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Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 30 Mar 2010
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 109-93
31-23 24-23 24-23 30-24
Position#5
Record48-25
FormLLWLW
Points / game101.6
Allowed / game99.7
vs
Position#6
Record48-26
FormLLLWL
Points / game107.1
Allowed / game102.5
USANBA
NBA2009-10
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Denver Nuggets
31 Mar 2027
DAL v DEN
upcoming
14 Jan 2026
DAL109
DEN118
23 Dec 2025
DAL131
DEN130
14 Jan 2025
DAL99
DEN118
12 Jan 2025
DAL101
DEN112
17 Mar 2024
DAL107
DEN105
20 Nov 2022
DAL97
DEN98
18 Nov 2022
DAL127
DEN99
03 Jan 2022
DAL103
DEN89
15 Nov 2021
DAL111
DEN101
25 Jan 2021
DAL113
DEN117
11 Mar 2020
DAL113
DEN97
08 Jan 2020
DAL106
DEN107
22 Feb 2019
DAL104
DEN114
06 Mar 2018
DAL118
DEN107
04 Dec 2017
DAL122
DEN105
11 Apr 2017
DAL91
DEN109
12 Dec 2016
DAL112
DEN92
26 Feb 2016
DAL122
DEN116
28 Nov 2015
DAL92
DEN81
16 Jan 2015
DAL97
DEN89
21 Mar 2014
DAL122
DEN106
25 Nov 2013
DAL96
DEN110
12 Apr 2013
DAL108
DEN105
28 Dec 2012
DAL85
DEN106
15 Feb 2012
DAL102
DEN84
26 Dec 2011
DAL93
DEN115
06 Apr 2011
DAL96
DEN104
06 Nov 2010
DAL92
DEN103
29 Mar 2010
DAL109
DEN93
11 May 2009
DAL119
DEN117
09 May 2009
DAL105
DEN106
27 Mar 2009
DAL101
DEN103
15 Dec 2008
DAL88
DEN98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
122-116
122
116
+6
A07/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#29
W
125-112
125
112
+13
A09/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
96-87
96
87
+9
H11/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
L
94-128
94
128
-34
H14/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
113-106
113
106
+7
H18/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
93-102
93
102
-9
H21/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
99-115
99
115
-16
A23/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#23
W
106-96
106
96
+10
H24/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#11
L
89-101
89
101
-12
A26/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#26
W
111-90
111
90
+21
A28/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-26
36-29
28-25
28-36
34-27
37-34
26-23
28-28
19-33
20-14
31-15
26-25
25-30
23-28
18-33
28-37
32-20
32-24
24-28
25-34
24-30
23-18
25-25
21-29
32-19
13-33
25-30
29-33
32-24
30-24
14-29
30-19
27-32
27-28
21-20
14-21
31-27
36-14
24-21
20-28
210.1Avg total
104.8Scored
105.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (73)101.699.7201.3+2.066%
Season at home (36)101.7100.0201.7+1.769%
Season away (37)101.599.4200.9+2.262%
Last 10 (10)104.8105.3210.1-0.560%
Last 5 (5)99.6100.8200.4-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)95.085.0180.0+10.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (13)98.6102.8201.5-4.246%
vs Weaker (16)109.9103.4213.2+6.581%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
102-95
102
95
+7
A13/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
125-108
125
108
+17
A14/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#15
L
123-125
123
125
-2
A16/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#27
W
97-87
97
87
+10
H17/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
93-80
93
80
+13
H19/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
L
97-102
97
102
-5
H21/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
L
104-109
104
109
-5
A23/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
99-113
99
113
-14
A24/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
97-96
97
96
+1
A26/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#2
L
97-103
97
103
-6
A28/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-29
22-23
22-23
29-20
24-33
33-30
28-22
40-23
29-38
28-30
38-25
28-32
18-24
21-21
26-18
32-24
27-17
35-20
15-24
16-19
31-27
23-26
22-23
21-26
27-26
26-23
21-34
30-26
27-30
24-31
29-26
19-26
26-19
30-33
16-29
25-15
24-22
27-30
26-25
20-26
205.2Avg total
103.4Scored
101.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (74)107.1102.5209.6+4.665%
Season at home (36)111.0101.6212.6+9.483%
Season away (38)103.4103.3206.7+0.047%
Last 10 (10)103.4101.8205.2+1.650%
Last 5 (5)98.8104.6203.4-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)104.4103.8208.2+0.644%
vs Weaker (14)108.1102.7210.8+5.479%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: +2.3+2.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: +2.3+2.3
Dallas MavericksDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
66-55
66
55
+11
A07/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#29
W
71-61
71
61
+10
A09/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H11/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
L
48-58
48
58
-10
H14/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
64-44
64
44
+20
H18/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H21/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A23/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#23
W
62-48
62
48
+14
H24/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#11
L
54-60
54
60
-6
A26/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#26
W
67-41
67
41
+26
A28/03
NBA
107.7Avg total
56.3Scored
51.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.151.9106.0+2.350%-
Last 30 at home (16)54.249.7103.9+4.662%-
Last 30 away (14)54.054.4108.4-0.436%-
Last 10 (10)56.351.4107.7+4.950%-
Last 5 (5)55.049.8104.8+5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)42.047.089.0-5.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)49.852.9102.7-3.231%-
vs Weaker (16)58.451.3109.8+7.169%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A13/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
L
57-63
57
63
-6
A14/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#15
L
57-68
57
68
-11
A16/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#27
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H17/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
62-37
62
37
+25
H19/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
54-53
54
53
+1
H21/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
W
53-49
53
49
+4
A23/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
51-61
51
61
-10
A24/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
56-52
56
52
+4
A26/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#2
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A28/03
NBA
106.3Avg total
53.1Scored
53.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.852.7106.4+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (12)55.250.4105.6+4.867%-
Last 30 away (18)52.854.2107.0-1.339%-
Last 10 (10)53.153.2106.3-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)53.053.4106.4-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)53.052.1105.1+0.950%-
vs Weaker (14)54.653.4108.0+1.350%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/10AGolden State Warriors111-90
26/03/10APortland Trail Blazers89-101
24/03/10HLos Angeles Clippers106-96
23/03/10ANew Orleans Pelicans99-115
21/03/10HBoston Celtics93-102
18/03/10HChicago Bulls113-106
14/03/10HNew York Knicks94-128
11/03/10HBrooklyn Nets96-87
09/03/10AMinnesota Timberwolves125-112
07/03/10AChicago Bulls122-116
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/10AOrlando Magic97-103
26/03/10AToronto Raptors97-96
24/03/10ABoston Celtics99-113
23/03/10ANew York Knicks104-109
21/03/10HMilwaukee Bucks97-102
19/03/10HNew Orleans Pelicans93-80
17/03/10HWashington Wizards97-87
16/03/10AHouston Rockets123-125
14/03/10AMemphis Grizzlies125-108
13/03/10ANew Orleans Pelicans102-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2009-10
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW66%
HomeWLWLW69%
AwayWWLLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games733637
Win %66%69%62%
Points / game101.6101.7101.5
Allowed / game99.7100.099.4
Point differential+2.0+1.7+2.2
Avg total201.3201.7200.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%14%32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won76% (21)75% (16)80% (5)
Overtime %10%11%8%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2009-10
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL65%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayLLLWL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743638
Win %65%83%47%
Points / game107.1111.0103.4
Allowed / game102.5101.6103.3
Point differential+4.6+9.4+0.0
Avg total209.6212.6206.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won61% (18)71% (7)55% (11)
Overtime %5%6%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers74581678%102.194.8+7.4
2 Los Angeles Lakers74542073%102.596.9+5.6
3 Orlando Magic74522270%101.995.0+6.9
4 Dallas Mavericks73482566%101.699.7+2.0
5 Utah Jazz74482665%103.998.0+5.9
6 Denver Nuggets74482665%107.1102.5+4.6
7 Atlanta Hawks73472664%102.097.4+4.6
8 Phoenix Suns73472664%110.5106.0+4.5
9 Boston Celtics73472664%98.694.3+4.3
10 Oklahoma City Thunder72442861%100.196.6+3.5
11 Portland Trail Blazers74452961%98.194.8+3.3
12 San Antonio Spurs73442960%100.896.1+4.7
13 Milwaukee Bucks72403256%97.796.4+1.4
14 Miami Heat74403454%96.094.3+1.7
15 Charlotte Hornets73383552%95.193.7+1.4
16 Memphis Grizzlies73383552%102.8103.3-0.5
17 Houston Rockets72363650%101.6101.8-0.2
18 Toronto Raptors73363749%103.3105.5-2.2
19 Chicago Bulls73353848%97.299.4-2.2
20 New Orleans Pelicans75354047%100.0102.5-2.4
21 Los Angeles Clippers73274637%95.7101.6-5.9
22 Indiana Pacers74274736%99.9103.7-3.8
23 New York Knicks72264636%101.6104.9-3.3
24 Philadelphia 76ers73264736%97.1100.6-3.4
25 Sacramento Kings74245032%100.0104.2-4.2
26 Detroit Pistons73235032%93.699.1-5.5
27 Washington Wizards72215129%95.8101.0-5.2
28 Golden State Warriors73215229%108.6112.3-3.7
29 Minnesota Timberwolves74146019%98.1107.6-9.5
30 Brooklyn Nets74106414%91.3101.0-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dallas Mavericks31242430109
Denver Nuggets2323232493
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