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Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Jul 2024
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 114-119
32-28 21-33 29-28 32-30
Position-
Record-
FormWWWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position-
Record-
FormLLLWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANBA - Las Vegas Summer League· Cox Pavilion
Other2024
Meetings · Boston Celtics v Miami Heat
02 Apr 2027
BOS v MIA
upcoming
25 Dec 2026
BOS v MIA
upcoming
06 Feb 2026
BOS98
MIA96
19 Dec 2025
BOS129
MIA116
02 Apr 2025
BOS103
MIA124
02 Dec 2024
BOS108
MIA89
13 Jul 2024
BOS114
MIA119
01 May 2024
BOS118
MIA84
24 Apr 2024
BOS101
MIA111
21 Apr 2024
BOS114
MIA94
27 Oct 2023
BOS119
MIA111
29 May 2023
BOS84
MIA103
25 May 2023
BOS110
MIA97
19 May 2023
BOS105
MIA111
17 May 2023
BOS116
MIA123
02 Dec 2022
BOS116
MIA120
30 Nov 2022
BOS134
MIA121
27 May 2022
BOS103
MIA111
23 May 2022
BOS102
MIA82
21 May 2022
BOS103
MIA109
30 Mar 2022
BOS98
MIA106
31 Jan 2022
BOS122
MIA92
11 May 2021
BOS121
MIA129
09 May 2021
BOS124
MIA130
25 Sep 2020
BOS121
MIA108
17 Sep 2020
BOS101
MIA106
15 Sep 2020
BOS114
MIA117
04 Dec 2019
BOS112
MIA93
01 Apr 2019
BOS110
MIA105
21 Jan 2019
BOS107
MIA99
20 Dec 2017
BOS89
MIA90
26 Mar 2017
BOS112
MIA108
30 Dec 2016
BOS117
MIA114
13 Apr 2016
BOS98
MIA88
27 Feb 2016
BOS101
MIA89
25 Mar 2015
BOS86
MIA93
01 Feb 2015
BOS75
MIA83
19 Mar 2014
BOS101
MIA96
18 Mar 2013
BOS103
MIA105
27 Jan 2013
BOS100
MIA98
07 Jun 2012
BOS79
MIA98
03 Jun 2012
BOS93
MIA91
01 Jun 2012
BOS101
MIA91
24 Apr 2012
BOS78
MIA66
01 Apr 2012
BOS91
MIA72
09 May 2011
BOS90
MIA98
07 May 2011
BOS97
MIA81
13 Feb 2011
BOS85
MIA82
26 Oct 2010
BOS88
MIA80
27 Apr 2010
BOS96
MIA86
20 Apr 2010
BOS106
MIA77
17 Apr 2010
BOS85
MIA76
03 Feb 2010
BOS107
MIA102
10 Apr 2009
BOS105
MIA98
18 Mar 2009
BOS112
MIA108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston Celtics winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
113-98
113
98
+15
117avg 113
H15/05
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
133-128 OT
133
128
+5
123avg 113
H22/05
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
126-110
126
110
+16
122avg 113
H24/05
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
114-111
114
111
+3
104avg 113
A26/05
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
105-102
105
102
+3
95avg 113
A28/05
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
107-89
107
89
+18
102avg 113
H07/06
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
105-98
105
98
+7
102avg 113
H10/06
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
106-99
106
99
+7
100avg 113
A13/06
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
84-122
84
122
-38
67avg 113
A15/06
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
106-88
106
88
+18
101avg 113
H18/06
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-28
30-24
27-26
28-20
34-31
30-33
30-29
23-24
25-27
32-24
36-29
33-30
32-31
25-38
24-21
33-21
29-27
29-30
22-26
25-19
37-20
26-22
23-24
21-23
25-28
29-23
29-23
22-24
30-31
20-20
35-19
21-29
21-34
14-27
25-31
24-30
28-18
39-28
19-21
20-21
214.4Avg total
109.9Scored
104.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)109.9104.5214.4+5.490%
Last 5 (5)101.699.2200.8+2.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)135.0100.0235.0+35.0100%
vs Weaker (29)110.9103.5214.4+7.476%
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
104-105
104
105
-1
94avg 103
A17/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
112-91
112
91
+21
111avg 103
H19/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
94-114
94
114
-20
86avg 103
A21/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
W
111-101
111
101
+10
109avg 103
A24/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
84-104
84
104
-20
74avg 103
H27/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
88-102
88
102
-14
74avg 103
H29/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
84-118
84
118
-34
66avg 103
A01/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
66-105
66
105
-39
no box
A06/07
California Classic
Sacramento Kings
#4
W
102-86
102
86
+16
no box
A07/07
California Classic
Los Angeles Lakers
#6
W
80-76
80
76
+4
98avg 103
A10/07
California Classic
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
28-17
23-30
30-36
34-17
13-20
35-23
30-31
21-26
24-34
14-31
35-23
28-27
30-34
27-18
26-22
12-21
27-42
22-24
23-17
24-34
12-19
23-28
29-21
23-41
23-27
20-30
18-20
12-19
22-31
11-30
21-25
27-20
29-24
20-22
26-20
21-21
15-19
23-18
21-18
192.7Avg total
92.5Scored
100.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)92.5100.2192.7-7.740%
Last 5 (5)84.097.4181.4-13.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)91.1104.6195.8-13.525%
vs Similar (14)104.3104.1208.4+0.243%
vs Weaker (8)113.097.1210.1+15.988%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +2.6+2.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +2.6+2.6
Boston CelticsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
58-52
58
52
+6
H15/05
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
D
64-64
64
64
+0
H22/05
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H24/05
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
57-69
57
69
-12
A26/05
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
58-57
58
57
+1
A28/05
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
63-42
63
42
+21
H07/06
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
54-51
54
51
+3
H10/06
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A13/06
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
35-61
35
61
-26
A15/06
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
67-46
67
46
+21
H18/06
NBA
110.7Avg total
56.3Scored
54.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.752.9111.7+5.877%-
Last 30 at home (17)60.551.9112.4+8.682%-
Last 30 away (13)56.454.3110.7+2.169%-
Last 10 (10)56.354.4110.7+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)53.850.2104.0+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)61.047.0108.0+14.0100%-
vs Weaker (29)58.753.1111.8+5.576%-
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A17/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H19/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
45-60
45
60
-15
A21/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
58-61
58
61
-3
A24/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
39-63
39
63
-24
H27/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H29/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
46-68
46
68
-22
A01/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A06/07
California Classic
Sacramento Kings
#4
W
56-44
56
44
+12
A07/07
California Classic
Los Angeles Lakers
#6
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A10/07
California Classic
96.3Avg total
44.8Scored
51.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.951.6104.6+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (14)53.150.0103.1+3.157%-
Last 30 away (16)52.853.1105.8-0.356%-
Last 10 (10)44.851.596.3-6.730%-
Last 5 (5)41.651.092.6-9.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)46.455.8102.1-9.425%-
vs Similar (14)52.751.1103.9+1.657%-
vs Weaker (8)59.948.4108.2+11.588%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 109.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.7 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.424.8
57.1%
49.5%49.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.214.9
35.3%
32.8%44.7
🏀 Free throws18.815.6
83.0%
74.8%15.6
They take 85.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 42.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 99.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.426.2
53.0%
49.5%52.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.411.5
33.4%
32.8%34.5
🏀 Free throws15.612.9
82.7%
74.8%12.9
They take 83.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Jul 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boston Celtics
WLWWWWWWWW
Miami Heat
WWLLLLWLWL
+5.7
Net rating
-2.0
115.4
Offensive rating
106.0
109.8
Defensive rating
108.1
55.1%
Effective FG%
51.8%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
11.1%
Turnover %
12.3%
24.0%
Off. rebound %
20.5%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.19
35.3%
3-point %
33.4%
64.7%
Assist %
63.1%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence115.4 · 106.0Defence109.8 · 108.1Shooting55.1% · 51.8%3-point %35.3% · 33.4%Ball care11.1% · 12.3%Off. rebounds24.0% · 20.5%Free throws0.22 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)90% · 40%
■ Boston Celtics   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Boston Celtics wins
2
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/06/24HDallas Mavericks106-88
15/06/24ADallas Mavericks84-122
13/06/24ADallas Mavericks106-99
10/06/24HDallas Mavericks105-98
07/06/24HDallas Mavericks107-89
28/05/24AIndiana Pacers105-102
26/05/24AIndiana Pacers114-111
24/05/24HIndiana Pacers126-110
22/05/24HIndiana Pacers133-128 OT
15/05/24HCleveland Cavaliers113-98
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/07/24ALos Angeles Lakers80-76
07/07/24ASacramento Kings102-86
06/07/24AGolden State Warriors66-105
01/05/24ABoston Celtics84-118
29/04/24HBoston Celtics88-102
27/04/24HBoston Celtics84-104
24/04/24ABoston Celtics111-101
21/04/24ABoston Celtics94-114
19/04/24HChicago Bulls112-91
17/04/24APhiladelphia 76ers104-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston Celtics
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League 2024
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Miami Heat
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Boston Celtics32212932114
Miami Heat28332830119
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