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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 21 Jan 2020
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 100-107
29-26 25-29 25-26 21-26
Position#28
Record15-27
FormLLLLL
Points / game111.4
Allowed / game114.7
vs
Position#9
Record29-13
FormLWWWL
Points / game109.4
Allowed / game105.7
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Denver Nuggets
27 Jan 2027
MIN v DEN
upcoming
31 Dec 2026
MIN v DEN
upcoming
30 Apr 2026
MIN110
DEN98
25 Apr 2026
MIN112
DEN96
23 Apr 2026
MIN113
DEN96
15 Nov 2025
MIN112
DEN123
27 Oct 2025
MIN114
DEN127
25 Jan 2025
MIN133
DEN104
01 Nov 2024
MIN119
DEN116
16 May 2024
MIN115
DEN70
12 May 2024
MIN107
DEN115
10 May 2024
MIN90
DEN117
19 Mar 2024
MIN112
DEN115
01 Nov 2023
MIN110
DEN89
23 Apr 2023
MIN114
DEN108
21 Apr 2023
MIN111
DEN120
05 Feb 2023
MIN128
DEN98
02 Jan 2023
MIN124
DEN111
01 Feb 2022
MIN130
DEN115
30 Oct 2021
MIN91
DEN93
13 May 2021
MIN103
DEN114
03 Jan 2021
MIN109
DEN124
20 Jan 2020
MIN100
DEN107
10 Nov 2019
MIN98
DEN100
02 Feb 2019
MIN106
DEN107
21 Nov 2018
MIN101
DEN103
11 Apr 2018
MIN112
DEN106
27 Dec 2017
MIN128
DEN125
22 Jan 2017
MIN111
DEN108
03 Nov 2016
MIN99
DEN102
06 Jan 2016
MIN74
DEN78
15 Dec 2015
MIN100
DEN112
04 Mar 2015
MIN85
DEN100
05 Jan 2015
MIN101
DEN110
12 Feb 2014
MIN117
DEN90
27 Nov 2013
MIN110
DEN117
12 Dec 2012
MIN108
DEN105
21 Nov 2012
MIN94
DEN101
26 Apr 2012
MIN102
DEN131
25 Mar 2012
MIN117
DEN100
05 Feb 2011
MIN100
DEN113
29 Dec 2010
MIN113
DEN119
10 Mar 2010
MIN102
DEN110
25 Nov 2009
MIN111
DEN124
05 Apr 2009
MIN87
DEN110
29 Nov 2008
MIN97
DEN106
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
L
104-106
104
106
-2
88avg 101
A02/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
W
99-84
99
84
+15
86avg 101
H03/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
118-103
118
103
+15
113avg 101
A06/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#16
L
112-119
112
119
-7
100avg 101
A08/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
116-102
116
102
+14
114avg 101
H10/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#11
L
109-139
109
139
-30
94avg 101
A11/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#6
L
104-117
104
117
-13
88avg 101
H14/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#10
L
99-104
99
104
-5
92avg 101
H16/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#10
L
114-116
114
116
-2
100avg 101
A18/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
112-122
112
122
-10
108avg 101
H19/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
28-33
20-25
33-29
34-19
24-22
23-26
18-17
24-20
42-28
28-31
24-24
32-27
24-24
28-31
28-37
28-34
31-13
41-27
16-28
20-22
21-35
35-45
33-37
33-30
27-33
19-29
25-25
30-24
29-30
18-22
22-28
26-32
35-35
32-32
21-17
39-32
23-26
22-31
28-33
219.9Avg total
108.7Scored
111.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)111.4114.7226.1-3.336%
Season at home (20)108.3112.6220.9-4.230%
Season away (22)114.2116.7230.9-2.541%
Last 10 (10)108.7111.2219.9-2.530%
Last 5 (5)107.6119.6227.2-12.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)109.4118.9228.3-9.56%
vs Similar (11)110.1107.8217.9+2.355%
vs Weaker (2)101.598.5200.0+3.050%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#11
L
104-130
104
130
-26
90avg 103
A01/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#10
W
124-116
124
116
+8
123avg 103
A03/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
L
114-128
114
128
-14
96avg 103
A05/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#27
W
123-115
123
115
+8
114avg 103
A07/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
W
107-106
107
106
+1
100avg 103
A09/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
L
103-111
103
111
-8
88avg 103
H12/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
W
114-104
114
104
+10
110avg 103
H13/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
100-86
100
86
+14
96avg 103
H16/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
W
134-131 OT
134
131
+3
131avg 103
A17/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#10
L
107-115
107
115
-8
95avg 103
H20/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-38
26-31
37-23
15-38
27-37
35-27
30-24
32-28
19-31
36-30
35-34
24-33
29-31
35-25
27-30
32-29
27-32
29-27
30-30
21-17
18-23
24-28
29-34
32-26
29-30
37-22
23-22
25-30
28-25
29-17
17-27
26-17
19-34
26-28
28-23
40-28
21-15
29-29
31-30
26-41
227.2Avg total
113.0Scored
114.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)109.4105.7215.1+3.769%
Season at home (23)108.5103.6212.1+4.974%
Season away (19)110.5108.3218.8+2.263%
Last 10 (10)113.0114.2227.2-1.260%
Last 5 (5)111.6109.4221.0+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)105.8102.6208.4+3.260%
vs Similar (16)108.9107.6216.5+1.462%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)115.6108.0223.6+7.678%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: -5.3-5.3Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -1.4-1.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: -5.3-5.3Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -1.4-1.4
Minnesota TimberwolvesDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A02/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
W
58-41
58
41
+17
H03/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
66-48
66
48
+18
A06/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#16
W
56-51
56
51
+5
A08/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
59-47
59
47
+12
H10/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#11
L
41-57
41
57
-16
A11/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#6
L
60-63
60
63
-3
H14/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#10
W
59-54
59
54
+5
H16/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#10
L
61-67
61
67
-6
A18/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H19/01
NBA
111.1Avg total
57.3Scored
53.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.755.7110.4-1.040%-
Last 30 at home (14)54.154.4108.4-0.329%-
Last 30 away (16)55.256.8112.1-1.650%-
Last 10 (10)57.353.8111.1+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)56.659.8116.4-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)56.358.6114.9-2.335%-
vs Similar (11)53.052.4105.4+0.645%-
vs Weaker (2)50.549.099.5+1.550%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#11
L
52-69
52
69
-17
A01/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#10
L
62-64
62
64
-2
A03/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
L
55-61
55
61
-6
A05/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#27
W
64-56
64
56
+8
A07/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
56-59
56
59
-3
A09/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H12/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
W
66-52
66
52
+14
H13/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
57-42
57
42
+15
H16/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
L
45-62
45
62
-17
A17/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#10
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H20/01
NBA
110.9Avg total
54.9Scored
56.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.052.5107.5+2.560%-
Last 30 at home (17)54.950.4105.2+4.571%-
Last 30 away (13)55.255.3110.5-0.146%-
Last 10 (10)54.956.0110.9-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)52.050.2102.2+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)52.050.4102.4+1.660%-
vs Similar (16)54.353.6107.9+0.856%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)58.051.8109.8+6.267%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 108.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.025.6
50.2%
52.3%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.613.7
33.7%
35.7%41.1
🏀 Free throws22.116.4
74.2%
77.2%16.4
They take 91.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 113.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers67.0 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.533.5
55.4%
52.3%67.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.28.8
31.2%
35.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws25.519.6
76.9%
77.2%19.6
They take 88.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Jan 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
LLLLLWLWWL
Denver Nuggets
LWWWLWWLWL
#28
League position
#9
-2.4
Net rating
-1.2
104.6
Offensive rating
113.3
107.0
Defensive rating
114.5
50.4%
Effective FG%
52.6%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
56.2%
13.7%
Turnover %
11.0%
23.0%
Off. rebound %
24.6%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.29
33.7%
3-point %
31.2%
64.4%
Assist %
59.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.6 · 113.3Defence107.0 · 114.5Shooting50.4% · 52.6%3-point %33.7% · 31.2%Ball care13.7% · 11.0%Off. rebounds23.0% · 24.6%Free throws0.24 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/20HToronto Raptors112-122
18/01/20AIndiana Pacers114-116
16/01/20HIndiana Pacers99-104
14/01/20HOklahoma City Thunder104-117
11/01/20AHouston Rockets109-139
10/01/20HPortland Trail Blazers116-102
08/01/20AMemphis Grizzlies112-119
06/01/20ACleveland Cavaliers118-103
03/01/20HGolden State Warriors99-84
02/01/20AMilwaukee Bucks104-106
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/20HIndiana Pacers107-115
17/01/20AGolden State Warriors134-131 OT
16/01/20HCharlotte Hornets100-86
13/01/20HLos Angeles Clippers114-104
12/01/20HCleveland Cavaliers103-111
09/01/20ADallas Mavericks107-106
07/01/20AAtlanta Hawks123-115
05/01/20AWashington Wizards114-128
03/01/20AIndiana Pacers124-116
01/01/20AHouston Rockets104-130

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL36%
HomeWWLLL30%
AwayLWLLL41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422022
Win %36%30%41%
Points / game111.4108.3114.2
Allowed / game114.7112.6116.7
Point differential-3.3-4.2-2.5
Avg total226.1220.9230.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%15%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)0% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %14%15%14%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL69%
HomeWLWWL74%
AwayWLWWW63%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422319
Win %69%74%63%
Points / game109.4108.5110.5
Allowed / game105.7103.6108.3
Point differential+3.7+4.9+2.2
Avg total215.1212.1218.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%30%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (14)67% (6)62% (8)
Overtime %10%4%16%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks4539687%119.4106.7+12.6
2 Los Angeles Lakers4334979%114.0106.4+7.6
3 Los Angeles Clippers43301370%116.2109.6+6.6
4 Miami Heat43301370%111.6107.9+3.7
5 Utah Jazz42291369%110.5106.4+4.1
6 Denver Nuggets42291369%109.4105.7+3.7
7 Toronto Raptors43291467%112.0106.2+5.9
8 Boston Celtics42281467%112.3105.7+6.7
9 Indiana Pacers43281565%109.5106.3+3.3
10 Philadelphia 76ers45291664%108.7105.0+3.6
11 Dallas Mavericks42271564%116.7109.4+7.3
12 Houston Rockets42261662%118.3114.2+4.1
13 Oklahoma City Thunder44251957%109.7108.0+1.7
14 Orlando Magic44212348%103.8103.9-0.2
15 Memphis Grizzlies43202347%113.6116.0-2.4
16 San Antonio Spurs41182344%113.6114.6-1.0
17 Phoenix Suns42182443%113.5114.0-0.5
18 Brooklyn Nets42182443%109.3111.6-2.3
19 Portland Trail Blazers44182641%111.5113.9-2.4
20 New Orleans Pelicans44172739%114.4117.6-3.2
21 Detroit Pistons44162836%108.9110.8-1.9
22 Minnesota Timberwolves42152736%111.4114.7-3.3
23 Chicago Bulls45162936%105.7107.8-2.2
24 Sacramento Kings43152835%106.8110.1-3.3
25 Washington Wizards42142833%114.3119.8-5.4
26 Charlotte Hornets45153033%103.3110.5-7.2
27 New York Knicks44123227%104.3112.2-8.0
28 Cleveland Cavaliers44123227%104.8113.9-9.1
29 Golden State Warriors44103423%105.2113.2-8.0
30 Atlanta Hawks44103423%107.8117.5-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves29252521100
Denver Nuggets26292626107
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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