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Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Apr 2010
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 85-76
28-29 13-15 23-22 21-10
Position#8
Record50-32
FormWLWLL
Points / game99.2
Allowed / game95.6
vs
Position#13
Record47-35
FormWLWWW
Points / game96.5
Allowed / game94.2
USANBA
NBA2009-10
Meetings · Boston Celtics v Miami Heat
02 Apr 2027
BOS v MIA
upcoming
25 Dec 2026
BOS v MIA
upcoming
06 Feb 2026
BOS98
MIA96
19 Dec 2025
BOS129
MIA116
02 Apr 2025
BOS103
MIA124
02 Dec 2024
BOS108
MIA89
01 May 2024
BOS118
MIA84
24 Apr 2024
BOS101
MIA111
21 Apr 2024
BOS114
MIA94
27 Oct 2023
BOS119
MIA111
29 May 2023
BOS84
MIA103
25 May 2023
BOS110
MIA97
19 May 2023
BOS105
MIA111
17 May 2023
BOS116
MIA123
02 Dec 2022
BOS116
MIA120
30 Nov 2022
BOS134
MIA121
27 May 2022
BOS103
MIA111
23 May 2022
BOS102
MIA82
21 May 2022
BOS103
MIA109
30 Mar 2022
BOS98
MIA106
31 Jan 2022
BOS122
MIA92
11 May 2021
BOS121
MIA129
09 May 2021
BOS124
MIA130
25 Sep 2020
BOS121
MIA108
17 Sep 2020
BOS101
MIA106
15 Sep 2020
BOS114
MIA117
04 Dec 2019
BOS112
MIA93
01 Apr 2019
BOS110
MIA105
21 Jan 2019
BOS107
MIA99
20 Dec 2017
BOS89
MIA90
26 Mar 2017
BOS112
MIA108
30 Dec 2016
BOS117
MIA114
13 Apr 2016
BOS98
MIA88
27 Feb 2016
BOS101
MIA89
25 Mar 2015
BOS86
MIA93
01 Feb 2015
BOS75
MIA83
19 Mar 2014
BOS101
MIA96
18 Mar 2013
BOS103
MIA105
27 Jan 2013
BOS100
MIA98
07 Jun 2012
BOS79
MIA98
03 Jun 2012
BOS93
MIA91
01 Jun 2012
BOS101
MIA91
24 Apr 2012
BOS78
MIA66
01 Apr 2012
BOS91
MIA72
09 May 2011
BOS90
MIA98
07 May 2011
BOS97
MIA81
13 Feb 2011
BOS85
MIA82
26 Oct 2010
BOS88
MIA80
27 Apr 2010
BOS96
MIA86
20 Apr 2010
BOS106
MIA77
17 Apr 2010
BOS85
MIA76
03 Feb 2010
BOS107
MIA102
10 Apr 2009
BOS105
MIA98
18 Mar 2009
BOS112
MIA108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#12
L
73-94
73
94
-21
H29/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
104-109
104
109
-5
H31/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#15
L
114-119 OT
114
119
-5
H02/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#1
W
117-113
117
113
+4
H04/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
L
101-104
101
104
-3
A06/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
115-104
115
104
+11
A07/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#27
L
96-106
96
106
-10
H09/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
105-90
105
90
+15
A11/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
93-101
93
101
-8
A14/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
L
95-106
95
106
-11
H15/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
20-25
17-33
13-17
23-30
38-27
22-26
21-26
30-32
23-25
30-30
26-22
33-24
31-25
34-32
19-32
21-27
31-26
26-33
23-18
30-25
22-29
30-22
33-28
17-30
14-22
23-23
42-31
15-18
26-22
27-25
37-25
20-17
21-27
27-23
25-34
20-23
30-32
28-33
17-18
205.9Avg total
101.3Scored
104.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (82)99.295.6194.8+3.761%
Season at home (41)100.396.9197.3+3.459%
Season away (41)98.194.2192.3+3.963%
Last 10 (10)101.3104.6205.9-3.330%
Last 5 (5)100.8101.4202.2-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)99.099.2198.2-0.244%
vs Weaker (14)102.498.9201.2+3.564%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
87-74
87
74
+13
A27/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
97-94
97
94
+3
H28/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#25
W
98-81
98
81
+17
A31/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
105-96 OT
105
96
+9
A02/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#29
W
97-84
97
84
+13
A04/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#24
W
99-95
99
95
+4
H07/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#25
L
99-106
99
106
-7
H09/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
W
111-98
111
98
+13
A11/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#24
W
107-105
107
105
+2
A12/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
94-86 OT
94
86
+8
H15/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-20
20-15
21-20
18-19
26-23
17-26
24-28
30-17
23-25
31-20
21-17
23-19
23-22
16-27
31-18
19-22
25-27
28-17
20-14
24-26
27-25
26-22
24-30
22-18
23-27
25-26
28-28
23-25
24-29
31-18
32-27
24-24
27-27
26-27
29-32
25-19
20-20
22-18
22-13
14-27
191.3Avg total
99.4Scored
91.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (82)96.594.2190.7+2.357%
Season at home (41)96.893.3190.1+3.459%
Season away (41)96.395.1191.4+1.156%
Last 10 (10)99.491.9191.3+7.590%
Last 5 (5)102.098.0200.0+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)91.0102.0193.0-11.00%
vs Similar ◀ (13)92.087.5179.5+4.569%
vs Weaker (15)100.792.5193.2+8.387%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +0.6+0.6
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +0.6+0.6
Boston CelticsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#12
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H29/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
61-57
61
57
+4
H31/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#15
L
53-57
53
57
-4
H02/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#1
W
64-49
64
49
+15
H04/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A06/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
52-54
52
54
-2
A07/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#27
L
31-52
31
52
-21
H09/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A11/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A14/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
L
50-55
50
55
-5
H15/04
NBA
99.3Avg total
48.8Scored
50.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.448.299.6+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (17)53.349.1102.4+4.259%-
Last 30 away (13)48.947.095.9+1.962%-
Last 10 (10)48.850.599.3-1.730%-
Last 5 (5)43.049.092.0-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)52.048.2100.2+3.869%-
vs Weaker (14)50.748.198.9+2.650%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A27/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H28/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#25
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A31/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A02/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#29
W
53-44
53
44
+9
A04/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#24
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H07/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#25
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H09/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
W
55-47
55
47
+8
A11/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#24
L
53-54
53
54
-1
A12/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H15/04
NBA
94.9Avg total
48.8Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.246.295.5+3.060%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.449.397.7-0.947%-
Last 30 away (15)50.143.293.3+6.973%-
Last 10 (10)48.846.194.9+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)50.247.898.0+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)51.053.0104.0-2.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)47.544.291.8+3.362%-
vs Weaker (15)50.547.197.5+3.467%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Boston Celtics wins
1
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/04/10HMilwaukee Bucks95-106
14/04/10AChicago Bulls93-101
11/04/10AMilwaukee Bucks105-90
09/04/10HWashington Wizards96-106
07/04/10AToronto Raptors115-104
06/04/10ANew York Knicks101-104
04/04/10HCleveland Cavaliers117-113
02/04/10HHouston Rockets114-119 OT
31/03/10HOklahoma City Thunder104-109
29/03/10HSan Antonio Spurs73-94
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/04/10HBrooklyn Nets94-86 OT
12/04/10APhiladelphia 76ers107-105
11/04/10ANew York Knicks111-98
09/04/10HDetroit Pistons99-106
07/04/10HPhiladelphia 76ers99-95
04/04/10AMinnesota Timberwolves97-84
02/04/10AIndiana Pacers105-96 OT
31/03/10ADetroit Pistons98-81
28/03/10HToronto Raptors97-94
27/03/10AMilwaukee Bucks87-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston Celtics
NBA 2009-10
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL61%
HomeLLWLL59%
AwayLLWWL63%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games824141
Win %61%59%63%
Points / game99.2100.398.1
Allowed / game95.696.994.2
Point differential+3.7+3.4+3.9
Avg total194.8197.3192.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%29%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (23)55% (11)58% (12)
Overtime %5%5%5%
Miami Heat
NBA 2009-10
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW57%
HomeWWWLW59%
AwayWWWWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games824141
Win %57%59%56%
Points / game96.596.896.3
Allowed / game94.293.395.1
Point differential+2.3+3.4+1.1
Avg total190.7190.1191.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%32%34%
Close games (≤5 pts) won61% (18)75% (8)50% (10)
Overtime %7%10%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers83622175%102.095.4+6.6
2 Orlando Magic82592372%102.895.3+7.5
3 Los Angeles Lakers82572570%101.797.0+4.7
4 Dallas Mavericks82552767%102.099.3+2.7
5 Phoenix Suns82542866%110.2105.3+4.9
6 Atlanta Hawks83542965%101.797.0+4.7
7 Utah Jazz82532965%104.298.9+5.3
8 Denver Nuggets82532965%106.5102.4+4.1
9 San Antonio Spurs82503261%101.496.3+5.1
10 Boston Celtics82503261%99.295.6+3.7
11 Oklahoma City Thunder82503261%101.598.0+3.5
12 Portland Trail Blazers82503261%98.194.8+3.3
13 Miami Heat82473557%96.594.2+2.3
14 Milwaukee Bucks83463755%97.696.0+1.6
15 Charlotte Hornets82443854%95.393.8+1.5
16 Houston Rockets82424051%102.4102.7-0.4
17 Chicago Bulls83414249%97.399.1-1.8
18 Memphis Grizzlies82404249%102.5104.0-1.5
19 Toronto Raptors82404249%104.1105.9-1.8
20 New Orleans Pelicans82374545%100.2102.7-2.5
21 Indiana Pacers82325039%100.8103.8-3.0
22 New York Knicks82295335%102.1105.9-3.8
23 Los Angeles Clippers82295335%95.7102.1-6.4
24 Philadelphia 76ers82275533%97.7101.6-3.9
25 Detroit Pistons82275533%94.099.1-5.1
26 Golden State Warriors82265632%108.8112.4-3.6
27 Washington Wizards82265632%96.2101.0-4.8
28 Sacramento Kings82255730%100.0104.4-4.4
29 Minnesota Timberwolves82156718%98.2107.8-9.6
30 Brooklyn Nets82127015%92.4101.5-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Boston Celtics2813232185
Miami Heat2915221076
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