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Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 05 Apr 2013
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 95-94
19-23 28-24 23-30 25-17
Position#5
Record54-28
FormWLLWW
Points / game104.7
Allowed / game100.7
vs
Position#15
Record39-41
FormWWLWL
Points / game100.7
Allowed / game101.5
USANBA
NBA2012-13
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Dallas Mavericks
04 Feb 2027
DEN v DAL
upcoming
24 Nov 2026
DEN v DAL
upcoming
25 Mar 2026
DEN142
DAL135
01 Dec 2025
DEN121
DAL131
22 Nov 2024
DEN120
DAL123
10 Nov 2024
DEN122
DAL120
18 Dec 2023
DEN130
DAL104
03 Nov 2023
DEN125
DAL114
15 Feb 2023
DEN118
DAL109
06 Dec 2022
DEN115
DAL116
29 Oct 2021
DEN106
DAL75
13 Mar 2021
DEN103
DAL116
07 Jan 2021
DEN117
DAL124
13 Apr 2020
DEN v DAL
upcoming
29 Oct 2019
DEN106
DAL109
14 Mar 2019
DEN100
DAL99
18 Dec 2018
DEN126
DAL118
27 Jan 2018
DEN91
DAL89
16 Jan 2018
DEN105
DAL102
06 Feb 2017
DEN110
DAL87
19 Dec 2016
DEN117
DAL107
21 Oct 2016
DEN101
DAL75
28 Mar 2016
DEN88
DAL97
06 Mar 2016
DEN116
DAL114
10 Apr 2015
DEN143
DAL144
14 Jan 2015
DEN114
DAL107
05 Mar 2014
DEN115
DAL110
23 Nov 2013
DEN102
DAL100
04 Apr 2013
DEN95
DAL94
19 Mar 2012
DEN95
DAL112
08 Feb 2012
DEN95
DAL105
10 Feb 2011
DEN121
DAL120
03 Nov 2010
DEN101
DAL102
09 Feb 2010
DEN127
DAL91
27 Dec 2009
DEN96
DAL104
13 May 2009
DEN124
DAL110
05 May 2009
DEN117
DAL105
03 May 2009
DEN109
DAL95
13 Jan 2009
DEN99
DAL97
07 Nov 2008
DEN108
DAL105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#7
W
117-94
117
94
+23
H14/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#6
W
87-80
87
80
+7
H16/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#12
W
119-118 OT
119
118
+1
A19/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
W
114-104
114
104
+10
A20/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#18
W
101-100
101
100
+1
H22/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
101-95
101
95
+6
H24/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#26
L
86-110
86
110
-24
A26/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
99-100
99
100
-1
A28/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#9
W
109-87
109
87
+22
H30/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#13
W
113-96
113
96
+17
A04/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-26
33-16
33-27
20-25
23-18
25-29
10-19
29-14
21-20
32-25
26-28
26-32
26-34
39-32
24-16
25-22
17-22
34-22
24-27
26-29
27-17
23-23
20-31
31-24
18-27
20-32
30-27
18-24
20-22
34-29
21-32
24-17
26-23
29-15
25-28
29-21
28-23
28-28
25-17
32-28
203.0Avg total
104.6Scored
98.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (82)104.7100.7205.4+3.966%
Season at home (38)107.597.6205.1+9.989%
Season away (44)102.2103.4205.6-1.245%
Last 10 (10)104.698.4203.0+6.280%
Last 5 (5)101.697.6199.2+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)109.5103.5213.0+6.0100%
vs Similar (10)106.496.7203.1+9.780%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)110.3103.9214.2+6.478%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#28
W
96-86
96
86
+10
H16/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
L
101-107
101
107
-6
H17/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
W
127-113
127
113
+14
A18/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#9
L
96-113
96
113
-17
H21/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
W
104-94
104
94
+10
H23/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#13
W
113-108
113
108
+5
H24/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
W
109-102 OT
109
102
+7
H27/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
L
78-103
78
103
-25
H29/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#12
W
100-98
100
98
+2
H30/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#17
L
81-101
81
101
-20
A03/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
22-22
29-22
29-18
26-24
23-26
23-23
29-34
34-25
34-30
30-30
29-28
32-22
19-29
26-34
19-28
30-21
25-23
24-24
25-26
24-27
29-25
30-19
30-37
22-27
28-21
24-25
23-24
18-23
23-18
17-34
20-28
24-23
29-33
22-19
25-23
21-24
19-31
21-17
20-29
203.0Avg total
100.5Scored
102.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (80)100.7101.5202.2-0.849%
Season at home (41)103.299.7203.0+3.561%
Season away (39)98.1103.4201.4-5.336%
Last 10 (10)100.5102.5203.0-2.060%
Last 5 (5)96.2102.4198.6-6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)98.0103.2201.2-5.225%
vs Similar (23)102.3101.6203.9+0.757%
vs Weaker (3)105.393.7199.0+11.7100%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -2.6-2.6
Denver NuggetsDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#7
W
64-42
64
42
+22
H14/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#6
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H16/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#12
W
53-45
53
45
+8
A19/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
L
65-66
65
66
-1
A20/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#18
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H22/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H24/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#26
L
38-59
38
59
-21
A26/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
54-51
54
51
+3
A28/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#9
W
55-38
55
38
+17
H30/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#13
W
56-51
56
51
+5
A04/04
NBA
101.7Avg total
53.4Scored
48.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.651.7106.2+2.963%-
Last 30 at home (16)54.649.5104.1+5.175%-
Last 30 away (14)54.654.1108.7+0.450%-
Last 10 (10)53.448.3101.7+5.180%-
Last 5 (5)50.647.898.4+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)60.556.5117.0+4.050%-
vs Similar (10)55.250.0105.2+5.270%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)53.652.1105.6+1.561%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#28
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H16/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H17/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
W
68-55
68
55
+13
A18/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#9
D
51-51
51
51
+0
H21/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H23/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#13
W
53-52
53
52
+1
H24/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H27/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H29/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#12
L
53-56
53
56
-3
H30/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#17
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A03/04
NBA
99.6Avg total
49.8Scored
49.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.850.6103.4+2.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)52.449.1101.4+3.350%-
Last 30 away (14)53.252.4105.6+0.943%-
Last 10 (10)49.849.899.6+0.040%-
Last 5 (5)47.450.497.8-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)46.054.0100.0-8.025%-
vs Similar (23)54.350.0104.2+4.352%-
vs Weaker (3)50.351.0101.3-0.733%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/13AUtah Jazz113-96
30/03/13HBrooklyn Nets109-87
28/03/13ASan Antonio Spurs99-100
26/03/13ANew Orleans Pelicans86-110
24/03/13HSacramento Kings101-95
22/03/13HPhiladelphia 76ers101-100
20/03/13AOklahoma City Thunder114-104
19/03/13AChicago Bulls119-118 OT
16/03/13HMemphis Grizzlies87-80
14/03/13HNew York Knicks117-94
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/04/13ALos Angeles Lakers81-101
30/03/13HChicago Bulls100-98
29/03/13HIndiana Pacers78-103
27/03/13HLos Angeles Clippers109-102 OT
24/03/13HUtah Jazz113-108
23/03/13HBoston Celtics104-94
21/03/13HBrooklyn Nets96-113
18/03/13AAtlanta Hawks127-113
17/03/13HOklahoma City Thunder101-107
16/03/13HCleveland Cavaliers96-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2012-13
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW66%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayWWLLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games823844
Win %66%89%45%
Points / game104.7107.5102.2
Allowed / game100.797.6103.4
Point differential+3.9+9.9-1.2
Avg total205.4205.1205.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%47%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (24)73% (11)38% (13)
Overtime %6%5%7%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2012-13
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL49%
HomeWWWLW61%
AwayWWLWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games804139
Win %49%61%36%
Points / game100.7103.298.1
Allowed / game101.599.7103.4
Point differential-0.8+3.5-5.3
Avg total202.2203.0201.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%37%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (22)50% (12)40% (10)
Overtime %12%10%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami Heat82622076%102.295.1+7.1
2 San Antonio Spurs81592273%103.696.4+7.1
3 Oklahoma City Thunder81582372%105.596.8+8.7
4 Denver Nuggets82542866%104.7100.7+3.9
5 Memphis Grizzlies82542866%94.390.7+3.6
6 Los Angeles Clippers84552965%100.494.6+5.9
7 New York Knicks80512964%99.295.8+3.4
8 Indiana Pacers82523063%94.790.1+4.7
9 Golden State Warriors82483459%100.499.2+1.2
10 Houston Rockets82473557%105.8102.2+3.7
11 Brooklyn Nets81463557%96.395.4+0.9
12 Chicago Bulls81463557%92.792.0+0.7
13 Atlanta Hawks83453854%97.796.9+0.8
14 Utah Jazz84444052%98.798.1+0.5
15 Boston Celtics81414051%96.196.3-0.2
16 Dallas Mavericks80394149%100.7101.5-0.8
17 Milwaukee Bucks82394348%98.8100.0-1.2
18 Los Angeles Lakers83394447%100.7101.2-0.5
19 Philadelphia 76ers81364544%93.795.9-2.1
20 Portland Trail Blazers82364644%97.9100.0-2.1
21 Toronto Raptors81334841%97.498.8-1.4
22 Minnesota Timberwolves80324840%95.196.6-1.5
23 Sacramento Kings82325039%99.9104.0-4.1
24 Washington Wizards83315237%93.295.6-2.4
25 New Orleans Pelicans83305336%93.296.8-3.6
26 Detroit Pistons84295535%93.798.3-4.6
27 Phoenix Suns82275533%94.8100.8-6.0
28 Cleveland Cavaliers80245630%96.5101.5-5.0
29 Orlando Magic84216325%94.6101.4-6.7
30 Charlotte Hornets83196423%93.0102.6-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets1928232595
Dallas Mavericks2324301794
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