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Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 06 Aug 2020
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 130-116
25-34 31-39 36-25 38-18
Position#2
Record56-15
FormWLWLL
Points / game118.5
Allowed / game108.0
vs
Position#7
Record44-27
FormLLWLW
Points / game111.9
Allowed / game108.8
USANBA· The Arena (WWOS)
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Miami Heat
12 Mar 2027
MIL v MIA
upcoming
28 Jan 2027
MIL v MIA
upcoming
24 Feb 2026
MIL128
MIA117
23 Feb 2025
MIL120
MIA113
23 Jan 2025
MIL125
MIA96
13 Feb 2024
MIL97
MIA123
30 Oct 2023
MIL122
MIA114
26 Apr 2023
MIL126
MIA128
19 Apr 2023
MIL138
MIA122
16 Apr 2023
MIL117
MIA130
24 Feb 2023
MIL128
MIA99
04 Feb 2023
MIL123
MIA115
02 Mar 2022
MIL120
MIA119
04 Dec 2021
MIL124
MIA102
24 May 2021
MIL132
MIA98
22 May 2021
MIL109
MIA107
15 May 2021
MIL122
MIA108
08 Sep 2020
MIL94
MIA103
02 Sep 2020
MIL114
MIA116
31 Aug 2020
MIL104
MIA115
06 Aug 2020
MIL130
MIA116
26 Oct 2019
MIL126
MIA131
22 Mar 2019
MIL116
MIA87
15 Jan 2019
MIL124
MIA86
17 Jan 2018
MIL101
MIA106
08 Feb 2017
MIL88
MIA106
13 Jan 2017
MIL116
MIA108
09 Mar 2016
MIL114
MIA108
29 Jan 2016
MIL103
MIA107
24 Mar 2015
MIL89
MIA88
05 Dec 2014
MIL109
MIA85
29 Mar 2014
MIL67
MIA88
28 Apr 2013
MIL77
MIA88
25 Apr 2013
MIL91
MIA104
15 Mar 2013
MIL94
MIA107
29 Dec 2012
MIL104
MIA85
13 Feb 2012
MIL96
MIA114
01 Feb 2012
MIL105
MIA97
07 Jan 2011
MIL95
MIA101
06 Dec 2010
MIL78
MIA88
26 Mar 2010
MIL74
MIA87
30 Jan 2010
MIL95
MIA84
14 Jan 2009
MIL99
MIA102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#10
W
119-100
119
100
+19
116avg 114
H05/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
103-113
103
113
-10
91avg 114
A07/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
L
131-140
131
140
-9
117avg 114
A08/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
95-109
95
109
-14
83avg 114
A10/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#17
W
113-92
113
92
+21
102avg 114
H23/07
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
131-123
131
123
+8
134avg 114
A25/07
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
L
103-124
103
124
-21
94avg 114
H28/07
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
119-112
119
112
+7
114avg 114
H31/07
NBA
Houston Rockets
#11
L
116-120
116
120
-4
114avg 114
A03/08
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
116-119
116
119
-3
115avg 114
H04/08
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-23
22-33
31-23
30-21
22-19
26-29
28-39
27-26
28-47
31-30
32-25
40-38
24-39
30-23
17-14
24-33
20-20
27-21
38-26
28-25
38-33
42-27
29-32
22-31
30-21
23-29
28-40
22-34
33-25
31-33
23-29
32-25
29-32
25-30
36-27
26-31
34-40
31-33
23-21
28-25
229.8Avg total
114.6Scored
115.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (71)118.5108.0226.5+10.579%
Season at home (35)120.7107.6228.3+13.186%
Season away (36)116.2108.4224.7+7.872%
Last 10 (10)114.6115.2229.8-0.640%
Last 5 (5)117.0119.6236.6-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)114.5111.2225.8+3.275%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)117.9109.2227.1+8.769%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#20
W
116-113
116
113
+3
116avg 107
H05/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
L
104-110
104
110
-6
96avg 107
A07/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
W
100-89
100
89
+11
102avg 107
A08/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
98-109
98
109
-11
95avg 107
H11/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
104-98
104
98
+6
100avg 107
H23/07
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
99-101
99
101
-2
92avg 107
A25/07
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#16
L
110-128
110
128
-18
107avg 107
H28/07
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
125-105
125
105
+20
128avg 107
A01/08
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
103-107
103
107
-4
97avg 107
H03/08
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
112-106
112
106
+6
104avg 107
H04/08
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-26
30-29
28-29
28-29
26-32
25-33
23-24
30-21
29-23
28-31
15-18
28-17
40-22
11-37
26-28
21-22
27-21
29-23
17-27
31-27
25-28
22-19
26-28
26-26
33-41
19-28
32-37
26-22
28-26
28-31
38-22
31-26
17-23
27-25
35-36
24-23
33-28
30-23
28-32
21-23
213.7Avg total
107.1Scored
106.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (71)111.9108.8220.7+3.162%
Season at home (36)115.4107.4222.8+8.081%
Season away (35)108.2110.3218.5-2.043%
Last 10 (10)107.1106.6213.7+0.550%
Last 5 (5)109.8109.4219.2+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)105.089.0194.0+16.0100%
vs Similar (13)111.4112.5223.9-1.231%
vs Weaker (16)113.3109.6222.9+3.762%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +3.0+3.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +3.0+3.0
Milwaukee BucksMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#10
W
58-56
58
56
+2
H05/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A07/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
L
59-77
59
77
-18
A08/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
54-62
54
62
-8
A10/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#17
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H23/07
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
80-60
80
60
+20
A25/07
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H28/07
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
64-58
64
58
+6
H31/07
NBA
Houston Rockets
#11
L
54-62
54
62
-8
A03/08
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
65-73
65
73
-8
H04/08
NBA
116.9Avg total
58.2Scored
58.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.454.2113.6+5.263%-
Last 30 at home (15)62.753.9116.6+8.787%-
Last 30 away (15)56.154.5110.5+1.640%-
Last 10 (10)58.258.7116.9-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)63.260.6123.8+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)59.554.0113.5+5.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)59.354.2113.6+5.165%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#20
W
60-55
60
55
+5
H05/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
L
51-65
51
65
-14
A07/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
W
57-54
57
54
+3
A08/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
51-59
51
59
-8
H11/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H23/07
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A25/07
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#16
L
52-69
52
69
-17
H28/07
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
56-57
56
57
-1
A01/08
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H03/08
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
63-51
63
51
+12
H04/08
NBA
108.6Avg total
53.7Scored
54.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.554.2111.7+3.363%-
Last 30 at home (17)58.253.8112.0+4.471%-
Last 30 away (13)56.654.7111.3+1.954%-
Last 10 (10)53.754.9108.6-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)52.454.4106.8-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)53.052.0105.0+1.0100%-
vs Similar (13)54.555.5110.1-1.046%-
vs Weaker (16)60.253.2113.4+6.975%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 114.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.226.6
58.8%
52.3%53.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.213.4
31.8%
35.7%40.2
🏀 Free throws27.521.2
77.1%
77.2%21.2
They take 87.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 42.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 107.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.222.3
56.9%
52.3%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.814.1
35.4%
35.7%42.3
🏀 Free throws25.320.2
79.8%
77.2%20.2
They take 79.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Aug 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
LLWLWWLLLW
Miami Heat
WLWLLWLWLW
#2
League position
#7
-0.6
Net rating
+0.5
106.1
Offensive rating
108.1
106.7
Defensive rating
107.6
53.4%
Effective FG%
55.0%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
16.0%
Turnover %
15.5%
20.5%
Off. rebound %
18.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.32
31.8%
3-point %
35.4%
59.0%
Assist %
75.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.1 · 108.1Defence106.7 · 107.6Shooting53.4% · 55.0%3-point %31.8% · 35.4%Ball care16.0% · 15.5%Off. rebounds20.5% · 18.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Milwaukee Bucks wins
7
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/08/20HBrooklyn Nets116-119
03/08/20AHouston Rockets116-120
31/07/20HBoston Celtics119-112
28/07/20HNew Orleans Pelicans103-124
25/07/20ASacramento Kings131-123
23/07/20HSan Antonio Spurs113-92
10/03/20ADenver Nuggets95-109
08/03/20APhoenix Suns131-140
07/03/20ALos Angeles Lakers103-113
05/03/20HIndiana Pacers119-100
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/08/20HBoston Celtics112-106
03/08/20HToronto Raptors103-107
01/08/20ADenver Nuggets125-105
28/07/20HMemphis Grizzlies110-128
25/07/20AUtah Jazz99-101
23/07/20HSacramento Kings104-98
11/03/20HCharlotte Hornets98-109
08/03/20AWashington Wizards100-89
07/03/20ANew Orleans Pelicans104-110
05/03/20HOrlando Magic116-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL79%
HomeWWLWL86%
AwayLLLWL72%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games713536
Win %79%86%72%
Points / game118.5120.7116.2
Allowed / game108.0107.6108.4
Point differential+10.5+13.1+7.8
Avg total226.5228.3224.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%57%47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)50% (6)60% (5)
Overtime %3%3%3%
Miami Heat
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW62%
HomeLWLLW81%
AwayLLWLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games713635
Win %62%81%43%
Points / game111.9115.4108.2
Allowed / game108.8107.4110.3
Point differential+3.1+8.0-2.0
Avg total220.7222.8218.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%39%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (21)67% (12)44% (9)
Overtime %13%14%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks71561579%118.5108.0+10.5
2 Los Angeles Lakers70531776%113.5107.0+6.5
3 Toronto Raptors70511973%112.3105.9+6.4
4 Los Angeles Clippers70472367%115.5109.1+6.4
5 Boston Celtics71462565%113.2107.7+5.6
6 Denver Nuggets71462565%110.4107.9+2.5
7 Oklahoma City Thunder70452564%110.7107.6+3.1
8 Utah Jazz71452663%110.4107.8+2.6
9 Houston Rockets70442663%118.2114.4+3.8
10 Miami Heat71442762%111.9108.8+3.1
11 Indiana Pacers71442762%109.6107.4+2.2
12 Philadelphia 76ers71422959%109.6107.6+2.1
13 Dallas Mavericks73433059%116.6111.1+5.5
14 Brooklyn Nets71333846%110.7112.2-1.5
15 Orlando Magic72333946%106.9107.9-1.0
16 Memphis Grizzlies72333946%112.4113.8-1.4
17 New Orleans Pelicans71323945%115.8116.0-0.2
18 Phoenix Suns71314044%112.6113.5-0.9
19 Portland Trail Blazers72314143%113.7115.3-1.6
20 San Antonio Spurs70304043%113.6115.4-1.8
21 Sacramento Kings71304142%109.7111.8-2.1
22 Charlotte Hornets65234235%102.9109.6-6.8
23 Chicago Bulls65224334%106.8109.9-3.1
24 Washington Wizards71244734%114.3118.8-4.5
25 New York Knicks66214532%105.8112.3-6.5
26 Detroit Pistons66204630%107.2110.8-3.6
27 Atlanta Hawks67204730%111.8119.7-8.0
28 Minnesota Timberwolves64194530%113.2117.5-4.3
29 Cleveland Cavaliers65194629%106.9114.8-7.9
30 Golden State Warriors65155023%106.3115.0-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks25313638130
Miami Heat34392518116
← all games of the day
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