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Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 29 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 86-89
16-31 20-29 25-14 25-15
Position#2
Record27-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game111.6
Allowed / game101.2
vs
Position#11
Record16-16
FormLWLLW
Points / game106.3
Allowed / game106.6
USANBA· Chase Center
NBA2021-22
Meetings · Golden State Warriors v Denver Nuggets
25 Dec 2026
GSW v DEN
upcoming
22 Feb 2026
GSW128
DEN117
23 Oct 2025
GSW137
DEN131
04 Apr 2025
GSW118
DEN104
17 Mar 2025
GSW105
DEN114
25 Feb 2024
GSW103
DEN119
04 Jan 2024
GSW127
DEN130
21 Oct 2022
GSW123
DEN128
27 Apr 2022
GSW102
DEN98
18 Apr 2022
GSW126
DEN106
16 Apr 2022
GSW123
DEN107
16 Feb 2022
GSW116
DEN117
28 Dec 2021
GSW86
DEN89
23 Apr 2021
GSW118
DEN97
12 Apr 2021
GSW116
DEN107
12 Dec 2020
GSW107
DEN105
31 Mar 2020
GSW v DEN
upcoming
16 Jan 2020
GSW131
DEN134
02 Apr 2019
GSW116
DEN102
08 Mar 2019
GSW122
DEN105
08 Jan 2018
GSW124
DEN114
23 Dec 2017
GSW81
DEN96
02 Jan 2017
GSW127
DEN119
02 Jan 2016
GSW111
DEN108
06 Nov 2015
GSW119
DEN104
15 Apr 2015
GSW133
DEN126
19 Jan 2015
GSW122
DEN79
10 Apr 2014
GSW99
DEN100
15 Jan 2014
GSW116
DEN123
02 May 2013
GSW92
DEN88
28 Apr 2013
GSW115
DEN101
26 Apr 2013
GSW110
DEN108
29 Nov 2012
GSW106
DEN105
10 Nov 2012
GSW101
DEN107
07 Apr 2012
GSW112
DEN97
09 Feb 2011
GSW116
DEN114
22 Nov 2010
GSW89
DEN106
25 Feb 2010
GSW112
DEN127
20 Jan 2010
GSW118
DEN123
05 Nov 2008
GSW111
DEN101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Golden State Warriors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#29
W
126-95
126
95
+31
120avg 108
H07/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
W
104-94
104
94
+10
95avg 108
H09/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
93-102
93
102
-9
81avg 108
A12/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
102-100
102
100
+2
97avg 108
A14/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
W
105-96
105
96
+9
106avg 108
A15/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
W
111-107
111
107
+4
103avg 108
A18/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#10
L
100-119
100
119
-19
99avg 108
A19/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
113-98
113
98
+15
109avg 108
H21/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
W
113-104
113
104
+9
110avg 108
H24/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#1
W
116-107
116
107
+9
113avg 108
A25/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-26
34-18
33-35
28-16
26-23
21-22
29-21
28-28
22-23
27-23
24-24
20-32
25-29
22-26
33-29
22-16
24-24
23-24
24-16
34-32
34-26
34-28
14-27
29-26
18-31
24-32
27-33
31-23
26-16
32-30
26-33
29-19
27-31
25-22
32-30
29-21
33-27
25-35
26-22
32-23
210.5Avg total
108.3Scored
102.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)111.6101.2212.9+10.482%
Season at home (18)115.7100.1215.7+15.689%
Season away (15)106.8102.7209.5+4.173%
Last 10 (10)108.3102.2210.5+6.180%
Last 5 (5)110.6107.0217.6+3.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)109.2103.5212.7+5.767%
vs Weaker (18)112.298.1210.2+14.189%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
97-109
97
109
-12
89avg 105
A07/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
120-114 OT
120
114
+6
110avg 105
A09/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
111-123
111
123
-12
98avg 105
A10/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
127-112
127
112
+15
124avg 105
A12/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#21
W
113-107
113
107
+6
114avg 105
H14/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
L
107-124
107
124
-17
105avg 105
H16/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
W
133-115
133
115
+18
136avg 105
A18/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
L
94-108
94
108
-14
78avg 105
A23/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
107-115
107
115
-8
97avg 105
H24/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
103-100
103
100
+3
96avg 105
A27/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-18
22-28
22-31
26-32
35-33
29-24
16-20
25-28
29-37
36-37
25-26
21-23
28-29
44-27
31-18
24-38
29-22
30-19
32-29
22-37
32-40
29-35
27-33
19-16
29-26
43-28
34-33
27-28
18-28
34-32
14-28
28-20
26-27
39-25
29-25
13-38
32-30
32-25
15-28
24-17
223.9Avg total
111.2Scored
112.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)106.3106.6212.9-0.350%
Season at home (14)104.7102.3207.0+2.457%
Season away (18)107.5110.0217.5-2.544%
Last 10 (10)111.2112.7223.9-1.550%
Last 5 (5)108.8112.4221.2-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)97.0126.0223.0-29.00%
vs Similar ◀ (22)107.4107.4214.8-0.045%
vs Weaker (7)104.3104.1208.4+0.157%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +5.8+5.8Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: -4.8-4.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +5.8+5.8Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: -4.8-4.8
Golden State WarriorsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#29
W
65-44
65
44
+21
H07/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H09/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A12/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
L
47-55
47
55
-8
A14/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A15/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
W
68-54
68
54
+14
A18/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#10
L
42-63
42
63
-21
A19/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
58-46
58
46
+12
H21/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
L
52-53
52
53
-1
H24/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#1
L
58-62
58
62
-4
A25/12
NBA
104.9Avg total
53.3Scored
51.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.152.5107.6+2.660%-
Last 30 at home (17)57.051.2108.2+5.876%-
Last 30 away (13)52.654.2106.8-1.638%-
Last 10 (10)53.351.6104.9+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)55.655.6111.2+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)55.253.6108.8+1.650%-
vs Weaker (18)55.151.8106.9+3.267%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A07/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
64-57
64
57
+7
A09/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
65-74
65
74
-9
A10/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
72-56
72
56
+16
A12/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#21
W
59-41
59
41
+18
H14/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
L
61-75
61
75
-14
H16/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
W
72-54
72
54
+18
A18/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
L
52-60
52
60
-8
A23/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
65-52
65
52
+13
H24/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
64-55
64
55
+9
A27/12
NBA
119.3Avg total
62.3Scored
57.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.354.3111.6+3.150%-
Last 30 at home (13)54.351.5105.8+2.846%-
Last 30 away (17)59.656.4116.0+3.353%-
Last 10 (10)62.357.0119.3+5.370%-
Last 5 (5)62.859.2122.0+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)60.073.0133.0-13.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)58.054.4112.5+3.655%-
vs Weaker (7)54.751.1105.9+3.643%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 108.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.024.7
56.1%
53.1%49.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.014.4
36.0%
35.3%43.2
🏀 Free throws20.915.7
75.1%
77.4%15.7
They take 84.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 111.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.527.1
52.6%
53.1%54.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.013.8
36.3%
35.3%41.4
🏀 Free throws19.715.6
79.2%
77.4%15.6
They take 89.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Golden State Warriors
WWWLWWWLWW
Denver Nuggets
WLLWLWWLWL
#2
League position
#11
+6.2
Net rating
-1.5
110.0
Offensive rating
108.4
103.8
Defensive rating
109.8
55.1%
Effective FG%
53.4%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
15.0%
Turnover %
11.9%
23.2%
Off. rebound %
16.5%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.22
36.0%
3-point %
36.3%
66.2%
Assist %
70.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.0 · 108.4Defence103.8 · 109.8Shooting55.1% · 53.4%3-point %36.0% · 36.3%Ball care15.0% · 11.9%Off. rebounds23.2% · 16.5%Free throws0.25 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Golden State Warriors   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
25/12/21APhoenix Suns116-107
24/12/21HMemphis Grizzlies113-104
21/12/21HSacramento Kings113-98
19/12/21AToronto Raptors100-119
18/12/21ABoston Celtics111-107
15/12/21ANew York Knicks105-96
14/12/21AIndiana Pacers102-100
12/12/21APhiladelphia 76ers93-102
09/12/21HPortland Trail Blazers104-94
07/12/21HOrlando Magic126-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/21ALos Angeles Clippers103-100
24/12/21HCharlotte Hornets107-115
23/12/21AOklahoma City Thunder94-108
18/12/21AAtlanta Hawks133-115
16/12/21HMinnesota Timberwolves107-124
14/12/21HWashington Wizards113-107
12/12/21ASan Antonio Spurs127-112
10/12/21ASan Antonio Spurs111-123
09/12/21ANew Orleans Pelicans120-114 OT
07/12/21AChicago Bulls97-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Golden State Warriors
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW82%
HomeLWWWW89%
AwayWWWLW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331815
Win %82%89%73%
Points / game111.6115.7106.8
Allowed / game101.2100.1102.7
Point differential+10.4+15.6+4.1
Avg total212.9215.7209.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%78%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)33% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW50%
HomeLLWLL57%
AwayLWWLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321418
Win %50%57%44%
Points / game106.3104.7107.5
Allowed / game106.6102.3110.0
Point differential-0.3+2.4-2.5
Avg total212.9207.0217.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%21%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors3327682%111.6101.2+10.4
2 Phoenix Suns3326779%111.7104.7+7.1
3 Utah Jazz3324973%115.8105.6+10.2
4 Brooklyn Nets3223972%110.5106.6+3.9
5 Chicago Bulls31211068%110.1106.6+3.5
6 Milwaukee Bucks36231364%110.9107.1+3.8
7 Miami Heat35221363%107.4103.4+4.0
8 Memphis Grizzlies35211460%111.1108.6+2.5
9 Cleveland Cavaliers34201459%107.8101.6+6.3
10 Philadelphia 76ers34181653%106.0106.1-0.1
11 Charlotte Hornets35181751%115.1116.3-1.2
12 Los Angeles Clippers34171750%105.4105.3+0.2
13 Denver Nuggets32161650%106.3106.6-0.3
14 Washington Wizards34171750%106.0109.0-2.9
15 Los Angeles Lakers35171849%110.6112.6-2.0
16 Dallas Mavericks33161748%105.6105.5+0.2
17 Boston Celtics34161847%108.4107.4+0.9
18 New York Knicks34161847%105.7106.2-0.5
19 Minnesota Timberwolves34161847%108.1108.8-0.6
20 Atlanta Hawks33151845%110.1109.7+0.4
21 Toronto Raptors31141745%106.2106.7-0.5
22 San Antonio Spurs33141942%111.5109.8+1.7
23 Indiana Pacers34142041%107.8107.2+0.6
24 Portland Trail Blazers33132039%108.4111.7-3.3
25 Sacramento Kings34132138%109.9114.4-4.5
26 Oklahoma City Thunder32122038%100.1107.7-7.6
27 New Orleans Pelicans35132237%105.1109.5-4.4
28 Houston Rockets35102529%107.0114.8-7.8
29 Orlando Magic3572820%101.2110.8-9.6
30 Detroit Pistons3252716%100.7110.5-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Golden State Warriors1620252586
Denver Nuggets3129141589
← all games of the day
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