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Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 12 May 2009
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 119-117
23-34 30-29 32-27 34-27
Position#9
Record54-36
FormWWLLL
Points / game101.4
Allowed / game99.6
vs
Position#5
Record61-29
FormWWWWW
Points / game104.8
Allowed / game100.0
USANBANBA - Quarter-finals
NBA2008-09
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Denver Nuggets
31 Mar 2027
DAL v DEN
upcoming
14 Jan 2026
DAL109
DEN118
23 Dec 2025
DAL131
DEN130
14 Jan 2025
DAL99
DEN118
12 Jan 2025
DAL101
DEN112
17 Mar 2024
DAL107
DEN105
20 Nov 2022
DAL97
DEN98
18 Nov 2022
DAL127
DEN99
03 Jan 2022
DAL103
DEN89
15 Nov 2021
DAL111
DEN101
25 Jan 2021
DAL113
DEN117
11 Mar 2020
DAL113
DEN97
08 Jan 2020
DAL106
DEN107
22 Feb 2019
DAL104
DEN114
06 Mar 2018
DAL118
DEN107
04 Dec 2017
DAL122
DEN105
11 Apr 2017
DAL91
DEN109
12 Dec 2016
DAL112
DEN92
26 Feb 2016
DAL122
DEN116
28 Nov 2015
DAL92
DEN81
16 Jan 2015
DAL97
DEN89
21 Mar 2014
DAL122
DEN106
25 Nov 2013
DAL96
DEN110
12 Apr 2013
DAL108
DEN105
28 Dec 2012
DAL85
DEN106
15 Feb 2012
DAL102
DEN84
26 Dec 2011
DAL93
DEN115
06 Apr 2011
DAL96
DEN104
06 Nov 2010
DAL92
DEN103
29 Mar 2010
DAL109
DEN93
11 May 2009
DAL119
DEN117
09 May 2009
DAL105
DEN106
27 Mar 2009
DAL101
DEN103
15 Dec 2008
DAL88
DEN98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
96-94
96
94
+2
H14/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
95-84
95
84
+11
H16/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#7
W
105-97
105
97
+8
A19/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#7
L
84-105
84
105
-21
A21/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#7
W
88-67
88
67
+21
H24/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#7
W
99-90
99
90
+9
H25/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#7
W
106-93
106
93
+13
A29/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#5
L
95-109
95
109
-14
A03/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#5
L
105-117
105
117
-12
A06/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#5
L
105-106
105
106
-1
H09/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
14-25
28-31
28-20
26-19
16-31
23-20
30-14
18-29
27-20
29-25
31-23
19-30
27-27
17-28
21-20
27-16
19-14
29-12
13-25
32-29
19-26
29-16
19-19
31-20
21-28
30-19
24-26
24-16
23-35
28-31
20-27
22-30
33-28
28-28
22-31
20-20
25-28
35-31
25-27
194.0Avg total
97.8Scored
96.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (90)101.499.6201.1+1.860%
Season at home (44)105.698.9204.5+6.777%
Season away (46)97.5100.3197.8-2.843%
Last 10 (10)97.896.2194.0+1.660%
Last 5 (5)102.0103.0205.0-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)87.0104.5191.5-17.50%
vs Similar ◀ (22)101.799.0200.7+2.764%
vs Weaker (6)110.5102.8213.3+7.767%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
118-98
118
98
+20
H14/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
76-104
76
104
-28
A16/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
113-84
113
84
+29
H20/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
108-93
108
93
+15
H23/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
93-95
93
95
-2
A25/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
121-63
121
63
+58
A28/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
107-86
107
86
+21
H30/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
W
109-95
109
95
+14
H03/05
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
W
117-105
117
105
+12
H06/05
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
W
106-105
106
105
+1
A09/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-33
37-25
24-21
32-19
22-23
12-30
26-18
16-33
27-25
28-22
32-22
26-15
27-25
25-19
29-27
27-22
26-21
21-29
25-27
21-18
36-15
25-24
27-11
33-13
24-27
25-22
31-17
27-20
16-24
35-23
31-28
27-20
30-22
28-33
28-28
31-22
20-20
28-25
31-35
27-25
199.6Avg total
106.8Scored
92.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (90)104.8100.0204.8+4.868%
Season at home (46)108.199.8207.9+8.383%
Season away (44)101.2100.2201.5+1.052%
Last 10 (10)106.892.8199.6+14.080%
Last 5 (5)112.090.8202.8+21.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)103.1102.9206.0+0.255%
vs Weaker (19)111.697.2208.8+14.484%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +6.0+6.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +6.0+6.0
Dallas MavericksDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H14/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H16/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#7
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A19/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#7
L
46-57
46
57
-11
A21/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#7
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H24/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#7
L
51-55
51
55
-4
H25/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#7
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A29/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#5
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A03/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#5
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A06/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#5
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H09/05
NBA
95.8Avg total
46.9Scored
48.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)52.251.0103.2+1.238%-
Last 30 at home (14)52.648.7101.4+3.943%-
Last 30 away (15)51.853.1104.9-1.333%-
Last 10 (10)46.948.995.8-2.020%-
Last 5 (5)50.052.0102.0-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)51.556.5108.0-5.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)51.549.9101.4+1.638%-
vs Weaker (6)55.053.0108.0+2.033%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H14/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
34-53
34
53
-19
A16/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H20/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H23/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A25/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
61-39
61
39
+22
A28/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H30/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H03/05
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
W
58-55
58
55
+3
H06/05
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A09/05
NBA
100.4Avg total
51.7Scored
48.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.649.1102.6+4.570%-
Last 30 at home (17)55.048.7103.7+6.382%-
Last 30 away (13)51.749.5101.2+2.254%-
Last 10 (10)51.748.7100.4+3.070%-
Last 5 (5)53.447.0100.4+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)50.749.199.8+1.664%-
vs Weaker (19)55.249.1104.3+6.274%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Dallas Mavericks wins
7
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/05/09HDenver Nuggets105-106
06/05/09ADenver Nuggets105-117
03/05/09ADenver Nuggets95-109
29/04/09ASan Antonio Spurs106-93
25/04/09HSan Antonio Spurs99-90
24/04/09HSan Antonio Spurs88-67
21/04/09ASan Antonio Spurs84-105
19/04/09ASan Antonio Spurs105-97
16/04/09HHouston Rockets95-84
14/04/09HMinnesota Timberwolves96-94
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/05/09ADallas Mavericks106-105
06/05/09HDallas Mavericks117-105
03/05/09HDallas Mavericks109-95
30/04/09HNew Orleans Pelicans107-86
28/04/09ANew Orleans Pelicans121-63
25/04/09ANew Orleans Pelicans93-95
23/04/09HNew Orleans Pelicans108-93
20/04/09HNew Orleans Pelicans113-84
16/04/09APortland Trail Blazers76-104
14/04/09HSacramento Kings118-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2008-09
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL60%
HomeWWWWL77%
AwayWLWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games904446
Win %60%77%43%
Points / game101.4105.697.5
Allowed / game99.698.9100.3
Point differential+1.8+6.7-2.8
Avg total201.1204.5197.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%36%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (24)82% (17)57% (7)
Overtime %4%7%2%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2008-09
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW68%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayLLLWW52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games904644
Win %68%83%52%
Points / game104.8108.1101.2
Allowed / game100.099.8100.2
Point differential+4.8+8.3+1.0
Avg total204.8207.9201.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%59%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (20)62% (8)50% (12)
Overtime %2%2%2%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers90741682%99.890.2+9.6
2 Los Angeles Lakers91712078%106.699.1+7.5
3 Boston Celtics93682573%101.794.8+6.9
4 Orlando Magic92652771%100.794.1+6.5
5 Denver Nuggets90612968%104.8100.0+4.8
6 Houston Rockets92593364%98.094.2+3.8
7 Portland Trail Blazers88563264%98.694.0+4.6
8 San Antonio Spurs87553263%96.793.5+3.2
9 Dallas Mavericks90543660%101.499.6+1.8
10 New Orleans Pelicans87503757%95.195.1+0.1
11 Utah Jazz87493856%103.2101.2+2.0
12 Phoenix Suns82463656%109.4107.5+1.9
13 Atlanta Hawks93514255%96.595.9+0.5
14 Miami Heat89464352%97.597.2+0.3
15 Chicago Bulls89444549%102.7103.2-0.6
16 Philadelphia 76ers88434549%96.897.2-0.5
17 Detroit Pistons86394745%93.594.7-1.2
18 Indiana Pacers82364644%105.1106.2-1.1
19 Charlotte Hornets82354743%93.694.9-1.3
20 Milwaukee Bucks82344841%99.3100.4-1.1
21 Brooklyn Nets82344841%98.1100.5-2.4
22 Toronto Raptors82334940%99.0101.9-2.8
23 New York Knicks82325039%105.2107.8-2.6
24 Golden State Warriors82295335%108.6112.3-3.7
25 Minnesota Timberwolves82245829%97.8102.7-4.9
26 Memphis Grizzlies82245829%93.999.3-5.5
27 Oklahoma City Thunder82235928%97.0103.1-6.1
28 Washington Wizards82196323%96.1103.5-7.5
29 Los Angeles Clippers82196323%95.1103.9-8.8
30 Sacramento Kings82176521%100.6109.3-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dallas Mavericks23303234119
Denver Nuggets34292727117
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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