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Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Apr 2015
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 143-144 (OT)
27-35 25-38 37-20 32-28 22-23
Position#24
Record29-49
FormLLLLW
Points / game100.3
Allowed / game104.0
vs
Position#10
Record47-31
FormLWLLW
Points / game104.6
Allowed / game101.7
USANBA
NBA2014-15
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Dallas Mavericks
04 Feb 2027
DEN v DAL
upcoming
24 Nov 2026
DEN v DAL
upcoming
25 Mar 2026
DEN142
DAL135
01 Dec 2025
DEN121
DAL131
22 Nov 2024
DEN120
DAL123
10 Nov 2024
DEN122
DAL120
18 Dec 2023
DEN130
DAL104
03 Nov 2023
DEN125
DAL114
15 Feb 2023
DEN118
DAL109
06 Dec 2022
DEN115
DAL116
29 Oct 2021
DEN106
DAL75
13 Mar 2021
DEN103
DAL116
07 Jan 2021
DEN117
DAL124
13 Apr 2020
DEN v DAL
upcoming
29 Oct 2019
DEN106
DAL109
14 Mar 2019
DEN100
DAL99
18 Dec 2018
DEN126
DAL118
27 Jan 2018
DEN91
DAL89
16 Jan 2018
DEN105
DAL102
06 Feb 2017
DEN110
DAL87
19 Dec 2016
DEN117
DAL107
28 Mar 2016
DEN88
DAL97
06 Mar 2016
DEN116
DAL114
10 Apr 2015
DEN143
DAL144
14 Jan 2015
DEN114
DAL107
05 Mar 2014
DEN115
DAL110
23 Nov 2013
DEN102
DAL100
04 Apr 2013
DEN95
DAL94
19 Mar 2012
DEN95
DAL112
08 Feb 2012
DEN95
DAL105
10 Feb 2011
DEN121
DAL120
03 Nov 2010
DEN101
DAL102
09 Feb 2010
DEN127
DAL91
27 Dec 2009
DEN96
DAL104
13 May 2009
DEN124
DAL110
05 May 2009
DEN117
DAL105
03 May 2009
DEN109
DAL95
13 Jan 2009
DEN99
DAL97
07 Nov 2008
DEN108
DAL105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#4
L
108-118
108
118
-10
A20/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#21
L
91-108
91
108
-17
A20/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
119-100
119
100
+19
A22/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#28
L
85-99
85
99
-14
H26/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#19
W
107-91
107
91
+16
H28/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#8
L
114-120
114
120
-6
A29/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#19
L
84-98
84
98
-14
A02/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#7
L
93-123
93
123
-30
A04/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#5
L
92-107
92
107
-15
H05/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#27
W
119-101
119
101
+18
H09/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-33
22-32
24-25
35-28
23-22
23-37
32-28
13-21
28-25
41-26
33-21
17-28
21-22
25-27
30-23
9-27
22-20
30-19
23-24
32-28
25-31
28-27
25-28
36-34
29-22
13-32
17-27
25-17
25-45
22-22
23-33
23-23
15-29
24-26
31-27
22-25
35-33
23-21
35-17
26-30
207.7Avg total
101.2Scored
106.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (78)100.3104.0204.3-3.737%
Season at home (39)102.7102.6205.4+0.146%
Season away (39)97.9105.4203.3-7.428%
Last 10 (10)101.2106.5207.7-5.330%
Last 5 (5)100.4109.8210.2-9.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)103.3112.9216.2-9.618%
vs Similar (15)98.1100.9199.0-2.940%
vs Weaker (4)97.291.8189.0+5.550%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#26
W
107-102
107
102
+5
H19/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#6
L
101-112
101
112
-11
H21/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
92-98
92
98
-6
A23/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#7
W
101-94
101
94
+7
H25/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#7
L
76-94
76
94
-18
A28/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#18
L
99-104
99
104
-5
A29/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#13
W
135-131
135
131
+4
A02/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
101-108
101
108
-7
H03/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
110-123
110
123
-13
H05/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
107-104
107
104
+3
H09/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-23
34-25
21-22
21-32
18-25
19-19
31-39
33-29
27-33
15-24
33-19
17-22
17-29
26-17
33-20
25-28
18-28
23-26
20-15
15-25
27-33
34-22
18-23
20-26
28-25
38-38
35-38
34-30
25-28
30-19
28-30
18-31
24-26
24-33
28-31
34-33
27-30
32-33
26-22
22-19
209.9Avg total
102.9Scored
107.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (78)104.6101.7206.3+2.960%
Season at home (40)106.4102.5208.9+3.965%
Season away (38)102.7100.9203.6+1.855%
Last 10 (10)102.9107.0209.9-4.140%
Last 5 (5)110.4114.0224.4-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)104.3118.3222.7-14.00%
vs Similar (20)100.7103.5204.2-2.950%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)100.392.1192.4+8.186%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -3.6-3.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -3.6-3.6
Denver NuggetsDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#4
L
49-65
49
65
-16
A20/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#21
L
46-59
46
59
-13
A20/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
69-51
69
51
+18
A22/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#28
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H26/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#19
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H28/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#8
L
53-58
53
58
-5
A29/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#19
L
42-54
42
54
-12
A02/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#7
L
47-67
47
67
-20
A04/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#5
L
39-55
39
55
-16
H05/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#27
W
58-54
58
54
+4
H09/04
NBA
105.2Avg total
50.1Scored
55.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.353.4102.7-4.133%-
Last 30 at home (14)50.150.8100.9-0.743%-
Last 30 away (16)48.655.7104.2-7.125%-
Last 10 (10)50.155.1105.2-5.030%-
Last 5 (5)47.857.6105.4-9.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)50.558.9109.5-8.418%-
vs Similar (15)48.150.798.8-2.740%-
vs Weaker (4)50.248.298.5+2.050%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#26
W
65-48
65
48
+17
H19/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#6
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H21/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
42-57
42
57
-15
A23/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#7
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H25/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#7
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A28/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#18
W
61-55
61
55
+6
A29/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#13
W
66-63
66
63
+3
A02/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H03/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
48-59
48
59
-11
H05/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
59-63
59
63
-4
H09/04
NBA
105.3Avg total
51.7Scored
53.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.051.2102.2-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (18)51.251.7102.9-0.544%-
Last 30 away (12)50.650.5101.1+0.150%-
Last 10 (10)51.753.6105.3-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)57.857.4115.2+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)50.056.3106.3-6.333%-
vs Similar (20)49.753.1102.8-3.435%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)55.043.698.6+11.486%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Denver Nuggets wins
4
Dallas Mavericks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/15HLos Angeles Lakers119-101
05/04/15HLos Angeles Clippers92-107
04/04/15ASan Antonio Spurs93-123
02/04/15AUtah Jazz84-98
29/03/15APortland Trail Blazers114-120
28/03/15HUtah Jazz107-91
26/03/15HPhiladelphia 76ers85-99
22/03/15AOrlando Magic119-100
20/03/15AMiami Heat91-108
20/03/15AHouston Rockets108-118
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/15HPhoenix Suns107-104
05/04/15HGolden State Warriors110-123
03/04/15HHouston Rockets101-108
02/04/15AOklahoma City Thunder135-131
29/03/15AIndiana Pacers99-104
28/03/15ASan Antonio Spurs76-94
25/03/15HSan Antonio Spurs101-94
23/03/15APhoenix Suns92-98
21/03/15HMemphis Grizzlies101-112
19/03/15HOrlando Magic107-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2014-15
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW37%
HomeWLWLW46%
AwayLWLLL28%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games783939
Win %37%46%28%
Points / game100.3102.797.9
Allowed / game104.0102.6105.4
Point differential-3.7+0.1-7.4
Avg total204.3205.4203.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%28%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (15)50% (10)20% (5)
Overtime %6%5%8%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2014-15
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW60%
HomeLWLLW65%
AwayWLLLW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games784038
Win %60%65%55%
Points / game104.6106.4102.7
Allowed / game101.7102.5100.9
Point differential+2.9+3.9+1.8
Avg total206.3208.9203.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%25%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won68% (22)80% (10)58% (12)
Overtime %6%5%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors79641581%109.699.4+10.2
2 Atlanta Hawks79601976%102.796.9+5.9
3 Memphis Grizzlies78532568%98.595.1+3.4
4 San Antonio Spurs80542668%103.196.9+6.2
5 Los Angeles Clippers79532667%106.8100.3+6.5
6 Houston Rockets79532667%103.6100.6+3.0
7 Cleveland Cavaliers79512865%103.398.3+4.9
8 Portland Trail Blazers79512865%103.098.2+4.8
9 Dallas Mavericks78473160%104.6101.7+2.9
10 Toronto Raptors79473259%104.2101.1+3.1
11 Chicago Bulls79473259%100.698.0+2.6
12 Washington Wizards79453457%98.397.6+0.7
13 Oklahoma City Thunder79433654%103.6101.6+2.0
14 New Orleans Pelicans79433654%99.198.4+0.7
15 Milwaukee Bucks79394049%97.797.6+0.1
16 Phoenix Suns80394149%102.6103.2-0.6
17 Boston Celtics79374247%101.2101.6-0.4
18 Brooklyn Nets79374247%98.5101.0-2.5
19 Utah Jazz78364246%94.994.6+0.3
20 Indiana Pacers79364346%97.397.0+0.2
21 Miami Heat79354444%94.497.2-2.8
22 Charlotte Hornets79334642%94.597.1-2.6
23 Detroit Pistons79304938%98.199.8-1.7
24 Denver Nuggets78294937%100.3104.0-3.7
25 Sacramento Kings79275234%100.9105.1-4.1
26 Orlando Magic79255432%96.0101.7-5.7
27 Los Angeles Lakers78205826%98.3105.0-6.7
28 Philadelphia 76ers79186123%91.6100.7-9.1
29 Minnesota Timberwolves78166221%97.6106.2-8.6
30 New York Knicks79156419%91.8101.3-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Denver Nuggets2725373222143
Dallas Mavericks3538202823144
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