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Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 15 Sep 2020
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 114-117 (OT)
26-18 29-37 28-16 23-35 8-11
Position#5
Record57-29
FormLLWLW
Points / game112.6
Allowed / game106.6
vs
Position#7
Record53-32
FormWWWLW
Points / game111.8
Allowed / game108.5
USANBANBA - Semi-finals· The Field House
NBA2019-20Neutral venue
Meetings · Boston Celtics v Miami Heat
02 Apr 2027
BOS v MIA
upcoming
25 Dec 2026
BOS v MIA
upcoming
06 Feb 2026
BOS98
MIA96
19 Dec 2025
BOS129
MIA116
02 Apr 2025
BOS103
MIA124
02 Dec 2024
BOS108
MIA89
01 May 2024
BOS118
MIA84
24 Apr 2024
BOS101
MIA111
21 Apr 2024
BOS114
MIA94
27 Oct 2023
BOS119
MIA111
29 May 2023
BOS84
MIA103
25 May 2023
BOS110
MIA97
19 May 2023
BOS105
MIA111
17 May 2023
BOS116
MIA123
02 Dec 2022
BOS116
MIA120
30 Nov 2022
BOS134
MIA121
27 May 2022
BOS103
MIA111
23 May 2022
BOS102
MIA82
21 May 2022
BOS103
MIA109
30 Mar 2022
BOS98
MIA106
31 Jan 2022
BOS122
MIA92
11 May 2021
BOS121
MIA129
09 May 2021
BOS124
MIA130
25 Sep 2020
BOS121
MIA108
17 Sep 2020
BOS101
MIA106
15 Sep 2020
BOS114
MIA117
04 Dec 2019
BOS112
MIA93
01 Apr 2019
BOS110
MIA105
21 Jan 2019
BOS107
MIA99
20 Dec 2017
BOS89
MIA90
26 Mar 2017
BOS112
MIA108
30 Dec 2016
BOS117
MIA114
13 Apr 2016
BOS98
MIA88
27 Feb 2016
BOS101
MIA89
25 Mar 2015
BOS86
MIA93
01 Feb 2015
BOS75
MIA83
19 Mar 2014
BOS101
MIA96
18 Mar 2013
BOS103
MIA105
27 Jan 2013
BOS100
MIA98
07 Jun 2012
BOS79
MIA98
03 Jun 2012
BOS93
MIA91
01 Jun 2012
BOS101
MIA91
24 Apr 2012
BOS78
MIA66
01 Apr 2012
BOS91
MIA72
09 May 2011
BOS90
MIA98
07 May 2011
BOS97
MIA81
13 Feb 2011
BOS85
MIA82
26 Oct 2010
BOS88
MIA80
27 Apr 2010
BOS96
MIA86
20 Apr 2010
BOS106
MIA77
17 Apr 2010
BOS85
MIA76
03 Feb 2010
BOS107
MIA102
10 Apr 2009
BOS105
MIA98
18 Mar 2009
BOS112
MIA108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston Celtics winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
128-101
128
101
+27
118avg 104
H19/08
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
102-94
102
94
+8
88avg 104
A21/08
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
110-106
110
106
+4
99avg 104
A23/08
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
112-94
112
94
+18
110avg 104
A30/08
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
102-99
102
99
+3
95avg 104
A01/09
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
103-104
103
104
-1
95avg 104
H03/09
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
93-100
93
100
-7
86avg 104
H05/09
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
111-89
111
89
+22
110avg 104
A07/09
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
122-125 OT
122
125
-3
no box
H09/09
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
92-87
92
87
+5
no box
A12/09
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-33
38-24
33-18
30-26
26-24
25-25
25-23
26-22
27-32
30-26
32-19
21-29
39-23
20-19
29-31
24-21
28-28
22-20
20-30
32-21
33-28
24-19
23-29
23-28
27-31
22-18
24-32
20-19
25-11
37-24
25-28
24-26
25-21
27-27
25-33
21-17
26-27
24-19
22-25
20-16
207.4Avg total
107.5Scored
99.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (86)112.6106.6219.2+6.066%
Season at home (43)115.0107.5222.4+7.567%
Season away (43)110.2105.7215.9+4.565%
Last 10 (10)107.599.9207.4+7.670%
Last 5 (5)104.2101.0205.2+3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)107.5105.6213.1+1.943%
vs Weaker (16)114.3107.6221.9+6.875%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#10
L
92-109
92
109
-17
74avg 107
A14/08
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#10
W
113-101
113
101
+12
103avg 107
A18/08
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#10
W
109-100
109
100
+9
106avg 107
A20/08
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#10
W
124-115
124
115
+9
121avg 107
H22/08
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#10
W
99-87
99
87
+12
97avg 107
H24/08
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
W
115-104
115
104
+11
109avg 107
A31/08
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
W
116-114
116
114
+2
106avg 107
A02/09
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
W
115-100
115
100
+15
115avg 107
H04/09
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
L
115-118 OT
115
118
-3
111avg 107
H06/09
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
W
103-94
103
94
+9
104avg 107
A08/09
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-28
31-30
26-26
22-25
27-33
29-19
25-28
32-21
22-24
29-22
37-31
21-23
34-27
40-29
20-34
30-25
21-22
27-20
22-20
29-25
29-40
31-23
32-23
23-18
38-29
28-31
24-26
26-28
29-30
21-27
25-30
40-13
31-22
17-28
40-35
19-22
19-28
33-18
21-19
30-29
214.3Avg total
110.1Scored
104.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (85)111.8108.5220.3+3.362%
Season at home (42)115.1107.1222.2+8.079%
Season away (43)108.5109.9218.5-1.447%
Last 10 (10)110.1104.2214.3+5.980%
Last 5 (5)112.8106.0218.8+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)112.1107.0219.1+5.171%
vs Similar ◀ (15)110.5107.6218.1+2.953%
vs Weaker (8)112.9110.1223.0+2.862%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +4.3+4.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +4.3+4.3
Boston CelticsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
65-57
65
57
+8
H19/08
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A21/08
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
57-58
57
58
-1
A23/08
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
59-42
59
42
+17
A30/08
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A01/09
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H03/09
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H05/09
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
62-35
62
35
+27
A07/09
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
52-48
52
48
+4
H09/09
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A12/09
NBA
103.1Avg total
55.2Scored
47.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.150.8106.9+5.373%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.751.0107.7+5.773%-
Last 30 away (15)55.550.7106.1+4.873%-
Last 10 (10)55.247.9103.1+7.380%-
Last 5 (5)54.045.099.0+9.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)54.151.0105.1+3.164%-
vs Weaker (16)57.850.7108.5+7.181%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#10
L
44-58
44
58
-14
A14/08
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#10
W
56-52
56
52
+4
A18/08
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#10
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A20/08
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#10
W
74-56
74
56
+18
H22/08
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#10
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H24/08
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
L
60-63
60
63
-3
A31/08
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
W
66-60
66
60
+6
A02/09
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
L
50-57
50
57
-7
H04/09
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H06/09
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A08/09
NBA
107.9Avg total
54.9Scored
53.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.254.2111.4+3.060%-
Last 30 at home (17)57.053.2110.2+3.859%-
Last 30 away (13)57.555.5113.0+1.962%-
Last 10 (10)54.953.0107.9+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)55.255.2110.4+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)57.454.9112.3+2.657%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)54.954.4109.3+0.547%-
vs Weaker (8)61.453.2114.6+8.188%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 106.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.225.4
53.8%
52.3%50.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.311.7
33.1%
35.7%35.1
🏀 Free throws25.220.1
79.8%
77.2%20.1
They take 82.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 110.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws23.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.423.0
51.8%
52.3%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.213.7
36.8%
35.7%41.1
🏀 Free throws28.323.0
81.3%
77.2%23.0
They take 81.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Sep 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boston Celtics
WLWLLWWWWW
Miami Heat
WLWWWWWWWL
#5
League position
#7
+8.6
Net rating
+5.9
107.5
Offensive rating
110.6
98.9
Defensive rating
104.7
52.1%
Effective FG%
53.4%
46.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
12.7%
Turnover %
14.7%
18.5%
Off. rebound %
21.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.35
33.1%
3-point %
36.8%
53.9%
Assist %
63.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence107.5 · 110.6Defence98.9 · 104.7Shooting52.1% · 53.4%3-point %33.1% · 36.8%Ball care12.7% · 14.7%Off. rebounds18.5% · 21.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Boston Celtics   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Boston Celtics wins
4
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/09/20AToronto Raptors92-87
09/09/20HToronto Raptors122-125 OT
07/09/20AToronto Raptors111-89
05/09/20HToronto Raptors93-100
03/09/20HToronto Raptors103-104
01/09/20AToronto Raptors102-99
30/08/20AToronto Raptors112-94
23/08/20APhiladelphia 76ers110-106
21/08/20APhiladelphia 76ers102-94
19/08/20HPhiladelphia 76ers128-101
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/09/20AMilwaukee Bucks103-94
06/09/20HMilwaukee Bucks115-118 OT
04/09/20HMilwaukee Bucks115-100
02/09/20AMilwaukee Bucks116-114
31/08/20AMilwaukee Bucks115-104
24/08/20HIndiana Pacers99-87
22/08/20HIndiana Pacers124-115
20/08/20AIndiana Pacers109-100
18/08/20AIndiana Pacers113-101
14/08/20AIndiana Pacers92-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston Celtics
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW66%
HomeWWLLL67%
AwayWWWWW65%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games864343
Win %66%67%65%
Points / game112.6115.0110.2
Allowed / game106.6107.5105.7
Point differential+6.0+7.5+4.5
Avg total219.2222.4215.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%44%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won46% (26)50% (12)43% (14)
Overtime %7%12%2%
Miami Heat
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW62%
HomeWWWWL79%
AwayWWWWW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games854243
Win %62%79%47%
Points / game111.8115.1108.5
Allowed / game108.5107.1109.9
Point differential+3.3+8.0-1.4
Avg total220.3222.2218.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%40%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (24)62% (13)45% (11)
Overtime %12%14%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers84622274%113.6107.5+6.1
2 Milwaukee Bucks86632373%117.7108.9+8.8
3 Toronto Raptors86622472%112.0106.2+5.8
4 Los Angeles Clippers87582967%115.8109.6+6.3
5 Boston Celtics86572966%112.6106.6+6.0
6 Miami Heat85533262%111.8108.5+3.3
7 Oklahoma City Thunder82503261%109.9108.3+1.6
8 Denver Nuggets89543561%110.3109.1+1.2
9 Utah Jazz82493360%111.1108.7+2.4
10 Indiana Pacers80473359%108.9107.6+1.3
11 Houston Rockets87513659%116.2113.4+2.9
12 Dallas Mavericks84473756%116.8113.1+3.7
13 Philadelphia 76ers80443655%109.8108.3+1.6
14 Phoenix Suns76364047%113.4113.0+0.3
15 Brooklyn Nets79364346%111.0113.0-1.9
16 Memphis Grizzlies77354245%112.5113.6-1.1
17 San Antonio Spurs74334145%113.9115.2-1.3
18 Portland Trail Blazers83374645%114.2116.1-1.9
19 New Orleans Pelicans75334244%115.8116.1-0.3
20 Orlando Magic81354643%107.2108.8-1.6
21 Sacramento Kings75324343%110.1112.1-2.1
22 Charlotte Hornets65234235%102.9109.6-6.8
23 Chicago Bulls65224334%106.8109.9-3.1
24 Washington Wizards75255033%113.8118.5-4.7
25 New York Knicks66214532%105.8112.3-6.5
26 Detroit Pistons66204630%107.2110.8-3.6
27 Atlanta Hawks67204730%111.8119.7-8.0
28 Minnesota Timberwolves64194530%113.2117.5-4.3
29 Cleveland Cavaliers65194629%106.9114.8-7.9
30 Golden State Warriors65155023%106.3115.0-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Boston Celtics262928238114
Miami Heat1837163511117
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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