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Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 17 Jan 2020
Tip-off: 03:30
Final 131-134 (OT)
34-19 28-26 23-28 28-40 18-21
Position#30
Record11-36
FormLLLLL
Points / game105.3
Allowed / game113.4
vs
Position#7
Record32-12
FormWWLWW
Points / game108.8
Allowed / game104.2
USANBA· Chase Center
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Golden State Warriors v Denver Nuggets
25 Dec 2026
GSW v DEN
upcoming
22 Feb 2026
GSW128
DEN117
23 Oct 2025
GSW137
DEN131
04 Apr 2025
GSW118
DEN104
17 Mar 2025
GSW105
DEN114
25 Feb 2024
GSW103
DEN119
04 Jan 2024
GSW127
DEN130
21 Oct 2022
GSW123
DEN128
14 Oct 2022
GSW112
DEN119
27 Apr 2022
GSW102
DEN98
18 Apr 2022
GSW126
DEN106
16 Apr 2022
GSW123
DEN107
16 Feb 2022
GSW116
DEN117
28 Dec 2021
GSW86
DEN89
06 Oct 2021
GSW118
DEN116
23 Apr 2021
GSW118
DEN97
12 Apr 2021
GSW116
DEN107
12 Dec 2020
GSW107
DEN105
31 Mar 2020
GSW v DEN
upcoming
16 Jan 2020
GSW131
DEN134
10 Jul 2019
GSW73
DEN69
02 Apr 2019
GSW116
DEN102
08 Mar 2019
GSW122
DEN105
08 Jan 2018
GSW124
DEN114
23 Dec 2017
GSW81
DEN96
30 Sep 2017
GSW102
DEN108
02 Jan 2017
GSW127
DEN119
02 Jan 2016
GSW111
DEN108
06 Nov 2015
GSW119
DEN104
13 Oct 2015
GSW103
DEN114
15 Apr 2015
GSW133
DEN126
19 Jan 2015
GSW122
DEN79
24 Oct 2014
GSW119
DEN112
16 Oct 2014
GSW104
DEN101
10 Apr 2014
GSW99
DEN100
15 Jan 2014
GSW116
DEN123
02 May 2013
GSW92
DEN88
28 Apr 2013
GSW115
DEN101
26 Apr 2013
GSW110
DEN108
29 Nov 2012
GSW106
DEN105
10 Nov 2012
GSW101
DEN107
07 Apr 2012
GSW112
DEN97
09 Feb 2011
GSW116
DEN114
22 Nov 2010
GSW89
DEN106
25 Feb 2010
GSW112
DEN127
20 Jan 2010
GSW118
DEN123
05 Nov 2008
GSW111
DEN101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Golden State Warriors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
105-96
105
96
+9
H28/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#13
L
121-141
121
141
-20
H29/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#18
L
113-117 OT
113
117
-4
A01/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#27
L
84-99
84
99
-15
A03/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#25
L
104-111
104
111
-7
H05/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
98-111
98
111
-13
A07/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
98-107
98
107
-9
H09/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#5
L
100-109
100
109
-9
A11/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
L
102-122
102
122
-20
A12/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#13
L
97-124
97
124
-27
H15/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-29
18-22
23-27
39-18
41-41
33-31
24-45
23-24
32-25
23-28
20-24
25-23
19-34
22-24
26-23
17-18
23-25
36-31
21-27
24-28
19-26
21-26
24-38
34-21
19-19
20-28
33-34
26-26
20-22
33-26
30-25
17-36
26-27
33-33
17-35
26-27
26-36
21-29
24-29
26-30
215.9Avg total
102.2Scored
113.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (47)105.3113.4218.7-8.123%
Season at home (23)108.5112.6221.1-4.035%
Season away (24)102.2114.3216.5-12.112%
Last 10 (10)102.2113.7215.9-11.510%
Last 5 (5)99.0114.6213.6-15.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)103.1110.5213.6-7.424%
vs Similar (5)97.8107.4205.2-9.620%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
119-110
119
110
+9
H28/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
120-115
120
115
+5
H30/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#10
L
104-130
104
130
-26
A01/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#9
W
124-116
124
116
+8
A03/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
L
114-128
114
128
-14
A05/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
123-115
123
115
+8
A07/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#13
W
107-106
107
106
+1
A09/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
L
103-111
103
111
-8
H12/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#5
W
114-104
114
104
+10
H13/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#23
W
100-86
100
86
+14
H16/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-11
24-28
32-29
37-42
31-32
31-25
26-24
32-34
26-38
26-31
37-23
15-38
27-37
35-27
30-24
32-28
19-31
36-30
35-34
24-33
29-31
35-25
27-30
32-29
27-32
29-27
30-30
21-17
18-23
24-28
29-34
32-26
29-30
37-22
23-22
25-30
28-25
29-17
17-27
26-17
224.9Avg total
112.8Scored
112.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (44)108.8104.2213.0+4.673%
Season at home (23)108.6103.1211.7+5.578%
Season away (21)109.0105.4214.4+3.667%
Last 10 (10)112.8112.1224.9+0.770%
Last 5 (5)109.4104.4213.8+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)103.8102.2206.0+1.550%
vs Similar (18)110.1106.5216.6+3.672%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)113.2105.1218.4+8.175%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: -6.5-6.5Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -1.8-1.8
Golden State WarriorsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#14
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H28/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#13
W
74-72
74
72
+2
H29/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#18
W
55-53
55
53
+2
A01/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#27
L
41-58
41
58
-17
A03/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#25
W
59-56
59
56
+3
H05/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A07/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H09/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#5
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A11/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
L
59-60
59
60
-1
A12/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#13
L
47-65
47
65
-18
H15/01
NBA
107.2Avg total
51.0Scored
56.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.156.0108.1-3.933%-
Last 30 at home (14)52.955.1108.1-2.243%-
Last 30 away (16)51.456.7108.1-5.325%-
Last 10 (10)51.056.2107.2-5.240%-
Last 5 (5)47.654.4102.0-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)52.856.1109.0-3.336%-
vs Similar (5)48.455.2103.6-6.820%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H28/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
62-57
62
57
+5
H30/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#10
L
52-69
52
69
-17
A01/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#9
L
62-64
62
64
-2
A03/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
L
55-61
55
61
-6
A05/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
64-56
64
56
+8
A07/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#13
L
56-59
56
59
-3
A09/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H12/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#5
W
66-52
66
52
+14
H13/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#23
W
57-42
57
42
+15
H16/01
NBA
111.6Avg total
56.6Scored
55.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.952.6108.5+3.360%-
Last 30 at home (17)54.851.4106.2+3.565%-
Last 30 away (13)57.354.3111.6+3.054%-
Last 10 (10)56.655.0111.6+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)57.052.0109.0+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)48.550.098.5-1.550%-
vs Similar (18)55.954.2110.1+1.756%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)59.650.5110.1+9.175%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 102.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.526.4
45.1%
52.3%52.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.310.7
35.3%
35.7%32.1
🏀 Free throws22.417.3
77.2%
77.2%17.3
They take 88.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 112.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers67.4 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.133.7
57.0%
52.3%67.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.28.5
30.1%
35.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws25.519.9
78.0%
77.2%19.9
They take 87.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Golden State Warriors
LLLLLLLLLW
Denver Nuggets
WWLWWLWLWW
#30
League position
#7
-11.2
Net rating
+0.7
99.3
Offensive rating
114.8
110.5
Defensive rating
114.1
47.8%
Effective FG%
53.2%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
56.5%
13.8%
Turnover %
10.6%
20.4%
Off. rebound %
23.3%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.3%
3-point %
30.1%
68.2%
Assist %
59.2%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence99.3 · 114.8Defence110.5 · 114.1Shooting47.8% · 53.2%3-point %35.3% · 30.1%Ball care13.8% · 10.6%Off. rebounds20.4% · 23.3%Free throws0.25 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)10% · 70%
■ Golden State Warriors   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/20HDallas Mavericks97-124
12/01/20AMemphis Grizzlies102-122
11/01/20ALos Angeles Clippers100-109
09/01/20HMilwaukee Bucks98-107
07/01/20ASacramento Kings98-111
05/01/20HDetroit Pistons104-111
03/01/20AMinnesota Timberwolves84-99
01/01/20ASan Antonio Spurs113-117 OT
29/12/19HDallas Mavericks121-141
28/12/19HPhoenix Suns105-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/20HCharlotte Hornets100-86
13/01/20HLos Angeles Clippers114-104
12/01/20HCleveland Cavaliers103-111
09/01/20ADallas Mavericks107-106
07/01/20AAtlanta Hawks123-115
05/01/20AWashington Wizards114-128
03/01/20AIndiana Pacers124-116
01/01/20AHouston Rockets104-130
30/12/19HSacramento Kings120-115
28/12/19HMemphis Grizzlies119-110

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Golden State Warriors
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL23%
HomeWLLLL35%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games472324
Win %23%35%12%
Points / game105.3108.5102.2
Allowed / game113.4112.6114.3
Point differential-8.1-4.0-12.1
Avg total218.7221.1216.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%17%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)25% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %6%4%8%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW73%
HomeWWLWW78%
AwayLWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games442321
Win %73%78%67%
Points / game108.8108.6109.0
Allowed / game104.2103.1105.4
Point differential+4.6+5.5+3.6
Avg total213.0211.7214.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%30%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (14)67% (6)62% (8)
Overtime %7%4%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks4842688%119.8107.0+12.8
2 Los Angeles Lakers47361177%113.1105.2+8.0
3 Denver Nuggets44321273%108.8104.2+4.6
4 Miami Heat45321371%111.9107.2+4.8
5 Boston Celtics44311370%111.4103.5+7.9
6 Houston Rockets45291664%119.2114.7+4.4
7 Indiana Pacers45291664%110.2106.5+3.7
8 Toronto Raptors44281664%111.2106.5+4.7
9 Los Angeles Clippers44281664%114.0109.3+4.7
10 Philadelphia 76ers46291763%108.9104.8+4.1
11 Utah Jazz45281762%110.6108.5+2.1
12 Dallas Mavericks46281861%115.7108.7+7.0
13 Oklahoma City Thunder44242055%109.0108.1+0.8
14 Orlando Magic47232449%103.7103.4+0.3
15 Brooklyn Nets43202347%109.2110.8-1.7
16 Memphis Grizzlies44202445%113.0115.8-2.9
17 New Orleans Pelicans47212645%115.0117.4-2.3
18 San Antonio Spurs44192543%112.6114.5-1.9
19 Phoenix Suns45192642%112.9113.4-0.6
20 Portland Trail Blazers46192741%111.6113.9-2.3
21 Detroit Pistons47182938%108.1111.0-2.9
22 Sacramento Kings45172838%107.7110.2-2.4
23 Minnesota Timberwolves44162836%111.3115.1-3.8
24 Chicago Bulls47173036%106.2107.7-1.6
25 Washington Wizards44152934%114.1118.2-4.1
26 Charlotte Hornets49163333%103.7110.1-6.4
27 Cleveland Cavaliers44123227%103.9114.1-10.2
28 New York Knicks46123426%104.6112.9-8.3
29 Golden State Warriors47113623%105.3113.4-8.1
30 Atlanta Hawks46103622%106.1116.3-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Golden State Warriors3428232818131
Denver Nuggets1926284021134
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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