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Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 07 Apr 2011
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 96-104
17-23 26-30 26-19 27-32
Position#3
Record57-28
FormWWLLL
Points / game99.0
Allowed / game96.0
vs
Position#9
Record52-33
FormWWWWL
Points / game107.4
Allowed / game102.7
USANBA
NBA2010-11
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Denver Nuggets
31 Mar 2027
DAL v DEN
upcoming
14 Jan 2026
DAL109
DEN118
23 Dec 2025
DAL131
DEN130
14 Jan 2025
DAL99
DEN118
12 Jan 2025
DAL101
DEN112
17 Mar 2024
DAL107
DEN105
20 Nov 2022
DAL97
DEN98
18 Nov 2022
DAL127
DEN99
03 Jan 2022
DAL103
DEN89
15 Nov 2021
DAL111
DEN101
14 Aug 2021
DAL85
DEN89
25 Jan 2021
DAL113
DEN117
11 Mar 2020
DAL113
DEN97
08 Jan 2020
DAL106
DEN107
22 Feb 2019
DAL104
DEN114
06 Mar 2018
DAL118
DEN107
04 Dec 2017
DAL122
DEN105
11 Apr 2017
DAL91
DEN109
12 Dec 2016
DAL112
DEN92
26 Feb 2016
DAL122
DEN116
28 Nov 2015
DAL92
DEN81
06 Oct 2015
DAL86
DEN96
16 Jan 2015
DAL97
DEN89
21 Mar 2014
DAL122
DEN106
25 Nov 2013
DAL96
DEN110
12 Apr 2013
DAL108
DEN105
28 Dec 2012
DAL85
DEN106
15 Feb 2012
DAL102
DEN84
26 Dec 2011
DAL93
DEN115
06 Apr 2011
DAL96
DEN104
06 Nov 2010
DAL92
DEN103
29 Mar 2010
DAL109
DEN93
11 May 2009
DAL119
DEN117
09 May 2009
DAL105
DEN106
27 Mar 2009
DAL101
DEN103
15 Dec 2008
DAL88
DEN98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
112-106
112
106
+6
A17/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
91-97
91
97
-6
H19/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
101-73
101
73
+28
H20/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#30
W
104-96
104
96
+8
H25/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#13
W
94-77
94
77
+17
A27/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
W
91-83
91
83
+8
A28/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#24
W
106-100
106
100
+6
A31/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#6
L
82-110
82
110
-28
A01/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
92-99
92
99
-7
A03/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#11
L
96-104
96
104
-8
A04/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-34
28-25
28-22
31-25
20-30
25-20
21-23
25-24
31-23
20-20
25-20
25-10
17-23
32-24
27-25
28-24
20-22
23-25
15-13
36-17
17-26
27-23
21-18
26-16
23-28
25-18
27-24
31-30
26-28
25-26
19-28
12-28
29-28
21-20
17-24
25-27
17-23
29-38
21-24
29-19
191.4Avg total
96.9Scored
94.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (85)99.096.0195.1+3.067%
Season at home (41)99.594.8194.3+4.768%
Season away (44)98.697.2195.8+1.466%
Last 10 (10)96.994.5191.4+2.460%
Last 5 (5)93.499.2192.6-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)99.2102.8202.0-3.630%
vs Weaker (20)106.296.7202.9+9.590%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#14
W
102-87
102
87
+15
A16/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#7
L
82-85
82
85
-3
A18/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#5
L
98-103
98
103
-5
A19/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#28
W
123-90
123
90
+33
H22/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
115-112
115
112
+3
H24/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#27
W
114-94
114
94
+20
H26/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
104-90
104
90
+14
H31/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
99-90
99
90
+9
A02/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#6
W
95-90
95
90
+5
A03/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#8
L
94-101
94
101
-7
H06/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
29-22
26-21
30-24
21-18
21-29
18-17
22-21
21-29
26-27
24-23
27-24
36-23
36-21
29-28
22-18
24-34
40-35
26-24
25-19
30-16
34-29
18-22
32-27
20-28
21-23
33-20
30-19
21-28
27-23
31-16
20-23
21-20
19-27
29-22
26-21
16-27
31-21
20-21
27-32
196.8Avg total
102.6Scored
94.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (85)107.4102.7210.1+4.761%
Season at home (42)111.1101.2212.3+9.981%
Season away (43)103.8104.2207.9-0.442%
Last 10 (10)102.694.2196.8+8.470%
Last 5 (5)101.293.0194.2+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)103.2102.7205.9+0.546%
vs Weaker (17)108.697.3205.9+11.376%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +4.8+4.8Q4: +3.3+3.3
Dallas MavericksDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
53-59
53
59
-6
A17/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H19/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H20/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#30
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H25/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#13
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A27/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A28/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#24
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A31/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#6
L
51-54
51
54
-3
A01/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A03/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#11
L
46-61
46
61
-15
A04/04
NBA
98.4Avg total
48.0Scored
50.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.349.9103.2+3.467%-
Last 30 at home (10)56.348.8105.1+7.580%-
Last 30 away (20)51.850.5102.2+1.360%-
Last 10 (10)48.050.498.4-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)47.851.699.4-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)51.750.4102.1+1.350%-
vs Weaker (20)54.049.6103.7+4.475%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#14
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A16/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#7
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A18/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#5
L
47-56
47
56
-9
A19/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#28
W
72-44
72
44
+28
H22/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
64-69
64
69
-5
H24/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#27
W
64-45
64
45
+19
H26/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H31/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A02/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#6
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A03/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#8
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H06/04
NBA
101.1Avg total
51.1Scored
50.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.750.5103.1+2.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)54.449.6103.9+4.850%-
Last 30 away (16)51.251.2102.4-0.144%-
Last 10 (10)51.150.0101.1+1.130%-
Last 5 (5)48.048.496.4-0.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)50.251.0101.2-0.831%-
vs Weaker (17)54.650.1104.6+4.559%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Dallas Mavericks wins
6
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/11APortland Trail Blazers96-104
03/04/11AGolden State Warriors92-99
01/04/11ALos Angeles Lakers82-110
31/03/11ALos Angeles Clippers106-100
28/03/11APhoenix Suns91-83
27/03/11AUtah Jazz94-77
25/03/11HMinnesota Timberwolves104-96
20/03/11HGolden State Warriors101-73
19/03/11HSan Antonio Spurs91-97
17/03/11AGolden State Warriors112-106
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/11HOklahoma City Thunder94-101
03/04/11ALos Angeles Lakers95-90
02/04/11ASacramento Kings99-90
31/03/11HSacramento Kings104-90
26/03/11HWashington Wizards114-94
24/03/11HSan Antonio Spurs115-112
22/03/11HToronto Raptors123-90
19/03/11AMiami Heat98-103
18/03/11AOrlando Magic82-85
16/03/11AAtlanta Hawks102-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2010-11
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL67%
HomeWLLWW68%
AwayWWLLL66%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games854144
Win %67%68%66%
Points / game99.099.598.6
Allowed / game96.094.897.2
Point differential+3.0+4.7+1.4
Avg total195.1194.3195.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%29%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (33)59% (17)69% (16)
Overtime %1%0%2%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2010-11
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL61%
HomeWWWWL81%
AwayWLLWW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games854243
Win %61%81%42%
Points / game107.4111.1103.8
Allowed / game102.7101.2104.2
Point differential+4.7+9.9-0.4
Avg total210.1212.3207.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%48%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (25)79% (14)27% (11)
Overtime %1%0%2%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Antonio Spurs84622274%102.997.8+5.1
2 Chicago Bulls85612472%98.491.8+6.6
3 Boston Celtics85612472%97.090.9+6.1
4 Los Angeles Lakers84592570%101.395.2+6.1
5 Dallas Mavericks85572867%99.096.0+3.0
6 Miami Heat84562867%101.294.9+6.3
7 Orlando Magic86572966%99.692.7+7.0
8 Oklahoma City Thunder84552965%104.3101.2+3.1
9 Denver Nuggets85523361%107.4102.7+4.7
10 Memphis Grizzlies85513460%100.097.2+2.8
11 Portland Trail Blazers85483756%96.695.2+1.4
12 Atlanta Hawks85463954%94.695.5-0.9
13 New Orleans Pelicans86464053%94.594.0+0.5
14 Utah Jazz86454152%99.5100.4-0.9
15 Houston Rockets87454252%105.2103.2+2.1
16 New York Knicks85424349%105.9105.7+0.2
17 Philadelphia 76ers86424449%99.097.7+1.3
18 Phoenix Suns86404647%104.1106.1-2.0
19 Indiana Pacers86394745%99.4101.0-1.5
20 Golden State Warriors86374943%103.1105.3-2.2
21 Charlotte Hornets86365042%92.696.2-3.6
22 Milwaukee Bucks86355141%91.792.7-1.0
23 Los Angeles Clippers87325537%98.6102.0-3.4
24 Detroit Pistons86305635%96.5100.3-3.8
25 Sacramento Kings84265831%98.8103.6-4.8
26 Brooklyn Nets85265931%94.1100.1-6.0
27 Toronto Raptors86256129%100.4105.6-5.2
28 Washington Wizards85246128%97.1104.3-7.2
29 Cleveland Cavaliers85236227%95.2103.1-8.0
30 Minnesota Timberwolves87236426%101.5106.7-5.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dallas Mavericks1726262796
Denver Nuggets23301932104
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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