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Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 128-117
39-27 37-40 19-34 33-16
Position#20
Record29-27
FormWLWLL
Points / game115.4
Allowed / game113.8
vs
Position#6
Record36-21
FormWLWLW
Points / game120.9
Allowed / game116.1
USANBA· Chase Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Golden State Warriors v Denver Nuggets
25 Dec 2026
GSW v DEN
upcoming
22 Feb 2026
GSW128
DEN117
23 Oct 2025
GSW137
DEN131
04 Apr 2025
GSW118
DEN104
17 Mar 2025
GSW105
DEN114
25 Feb 2024
GSW103
DEN119
04 Jan 2024
GSW127
DEN130
21 Oct 2022
GSW123
DEN128
27 Apr 2022
GSW102
DEN98
18 Apr 2022
GSW126
DEN106
16 Apr 2022
GSW123
DEN107
16 Feb 2022
GSW116
DEN117
28 Dec 2021
GSW86
DEN89
23 Apr 2021
GSW118
DEN97
12 Apr 2021
GSW116
DEN107
12 Dec 2020
GSW107
DEN105
31 Mar 2020
GSW v DEN
upcoming
16 Jan 2020
GSW131
DEN134
02 Apr 2019
GSW116
DEN102
08 Mar 2019
GSW122
DEN105
08 Jan 2018
GSW124
DEN114
23 Dec 2017
GSW81
DEN96
02 Jan 2017
GSW127
DEN119
02 Jan 2016
GSW111
DEN108
06 Nov 2015
GSW119
DEN104
15 Apr 2015
GSW133
DEN126
19 Jan 2015
GSW122
DEN79
10 Apr 2014
GSW99
DEN100
15 Jan 2014
GSW116
DEN123
02 May 2013
GSW92
DEN88
28 Apr 2013
GSW115
DEN101
26 Apr 2013
GSW110
DEN108
29 Nov 2012
GSW106
DEN105
10 Nov 2012
GSW101
DEN107
07 Apr 2012
GSW112
DEN97
09 Feb 2011
GSW116
DEN114
22 Nov 2010
GSW89
DEN106
25 Feb 2010
GSW112
DEN127
20 Jan 2010
GSW118
DEN123
05 Nov 2008
GSW111
DEN101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Golden State Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
111-85
111
85
+26
104avg 107
A25/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
83-108
83
108
-25
65avg 107
A27/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
140-124
140
124
+16
144avg 107
A29/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
124-131
124
131
-7
116avg 107
H31/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
94-113
94
113
-19
89avg 107
H04/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
101-97
101
97
+4
98avg 107
A06/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
99-105
99
105
-6
85avg 107
A08/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
114-113
114
113
+1
114avg 107
H10/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
113-126
113
126
-13
110avg 107
H12/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
110-121
110
121
-11
99avg 107
H20/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
23-27
38-17
26-22
20-21
18-32
19-22
26-33
34-24
34-31
33-38
39-31
37-45
27-32
31-31
29-23
32-31
23-27
16-26
23-29
25-29
34-26
17-27
25-15
21-20
21-21
29-38
28-26
32-32
25-33
28-33
29-15
38-31
29-32
27-31
19-32
32-36
19-38
22-28
37-19
221.2Avg total
108.9Scored
112.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (56)115.4113.8229.2+1.652%
Season at home (29)118.6114.3232.9+4.362%
Season away (27)112.0113.3225.4-1.341%
Last 10 (10)108.9112.3221.2-3.440%
Last 5 (5)107.4112.4219.8-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)119.3123.3242.6-4.043%
vs Similar (15)111.8111.9223.7-0.140%
vs Weaker (8)124.4114.1238.5+10.288%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
107-103
107
103
+4
101avg 112
H30/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
122-109
122
109
+13
127avg 112
H31/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
111-121
111
121
-10
108avg 112
H02/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
121-124
121
124
-3
111avg 112
A04/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
127-134 OT
127
134
-7
116avg 112
A05/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
136-120
136
120
+16
138avg 112
A08/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
117-119
117
119
-2
110avg 112
H10/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
122-116
122
116
+6
123avg 112
H12/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
114-115
114
115
-1
109avg 112
A20/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
157-103
157
103
+54
168avg 112
A21/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-26
34-23
15-27
28-27
35-27
24-23
33-30
30-29
26-32
29-30
30-39
26-20
27-32
23-37
30-24
41-31
30-28
23-27
29-33
26-20
39-36
20-29
38-39
39-16
30-26
29-28
33-33
25-32
30-28
30-26
33-27
29-35
24-25
28-20
25-33
37-37
41-27
41-26
43-32
32-18
239.8Avg total
123.4Scored
116.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (57)120.9116.1237.0+4.863%
Season at home (26)118.8115.5234.3+3.358%
Season away (31)122.7116.6239.3+6.168%
Last 10 (10)123.4116.4239.8+7.050%
Last 5 (5)129.2114.6243.8+14.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)111.0121.0232.0-10.00%
vs Similar (14)113.0118.3231.3-5.329%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)122.1113.6235.7+8.580%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +4.8+4.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +4.8+4.8
Golden State WarriorsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A25/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A27/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
68-55
68
55
+13
A29/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
64-77
64
77
-13
H31/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
55-58
55
58
-3
H04/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
59-55
59
55
+4
A06/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A08/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
57-65
57
65
-8
H10/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
67-63
67
63
+4
H12/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
51-74
51
74
-23
H20/02
NBA
113.5Avg total
54.8Scored
58.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.358.8117.2-0.557%-
Last 30 at home (18)60.461.8122.2-1.350%-
Last 30 away (12)55.254.4109.6+0.867%-
Last 10 (10)54.858.7113.5-3.950%-
Last 5 (5)55.259.6114.8-4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)61.065.4126.4-4.457%-
vs Similar (15)55.556.0111.5-0.553%-
vs Weaker (8)61.258.4119.6+2.962%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
64-49
64
49
+15
H30/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
59-50
59
50
+9
H31/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
55-62
55
62
-7
H02/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
50-69
50
69
-19
A04/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
53-55
53
55
-2
A05/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
59-65
59
65
-6
A08/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
59-54
59
54
+5
H10/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
60-54
60
54
+6
H12/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A20/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
82-53
82
53
+29
A21/02
NBA
114.9Avg total
59.3Scored
55.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.855.5113.3+2.350%-
Last 30 at home (13)57.554.8112.3+2.862%-
Last 30 away (17)58.056.1114.1+1.941%-
Last 10 (10)59.355.6114.9+3.760%-
Last 5 (5)62.454.2116.6+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)55.062.0117.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (14)55.356.6111.9-1.343%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)60.354.1114.5+6.260%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 108.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers49.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.723.1
58.2%
54.8%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers48.516.6
34.2%
35.8%49.8
🏀 Free throws17.112.9
75.4%
78.1%12.9
They take 88.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 48.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 55% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 123.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws24.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.828.3
55.7%
54.8%56.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.514.1
40.9%
35.8%42.3
🏀 Free throws31.424.5
78.0%
78.1%24.5
They take 85.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Golden State Warriors
LLWLWLLWLW
Denver Nuggets
WLWLWLLLWW
#20
League position
#6
-3.3
Net rating
+6.9
106.4
Offensive rating
120.9
109.7
Defensive rating
114.0
54.4%
Effective FG%
58.0%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
15.5%
Turnover %
12.8%
25.9%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.37
34.2%
3-point %
40.9%
74.3%
Assist %
69.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.4 · 120.9Defence109.7 · 114.0Shooting54.4% · 58.0%3-point %34.2% · 40.9%Ball care15.5% · 12.8%Off. rebounds25.9% · 27.0%Free throws0.19 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Golden State Warriors   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/26HBoston Celtics110-121
12/02/26HSan Antonio Spurs113-126
10/02/26HMemphis Grizzlies114-113
08/02/26ALos Angeles Lakers99-105
06/02/26APhoenix Suns101-97
04/02/26HPhiladelphia 76ers94-113
31/01/26HDetroit Pistons124-131
29/01/26AUtah Jazz140-124
27/01/26AMinnesota Timberwolves83-108
25/01/26AMinnesota Timberwolves111-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26APortland Trail Blazers157-103
20/02/26ALos Angeles Clippers114-115
12/02/26HMemphis Grizzlies122-116
10/02/26HCleveland Cavaliers117-119
08/02/26AChicago Bulls136-120
05/02/26ANew York Knicks127-134 OT
04/02/26ADetroit Pistons121-124
02/02/26HOklahoma City Thunder111-121
31/01/26HLos Angeles Clippers122-109
30/01/26HBrooklyn Nets107-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Golden State Warriors
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL52%
HomeLLWLL62%
AwayWLWWL41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games562927
Win %52%62%41%
Points / game115.4118.6112.0
Allowed / game113.8114.3113.3
Point differential+1.6+4.3-1.3
Avg total229.2232.9225.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%41%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (14)50% (4)40% (10)
Overtime %4%3%4%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW63%
HomeWWLLW58%
AwayLLWLW68%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games572631
Win %63%58%68%
Points / game120.9118.8122.7
Allowed / game116.1115.5116.6
Point differential+4.8+3.3+6.1
Avg total237.0234.3239.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%31%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won48% (21)44% (9)50% (12)
Overtime %9%8%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder56431377%119.3108.0+11.3
2 Detroit Pistons55421376%117.6109.3+8.2
3 San Antonio Spurs54381670%118.4111.9+6.5
4 Boston Celtics55361965%115.4108.4+7.0
5 Denver Nuggets57362163%120.9116.1+4.8
6 Los Angeles Lakers54342063%116.1115.9+0.3
7 Cleveland Cavaliers58362262%119.7115.4+4.3
8 New York Knicks55342162%117.5112.1+5.4
9 Houston Rockets55342162%114.3109.4+4.9
10 Minnesota Timberwolves57352261%119.7114.7+5.0
11 Toronto Raptors55332260%113.9112.0+2.0
12 Phoenix Suns56332359%113.7111.5+2.2
13 Miami Heat57312654%120.2116.9+3.4
14 Philadelphia 76ers56302654%115.9116.1-0.2
15 Orlando Magic53282553%115.1114.6+0.5
16 Golden State Warriors56292752%115.4113.8+1.6
17 Los Angeles Clippers56272948%112.1112.6-0.4
18 Portland Trail Blazers57273047%116.1119.0-2.9
19 Atlanta Hawks58273147%116.9118.6-1.6
20 Charlotte Hornets57263146%115.4113.7+1.7
21 Milwaukee Bucks54243044%112.3115.2-2.9
22 Chicago Bulls57243342%116.4120.5-4.1
23 Memphis Grizzlies55213438%115.5117.7-2.3
24 Dallas Mavericks55193635%113.9117.5-3.6
25 Utah Jazz57183932%118.2125.9-7.7
26 Washington Wizards55163929%112.5122.7-10.2
27 New Orleans Pelicans58164228%114.8120.6-5.7
28 Brooklyn Nets55154027%106.8114.7-7.9
29 Indiana Pacers57154226%111.2118.7-7.5
30 Sacramento Kings58124621%110.1121.1-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Golden State Warriors39371933128
Denver Nuggets27403416117
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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