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Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 123-110
23-24 29-26 32-35 39-25
Position#10
Record43-38
FormLWWWL
Points / game109.3
Allowed / game109.8
vs
Position#25
Record34-47
FormWWLLL
Points / game111.4
Allowed / game113.9
USANBA· Kaseya Center
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Miami Heat v Orlando Magic
10 Mar 2027
MIA v ORL
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
MIA117
ORL121
28 Jan 2026
MIA124
ORL133
27 Jan 2025
MIA125
ORL119
23 Oct 2024
MIA97
ORL116
06 Feb 2024
MIA121
ORL95
12 Jan 2024
MIA99
ORL96
09 Apr 2023
MIA123
ORL110
27 Jan 2023
MIA110
ORL105
26 Dec 2021
MIA93
ORL83
25 Oct 2021
MIA107
ORL90
11 Mar 2021
MIA111
ORL103
04 Mar 2020
MIA116
ORL113
27 Jan 2020
MIA113
ORL92
26 Mar 2019
MIA99
ORL104
04 Dec 2018
MIA90
ORL105
05 Feb 2018
MIA109
ORL111
26 Dec 2017
MIA107
ORL89
13 Feb 2017
MIA107
ORL116
20 Dec 2016
MIA130
ORL136
10 Apr 2016
MIA118
ORL96
25 Mar 2016
MIA108
ORL97
13 Apr 2015
MIA100
ORL93
29 Dec 2014
MIA101
ORL102
01 Mar 2014
MIA112
ORL98
23 Nov 2013
MIA101
ORL99
17 Apr 2013
MIA105
ORL93
06 Mar 2013
MIA97
ORL96
18 Mar 2012
MIA91
ORL81
19 Feb 2012
MIA90
ORL78
18 Dec 2011
MIA118
ORL85
03 Mar 2011
MIA96
ORL99
29 Oct 2010
MIA96
ORL70
18 Mar 2010
MIA102
ORL108
17 Dec 2009
MIA104
ORL86
30 Mar 2009
MIA95
ORL101
24 Jan 2009
MIA103
ORL97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Orlando Magic winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
99-113
99
113
-14
89avg 99
A19/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
112-100
112
100
+12
115avg 99
A19/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
W
127-120
127
120
+7
122avg 99
H22/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
L
100-129
100
129
-29
90avg 99
H26/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
92-106
92
106
-14
82avg 99
A28/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
92-101
92
101
-9
80avg 99
A29/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
129-122
129
122
+7
122avg 99
H01/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
118-105
118
105
+13
112avg 99
A04/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
129-101
129
101
+28
134avg 99
A06/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
108-114
108
114
-6
96avg 99
A07/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-33
26-37
32-20
22-23
26-29
26-18
22-34
38-19
31-32
33-29
28-25
35-34
36-28
33-37
18-39
13-25
23-24
24-29
20-31
25-22
23-19
23-29
30-28
16-25
44-31
32-33
26-32
27-26
31-27
28-25
21-27
38-26
41-31
26-15
29-32
33-23
23-26
28-27
20-36
37-25
221.7Avg total
110.6Scored
111.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (81)109.3109.8219.1-0.553%
Season at home (40)111.2110.2221.4+0.965%
Season away (41)107.5109.3216.9-1.841%
Last 10 (10)110.6111.1221.7-0.550%
Last 5 (5)115.2108.6223.8+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)106.8107.0213.8-0.250%
vs Similar ◀ (22)111.7115.0226.7-3.345%
vs Weaker (4)107.5102.0209.5+5.575%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMagic
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
105-111
105
111
-6
87avg 103
A20/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
122-112
122
112
+10
123avg 103
H21/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
W
111-106
111
106
+5
104avg 103
H23/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
119-106
119
106
+13
120avg 103
H26/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
108-113
108
113
-5
94avg 103
A29/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
116-109
116
109
+7
112avg 103
A31/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
128-102
128
102
+26
128avg 103
H02/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
113-117
113
117
-4
108avg 103
H04/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
94-118
94
118
-24
82avg 103
H06/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
L
84-101
84
101
-17
75avg 103
A07/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-28
24-31
32-25
24-27
26-25
34-31
27-32
35-24
24-22
29-23
22-30
36-31
24-25
36-26
32-23
27-32
15-32
29-27
29-28
35-26
24-32
36-31
25-33
31-13
34-29
29-15
28-24
37-34
29-23
30-35
32-35
22-24
42-33
15-34
16-28
21-23
23-27
16-31
23-20
22-23
219.5Avg total
110.0Scored
109.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (81)111.4113.9225.3-2.442%
Season at home (41)114.3114.7229.0-0.449%
Season away (40)108.5113.0221.4-4.535%
Last 10 (10)110.0109.5219.5+0.550%
Last 5 (5)107.0109.4216.4-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)107.9113.4221.3-5.527%
vs Similar ◀ (16)113.4112.2225.6+1.256%
vs Weaker (3)116.7113.3230.0+3.367%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -5.8-5.8Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +3.3+3.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -5.8-5.8Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +3.3+3.3
Miami HeatOrlando Magic
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
45-70
45
70
-25
A19/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A19/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
W
64-61
64
61
+3
H22/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
69-65
69
65
+4
H26/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A28/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A29/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
76-64
76
64
+12
H01/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
59-52
59
52
+7
A04/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
67-46
67
46
+21
A06/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A07/04
NBA
113.5Avg total
57.6Scored
55.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.857.7114.5-1.040%-
Last 30 at home (14)60.661.2121.9-0.643%-
Last 30 away (16)53.454.7108.1-1.338%-
Last 10 (10)57.655.9113.5+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)59.852.6112.4+7.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)55.058.2113.2-3.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)57.458.6116.0-1.236%-
vs Weaker (4)55.052.2107.2+2.875%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
49-59
49
59
-10
A20/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
60-56
60
56
+4
H21/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H23/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
60-51
60
51
+9
H26/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
44-59
44
59
-15
A29/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
60-63
60
63
-3
A31/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
63-44
63
44
+19
H02/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
59-58
59
58
+1
H04/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
57-67
57
67
-10
H06/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
L
39-58
39
58
-19
A07/04
NBA
110.4Avg total
54.4Scored
56.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.556.1112.6+0.460%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.553.7110.3+2.873%-
Last 30 away (15)56.458.5114.9-2.147%-
Last 10 (10)54.456.0110.4-1.650%-
Last 5 (5)55.658.0113.6-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)55.758.0113.7-2.345%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)56.955.5112.4+1.469%-
vs Weaker (3)57.052.3109.3+4.767%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 110.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.626.8
57.5%
54.5%53.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.513.3
36.4%
35.8%39.9
🏀 Free throws20.417.1
83.8%
78.1%17.1
They take 83.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 110.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.129.5
53.5%
54.5%59.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.511.1
34.2%
35.8%33.3
🏀 Free throws22.517.7
78.7%
78.1%17.7
They take 87.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
LWWWLLLWWL
Orlando Magic
LLLWWLWWWL
#10
League position
#25
-0.5
Net rating
+0.5
117.4
Offensive rating
108.1
118.0
Defensive rating
107.6
56.3%
Effective FG%
52.7%
58.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
11.9%
Turnover %
14.0%
22.1%
Off. rebound %
22.2%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.26
36.4%
3-point %
34.2%
65.3%
Assist %
61.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence117.4 · 108.1Defence118.0 · 107.6Shooting56.3% · 52.7%3-point %36.4% · 34.2%Ball care11.9% · 14.0%Off. rebounds22.1% · 22.2%Free throws0.25 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Orlando Magic
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Miami Heat wins
3
Orlando Magic wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/23AWashington Wizards108-114
06/04/23APhiladelphia 76ers129-101
04/04/23ADetroit Pistons118-105
01/04/23HDallas Mavericks129-122
29/03/23ANew York Knicks92-101
28/03/23AToronto Raptors92-106
26/03/23HBrooklyn Nets100-129
22/03/23HNew York Knicks127-120
19/03/23ADetroit Pistons112-100
19/03/23AChicago Bulls99-113
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/23ABrooklyn Nets84-101
06/04/23HCleveland Cavaliers94-118
04/04/23HCleveland Cavaliers113-117
02/04/23HDetroit Pistons128-102
31/03/23AWashington Wizards116-109
29/03/23AMemphis Grizzlies108-113
26/03/23HBrooklyn Nets119-106
23/03/23HNew York Knicks111-106
21/03/23HWashington Wizards122-112
20/03/23ALos Angeles Lakers105-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL53%
HomeWWWLW65%
AwayLLWWL41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games814041
Win %53%65%41%
Points / game109.3111.2107.5
Allowed / game109.8110.2109.3
Point differential-0.5+0.9-1.8
Avg total219.1221.4216.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%10%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (39)70% (23)50% (16)
Overtime %6%2%10%
Orlando Magic
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL42%
HomeWWWLL49%
AwayWLLWL35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games814140
Win %42%49%35%
Points / game111.4114.3108.5
Allowed / game113.9114.7113.0
Point differential-2.4-0.4-4.5
Avg total225.3229.0221.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%32%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won41% (22)50% (10)33% (12)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks81582372%117.1113.2+3.9
2 Boston Celtics81562569%117.9111.4+6.5
3 Philadelphia 76ers81532865%115.0111.0+4.0
4 Denver Nuggets81522964%115.9112.7+3.2
5 Cleveland Cavaliers81513063%112.5106.9+5.6
6 Memphis Grizzlies81513063%117.1113.0+4.2
7 Sacramento Kings81483359%121.0118.2+2.9
8 New York Knicks81473458%115.8112.8+3.0
9 Phoenix Suns81453656%113.6111.5+2.2
10 Brooklyn Nets81453656%113.5112.2+1.2
11 Golden State Warriors81433853%118.5117.3+1.1
12 Los Angeles Clippers81433853%113.5113.1+0.4
13 Miami Heat81433853%109.3109.8-0.5
14 New Orleans Pelicans81423952%114.4112.5+2.0
15 Los Angeles Lakers81423952%117.0116.6+0.4
16 Atlanta Hawks81414051%118.5118.1+0.4
17 Minnesota Timberwolves81414051%115.8115.9-0.1
18 Toronto Raptors81404149%112.8111.5+1.3
19 Chicago Bulls81394248%113.2112.2+1.0
20 Oklahoma City Thunder81394248%117.5116.6+0.9
21 Dallas Mavericks81384347%114.2113.9+0.3
22 Utah Jazz81374446%117.1117.9-0.8
23 Washington Wizards81354643%113.2114.4-1.2
24 Orlando Magic81344742%111.4113.9-2.4
25 Indiana Pacers81344742%116.0119.3-3.3
26 Portland Trail Blazers81334841%113.6116.9-3.4
27 Charlotte Hornets81265532%111.0117.5-6.5
28 Houston Rockets81216026%110.7118.7-8.0
29 San Antonio Spurs81216026%112.7123.1-10.4
30 Detroit Pistons81176421%110.7118.7-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat23293239123
Orlando Magic24263525110
← all games of the day
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