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Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 21 Jan 2010
Tip-off: 03:30
Final 118-123 (OT)
25-30 28-23 29-28 23-24 13-18
Position#25
Record15-30
FormWLLLW
Points / game107.7
Allowed / game110.5
vs
Position#8
Record29-16
FormWLWWW
Points / game107.8
Allowed / game102.2
USANBA
NBA2009-10
Meetings · Golden State Warriors v Denver Nuggets
25 Dec 2026
GSW v DEN
upcoming
22 Feb 2026
GSW128
DEN117
23 Oct 2025
GSW137
DEN131
04 Apr 2025
GSW118
DEN104
17 Mar 2025
GSW105
DEN114
25 Feb 2024
GSW103
DEN119
04 Jan 2024
GSW127
DEN130
21 Oct 2022
GSW123
DEN128
14 Oct 2022
GSW112
DEN119
27 Apr 2022
GSW102
DEN98
18 Apr 2022
GSW126
DEN106
16 Apr 2022
GSW123
DEN107
16 Feb 2022
GSW116
DEN117
28 Dec 2021
GSW86
DEN89
06 Oct 2021
GSW118
DEN116
23 Apr 2021
GSW118
DEN97
12 Apr 2021
GSW116
DEN107
12 Dec 2020
GSW107
DEN105
31 Mar 2020
GSW v DEN
upcoming
16 Jan 2020
GSW131
DEN134
10 Jul 2019
GSW73
DEN69
02 Apr 2019
GSW116
DEN102
08 Mar 2019
GSW122
DEN105
08 Jan 2018
GSW124
DEN114
23 Dec 2017
GSW81
DEN96
30 Sep 2017
GSW102
DEN108
02 Jan 2017
GSW127
DEN119
02 Jan 2016
GSW111
DEN108
06 Nov 2015
GSW119
DEN104
13 Oct 2015
GSW103
DEN114
15 Apr 2015
GSW133
DEN126
19 Jan 2015
GSW122
DEN79
24 Oct 2014
GSW119
DEN112
16 Oct 2014
GSW104
DEN101
10 Apr 2014
GSW99
DEN100
15 Jan 2014
GSW116
DEN123
02 May 2013
GSW92
DEN88
28 Apr 2013
GSW115
DEN101
26 Apr 2013
GSW110
DEN108
29 Nov 2012
GSW106
DEN105
10 Nov 2012
GSW101
DEN107
07 Apr 2012
GSW112
DEN97
09 Feb 2011
GSW116
DEN114
22 Nov 2010
GSW89
DEN106
25 Feb 2010
GSW112
DEN127
20 Jan 2010
GSW118
DEN123
05 Nov 2008
GSW111
DEN101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Golden State Warriors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#7
W
103-99
103
99
+4
H29/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#3
L
118-124
118
124
-6
A30/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
89-105
89
105
-16
A03/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#8
L
122-123
122
123
-1
A06/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#29
W
107-101
107
101
+6
A07/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
W
108-101
108
101
+7
H09/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
114-117
114
117
-3
H12/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#14
L
102-115
102
115
-13
H14/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
L
104-113
104
113
-9
H16/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#16
W
114-97
114
97
+17
H18/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-35
35-23
23-18
23-23
35-29
25-24
26-35
32-36
41-31
15-24
17-23
16-27
30-28
32-37
34-33
26-25
34-22
27-22
17-23
29-34
28-32
18-29
30-25
32-15
31-33
23-29
29-31
31-24
23-22
21-30
32-38
26-25
23-21
33-27
23-36
25-29
33-25
21-28
29-26
31-18
217.6Avg total
108.1Scored
109.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)107.7110.5218.3-2.833%
Season at home (19)111.4109.8221.2+1.647%
Season away (26)105.0111.1216.1-6.023%
Last 10 (10)108.1109.5217.6-1.440%
Last 5 (5)108.4108.6217.0-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)106.2114.4220.6-8.222%
vs Similar (10)106.3108.0214.3-1.730%
vs Weaker (2)106.095.0201.0+11.0100%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#4
L
96-104
96
104
-8
H28/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
L
101-106
101
106
-5
A29/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#6
W
105-95
105
95
+10
A03/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#24
L
105-108
105
108
-3
H04/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#25
W
123-122
123
122
+1
H06/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
W
99-97
99
97
+2
H09/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
L
100-102
100
102
-2
A10/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#29
W
105-94
105
94
+11
H12/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#1
W
115-97
115
97
+18
H14/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#6
W
119-112
119
112
+7
H18/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-30
29-25
20-28
24-21
32-26
16-21
22-28
31-31
28-25
23-22
27-21
27-27
36-27
24-32
16-25
29-24
28-30
37-32
33-34
25-26
30-24
18-25
21-24
30-24
26-19
28-24
22-30
24-29
20-15
38-35
27-20
20-24
25-25
25-28
35-19
30-25
28-28
32-25
25-28
34-31
210.5Avg total
106.8Scored
103.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)107.8102.2210.1+5.664%
Season at home (23)114.5103.3217.8+11.287%
Season away (22)100.9101.1202.0-0.241%
Last 10 (10)106.8103.7210.5+3.160%
Last 5 (5)107.6100.4208.0+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)115.097.0212.0+18.0100%
vs Similar (11)105.5101.2206.7+4.473%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)108.6103.6212.1+5.056%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +1.2+1.2
Golden State WarriorsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#7
L
57-58
57
58
-1
H29/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#3
W
60-53
60
53
+7
A30/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
56-55
56
55
+1
A03/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#8
L
62-65
62
65
-3
A06/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#29
W
61-44
61
44
+17
A07/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
L
46-61
46
61
-15
H09/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
54-62
54
62
-8
H12/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#14
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H14/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
W
56-48
56
48
+8
H16/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#16
W
54-53
54
53
+1
H18/01
NBA
110.1Avg total
55.0Scored
55.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.057.1112.1-2.133%-
Last 30 at home (14)54.457.9112.3-3.629%-
Last 30 away (16)55.656.4112.0-0.938%-
Last 10 (10)55.055.1110.1-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)50.855.2106.0-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)55.257.9113.1-2.828%-
vs Similar (10)53.857.9111.7-4.130%-
vs Weaker (2)59.546.0105.5+13.5100%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#4
L
52-55
52
55
-3
H28/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A29/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#6
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A03/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#24
W
60-59
60
59
+1
H04/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#25
W
65-62
65
62
+3
H06/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H09/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A10/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#29
W
58-50
58
50
+8
H12/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#1
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H14/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#6
W
60-53
60
53
+7
H18/01
NBA
106.4Avg total
54.6Scored
51.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.551.6106.2+2.960%-
Last 30 at home (18)57.652.7110.3+4.867%-
Last 30 away (12)50.050.0100.0+0.050%-
Last 10 (10)54.651.8106.4+2.870%-
Last 5 (5)54.049.6103.6+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)50.053.0103.0-3.00%-
vs Similar (11)53.450.8104.2+2.555%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)55.552.1107.6+3.467%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Golden State Warriors wins
4
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/10HChicago Bulls114-97
16/01/10HMilwaukee Bucks104-113
14/01/10HMiami Heat102-115
12/01/10HCleveland Cavaliers114-117
09/01/10HSacramento Kings108-101
07/01/10AMinnesota Timberwolves107-101
06/01/10ADenver Nuggets122-123
03/01/10APortland Trail Blazers89-105
30/12/09ALos Angeles Lakers118-124
29/12/09HBoston Celtics103-99
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/10HUtah Jazz119-112
14/01/10HOrlando Magic115-97
12/01/10HMinnesota Timberwolves105-94
10/01/10ASacramento Kings100-102
09/01/10HCleveland Cavaliers99-97
06/01/10HGolden State Warriors123-122
04/01/10HPhiladelphia 76ers105-108
03/01/10AUtah Jazz105-95
29/12/09ASacramento Kings101-106
28/12/09HDallas Mavericks96-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Golden State Warriors
NBA 2009-10
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW33%
HomeWLLLW47%
AwayLLLLW23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games451926
Win %33%47%23%
Points / game107.7111.4105.0
Allowed / game110.5109.8111.1
Point differential-2.8+1.6-6.0
Avg total218.3221.2216.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%26%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)40% (5)25% (4)
Overtime %2%0%4%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2009-10
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW64%
HomeWWWWW87%
AwayLLLWL41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452322
Win %64%87%41%
Points / game107.8114.5100.9
Allowed / game102.2103.3101.1
Point differential+5.6+11.2-0.2
Avg total210.1217.8202.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%57%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)75% (4)33% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers48371177%103.497.2+6.1
2 Boston Celtics47331470%99.793.1+6.6
3 Cleveland Cavaliers49341569%100.294.6+5.6
4 Orlando Magic48331569%102.695.8+6.9
5 Dallas Mavericks48331569%100.297.7+2.5
6 Atlanta Hawks47311666%102.697.5+5.1
7 Denver Nuggets45291664%107.8102.2+5.6
8 San Antonio Spurs46281861%101.396.1+5.2
9 Utah Jazz47281960%101.097.3+3.7
10 Portland Trail Blazers49282157%97.895.0+2.8
11 Phoenix Suns50282256%109.7108.1+1.6
12 Oklahoma City Thunder48262254%97.996.6+1.3
13 Houston Rockets47252253%101.0100.8+0.3
14 Memphis Grizzlies47242351%103.6104.0-0.4
15 New Orleans Pelicans47242351%97.8100.5-2.8
16 Miami Heat46232350%96.496.8-0.4
17 Los Angeles Clippers46232350%97.299.0-1.8
18 Chicago Bulls45222349%94.296.8-2.6
19 Charlotte Hornets46222448%94.293.1+1.2
20 Toronto Raptors49232647%102.9104.9-2.0
21 Milwaukee Bucks46202643%97.498.1-0.7
22 New York Knicks46202643%99.8101.2-1.4
23 Sacramento Kings46172937%102.3105.1-2.8
24 Detroit Pistons47173036%92.998.0-5.0
25 Washington Wizards48173135%98.6102.5-3.9
26 Philadelphia 76ers47163134%97.9100.6-2.7
27 Indiana Pacers47163134%99.6105.4-5.8
28 Golden State Warriors45153033%107.7110.5-2.8
29 Minnesota Timberwolves50113922%97.2106.3-9.1
30 Brooklyn Nets474439%90.8101.2-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Golden State Warriors2528292313118
Denver Nuggets3023282418123
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