PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Dec 2012
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 85-106
18-29 29-26 23-32 15-19
Position#15
Record15-20
FormWLLLL
Points / game98.6
Allowed / game101.1
vs
Position#5
Record19-18
FormWLWLW
Points / game101.0
Allowed / game100.7
USANBA
NBA2012-13
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Denver Nuggets
31 Mar 2027
DAL v DEN
upcoming
14 Jan 2026
DAL109
DEN118
23 Dec 2025
DAL131
DEN130
14 Jan 2025
DAL99
DEN118
12 Jan 2025
DAL101
DEN112
17 Mar 2024
DAL107
DEN105
20 Nov 2022
DAL97
DEN98
18 Nov 2022
DAL127
DEN99
03 Jan 2022
DAL103
DEN89
15 Nov 2021
DAL111
DEN101
14 Aug 2021
DAL85
DEN89
25 Jan 2021
DAL113
DEN117
11 Mar 2020
DAL113
DEN97
08 Jan 2020
DAL106
DEN107
22 Feb 2019
DAL104
DEN114
06 Mar 2018
DAL118
DEN107
04 Dec 2017
DAL122
DEN105
11 Apr 2017
DAL91
DEN109
12 Dec 2016
DAL112
DEN92
26 Feb 2016
DAL122
DEN116
28 Nov 2015
DAL92
DEN81
06 Oct 2015
DAL86
DEN96
16 Jan 2015
DAL97
DEN89
21 Mar 2014
DAL122
DEN106
25 Nov 2013
DAL96
DEN110
12 Apr 2013
DAL108
DEN105
28 Dec 2012
DAL85
DEN106
15 Feb 2012
DAL102
DEN84
26 Dec 2011
DAL93
DEN115
06 Apr 2011
DAL96
DEN104
06 Nov 2010
DAL92
DEN103
29 Mar 2010
DAL109
DEN93
11 May 2009
DAL119
DEN117
09 May 2009
DAL105
DEN106
27 Mar 2009
DAL101
DEN103
15 Dec 2008
DAL88
DEN98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#11
W
116-109
116
109
+7
A09/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
119-96
119
96
+23
H11/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
L
115-117 OT
115
117
-2
A13/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
L
74-95
74
95
-21
A15/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#22
L
106-114 OT
106
114
-8
A16/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#18
W
107-100
107
100
+7
H19/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#1
L
95-110
95
110
-15
H21/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#6
L
82-92
82
92
-10
A22/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
91-129
91
129
-38
A24/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
L
105-111 OT
105
111
-6
A28/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
39-24
24-42
21-23
32-20
36-29
29-14
23-27
31-26
25-27
18-21
27-28
26-20
25-24
16-30
14-15
19-26
32-22
13-32
25-26
32-22
28-23
29-29
19-22
31-26
20-31
22-27
19-33
34-19
16-25
23-15
18-29
25-23
26-33
26-31
14-36
25-29
29-21
16-22
36-30
17-25
208.3Avg total
101.0Scored
107.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)98.6101.1199.7-2.543%
Season at home (16)103.697.4201.1+6.269%
Season away (19)94.3104.2198.5-9.821%
Last 10 (10)101.0107.3208.3-6.330%
Last 5 (5)96.0108.4204.4-12.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)95.2115.5210.8-20.20%
vs Similar (21)98.7101.4200.1-2.743%
vs Weaker (5)104.494.2198.6+10.280%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#7
L
106-112
106
112
-6
A10/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#24
W
101-94
101
94
+7
A12/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#22
L
105-108
105
108
-3
A13/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#6
W
99-94
99
94
+5
H15/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
122-97
122
97
+25
A16/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
112-106
112
106
+6
H19/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
L
93-101
93
101
-8
A21/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#30
W
110-88
110
88
+22
H23/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
L
100-112
100
112
-12
A26/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#17
W
126-114
126
114
+12
H27/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
33-38
26-19
22-32
17-25
31-17
24-24
29-28
29-21
21-30
20-26
35-31
17-16
28-25
24-28
30-25
32-23
32-23
33-21
25-30
26-28
29-20
35-27
22-31
14-25
26-25
21-19
32-32
29-23
35-23
24-19
22-23
26-25
22-42
28-26
24-19
29-26
28-28
39-33
30-27
210.0Avg total
107.4Scored
102.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)101.0100.7201.7+0.251%
Season at home (12)105.797.5203.2+8.283%
Season away (25)98.7102.3201.0-3.636%
Last 10 (10)107.4102.6210.0+4.860%
Last 5 (5)108.2104.2212.4+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)102.1101.9203.9+0.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)103.5100.4203.9+3.157%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -5.3-5.3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: -0.7-0.7
Dallas MavericksDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#11
L
63-66
63
66
-3
A09/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
65-43
65
43
+22
H11/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A13/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A15/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#22
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A16/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#18
W
57-52
57
52
+5
H19/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#1
L
42-58
42
58
-16
H21/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#6
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A22/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
52-64
52
64
-12
A24/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A28/12
NBA
101.4Avg total
49.2Scored
52.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.151.3101.4-1.147%-
Last 30 at home (13)51.850.3102.1+1.554%-
Last 30 away (17)48.952.0100.9-3.141%-
Last 10 (10)49.252.2101.4-3.030%-
Last 5 (5)47.051.498.4-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)45.256.2101.5-11.025%-
vs Similar (21)50.251.3101.5-1.048%-
vs Weaker (5)53.647.2100.8+6.460%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#7
L
58-61
58
61
-3
A10/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#24
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A12/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#22
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A13/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#6
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H15/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
64-46
64
46
+18
A16/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
55-48
55
48
+7
H19/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A21/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#30
W
64-46
64
46
+18
H23/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
L
48-67
48
67
-19
A26/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#17
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H27/12
NBA
103.5Avg total
52.9Scored
50.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.851.2103.1+0.660%-
Last 30 at home (10)53.347.0100.3+6.380%-
Last 30 away (20)51.153.4104.5-2.250%-
Last 10 (10)52.950.6103.5+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)52.853.0105.8-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)51.851.6103.4+0.262%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)51.950.9102.7+1.057%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/12AOklahoma City Thunder105-111 OT
24/12/12ASan Antonio Spurs91-129
22/12/12AMemphis Grizzlies82-92
21/12/12HMiami Heat95-110
19/12/12HPhiladelphia 76ers107-100
16/12/12AMinnesota Timberwolves106-114 OT
15/12/12AToronto Raptors74-95
13/12/12ABoston Celtics115-117 OT
11/12/12HSacramento Kings119-96
09/12/12AHouston Rockets116-109
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/12HLos Angeles Lakers126-114
26/12/12ALos Angeles Clippers100-112
23/12/12HCharlotte Hornets110-88
21/12/12APortland Trail Blazers93-101
19/12/12HSan Antonio Spurs112-106
16/12/12ASacramento Kings122-97
15/12/12HMemphis Grizzlies99-94
13/12/12AMinnesota Timberwolves105-108
12/12/12ADetroit Pistons101-94
10/12/12ANew York Knicks106-112

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2012-13
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL43%
HomeLWWWL69%
AwayLLLLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351619
Win %43%69%21%
Points / game98.6103.694.3
Allowed / game101.197.4104.2
Point differential-2.5+6.2-9.8
Avg total199.7201.1198.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%44%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)67% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %14%6%21%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2012-13
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW51%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayWLWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371225
Win %51%83%36%
Points / game101.0105.798.7
Allowed / game100.797.5102.3
Point differential+0.2+8.2-3.6
Avg total201.7203.2201.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%50%4%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)67% (3)38% (8)
Overtime %3%0%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Clippers3728976%100.391.6+8.7
2 Oklahoma City Thunder3526974%103.996.6+7.4
3 San Antonio Spurs36251169%104.397.4+6.9
4 Miami Heat35241169%101.296.4+4.8
5 New York Knicks35241169%101.297.4+3.8
6 Golden State Warriors36241267%100.397.8+2.5
7 Memphis Grizzlies33211264%96.592.8+3.8
8 Atlanta Hawks34211362%97.594.6+2.9
9 Houston Rockets35211460%105.0102.1+2.9
10 Chicago Bulls34201459%92.491.1+1.4
11 Indiana Pacers36211558%91.690.3+1.2
12 Philadelphia 76ers36201656%95.495.1+0.2
13 Minnesota Timberwolves32171553%93.991.6+2.3
14 Utah Jazz38201853%98.397.2+1.2
15 Brooklyn Nets35181751%94.995.1-0.2
16 Milwaukee Bucks35181751%95.496.2-0.8
17 Denver Nuggets37191851%101.0100.7+0.2
18 Portland Trail Blazers34171750%97.899.1-1.3
19 Boston Celtics34161847%96.197.0-0.9
20 Dallas Mavericks35152043%98.6101.1-2.5
21 Toronto Raptors36152142%97.099.2-2.3
22 Phoenix Suns37152241%97.199.6-2.5
23 Sacramento Kings35142140%96.3100.6-4.3
24 Los Angeles Lakers37142338%99.2100.7-1.5
25 Orlando Magic37142338%93.996.8-2.8
26 Detroit Pistons40142635%94.096.0-2.0
27 New Orleans Pelicans37102727%89.995.8-5.9
28 Cleveland Cavaliers3792824%93.599.5-5.9
29 Charlotte Hornets3782922%94.1103.1-9.0
30 Washington Wizards3572820%90.797.4-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dallas Mavericks1829231585
Denver Nuggets29263219106
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.