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Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 07 Oct 2015
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 86-96
16-30 30-23 19-18 21-25
Position#16
Record-
FormLLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#22
Record-
FormWLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANBA· American Airlines Center
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Denver Nuggets
31 Mar 2027
DAL v DEN
upcoming
14 Jan 2026
DAL109
DEN118
23 Dec 2025
DAL131
DEN130
14 Jan 2025
DAL99
DEN118
12 Jan 2025
DAL101
DEN112
17 Mar 2024
DAL107
DEN105
20 Nov 2022
DAL97
DEN98
18 Nov 2022
DAL127
DEN99
03 Jan 2022
DAL103
DEN89
15 Nov 2021
DAL111
DEN101
25 Jan 2021
DAL113
DEN117
11 Mar 2020
DAL113
DEN97
08 Jan 2020
DAL106
DEN107
22 Feb 2019
DAL104
DEN114
06 Mar 2018
DAL118
DEN107
04 Dec 2017
DAL122
DEN105
11 Apr 2017
DAL91
DEN109
12 Dec 2016
DAL112
DEN92
26 Feb 2016
DAL122
DEN116
28 Nov 2015
DAL92
DEN81
06 Oct 2015
DAL86
DEN96
16 Jan 2015
DAL97
DEN89
21 Mar 2014
DAL122
DEN106
25 Nov 2013
DAL96
DEN110
12 Apr 2013
DAL108
DEN105
28 Dec 2012
DAL85
DEN106
15 Feb 2012
DAL102
DEN84
26 Dec 2011
DAL93
DEN115
06 Apr 2011
DAL96
DEN104
06 Nov 2010
DAL92
DEN103
29 Mar 2010
DAL109
DEN93
11 May 2009
DAL119
DEN117
09 May 2009
DAL105
DEN106
27 Mar 2009
DAL101
DEN103
15 Dec 2008
DAL88
DEN98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
107-104
107
104
+3
H09/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#24
W
144-143 OT
144
143
+1
A11/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#27
W
120-106
120
106
+14
A13/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#19
L
92-109
92
109
-17
A14/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#8
W
114-98
114
98
+16
H16/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
108-118
108
118
-10
A19/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
99-111
99
111
-12
A22/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
128-130
128
130
-2
H24/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
121-109
121
109
+12
H27/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
94-103
94
103
-9
A29/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-30
32-33
26-22
22-19
35-27
38-25
20-37
28-32
33-27
29-30
27-25
31-24
26-29
31-28
12-30
23-22
29-19
27-32
35-21
23-26
19-32
36-27
22-25
31-34
24-23
27-30
29-28
19-30
36-42
36-23
27-36
29-29
25-34
36-19
33-22
27-34
22-31
28-25
25-26
19-21
225.8Avg total
112.7Scored
113.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)112.7113.1225.8-0.450%
Last 5 (5)110.0114.2224.2-4.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)99.5113.5213.0-14.00%
vs Similar ◀ (22)103.3106.7210.0-3.441%
vs Weaker (6)109.5104.8214.3+4.783%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#19
W
107-91
107
91
+16
H28/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#8
L
114-120
114
120
-6
A29/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#19
L
84-98
84
98
-14
A02/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#7
L
93-123
93
123
-30
A04/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#5
L
92-107
92
107
-15
H05/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#27
W
119-101
119
101
+18
H09/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#10
L
143-144 OT
143
144
-1
H11/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
122-111
122
111
+11
H12/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#5
L
103-110
103
110
-7
A14/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
126-133
126
133
-7
A16/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
30-19
23-24
32-28
25-31
28-27
25-28
36-34
29-22
13-32
17-27
25-17
25-45
22-22
23-33
23-23
15-29
24-26
31-27
22-25
35-33
23-21
35-17
26-30
27-35
25-38
37-20
32-28
37-28
23-31
34-25
28-27
31-31
26-23
21-29
25-27
23-35
44-36
33-29
26-33
224.1Avg total
110.3Scored
113.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)110.3113.8224.1-3.530%
Last 5 (5)122.6119.8242.4+2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)107.2115.8223.0-8.515%
vs Similar ◀ (14)100.4101.6202.0-1.350%
vs Weaker (3)97.087.3184.3+9.767%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +0.3+0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +0.3+0.3
Dallas MavericksDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
59-63
59
63
-4
H09/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#24
W
73-52
73
52
+21
A11/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#27
W
62-57
62
57
+5
A13/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#19
D
57-57
57
57
+0
A14/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#8
W
56-51
56
51
+5
H16/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
55-59
55
59
-4
A19/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A22/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
72-65
72
65
+7
H24/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
61-53
61
53
+8
H27/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A29/04
NBA
116.2Avg total
59.6Scored
56.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.153.3106.3-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (16)53.853.2107.1+0.650%-
Last 30 away (14)52.253.3105.5-1.136%-
Last 10 (10)59.656.6116.2+3.050%-
Last 5 (5)57.857.2115.0+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)44.055.599.5-11.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)52.954.7107.6-1.836%-
vs Weaker (6)56.747.2103.8+9.583%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#19
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H28/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#8
L
53-58
53
58
-5
A29/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#19
L
42-54
42
54
-12
A02/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#7
L
47-67
47
67
-20
A04/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#5
L
39-55
39
55
-16
H05/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#27
W
58-54
58
54
+4
H09/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#10
L
52-73
52
73
-21
H11/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
60-59
60
59
+1
H12/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#5
W
57-54
57
54
+3
A14/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
67-71
67
71
-4
A16/04
NBA
111.1Avg total
52.7Scored
58.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.753.6104.3-2.940%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.351.3101.6-1.147%-
Last 30 away (15)51.255.9107.1-4.733%-
Last 10 (10)52.758.4111.1-5.740%-
Last 5 (5)58.862.2121.0-3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)51.859.5111.2-7.723%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)49.150.299.4-1.150%-
vs Weaker (3)53.744.097.7+9.767%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Dallas Mavericks wins
6
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/15AHouston Rockets94-103
27/04/15HHouston Rockets121-109
24/04/15HHouston Rockets128-130
22/04/15AHouston Rockets99-111
19/04/15AHouston Rockets108-118
16/04/15HPortland Trail Blazers114-98
14/04/15AUtah Jazz92-109
13/04/15ALos Angeles Lakers120-106
11/04/15ADenver Nuggets144-143 OT
09/04/15HPhoenix Suns107-104
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/04/15AGolden State Warriors126-133
14/04/15ALos Angeles Clippers103-110
12/04/15HSacramento Kings122-111
11/04/15HDallas Mavericks143-144 OT
09/04/15HLos Angeles Lakers119-101
05/04/15HLos Angeles Clippers92-107
04/04/15ASan Antonio Spurs93-123
02/04/15AUtah Jazz84-98
29/03/15APortland Trail Blazers114-120
28/03/15HUtah Jazz107-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dallas Mavericks1630192186
Denver Nuggets3023182596
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