
+19
122avg 109
H25/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
120-115
120
115
+5
114avg 109
A28/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
95-115
95
115
-20
78avg 109
A29/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
147-140 OT
147
140
+7
141avg 109
H02/06
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
126-115
126
115
+11
no box
A04/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
105-122
105
122
-17
no box
A08/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
98-123
98
123
-25
86avg 109
A10/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
102-116
102
116
-14
86avg 109
H12/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
118-125
118
125
-7
98avg 109
H14/06
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-35
31-23
25-38
23-27
31-25
42-36
28-26
27-22
39-30
25-29
20-20
36-36
24-32
23-25
19-36
29-22
38-25
27-37
27-32
29-27
29-33
32-35
37-33
28-14
28-28
30-29
21-31
26-34
21-25
21-27
25-34
31-37
27-37
28-22
21-31
26-26
22-28
33-35
28-33
35-29
235.1Avg total
114.8Scored
120.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)114.8120.3235.1-5.540%
Last 5 (5)109.8120.2230.0-10.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (22)112.3116.3228.6-4.041%
vs Weaker (8)118.8106.2225.0+12.5100%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -6.3-6.3Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +1.6+1.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -6.3-6.3Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +1.6+1.6
Golden State WarriorsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
66-54
66
54
+12
A03/05
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
57-56
57
56
+1
A05/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
61-49
61
49
+12
H07/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
73-48
73
48
+25
H09/05
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H11/05
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
58-66
58
66
-8
H12/05
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
75-57
75
57
+18
H15/05
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
W
55-49
55
49
+6
H16/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
55-42
55
42
+13
A20/05
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
49-62
49
62
-13
H22/05
NBA
113.5Avg total
60.3Scored
53.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.756.7114.4+1.053%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.056.4113.4+0.656%-
Last 30 away (14)58.457.0115.4+1.450%-
Last 10 (10)60.353.2113.5+7.180%-
Last 5 (5)58.455.2113.6+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)54.051.3105.3+2.767%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)55.658.0113.6-2.450%-
vs Weaker (9)63.155.9119.0+7.256%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
61-58
61
58
+3
H23/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
73-61
73
61
+12
H25/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
64-59
64
59
+5
A28/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
47-57
47
57
-10
A29/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
65-62
65
62
+3
H02/06
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
61-68
61
68
-7
A04/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
W
58-57
58
57
+1
A08/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A10/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
55-59
55
59
-4
H12/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
55-63
55
63
-8
H14/06
NBA
117.7Avg total
58.1Scored
59.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.255.8115.0+3.470%-
Last 30 at home (14)61.454.8116.2+6.679%-
Last 30 away (16)57.356.7114.0+0.662%-
Last 10 (10)58.159.6117.7-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)54.259.8114.0-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (22)57.957.0114.9+1.059%-
vs Weaker (8)62.952.6115.5+10.2100%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 117.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers50.1 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.225.8
57.1%
53.1%51.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.616.7
39.2%
35.3%50.1
🏀 Free throws18.515.4
83.2%
77.4%15.4
They take 87.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 42.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 114.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.727.2
50.7%
53.1%54.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.514.7
38.2%
35.3%44.1
🏀 Free throws20.915.9
76.1%
77.4%15.9
They take 92.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Oct 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Golden State Warriors
LLWWWWWWLW
Denver Nuggets
LLLLWWLWWL
#2
League position
#11
+8.4
Net rating
-5.9
114.0
Offensive rating
113.8
105.6
Defensive rating
119.7
57.9%
Effective FG%
53.4%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
57.6%
14.8%
Turnover %
10.7%
19.7%
Off. rebound %
25.1%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.23
39.2%
3-point %
38.2%
66.6%
Assist %
59.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence114.0 · 113.8Defence105.6 · 119.7Shooting57.9% · 53.4%3-point %39.2% · 38.2%Ball care14.8% · 10.7%Off. rebounds19.7% · 25.1%Free throws0.21 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Golden State Warriors   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
22/05/21HMemphis Grizzlies112-117 OT
20/05/21ALos Angeles Lakers100-103
16/05/21HMemphis Grizzlies113-101
15/05/21HNew Orleans Pelicans125-122
12/05/21HPhoenix Suns122-116
11/05/21HUtah Jazz119-116
09/05/21HOklahoma City Thunder136-97
07/05/21HOklahoma City Thunder118-97
05/05/21ANew Orleans Pelicans103-108
03/05/21ANew Orleans Pelicans123-108
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/06/21HPhoenix Suns118-125
12/06/21HPhoenix Suns102-116
10/06/21APhoenix Suns98-123
08/06/21APhoenix Suns105-122
04/06/21APortland Trail Blazers126-115
02/06/21HPortland Trail Blazers147-140 OT
29/05/21APortland Trail Blazers95-115
28/05/21APortland Trail Blazers120-115
25/05/21HPortland Trail Blazers128-109
23/05/21HPortland Trail Blazers109-123

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Golden State Warriors
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Golden State Warriors26372134118
Denver Nuggets39232727116
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