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Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 04 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 103-89
24-20 22-17 23-26 34-26
Position#7
Record18-18
FormLWLWW
Points / game105.2
Allowed / game104.4
vs
Position#11
Record18-16
FormLLWWW
Points / game106.3
Allowed / game106.1
USANBA· American Airlines Center
NBA2021-22
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Denver Nuggets
31 Mar 2027
DAL v DEN
upcoming
14 Jan 2026
DAL109
DEN118
23 Dec 2025
DAL131
DEN130
14 Jan 2025
DAL99
DEN118
12 Jan 2025
DAL101
DEN112
17 Mar 2024
DAL107
DEN105
20 Nov 2022
DAL97
DEN98
18 Nov 2022
DAL127
DEN99
03 Jan 2022
DAL103
DEN89
15 Nov 2021
DAL111
DEN101
25 Jan 2021
DAL113
DEN117
11 Mar 2020
DAL113
DEN97
08 Jan 2020
DAL106
DEN107
22 Feb 2019
DAL104
DEN114
06 Mar 2018
DAL118
DEN107
04 Dec 2017
DAL122
DEN105
11 Apr 2017
DAL91
DEN109
12 Dec 2016
DAL112
DEN92
26 Feb 2016
DAL122
DEN116
28 Nov 2015
DAL92
DEN81
16 Jan 2015
DAL97
DEN89
21 Mar 2014
DAL122
DEN106
25 Nov 2013
DAL96
DEN110
12 Apr 2013
DAL108
DEN105
28 Dec 2012
DAL85
DEN106
15 Feb 2012
DAL102
DEN84
26 Dec 2011
DAL93
DEN115
06 Apr 2011
DAL96
DEN104
06 Nov 2010
DAL92
DEN103
29 Mar 2010
DAL109
DEN93
11 May 2009
DAL119
DEN117
09 May 2009
DAL105
DEN106
27 Mar 2009
DAL101
DEN103
15 Dec 2008
DAL88
DEN98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
120-96
120
96
+24
123avg 102
H14/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
L
104-107 OT
104
107
-3
91avg 102
H16/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
L
105-111
105
111
-6
101avg 102
A20/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
W
114-102
114
102
+12
112avg 102
H22/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
95-102
95
102
-7
86avg 102
H24/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
116-120
116
120
-4
102avg 102
A26/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
W
132-117
132
117
+15
136avg 102
A28/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
L
94-95
94
95
-1
85avg 102
A30/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
112-96
112
96
+16
115avg 102
A31/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
95-86
95
86
+9
94avg 102
A03/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-20
33-23
21-26
29-27
23-33
27-14
23-26
20-20
25-27
25-29
38-30
17-25
34-35
27-15
27-28
26-24
23-15
20-26
31-34
21-27
34-25
29-40
27-25
26-30
34-29
38-24
34-31
26-33
30-20
13-35
26-17
25-23
34-39
28-17
32-20
18-20
26-22
25-17
22-25
22-22
211.9Avg total
108.7Scored
103.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)105.2104.4209.5+0.850%
Season at home (16)105.2104.6209.8+0.750%
Season away (20)105.1104.2209.3+0.950%
Last 10 (10)108.7103.2211.9+5.550%
Last 5 (5)109.8102.8212.6+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (21)106.8105.3212.0+1.548%
vs Weaker (9)106.0103.1209.1+2.944%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
111-123
111
123
-12
98avg 105
A10/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
127-112
127
112
+15
124avg 105
A12/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#21
W
113-107
113
107
+6
114avg 105
H14/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
L
107-124
107
124
-17
105avg 105
H16/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
W
133-115
133
115
+18
136avg 105
A18/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
L
94-108
94
108
-14
78avg 105
A23/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
107-115
107
115
-8
97avg 105
H24/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
103-100
103
100
+3
96avg 105
A27/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
89-86
89
86
+3
80avg 105
A29/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
124-111
124
111
+13
126avg 105
A02/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-37
36-37
25-26
21-23
28-29
44-27
31-18
24-38
29-22
30-19
32-29
22-37
32-40
29-35
27-33
19-16
29-26
43-28
34-33
27-28
18-28
34-32
14-28
28-20
26-27
39-25
29-25
13-38
32-30
32-25
15-28
24-17
31-16
29-20
14-25
15-25
30-31
47-24
22-19
25-37
220.9Avg total
110.8Scored
110.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)106.3106.1212.4+0.153%
Season at home (14)104.7102.3207.0+2.457%
Season away (20)107.4108.8216.2-1.450%
Last 10 (10)110.8110.1220.9+0.760%
Last 5 (5)103.4104.0207.4-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)97.0126.0223.0-29.00%
vs Similar ◀ (21)107.3106.1213.4+1.252%
vs Weaker (8)106.8105.0211.8+1.862%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +9.1+9.1Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -6.1-6.1
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +9.1+9.1Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -6.1-6.1
Dallas MavericksDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
70-43
70
43
+27
H14/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H16/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A20/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
W
61-50
61
50
+11
H22/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H24/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
63-65
63
65
-2
A26/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
W
72-53
72
53
+19
A28/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A30/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
62-56
62
56
+6
A31/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A03/01
NBA
107.0Avg total
56.5Scored
50.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.451.5106.0+2.960%-
Last 30 at home (13)53.850.2104.0+3.769%-
Last 30 away (17)54.952.6107.5+2.353%-
Last 10 (10)56.550.5107.0+6.070%-
Last 5 (5)58.253.6111.8+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (21)53.451.0104.5+2.457%-
vs Weaker (9)56.852.7109.4+4.167%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
65-74
65
74
-9
A10/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
72-56
72
56
+16
A12/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#21
W
59-41
59
41
+18
H14/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
L
61-75
61
75
-14
H16/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
W
72-54
72
54
+18
A18/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
L
52-60
52
60
-8
A23/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
65-52
65
52
+13
H24/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
64-55
64
55
+9
A27/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
60-36
60
36
+24
A29/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
77-55
77
55
+22
A02/01
NBA
120.5Avg total
64.7Scored
55.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.253.4111.7+4.857%-
Last 30 at home (12)55.051.7106.7+3.350%-
Last 30 away (18)60.454.6115.0+5.861%-
Last 10 (10)64.755.8120.5+8.970%-
Last 5 (5)63.651.6115.2+12.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)60.073.0133.0-13.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)58.453.2111.6+5.262%-
vs Weaker (8)57.551.6109.1+5.950%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 108.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.227.9
55.6%
53.1%55.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.312.0
34.0%
35.3%36.0
🏀 Free throws20.616.9
82.0%
77.4%16.9
They take 85.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 110.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.927.0
54.1%
53.1%54.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.113.6
35.7%
35.3%40.8
🏀 Free throws20.216.0
79.2%
77.4%16.0
They take 88.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jan 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dallas Mavericks
WWLWLLWLLW
Denver Nuggets
WWWLLWLWWL
#7
League position
#11
+5.7
Net rating
+0.7
111.8
Offensive rating
109.1
106.2
Defensive rating
108.4
53.7%
Effective FG%
53.9%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
11.8%
Turnover %
13.3%
22.0%
Off. rebound %
19.2%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.23
34.0%
3-point %
35.7%
67.7%
Assist %
70.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence111.8 · 109.1Defence106.2 · 108.4Shooting53.7% · 53.9%3-point %34.0% · 35.7%Ball care11.8% · 13.3%Off. rebounds22.0% · 19.2%Free throws0.24 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Dallas Mavericks   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Dallas Mavericks wins
5
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/22AOklahoma City Thunder95-86
31/12/21ASacramento Kings112-96
30/12/21ASacramento Kings94-95
28/12/21APortland Trail Blazers132-117
26/12/21AUtah Jazz116-120
24/12/21HMilwaukee Bucks95-102
22/12/21HMinnesota Timberwolves114-102
20/12/21AMinnesota Timberwolves105-111
16/12/21HLos Angeles Lakers104-107 OT
14/12/21HCharlotte Hornets120-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/22AHouston Rockets124-111
29/12/21AGolden State Warriors89-86
27/12/21ALos Angeles Clippers103-100
24/12/21HCharlotte Hornets107-115
23/12/21AOklahoma City Thunder94-108
18/12/21AAtlanta Hawks133-115
16/12/21HMinnesota Timberwolves107-124
14/12/21HWashington Wizards113-107
12/12/21ASan Antonio Spurs127-112
10/12/21ASan Antonio Spurs111-123

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW50%
HomeLWLWL50%
AwayLWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361620
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game105.2105.2105.1
Allowed / game104.4104.6104.2
Point differential+0.8+0.7+0.9
Avg total209.5209.8209.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%31%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %6%6%5%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW53%
HomeLLWLL57%
AwayWLWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341420
Win %53%57%50%
Points / game106.3104.7107.4
Allowed / game106.1102.3108.8
Point differential+0.1+2.4-1.4
Avg total212.4207.0216.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%21%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %3%0%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors3528780%111.2101.3+9.9
2 Phoenix Suns3628878%112.3104.8+7.5
3 Utah Jazz37271073%116.0106.1+9.9
4 Chicago Bulls35251071%110.7107.0+3.7
5 Brooklyn Nets35231266%110.3107.4+2.8
6 Milwaukee Bucks39251464%112.1107.8+4.3
7 Memphis Grizzlies38241463%111.3108.1+3.2
8 Miami Heat37231462%107.9103.9+4.0
9 Cleveland Cavaliers37211657%107.7102.4+5.3
10 Philadelphia 76ers36201656%106.8106.1+0.7
11 Denver Nuggets34181653%106.3106.1+0.1
12 Los Angeles Clippers37191851%105.5105.2+0.3
13 Washington Wizards37191851%107.0109.2-2.2
14 Dallas Mavericks36181850%105.2104.4+0.8
15 Los Angeles Lakers38191950%111.0111.9-1.0
16 Charlotte Hornets38191950%114.9116.7-1.8
17 Boston Celtics37181949%108.2107.1+1.1
18 Toronto Raptors33161748%106.9106.7+0.2
19 New York Knicks37172046%104.7105.7-1.0
20 Atlanta Hawks35161946%110.6110.5+0.1
21 Minnesota Timberwolves36162044%108.0109.1-1.1
22 Sacramento Kings38162242%109.5113.7-4.2
23 San Antonio Spurs35142140%111.5110.3+1.2
24 Indiana Pacers37142338%107.7107.5+0.2
25 Portland Trail Blazers35132237%108.2112.7-4.5
26 Oklahoma City Thunder36132336%99.8107.0-7.2
27 New Orleans Pelicans37132435%105.2110.3-5.1
28 Houston Rockets38102826%107.3115.7-8.3
29 Detroit Pistons3572820%101.1110.1-8.9
30 Orlando Magic3873118%101.8111.4-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dallas Mavericks24222334103
Denver Nuggets2017262689
← all games of the day
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