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Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 29 Jan 2020
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 101-109
28-36 20-17 28-27 25-29
Position#7
Record32-14
FormLWWLW
Points / game112.2
Allowed / game108.3
vs
Position#5
Record30-15
FormLWWWL
Points / game112.3
Allowed / game105.6
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Miami Heat v Boston Celtics
27 Mar 2027
MIA v BOS
upcoming
01 Apr 2026
MIA129
BOS147
15 Jan 2026
MIA114
BOS119
14 Mar 2025
MIA91
BOS103
10 Feb 2025
MIA85
BOS103
29 Apr 2024
MIA88
BOS102
27 Apr 2024
MIA84
BOS104
11 Feb 2024
MIA106
BOS110
25 Jan 2024
MIA110
BOS143
27 May 2023
MIA103
BOS104
23 May 2023
MIA99
BOS116
21 May 2023
MIA128
BOS102
24 Jan 2023
MIA98
BOS95
21 Oct 2022
MIA104
BOS111
29 May 2022
MIA96
BOS100
25 May 2022
MIA80
BOS93
19 May 2022
MIA102
BOS127
17 May 2022
MIA118
BOS107
04 Nov 2021
MIA78
BOS95
06 Jan 2021
MIA105
BOS107
27 Sep 2020
MIA125
BOS113
23 Sep 2020
MIA112
BOS109
19 Sep 2020
MIA106
BOS117
04 Aug 2020
MIA112
BOS106
11 Apr 2020
MIA v BOS
upcoming
28 Jan 2020
MIA101
BOS109
03 Apr 2019
MIA102
BOS112
10 Jan 2019
MIA115
BOS99
22 Nov 2017
MIA104
BOS98
28 Oct 2017
MIA90
BOS96
18 Dec 2016
MIA95
BOS105
28 Nov 2016
MIA104
BOS112
30 Nov 2015
MIA95
BOS105
09 Mar 2015
MIA90
BOS100
21 Dec 2014
MIA100
BOS84
21 Jan 2014
MIA93
BOS86
09 Nov 2013
MIA110
BOS111
12 Apr 2013
MIA109
BOS101
30 Oct 2012
MIA120
BOS107
09 Jun 2012
MIA101
BOS88
05 Jun 2012
MIA90
BOS94
30 May 2012
MIA115
BOS111
28 May 2012
MIA93
BOS79
10 Apr 2012
MIA107
BOS115
27 Dec 2011
MIA115
BOS107
11 May 2011
MIA97
BOS87
03 May 2011
MIA102
BOS91
01 May 2011
MIA99
BOS90
10 Apr 2011
MIA100
BOS77
11 Nov 2010
MIA107
BOS112
25 Apr 2010
MIA101
BOS92
23 Apr 2010
MIA98
BOS100
06 Jan 2010
MIA106
BOS112
29 Nov 2009
MIA85
BOS92
11 Mar 2009
MIA107
BOS99
21 Jan 2009
MIA83
BOS98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#10
W
122-108
122
108
+14
121avg 105
A09/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
113-117
113
117
-4
108avg 105
A11/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
L
121-124
121
124
-3
118avg 105
A12/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#17
W
106-100
106
100
+6
101avg 105
H16/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#6
W
115-108
115
108
+7
111avg 105
A18/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#17
L
102-107
102
107
-5
95avg 105
A19/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
118-113 OT
118
113
+5
114avg 105
H20/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
W
134-129 OT
134
129
+5
132avg 105
H23/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
L
117-122
117
122
-5
106avg 105
H25/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
113-92
113
92
+21
116avg 105
H28/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-23
31-26
38-23
22-36
42-32
27-25
20-32
24-28
31-27
29-28
34-29
27-40
24-17
27-34
24-26
31-23
40-26
21-21
31-31
23-30
31-28
23-32
30-26
18-21
21-24
35-34
20-20
29-27
30-27
39-23
21-33
28-35
30-22
35-41
20-38
32-21
31-21
23-27
31-23
28-21
228.1Avg total
116.1Scored
112.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (46)112.2108.3220.5+3.970%
Season at home (23)116.4105.9222.3+10.591%
Season away (23)108.0110.7218.7-2.748%
Last 10 (10)116.1112.0228.1+4.160%
Last 5 (5)116.8112.6229.4+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)109.8109.1218.8+0.762%
vs Weaker (14)116.3112.0228.3+4.371%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
98-109
98
109
-11
82avg 104
A10/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
W
140-105
140
105
+35
138avg 104
H12/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
W
113-101
113
101
+12
110avg 104
H14/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#26
L
103-116
103
116
-13
95avg 104
H16/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
L
123-128
123
128
-5
102avg 104
A17/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
L
119-123
119
123
-4
106avg 104
H19/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
W
139-107
139
107
+32
136avg 104
H21/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#16
W
119-95
119
95
+24
117avg 104
H23/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
109-98
109
98
+11
104avg 104
A25/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
L
108-123
108
123
-15
94avg 104
A26/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-26
20-22
25-29
18-32
41-24
31-33
42-25
26-23
28-14
27-23
28-34
30-30
24-27
35-30
23-34
21-25
20-36
38-40
29-30
36-22
20-26
31-34
25-27
43-36
33-30
36-25
35-25
35-27
25-27
33-17
41-19
20-32
24-30
29-27
29-20
27-21
20-32
22-30
39-29
27-32
227.6Avg total
117.1Scored
110.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)112.3105.6218.0+6.767%
Season at home (23)115.9106.7222.6+9.378%
Season away (22)108.5104.6213.1+4.055%
Last 10 (10)117.1110.5227.6+6.650%
Last 5 (5)118.8109.2228.0+9.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)116.3107.7224.0+8.767%
vs Weaker (24)112.3106.3218.6+6.062%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.4+6.4Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +0.3+0.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.4+6.4Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +0.3+0.3
Miami HeatBoston Celtics
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#10
W
62-49
62
49
+13
A09/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
W
69-57
69
57
+12
A11/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
60-55
60
55
+5
A12/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#17
D
51-51
51
51
+0
H16/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#6
W
61-47
61
47
+14
A18/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#17
L
54-60
54
60
-6
A19/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
56-58
56
58
-2
H20/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
W
69-50
69
50
+19
H23/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
W
65-63
65
63
+2
H25/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H28/01
NBA
113.9Avg total
60.1Scored
53.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.155.2113.3+2.960%-
Last 30 at home (16)58.853.4112.2+5.469%-
Last 30 away (14)57.357.3114.6+0.050%-
Last 10 (10)60.153.8113.9+6.370%-
Last 5 (5)59.655.8115.4+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)55.654.2109.9+1.462%-
vs Weaker (14)60.956.4117.3+4.657%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
55-48
55
48
+7
A10/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
W
72-57
72
57
+15
H12/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H14/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#26
W
59-57
59
57
+2
H16/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
L
58-76
58
76
-18
A17/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
L
51-60
51
60
-9
H19/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
W
69-55
69
55
+14
H21/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#16
W
58-44
58
44
+14
H23/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
53-57
53
57
-4
A25/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
L
42-62
42
62
-20
A26/01
NBA
112.5Avg total
57.2Scored
55.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.153.4108.5+1.757%-
Last 30 at home (18)57.051.9108.9+5.172%-
Last 30 away (12)52.355.7108.0-3.333%-
Last 10 (10)57.255.3112.5+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)54.655.6110.2-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)56.356.0112.3+0.350%-
vs Weaker (24)54.852.8107.6+2.158%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 116.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.327.7
57.3%
52.3%55.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.913.8
38.4%
35.7%41.4
🏀 Free throws23.419.3
82.5%
77.2%19.3
They take 84.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 117.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.430.8
54.6%
52.3%61.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.112.8
37.5%
35.7%38.4
🏀 Free throws21.317.1
80.3%
77.2%17.1
They take 90.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Jan 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
WLWWLWWLLW
Boston Celtics
LWWWLLLWWL
#7
League position
#5
+4.1
Net rating
+6.5
115.9
Offensive rating
114.5
111.9
Defensive rating
108.0
57.5%
Effective FG%
55.2%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
11.7%
Turnover %
11.6%
15.9%
Off. rebound %
21.8%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.24
38.4%
3-point %
37.5%
63.6%
Assist %
56.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence115.9 · 114.5Defence111.9 · 108.0Shooting57.5% · 55.2%3-point %38.4% · 37.5%Ball care11.7% · 11.6%Off. rebounds15.9% · 21.8%Free throws0.28 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Boston Celtics
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Miami Heat wins
7
Boston Celtics wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/20HOrlando Magic113-92
25/01/20HLos Angeles Clippers117-122
23/01/20HWashington Wizards134-129 OT
20/01/20HSacramento Kings118-113 OT
19/01/20ASan Antonio Spurs102-107
18/01/20AOklahoma City Thunder115-108
16/01/20HSan Antonio Spurs106-100
12/01/20ANew York Knicks121-124
11/01/20ABrooklyn Nets113-117
09/01/20AIndiana Pacers122-108
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/20ANew Orleans Pelicans108-123
25/01/20AOrlando Magic109-98
23/01/20HMemphis Grizzlies119-95
21/01/20HLos Angeles Lakers139-107
19/01/20HPhoenix Suns119-123
17/01/20AMilwaukee Bucks123-128
16/01/20HDetroit Pistons103-116
14/01/20HChicago Bulls113-101
12/01/20HNew Orleans Pelicans140-105
10/01/20APhiladelphia 76ers98-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW70%
HomeWWWLW91%
AwayWLLWL48%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games462323
Win %70%91%48%
Points / game112.2116.4108.0
Allowed / game108.3105.9110.7
Point differential+3.9+10.5-2.7
Avg total220.5222.3218.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%48%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (15)75% (8)57% (7)
Overtime %17%22%13%
Boston Celtics
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL67%
HomeWLLWW78%
AwayLLLWL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452322
Win %67%78%55%
Points / game112.3115.9108.5
Allowed / game105.6106.7104.6
Point differential+6.7+9.3+4.0
Avg total218.0222.6213.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%57%32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (12)75% (4)12% (8)
Overtime %2%0%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks4640687%119.3106.7+12.6
2 Los Angeles Lakers46361078%113.5106.3+7.3
3 Los Angeles Clippers47331470%115.6109.3+6.4
4 Toronto Raptors47331470%112.4106.2+6.2
5 Utah Jazz46321470%111.2106.2+5.0
6 Miami Heat46321470%112.2108.3+3.9
7 Denver Nuggets46321470%109.5106.0+3.5
8 Boston Celtics45301567%112.3105.6+6.7
9 Philadelphia 76ers48311765%108.5104.8+3.8
10 Indiana Pacers47301764%110.0107.1+2.9
11 Dallas Mavericks46291763%116.4109.5+6.9
12 Houston Rockets46291763%118.7114.3+4.3
13 Oklahoma City Thunder48282058%110.3108.1+2.3
14 Memphis Grizzlies46222448%113.5115.8-2.4
15 Orlando Magic48212744%103.5104.7-1.2
16 San Antonio Spurs46202643%113.3114.3-1.0
17 Portland Trail Blazers47202743%112.8114.9-2.1
18 Brooklyn Nets45192642%109.4111.9-2.6
19 Phoenix Suns46192741%112.7113.7-1.0
20 New Orleans Pelicans48192940%114.7117.2-2.5
21 Chicago Bulls49193039%105.7107.7-1.9
22 Sacramento Kings46172937%107.1110.2-3.1
23 Detroit Pistons48173135%109.2111.2-2.1
24 Charlotte Hornets47163134%103.1110.2-7.0
25 Washington Wizards45153033%115.3120.6-5.3
26 Minnesota Timberwolves47153232%111.6115.3-3.7
27 New York Knicks48133527%104.0111.5-7.4
28 Cleveland Cavaliers48133527%105.3114.1-8.8
29 Atlanta Hawks48123625%108.8118.1-9.2
30 Golden State Warriors48103821%105.7114.2-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat28202825101
Boston Celtics36172729109
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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